Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 118.2

Total Profit: +18.1

Genesis Open

14/02/2019 - 17/02/2019

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Dustin Johnson 9 10% 7.38% 2.69% -4.69% T9
2 USA Justin Thomas 14 6.67% 4.92% 2.43% -2.49% 2
3 NIR Rory McIlroy 14 6.67% 4.92% 2.39% -2.52% T4
4 USA Bryson DeChambeau 16 5.88% 4.34% 3.87% -0.47% T15
5 ESP Jon Rahm 16 5.88% 4.34% 1.86% -2.48% T9
6 USA Xander Schauffele 22 4.35% 3.21% 2.21% -1% T15
7 USA Bubba Watson 22 4.35% 3.21% 1.19% -2.02% T15
8 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 25 3.85% 2.84% 2.1% -0.74% T9
9 USA Phil Mickelson 25 3.85% 2.84% 1.88% -0.96% T37
10 USA Tiger Woods 25 3.85% 2.84% 1.6% -1.23% T15
11 USA Jordan Spieth 28 3.45% 2.54% 0.77% -1.78% T51
12 USA Patrick Cantlay 30 3.23% 2.38% 1.45% -0.93% T15
13 USA Tony Finau 30 3.23% 2.38% 1.35% -1.03% T15
14 AUS Adam Scott 35 2.78% 2.05% 2.27% 0.22% T7 (tied w/2) 8.76 +17.5
15 ENG Paul Casey 35 2.78% 2.05% 1.87% -0.18% T25 8.76
16 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 40 2.44% 1.8% 1.86% 0.06% T28 7.69
17 AUS Marc Leishman 40 2.44% 1.8% 1.52% -0.28% T4 (tied w/2) 7.69 +34.6
18 AUS Cameron Smith 40 2.44% 1.8% 1.48% -0.32% T49
19 USA Matt Kuchar 40 2.44% 1.8% 1.47% -0.33% T28
20 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 50 1.96% 1.45% 2.01% 0.57% MC 6.19
21 ESP Sergio Garcia 50 1.96% 1.45% 1.15% -0.3% T37
22 CAN Adam Hadwin 55 1.79% 1.32% 1.26% -0.06% 75 5.63
23 RSA Branden Grace 60 1.64% 1.21% 1.17% -0.04% MC 5.17
24 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 66 1.49% 1.1% 1.43% 0.33% T25 4.71
25 USA Charles Howell III 66 1.49% 1.1% 1.25% 0.15% 6 4.71 +33.4
26 USA Jason Kokrak 70 1.41% 1.04% 0.67% -0.37% T37
27 USA Chez Reavie 80 1.23% 0.91% 1.13% 0.22% MC 3.9
28 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 80 1.23% 0.91% 0.91% -0.01% MC 3.9
29 USA Keegan Bradley 90 1.1% 0.81% 1.47% 0.66% T51 3.47
30 KOR Sungjae Im 90 1.1% 0.81% 0.65% -0.16% MC 3.47
31 USA Scott Stallings 90 1.1% 0.81% 0.63% -0.18% MC 3.47
32 USA Cameron Champ 90 1.1% 0.81% 0.54% -0.27% MC 3.47
33 USA Andrew Putnam 100 0.99% 0.73% 1.23% 0.5% MC 3.13
34 KOR Sunghoon Kang 100 0.99% 0.73% 0.76% 0.03% T64 3.13
35 USA Luke List 110 0.9% 0.66% 0.54% -0.12% T15 2.84
36 KOR Siwoo Kim 125 0.79% 0.59% 0.99% 0.41% 3 2.51 +32.6
37 MEX Abraham Ancer 125 0.79% 0.59% 0.84% 0.25% T44 2.51
38 USA Kevin Na 125 0.79% 0.59% 0.68% 0.09% T33 2.51
39 SCO Martin Laird 125 0.79% 0.59% 0.52% -0.07% MC 2.51
40 USA Harold Varner III 140 0.71% 0.52% 0.55% 0.03% MC
41 USA Aaron Wise 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.61% 0.12% MC
42 USA J.B. Holmes 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.55% 0.06% 1
43 USA Charley Hoffman 160 0.62% 0.46% 0.65% 0.19% MC
44 ENG Danny Willett 175 0.57% 0.42% 1.11% 0.69% T33
45 USA JT Poston 175 0.57% 0.42% 0.56% 0.14% T28
46 USA Jim Furyk 200 0.5% 0.37% 1.01% 0.65% T37
47 USA Brian Gay 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.89% 0.52% T60
48 USA Kyle Stanley 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.73% 0.37% MC
49 USA Jimmy Walker 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.73% 0.37% 74
50 USA Pat Perez 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.65% 0.29% T56
51 USA Michael Thompson 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.59% 0.22% T7
52 USA Joel Dahmen 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.58% 0.21% MC
53 USA Russell Henley 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.57% 0.2% T44
54 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.57% 0.2% MC
55 RSA Charl Schwartzel 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.55% 0.18% WD
56 USA Kevin Tway 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.49% 0.12% MC
57 TPE C.T. Pan 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.49% 0.12% T44
58 USA Bud Cauley 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.41% 0.04% MC
59 USA Brian Harman 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.38% 0.01% T51
60 USA Brendan Steele 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.27% -0.1% MC
61 USA Kevin Streelman 225 0.44% 0.33% 0.61% 0.29% MC
62 USA Beau Hossler 225 0.44% 0.33% 0.46% 0.13% T15
63 USA Ryan Moore 225 0.44% 0.33% 0.44% 0.12% T28
64 GER Martin Kaymer 250 0.4% 0.29% 1.02% 0.73% T60
65 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.59% 0.29% MC
66 USA Scott Langley 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.57% 0.28% T37
67 USA Patrick Rodgers 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.54% 0.24% T15
68 USA Peter Uihlein 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.52% 0.23% T60
69 USA J.J Spaun 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.51% 0.21% MC
70 USA Keith Mitchell 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.49% 0.2% MC
71 KOR Sangmoon Bae 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.47% 0.18% MC
72 IND Anirban Lahiri 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.38% 0.08% MC
73 AUS Aaron Baddeley 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.37% 0.07% T49
74 USA Bill Haas 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.3% 0.01% T51
75 CHI Joaquin Niemann 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.3% 0% T44
76 USA Ollie Schniederjans 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.26% -0.04% MC
77 USA Sam Burns 275 0.36% 0.27% 0.33% 0.06% MC
78 NZL Danny Lee 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.72% 0.47% MC
79 USA Denny McCarthy 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.35% 0.11% MC
80 USA Sam Ryder 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.35% 0.1% T56
81 USA Chris Stroud 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.73% 0.52% MC
82 RSA Ernie Els 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.59% 0.38% T56
83 USA Vaughn Taylor 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.5% 0.29% T9
84 USA Hudson Swafford 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.49% 0.28% MC
85 USA Ryan Armour 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.48% 0.27% MC
86 USA Andrew Landry 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.48% 0.27% MC
87 USA Jason Dufner 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.47% 0.26% MC
88 CAN Nick Taylor 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.45% 0.24% T33
89 USA Harris English 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.42% 0.21% MC
90 USA Brandon Harkins 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.36% 0.15% MC
91 MEX Carlos Ortiz 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.36% 0.15% T9
92 USA Sam Saunders 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.33% 0.12% MC
93 USA Scott Brown 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.33% 0.12% T37
94 SWE Jonas Blixt 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.53% 0.35% T15
95 USA Brian Stuard 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.45% 0.27% T60
96 USA Adam Schenk 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.26% 0.08% MC
97 USA Fred Couples 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.21% 0.03% MC
98 KOR K.J. Choi 500 0.2% 0.15% 1.1% 0.96% MC
99 USA Hunter Mahan 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.62% 0.47% MC
100 USA Robert Streb 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.52% 0.37% MC
101 USA Kelly Kraft 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.43% 0.29% T9
102 USA Peter Malnati 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.4% 0.25% T44
103 USA Davis Love III 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.39% 0.24% T70
104 ARG Julian Etulain 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.38% 0.23% MC
105 AUS Curtis Luck 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.37% 0.22% MC
106 USA Max Homa 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.34% 0.2% T37
107 USA Tom Hoge 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% MC
108 USA Bronson Burgoon 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.18% MC
109 USA Robert Garrigus 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% T64
110 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.17% MC
111 USA John Huh 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.29% 0.14% MC
112 USA Adam Long 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% MC
113 USA Tyler Duncan 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% MC
114 USA Grayson Murray 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.11% MC
115 USA Anders Albertson 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.11% MC
116 AUS Cameron Davis 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.21% 0.06% MC
117 GER Stephan Jaeger 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.3% 0.18% T70
118 USA Michael Kim 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.28% 0.16% MC
119 USA Ryan Blaum 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.27% 0.15% MC
120 USA Mackenzie Hughes 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.27% 0.15% MC
121 KOR Meenwhee Kim 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.22% 0.1% WD
122 USA Chase Wright 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.21% 0.08% MC
123 USA Morgan Hoffmann 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.2% 0.08% MC
124 GER Alex Cejka 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.34% 0.24% T51
125 AUS John Senden 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.32% 0.22% MC
126 USA Shawn Stefani 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.23% 0.13% T64
127 KOR Taehee Lee 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.18% 0.09% T70
128 USA Kramer Hickok 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.15% 0.05% T64
129 FIJ Vijay Singh 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.4% 0.33% MC
130 USA Jim Knous 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.37% 0.3% MC
131 USA Cody Gribble 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.36% 0.29% 76
132 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.31% 0.23% T25
133 AUS Rod Pampling 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.3% 0.23% MC
134 USA D.A. Points 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.24% 0.17% MC
135 IRL Seamus Power 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.21% 0.14% T64
136 USA Seth Reeves 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.2% 0.12% MC
137 USA Kyle Jones 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.1% 0.05% T33
138 USA Tim O'Neal 1500 0.07% 0.05% 0.07% 0.02% MC
139 RSA Dylan Frittelli 0% 0% 0.48% 0% T28
140 USA Ted Potter-jr 0% 0% 0.41% 0% T64
141 USA Richard H. Lee 0% 0% 0.13% 0% 73

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...