Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.7 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 240.6

Total Profit: +140.5

AT&T Byron Nelson

18/05/2017 - 21/05/2017

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Dustin Johnson 4 20% 16.03% 7.59% -8.44% T13
2 USA Jordan Spieth 13 7.14% 5.72% 3.94% -1.78% MC
3 ESP Sergio Garcia 14 6.67% 5.34% 2.7% -2.64% T20
4 USA Brooks Koepka 16 5.88% 4.71% 3.29% -1.43% T50
5 AUS Jason Day 18 5.26% 4.22% 1.73% -2.49% 2
6 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 32 3.03% 2.43% 1.82% -0.6% T18
7 USA Patrick Reed 37 2.63% 2.11% 1.31% -0.8% T20
8 USA Tony Finau 37 2.63% 2.11% 1.2% -0.91% T13
9 USA Charley Hoffman 41 2.38% 1.91% 1.27% -0.64% T40
10 USA Russell Henley 42 2.33% 1.86% 1.53% -0.34% MC
11 USA Bud Cauley 42 2.33% 1.86% 0.82% -1.05% T5
12 USA Jason Dufner 44 2.22% 1.78% 1.87% 0.09% T13 7.85
13 USA Matt Kuchar 44 2.22% 1.78% 1.73% -0.05% T9 7.85
14 USA Brandt Snedeker 46 2.13% 1.71% 1.97% 0.26% MC 7.52
15 RSA Charl Schwartzel 50 1.96% 1.57% 1.53% -0.04% WD 6.93
16 USA Ryan Moore 55 1.79% 1.43% 1.02% -0.41% MC
17 AUS Marc Leishman 56 1.75% 1.41% 1.32% -0.09% T13 6.2
18 USA Ryan Palmer 56 1.75% 1.41% 0.62% -0.79% T27
19 KOR Byeong Hun An 57 1.72% 1.38% 0.82% -0.56% T5
20 USA Kevin Tway 58 1.69% 1.36% 1.06% -0.3% T20 5.99
21 USA Smylie Kaufman 62 1.59% 1.27% 1.09% -0.19% T35 5.61
22 ENG Ian Poulter 62 1.59% 1.27% 1.02% -0.25% T35 5.61
23 USA Ollie Schniederjans 63 1.56% 1.25% 1.05% -0.2% T55 5.52
24 KOR Sunghoon Kang 66 1.49% 1.2% 1.28% 0.09% T20 5.28
25 CAN Graham Delaet 79 1.25% 1% 0.71% -0.29% MC 4.42
26 USA Gary Woodland 83 1.19% 0.95% 0.82% -0.14% T40 4.21
27 KOR Seungyul Noh 97 1.02% 0.82% 0.63% -0.19% MC 3.61
28 USA Hudson Swafford 105 0.94% 0.76% 0.87% 0.12% MC 3.34
29 USA Keegan Bradley 108 0.92% 0.74% 0.91% 0.17% T27 3.25
30 USA Nick Watney 110 0.9% 0.72% 0.67% -0.06% T40 3.19
31 CAN Nick Taylor 120 0.83% 0.66% 0.75% 0.09% T9 2.92
32 USA Billy Hurley III 130 0.76% 0.61% 0.92% 0.3% T50 2.7
33 USA Billy Horschel 130 0.76% 0.61% 0.75% 0.14% 1 2.7 +213.3
34 USA Morgan Hoffmann 130 0.76% 0.61% 0.58% -0.03% T27 2.7
35 NZL Danny Lee 130 0.76% 0.61% 0.5% -0.11% T5 (tied w/4) 2.7 +27.3
36 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 150 0.66% 0.53% 0.96% 0.43% MC
37 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 150 0.66% 0.53% 0.92% 0.39% T35
38 USA Brian Gay 160 0.62% 0.5% 0.83% 0.34% T50
39 USA Zac Blair 160 0.62% 0.5% 0.54% 0.04% T40
40 USA Brandon Hagy 180 0.55% 0.44% 0.79% 0.34% MC
41 USA Chez Reavie 180 0.55% 0.44% 0.73% 0.29% MC
42 IND Anirban Lahiri 180 0.55% 0.44% 0.66% 0.22% MC
43 USA Jamie Lovemark 180 0.55% 0.44% 0.57% 0.13% T18
44 USA John Huh 180 0.55% 0.44% 0.49% 0.05% T40
45 USA Jonathan Randolph 180 0.55% 0.44% 0.44% -0.01% MC
46 USA Robby Shelton 180 0.55% 0.44% 0.31% -0.14% MC
47 USA Michael Kim 190 0.52% 0.42% 0.6% 0.18% T40
48 USA James Hahn 190 0.52% 0.42% 0.58% 0.16% 3
49 USA Kyle Reifers 210 0.47% 0.38% 0.62% 0.24% T20
50 USA Scott Brown 210 0.47% 0.38% 0.48% 0.1% T35
51 NZL Tim Wilkinson 210 0.47% 0.38% 0.44% 0.07% MC
52 USA Bryson DeChambeau 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.82% 0.46% MC
53 USA Michael Thompson 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.59% 0.23% MC
54 AUS Matt Jones 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.5% 0.14% MC
55 USA Scott Piercy 220 0.45% 0.36% 0.46% 0.1% T20
56 USA Boo Weekley 230 0.43% 0.35% 0.61% 0.26% T40
57 USA Robert Garrigus 230 0.43% 0.35% 0.52% 0.17% MC
58 USA Robert Streb 230 0.43% 0.35% 0.5% 0.15% MC
59 ARG Julian Etulain 230 0.43% 0.35% 0.37% 0.02% MC
60 USA Daniel Summerhays 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.54% 0.22% T40
61 USA John Peterson 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.38% 0.07% MC
62 USA Patrick Rodgers 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.36% 0.04% T27
63 USA Ben Crane 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.35% 0.03% MC
64 USA Chad Campbell 260 0.38% 0.31% 0.67% 0.36% T13
65 USA Harris English 260 0.38% 0.31% 0.38% 0.08% MC
66 USA Bryce Molder 270 0.37% 0.3% 0.48% 0.19% MC
67 USA Chris Stroud 270 0.37% 0.3% 0.46% 0.17% MC
68 AUS Cameron Percy 270 0.37% 0.3% 0.44% 0.14% MC
69 USA Jason Kokrak 270 0.37% 0.3% 0.43% 0.14% 4
70 USA Scott Stallings 280 0.36% 0.29% 0.71% 0.43% T20
71 USA Cameron Tringale 280 0.36% 0.29% 0.61% 0.33% T9
72 IRL Seamus Power 280 0.36% 0.29% 0.32% 0.04% T57
73 USA Sam Saunders 280 0.36% 0.29% 0.31% 0.02% MC
74 USA Will Wilcox 280 0.36% 0.29% 0.22% -0.06% T27
75 USA Spencer Levin 290 0.34% 0.28% 0.64% 0.37% T66
76 AUS Geoff Ogilvy 290 0.34% 0.28% 0.48% 0.21% T61
77 USA Dominic Bozzelli 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.88% 0.62% T50
78 USA Tom Hoge 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.61% 0.34% T55
79 USA Ryan Blaum 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.56% 0.29% MC
80 USA Andres Gonzales 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.51% 0.24% MC
81 USA Brian Stuard 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.5% 0.23% MC
82 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.5% 0.23% MC
83 USA Cody Gribble 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.46% 0.19% MC
84 AUS Rod Pampling 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.45% 0.19% T59
85 GER Alex Cejka 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.45% 0.19% MC
86 USA Kelly Kraft 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.36% 0.09% MC
87 USA Ricky Barnes 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.34% 0.07% T59
88 USA Shawn Stefani 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.3% 0.03% DQ
89 USA Will Mackenzie 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.28% 0.02% MC
90 KOR Meenwhee Kim 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.21% -0.05% MC
91 USA Martin Flores 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.51% 0.31% MC
92 USA Mark Anderson 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.46% 0.26% MC
93 ARG Angel Cabrera 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.45% 0.25% MC
94 JPN Ryo Ishikawa 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.38% 0.18% MC
95 SVK Rory Sabbatini 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.38% 0.18% MC
96 USA Tag Ridings 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.37% 0.17% MC
97 USA Trey Mullinax 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.36% 0.16% MC
98 AUS Stuart Appleby 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.34% 0.14% MC
99 USA Hunter Mahan 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.24% 0.04% MC
100 USA Ryan Brehm 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.24% 0.04% T61
101 COL Sebastian Munoz 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.24% 0.04% T50
102 SWE Nicholas Lindheim 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.23% 0.03% T66
103 SWE Carl Pettersson 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.41% 0.25% MC
104 ENG Greg Owen 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.38% 0.22% T61
105 RSA Ernie Els 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.37% 0.21% T35
106 USA Richy Werenski 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.35% 0.19% MC
107 USA Brendon Todd 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.31% 0.15% T70
108 USA Chad Collins 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.28% 0.12% MC
109 CAN Brad Fritsch 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.27% 0.11% MC
110 USA Ryan Armour 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.25% 0.09% T27
111 USA Andrew Loupe 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.24% 0.08% MC
112 USA Steve Wheatcroft 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.18% 0.02% MC
113 USA John Merrick 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.14% -0.02% MC
114 USA Bob Estes 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.36% 0.23% T70
115 USA Ken Duke 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.3% 0.17% T66
116 USA Jason Bohn 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.27% 0.13% T40
117 AUS Brett Drewitt 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.25% 0.12% MC
118 USA Michael Putnam 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.24% 0.11% T40
119 AUS Greg Chalmers 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.58% 0.48% 72
120 USA Peter Malnati 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.36% 0.25% T61
121 NZL Steven Alker 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.29% 0.19% MC
122 USA Charlie Beljan 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.29% 0.18% MC
123 USA Brett Stegmaier 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.27% 0.16% T57
124 AUS Steven Bowditch 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.27% 0.16% MC
125 USA Mark Hubbard 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.19% 0.09% MC
126 ARG Miguel Angel Carballo 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.17% 0.06% MC
127 USA Shane Bertsch 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.1% 0% MC
128 USA Joel Dahmen 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% T9
129 USA Matt Every 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.22% 0.14% MC
130 USA Max Homa 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.19% 0.11% MC
131 USA J.B. Holmes 0% 0% 1.07% 0% MC
132 USA J.J Spaun 0% 0% 0.83% 0% 74
133 USA JT Poston 0% 0% 0.75% 0% MC
134 USA D.A. Points 0% 0% 0.73% 0% 73
135 USA Sean O'Hair 0% 0% 0.57% 0% T5
136 USA Xander Schauffele 0% 0% 0.56% 0% MC
137 USA J.J. Henry 0% 0% 0.55% 0% T27
138 KOR Y.E. Yang 0% 0% 0.48% 0% MC
139 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0.46% 0% MC
140 TPE C.T. Pan 0% 0% 0.42% 0% MC
141 USA Beau Hossler 0% 0% 0.32% 0% T61
142 USA Grayson Murray 0% 0% 0.25% 0% T27
143 USA Brian Campbell 0% 0% 0.21% 0% MC
144 USA Rick Lamb 0% 0% 0.19% 0% MC
145 USA Kramer Hickok 0% 0% 0.11% 0% MC
146 USA Benjamin Polland 0% 0% 0.09% 0% MC
147 USA Austin Smotherman 0% 0% 0.09% 0% MC
148 USA Sean Kelly 0% 0% 0.09% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...