Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 121.9

Total Profit: +21.9

WGC - HSBC Champions

26/10/2017 - 29/10/2017

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Dustin Johnson 9 10% 8.2% 3.69% -4.51% T2
2 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 10 9.09% 7.46% 2.52% -4.94% T50
3 ESP Jon Rahm 18 5.26% 4.32% 3.49% -0.82% T36
4 AUS Jason Day 18 5.26% 4.32% 2.7% -1.62% T11
5 AUS Marc Leishman 18 5.26% 4.32% 2.66% -1.65% T38
6 ENG Justin Rose 21 4.55% 3.73% 2.43% -1.3% 1
7 ENG Paul Casey 22 4.35% 3.57% 4.33% 0.76% T11 16.15
8 USA Brooks Koepka 22 4.35% 3.57% 4.2% 0.63% T2 (tied w/3) 16.15 +43.6
9 SWE Henrik Stenson 27 3.57% 2.93% 1.96% -0.97% T2
10 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 27 3.57% 2.93% 1.45% -1.48% T11
11 ENG Ross Fisher 28 3.45% 2.83% 1.52% -1.31% T58
12 ITA Francesco Molinari 31 3.13% 2.56% 2.26% -0.3% T46
13 USA Phil Mickelson 32 3.03% 2.49% 2.44% -0.05% T15
14 USA Pat Perez 32 3.03% 2.49% 2.33% -0.16% T24
15 USA Matt Kuchar 37 2.63% 2.16% 3.72% 1.56% T31 9.78
16 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 37 2.63% 2.16% 2.23% 0.07% T20
17 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 37 2.63% 2.16% 1.73% -0.43% T9
18 USA Patrick Reed 38 2.56% 2.1% 2.85% 0.75% T50 9.53
19 USA Xander Schauffele 38 2.56% 2.1% 2.31% 0.21% T46 9.53
20 USA Tony Finau 42 2.33% 1.91% 1.99% 0.09% T11
21 USA Daniel Berger 44 2.22% 1.82% 1.7% -0.12% T24
22 USA Patrick Cantlay 45 2.17% 1.78% 1.22% -0.56% T15
23 AUS Adam Scott 54 1.82% 1.49% 1.82% 0.33% T50 6.76
24 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 58 1.69% 1.39% 2.85% 1.46% T5 (tied w/3) 6.3 +39.7
25 RSA Branden Grace 61 1.61% 1.32% 1.42% 0.1% T15
26 SWE Alexander Noren 62 1.59% 1.3% 1.21% -0.09% T31
27 USA Russell Henley 66 1.49% 1.22% 1.29% 0.06% T36
28 BEL Thomas Pieters 70 1.41% 1.16% 0.65% -0.51% T71
29 USA Bill Haas 71 1.39% 1.14% 1.35% 0.21% T62 5.16
30 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 82 1.2% 0.99% 0.82% -0.17% T24
31 USA Lucas Glover 83 1.19% 0.98% 2.5% 1.52% T50 4.43
32 USA Brian Harman 85 1.16% 0.95% 2.29% 1.34% 8 4.32
33 USA Chez Reavie 85 1.16% 0.95% 1.53% 0.57% T24 4.32
34 RSA Charl Schwartzel 88 1.12% 0.92% 1.1% 0.18% T50
35 USA Peter Uihlein 90 1.1% 0.9% 0.87% -0.04% T5
36 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 92 1.08% 0.88% 0.88% 0% T9
37 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 93 1.06% 0.87% 1.05% 0.18% T31 3.96
38 IRL Paul Dunne 93 1.06% 0.87% 0.99% 0.11% T38
39 USA Kyle Stanley 100 0.99% 0.81% 1.79% 0.98% T5 (tied w/3) 3.68 +38.6
40 FRA Alexander Levy 120 0.83% 0.68% 0.73% 0.05% T31
41 ENG Jordan L Smith 160 0.62% 0.51% 0.7% 0.19% T58
42 USA Charles Howell III 160 0.62% 0.51% 0.62% 0.11% T15
43 SCO Richie Ramsay 180 0.55% 0.45% 0.93% 0.48% T44
44 CAN Adam Hadwin 180 0.55% 0.45% 0.6% 0.15% T65
45 RSA Richard Sterne 190 0.52% 0.43% 0.58% 0.15% T38
46 AUS Scott Hend 200 0.5% 0.41% 0.79% 0.39% T62
47 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 210 0.47% 0.39% 1.21% 0.82% T20
48 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 210 0.47% 0.39% 0.73% 0.34% T67
49 JPN Shugo Imahira 210 0.47% 0.39% 0.31% -0.08% DQ
50 KOR Siwoo Kim 220 0.45% 0.37% 1.11% 0.74% T69
51 ENG Graeme Storm 220 0.45% 0.37% 0.93% 0.56% T71
52 JPN Hideto Tanihara 220 0.45% 0.37% 0.82% 0.45% T20
53 USA Hudson Swafford 220 0.45% 0.37% 0.68% 0.3% T50
54 NZL Ryan Fox 220 0.45% 0.37% 0.59% 0.22% T46
55 MAS Gavin Green 250 0.4% 0.33% 0.37% 0.04% T38
56 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 250 0.4% 0.33% 0.36% 0.03% T50
57 USA Wesley Bryan 270 0.37% 0.3% 0.72% 0.42% T62
58 USA David Lipsky 270 0.37% 0.3% 0.62% 0.32% T58
59 RSA Haydn Porteous 280 0.36% 0.29% 0.51% 0.22% T38
60 KOR Hyunwoo Ryu 290 0.34% 0.28% 0.15% -0.13% T24
61 RSA Brandon Stone 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.45% 0.17% 76
62 USA Chan Kim 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.27% 0% T58
63 THA Phachara Khongwatmai 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% T46
64 ENG Matthew Southgate 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.36% 0.16% T24
65 JPN Daisuke Kataoka 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.13% -0.08% T15
66 AUS Andrew Dodt 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.54% 0.38% 75
67 THA Poom Saksansin 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.31% 0.18% T24
68 AUS Matthew Griffin 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.19% 0.08% T67
69 AUS Ashley Hall 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.39% 0.31% 74
70 CHN Li Haotong 0% 0% 1.11% 0% T50
71 CHN Wu Ashun 0% 0% 0.65% 0% T20
72 CHN Zhang Xinjun 0% 0% 0.25% 0% T44
73 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0.25% 0% T31
74 CHN Liang Wen-chong 0% 0% 0.2% 0% T38
75 CHN Marty Dou Zecheng 0% 0% 0.13% 0% T69
76 CHN Liu Yanwei 0% 0% 0.12% 0% 73
77 CHN Cao Yi 0% 0% 0.1% 0% 77

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...