Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 39.7

Total Profit: -60.4

DP World Tour Championship, Dubai

16/11/2017 - 19/11/2017

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Justin Rose 7 12.5% 10.69% 3.68% -7.01% T4
2 ESP Jon Rahm 13 7.14% 6.11% 3.61% -2.5% 1
3 ESP Sergio Garcia 13 7.14% 6.11% 2.49% -3.62% T4
4 RSA Branden Grace 15 6.25% 5.34% 2.27% -3.08% T31
5 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 17 5.56% 4.75% 3.61% -1.14% 12
6 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 17 5.56% 4.75% 2.56% -2.19% T8
7 ITA Francesco Molinari 24 4% 3.42% 3.51% 0.09% T17
8 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 24 4% 3.42% 3.15% -0.27% T21
9 FRA Victor Dubuisson 25 3.85% 3.29% 1.35% -1.94% T13
10 RSA Charl Schwartzel 28 3.45% 2.95% 2.39% -0.56% T28
11 IRL Shane Lowry 29 3.33% 2.85% 2.07% -0.78% T2
12 USA Patrick Reed 37 2.63% 2.25% 3.78% 1.53% T10 10.11
13 ENG Ross Fisher 37 2.63% 2.25% 2.04% -0.22% T17
14 NED Joost Luiten 37 2.63% 2.25% 1.44% -0.81% 44
15 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 38 2.56% 2.19% 3.07% 0.88% T21 9.85
16 GER Martin Kaymer 38 2.56% 2.19% 1.92% -0.27% T17
17 SWE Alexander Noren 41 2.38% 2.04% 2.88% 0.84% T45 9.15
18 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 42 2.33% 1.99% 1.4% -0.59% T45
19 ENG Lee Westwood 46 2.13% 1.82% 2.37% 0.55% T52 8.17
20 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 46 2.13% 1.82% 1.95% 0.13% T36 8.17
21 ENG Ian Poulter 49 2% 1.71% 2.49% 0.78% T31 7.68
22 BEL Thomas Pieters 51 1.92% 1.64% 1.25% -0.4% T58
23 USA Peter Uihlein 54 1.82% 1.55% 1.53% -0.03% T10
24 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 54 1.82% 1.55% 1.28% -0.28% T55
25 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 57 1.72% 1.47% 1.36% -0.11% T2
26 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 58 1.69% 1.45% 1.35% -0.1% T36
27 ENG Eddie Pepperell 69 1.43% 1.22% 2.02% 0.8% T48 5.49
28 USA Julian Suri 73 1.35% 1.16% 1.39% 0.23% T8 5.19
29 RSA George Coetzee 79 1.25% 1.07% 1.38% 0.31% T58 4.8
30 IRL Paul Dunne 80 1.23% 1.06% 2.15% 1.1% T25 4.74
31 ENG Chris Wood 89 1.11% 0.95% 1.13% 0.18% 57 4.27
32 SCO Scott Jamieson 104 0.95% 0.81% 1.14% 0.32% T45 3.66
33 FRA Alexander Levy 110 0.9% 0.77% 1.14% 0.37% T36 3.46
34 ENG Andy Sullivan 114 0.87% 0.74% 0.91% 0.17% T48 3.34
35 SCO Richie Ramsay 120 0.83% 0.71% 1.91% 1.2% T36 3.18
36 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 130 0.76% 0.65% 1.05% 0.4% T58 2.94
37 RSA Dylan Frittelli 130 0.76% 0.65% 0.97% 0.31% T4 (tied w/4) 2.94 +39.7
38 RSA Haydn Porteous 130 0.76% 0.65% 0.96% 0.31% T21 2.94
39 ENG David Horsey 150 0.66% 0.57% 1.33% 0.76% T36
40 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 150 0.66% 0.57% 0.97% 0.4% T31
41 RSA Richard Sterne 160 0.62% 0.53% 1.32% 0.79% T31
42 ENG Graeme Storm 180 0.55% 0.47% 1.32% 0.85% T52
43 KOR Jeunghun Wang 180 0.55% 0.47% 0.8% 0.33% T28
44 ENG Jordan L Smith 180 0.55% 0.47% 0.7% 0.23% T25
45 ENG Callum Shinkwin 190 0.52% 0.45% 1.1% 0.65% T25
46 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 220 0.45% 0.39% 1.18% 0.79% T55
47 FRA Matthieu Pavon 220 0.45% 0.39% 0.7% 0.32% T13
48 ENG Paul Waring 220 0.45% 0.39% 0.52% 0.13% T31
49 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 230 0.43% 0.37% 1.23% 0.86% T13
50 USA David Lipsky 230 0.43% 0.37% 0.87% 0.5% 24
51 JPN Hideto Tanihara 260 0.38% 0.33% 1.08% 0.75% 54
52 NZL Ryan Fox 260 0.38% 0.33% 1.06% 0.74% T28
53 AUS Scott Hend 280 0.36% 0.3% 0.77% 0.46% T48
54 ESP Adrian Otaegui 290 0.34% 0.29% 1.28% 0.99% T42
55 RSA Dean Burmester 290 0.34% 0.29% 1.13% 0.84% T4
56 SWE Alexander Bjork 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.75% 0.46% T17
57 SCO David Drysdale 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.62% 0.33% T42
58 AUS Andrew Dodt 600 0.17% 0.14% 1.51% 1.36% T36
59 CHN Li Haotong 0% 0% 1.74% 0% T13
60 SCO Marc Warren 0% 0% 1.1% 0% T48

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...