Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 38.0

Total Profit: -62.1

the Memorial Tournament presented by Nationwide

01/06/2017 - 04/06/2017

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Dustin Johnson 6 14.29% 11.26% 5.22% -6.03% MC
2 ESP Jon Rahm 13 7.14% 5.63% 2.81% -2.82% MC
3 USA Jordan Spieth 13 7.14% 5.63% 2.04% -3.59% T13
4 AUS Jason Day 15 6.25% 4.92% 1.32% -3.61% T15
5 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 18 5.26% 4.15% 1.44% -2.71% T45
6 AUS Adam Scott 25 3.85% 3.03% 1.5% -1.53% T31
7 USA Rickie Fowler 30 3.23% 2.54% 1.95% -0.59% T2
8 USA Matt Kuchar 32 3.03% 2.39% 1.28% -1.11% T4
9 USA Brooks Koepka 38 2.56% 2.02% 1.43% -0.59% T31
10 USA Kevin Kisner 42 2.33% 1.83% 2.02% 0.19% T6 (tied w/4) 8.3 +19.5
11 USA Patrick Reed 44 2.22% 1.75% 1.24% -0.51% T57
12 USA Justin Thomas 45 2.17% 1.71% 1.31% -0.4% T4
13 USA Tony Finau 48 2.04% 1.61% 1.77% 0.17% T40 7.29
14 USA Webb Simpson 59 1.67% 1.31% 1.3% -0.02% T67
15 USA Patrick Cantlay 59 1.67% 1.31% 0.85% -0.46% T35
16 KOR Byeong Hun An 60 1.64% 1.29% 1.14% -0.15% T25
17 USA Kevin Chappell 60 1.64% 1.29% 0.99% -0.3% T52
18 USA Billy Horschel 63 1.56% 1.23% 1.53% 0.29% MC 5.58
19 USA Phil Mickelson 66 1.49% 1.18% 1.72% 0.54% T22 5.33
20 ARG Emiliano Grillo 67 1.47% 1.16% 0.8% -0.35% T40
21 USA Bud Cauley 68 1.45% 1.14% 0.85% -0.3% T25
22 USA Jason Dufner 69 1.43% 1.13% 0.92% -0.21% 1
23 AUS Marc Leishman 71 1.39% 1.09% 1.37% 0.28% T15 4.96
24 RSA Charl Schwartzel 71 1.39% 1.09% 0.83% -0.26% T35
25 USA Brian Harman 79 1.25% 0.98% 1.59% 0.61% MC 4.47
26 USA Bill Haas 83 1.19% 0.94% 1.21% 0.28% T25 4.25
27 USA Steve Stricker 84 1.18% 0.93% 1.42% 0.49% T40 4.2
28 USA Brendan Steele 84 1.18% 0.93% 1.24% 0.32% T57 4.2
29 USA Keegan Bradley 87 1.14% 0.9% 0.8% -0.1% MC
30 USA William McGirt 89 1.11% 0.88% 1.05% 0.18% T67 3.97
31 USA Pat Perez 91 1.09% 0.86% 1.51% 0.65% T19 3.88
32 IRL Shane Lowry 92 1.08% 0.85% 1.06% 0.21% T15 3.84
33 NZL Danny Lee 92 1.08% 0.85% 0.87% 0.03% T49
34 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 97 1.02% 0.8% 1.62% 0.82% MC 3.65
35 CAN Adam Hadwin 97 1.02% 0.8% 1.09% 0.29% MC 3.65
36 USA Ryan Moore 99 1% 0.79% 1.22% 0.43% MC 3.57
37 USA Gary Woodland 99 1% 0.79% 1.02% 0.24% T49 3.57
38 USA Kevin Tway 99 1% 0.79% 0.86% 0.07% MC
39 USA Kyle Stanley 102 0.97% 0.76% 0.77% 0.01% T6
40 USA Charley Hoffman 104 0.95% 0.75% 1.48% 0.73% T45 3.4
41 ENG Ross Fisher 106 0.93% 0.74% 1.22% 0.48% T22 3.34
42 USA Ollie Schniederjans 106 0.93% 0.74% 1.02% 0.29% T71 3.34
43 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 107 0.93% 0.73% 2.04% 1.31% MC 3.31
44 USA Bubba Watson 109 0.91% 0.72% 0.81% 0.09% T6 (tied w/4) 3.25 +18.5
45 USA Scott Piercy 110 0.9% 0.71% 0.66% -0.05% MC
46 USA Zach Johnson 115 0.86% 0.68% 0.78% 0.1% T40 3.08
47 KOR Sunghoon Kang 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.98% 0.33% 75 2.95
48 USA Smylie Kaufman 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.68% 0.03% MC
49 SWE David Lingmerth 120 0.83% 0.65% 0.66% 0.01% T15
50 USA Stewart Cink 130 0.76% 0.6% 1.26% 0.66% T25 2.73
51 USA Lucas Glover 130 0.76% 0.6% 0.56% -0.04% T45
52 CAN Graham Delaet 130 0.76% 0.6% 0.53% -0.07% T10
53 USA Chris Kirk 130 0.76% 0.6% 0.51% -0.09% MC
54 USA Morgan Hoffmann 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.66% 0.14% MC
55 AUS Cameron Smith 150 0.66% 0.52% 0.6% 0.08% T65
56 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.76% 0.27% T71
57 USA Peter Uihlein 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.72% 0.24% T25
58 SCO Russell Knox 160 0.62% 0.49% 0.6% 0.12% T65
59 CAN Nick Taylor 180 0.55% 0.44% 0.63% 0.19% T49
60 USA Jim Furyk 180 0.55% 0.44% 0.47% 0.03% MC
61 USA Kevin Streelman 180 0.55% 0.44% 0.45% 0.02% T13
62 USA Scott Brown 190 0.52% 0.41% 0.56% 0.14% MC
63 USA James Hahn 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.7% 0.3% T6
64 SWE Jonas Blixt 200 0.5% 0.39% 0.51% 0.11% T31
65 SCO Martin Laird 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.75% 0.38% T52
66 USA Hudson Swafford 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.74% 0.36% MC
67 ENG Luke Donald 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.61% 0.23% MC
68 USA Jason Kokrak 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.49% 0.11% T35
69 USA Ben Martin 210 0.47% 0.37% 0.4% 0.02% T35
70 USA Jamie Lovemark 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.47% 0.11% T10
71 USA Patrick Rodgers 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.47% 0.11% T67
72 USA Vaughn Taylor 230 0.43% 0.34% 0.52% 0.18% T73
73 USA Jim Herman 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.77% 0.46% T19
74 AUS Aaron Baddeley 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.61% 0.29% MC
75 USA Billy Hurley III 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.59% 0.28% MC
76 USA Luke List 250 0.4% 0.31% 0.42% 0.1% MC
77 USA Michael Kim 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.55% 0.25% MC
78 USA Brian Stuard 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.53% 0.22% T52
79 USA Daniel Summerhays 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.48% 0.18% T10
80 FIJ Vijay Singh 260 0.38% 0.3% 0.35% 0.05% MC
81 USA Kyle Reifers 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.37% 0.08% MC
82 USA Ricky Barnes 270 0.37% 0.29% 0.37% 0.08% T22
83 USA Sam Saunders 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.44% 0.16% T57
84 USA Kelly Kraft 280 0.36% 0.28% 0.43% 0.15% MC
85 USA Zac Blair 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.81% 0.55% T63
86 IRL Padraig Harrington 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.75% 0.49% T31
87 USA Mackenzie Hughes 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.74% 0.48% T45
88 IND Anirban Lahiri 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.55% 0.28% T2
89 RSA Retief Goosen 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.51% 0.25% MC
90 USA Harold Varner III 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.45% 0.18% T19
91 USA Patton Kizzire 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.41% 0.15% MC
92 CAN David Hearn 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.37% 0.11% MC
93 AUS Curtis Luck 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.32% 0.06% T73
94 COL Camilo Villegas 300 0.33% 0.26% 0.26% 0% T63
95 JPN Yuta Ikeda 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% MC
96 USA Roberto Castro 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.25% 0.05% MC
97 USA Ryan Armour 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.25% 0.09% MC
98 USA Johnson Wagner 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.24% 0.09% MC
99 AUS Rod Pampling 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.46% 0.32% T57
100 USA Hunter Mahan 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.37% 0.24% MC
101 JPN Ryo Ishikawa 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.24% 0.11% MC
102 GER Alex Cejka 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.21% 0.08% T57
103 ARG Fabian Gomez 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.34% 0.24% MC
104 AUS Greg Chalmers 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.29% 0.19% T52
105 SWE Carl Pettersson 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.29% 0.19% MC
106 AUS Matthew Griffin 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.16% 0.05% 76
107 AUS Steven Bowditch 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% MC
108 ZIM Brendon de Jonge 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.19% 0.11% MC
109 USA Matt Every 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.1% MC
110 USA Sean O'Hair 0% 0% 1.29% 0% T52
111 USA J.B. Holmes 0% 0% 0.85% 0% MC
112 USA J.J Spaun 0% 0% 0.74% 0% WD
113 USA D.A. Points 0% 0% 0.6% 0% T57
114 KOR Siwoo Kim 0% 0% 0.59% 0% WD
115 USA Grayson Murray 0% 0% 0.41% 0% T35
116 TPE C.T. Pan 0% 0% 0.38% 0% T40
117 KOR K.J. Choi 0% 0% 0.25% 0% T67
118 AUS Ryan Ruffels 0% 0% 0.15% 0% MC
119 AUS Brett Coletta 0% 0% 0.12% 0% T25
120 ENG Scott Gregory 0% 0% 0.07% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...