Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 18.0

Total Profit: -82.1

THE NORTHERN TRUST

24/08/2017 - 27/08/2017

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 10 9.09% 7.36% 1.54% -5.82% MC
2 USA Jordan Spieth 13 7.14% 5.78% 3.38% -2.4% 2
3 USA Rickie Fowler 15 6.25% 5.06% 2.55% -2.52% T20
4 USA Dustin Johnson 15 6.25% 5.06% 2.22% -2.84% 1
5 NIR Rory McIlroy 15 6.25% 5.06% 1.8% -3.26% T34
6 AUS Jason Day 19 5% 4.05% 1.37% -2.68% T6
7 USA Brooks Koepka 22 4.35% 3.52% 3.97% 0.45% T49 15.01
8 USA Justin Thomas 23 4.17% 3.37% 2.4% -0.98% T6
9 SWE Henrik Stenson 23 4.17% 3.37% 1.99% -1.38% T17
10 ESP Jon Rahm 31 3.13% 2.53% 1.68% -0.85% T3
11 ENG Paul Casey 36 2.7% 2.19% 1.37% -0.82% 5
12 USA Matt Kuchar 37 2.63% 2.13% 2.07% -0.06% T10 9.09
13 USA Patrick Reed 37 2.63% 2.13% 1.54% -0.6% T20
14 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 47 2.08% 1.69% 1.35% -0.34% T10
15 ENG Justin Rose 59 1.67% 1.35% 1.43% 0.08% T10 5.76
16 AUS Marc Leishman 61 1.61% 1.31% 2.11% 0.8% MC 5.57
17 USA Charley Hoffman 61 1.61% 1.31% 1.62% 0.31% T17 5.57
18 ITA Francesco Molinari 62 1.59% 1.29% 1.07% -0.22% MC
19 USA Daniel Berger 66 1.49% 1.21% 1.33% 0.12% 33 5.16
20 USA Kevin Chappell 68 1.45% 1.17% 0.7% -0.48% T6
21 USA Kevin Kisner 72 1.37% 1.11% 1.29% 0.18% T54 4.73
22 USA Zach Johnson 80 1.23% 1% 1.02% 0.02% MC 4.27
23 USA Gary Woodland 82 1.2% 0.98% 0.56% -0.41% MC
24 USA Tony Finau 84 1.18% 0.95% 1.29% 0.34% T54 4.07
25 USA Ryan Moore 90 1.1% 0.89% 0.78% -0.11% T49
26 USA Jason Dufner 93 1.06% 0.86% 1.44% 0.57% T20 3.68
27 USA Webb Simpson 93 1.06% 0.86% 1.4% 0.54% T6 (tied w/4) 3.68 +18
28 USA Ollie Schniederjans 93 1.06% 0.86% 0.46% -0.41% MC
29 USA Phil Mickelson 100 0.99% 0.8% 1.72% 0.92% T54 3.42
30 RSA Branden Grace 100 0.99% 0.8% 1.04% 0.23% MC 3.42
31 ENG Ian Poulter 102 0.97% 0.79% 1.14% 0.35% 66 3.36
32 USA Brian Harman 105 0.94% 0.76% 1.04% 0.27% MC 3.26
33 USA J.B. Holmes 107 0.93% 0.75% 0.87% 0.12% MC 3.2
34 RSA Charl Schwartzel 108 0.92% 0.74% 1.22% 0.48% T29 3.17
35 USA Bubba Watson 109 0.91% 0.74% 1.52% 0.79% T10 3.14
36 USA Kevin Na 120 0.83% 0.67% 0.49% -0.18% T29
37 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 130 0.76% 0.62% 1.11% 0.49% MC 2.64
38 USA Keegan Bradley 130 0.76% 0.62% 0.89% 0.27% T43 2.64
39 USA Patrick Cantlay 130 0.76% 0.62% 0.83% 0.21% T10 2.64
40 USA Jamie Lovemark 130 0.76% 0.62% 0.71% 0.09% MC 2.64
41 CAN Graham Delaet 150 0.66% 0.54% 0.64% 0.11% WD
42 USA Russell Henley 160 0.62% 0.5% 1.18% 0.68% T25
43 USA Jimmy Walker 160 0.62% 0.5% 0.69% 0.18% MC
44 USA Bud Cauley 160 0.62% 0.5% 0.42% -0.09% MC
45 USA Robert Garrigus 160 0.62% 0.5% 0.37% -0.13% MC
46 KOR Byeong Hun An 180 0.55% 0.45% 0.82% 0.37% MC
47 USA Bill Haas 180 0.55% 0.45% 0.74% 0.29% MC
48 USA Lucas Glover 180 0.55% 0.45% 0.57% 0.12% T40
49 USA James Hahn 180 0.55% 0.45% 0.39% -0.06% MC
50 USA Billy Horschel 190 0.52% 0.42% 1.18% 0.75% MC
51 USA Bryson DeChambeau 190 0.52% 0.42% 1.07% 0.65% MC
52 USA Steve Stricker 190 0.52% 0.42% 1.02% 0.6% MC
53 USA Pat Perez 190 0.52% 0.42% 0.9% 0.47% T34
54 USA Kyle Stanley 190 0.52% 0.42% 0.81% 0.39% T25
55 USA Chez Reavie 190 0.52% 0.42% 0.69% 0.27% T10
56 USA Brendan Steele 190 0.52% 0.42% 0.57% 0.15% MC
57 USA Ben Martin 190 0.52% 0.42% 0.56% 0.13% MC
58 CAN Adam Hadwin 200 0.5% 0.4% 1.06% 0.66% MC
59 SVK Rory Sabbatini 200 0.5% 0.4% 0.44% 0.04% MC
60 USA Jason Kokrak 210 0.47% 0.38% 0.47% 0.09% T25
61 SCO Russell Knox 210 0.47% 0.38% 0.47% 0.09% MC
62 USA Chad Campbell 220 0.45% 0.37% 0.6% 0.23% T67
63 USA Charles Howell III 220 0.45% 0.37% 0.45% 0.08% T62
64 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 220 0.45% 0.37% 0.43% 0.06% T3
65 USA Chris Stroud 220 0.45% 0.37% 0.36% -0.01% MC
66 AUS Cameron Smith 220 0.45% 0.37% 0.34% -0.03% MC
67 SWE David Lingmerth 230 0.43% 0.35% 0.61% 0.26% T29
68 USA Richy Werenski 230 0.43% 0.35% 0.31% -0.04% T49
69 NZL Danny Lee 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.79% 0.47% MC
70 USA Harold Varner III 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.54% 0.21% T20
71 IND Anirban Lahiri 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.49% 0.17% MC
72 USA Martin Flores 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.26% -0.06% T34
73 KOR Sunghoon Kang 260 0.38% 0.31% 0.79% 0.48% MC
74 USA Robert Streb 260 0.38% 0.31% 0.64% 0.33% T10
75 USA Kevin Streelman 260 0.38% 0.31% 0.47% 0.16% MC
76 USA Harris English 270 0.37% 0.3% 0.61% 0.31% MC
77 ARG Emiliano Grillo 270 0.37% 0.3% 0.55% 0.25% T29
78 USA Scott Brown 270 0.37% 0.3% 0.47% 0.17% T25
79 SCO Martin Laird 280 0.36% 0.29% 0.42% 0.13% T20
80 KOR Siwoo Kim 290 0.34% 0.28% 0.64% 0.36% T43
81 USA Patrick Rodgers 290 0.34% 0.28% 0.49% 0.21% MC
82 USA Hudson Swafford 290 0.34% 0.28% 0.49% 0.21% T43
83 USA Morgan Hoffmann 290 0.34% 0.28% 0.43% 0.15% T67
84 USA Patton Kizzire 290 0.34% 0.28% 0.42% 0.14% MC
85 USA Wesley Bryan 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.84% 0.57% T54
86 USA Stewart Cink 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.78% 0.51% MC
87 USA Kevin Tway 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.53% 0.26% T43
88 USA Nick Watney 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.41% 0.14% MC
89 USA J.J Spaun 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.38% 0.11% T54
90 USA Scott Stallings 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.38% 0.11% T43
91 COL Camilo Villegas 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.37% 0.1% T34
92 USA Brandon Hagy 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.35% 0.08% MC
93 USA Jim Herman 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.53% 0.33% MC
94 USA William McGirt 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.53% 0.32% T54
95 USA Brian Gay 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.47% 0.27% MC
96 USA Luke List 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.44% 0.24% T34
97 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.43% 0.23% MC
98 AUS Geoff Ogilvy 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.41% 0.21% T40
99 KOR Seungyul Noh 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.39% 0.19% MC
100 TPE C.T. Pan 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.39% 0.19% T49
101 USA Vaughn Taylor 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.38% 0.18% T43
102 ENG Luke Donald 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.37% 0.16% T49
103 CAN Nick Taylor 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.34% 0.14% MC
104 USA Blayne Barber 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.27% 0.07% MC
105 USA Chris Kirk 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.25% 0.05% T40
106 USA Kelly Kraft 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.4% 0.24% 70
107 USA Mackenzie Hughes 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.39% 0.23% T62
108 USA D.A. Points 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.38% 0.22% T54
109 USA Michael Kim 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.3% 0.14% MC
110 SWE Jonas Blixt 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.28% 0.12% MC
111 USA John Huh 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.26% 0.09% MC
112 USA Ryan Blaum 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.22% 0.06% T62
113 USA Derek Fathauer 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.18% 0.02% MC
114 KOR Meenwhee Kim 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.25% 0.12% T34
115 USA Cody Gribble 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.18% 0.07% MC
116 AUS Rod Pampling 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.18% T54
117 USA Xander Schauffele 0% 0% 1.15% 0% T17
118 USA Sean O'Hair 0% 0% 0.59% 0% 69
119 USA Grayson Murray 0% 0% 0.57% 0% T62
120 USA J.J. Henry 0% 0% 0.41% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...