Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 78.2

Total Profit: -21.9

Valero Texas Open

20/04/2017 - 23/04/2017

Up to date as of: 7 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Matt Kuchar 19 5% 4.21% 2.31% -1.9% T40
2 USA Brooks Koepka 23 4.17% 3.51% 2.46% -1.05% 2
3 USA Charley Hoffman 23 4.17% 3.51% 1.58% -1.93% T40
4 USA Ryan Moore 25 3.85% 3.24% 1.81% -1.43% T18
5 USA Jimmy Walker 26 3.7% 3.12% 1.63% -1.49% T13
6 RSA Branden Grace 26 3.7% 3.12% 1.56% -1.56% T10
7 USA Brendan Steele 28 3.45% 2.9% 1.21% -1.69% T62
8 USA Kevin Chappell 28 3.45% 2.9% 0.97% -1.93% 1
9 CAN Adam Hadwin 29 3.33% 2.81% 2.12% -0.69% T72
10 USA Billy Horschel 31 3.13% 2.63% 1.17% -1.46% MC
11 USA Tony Finau 36 2.7% 2.27% 1.15% -1.13% T3
12 USA Ryan Palmer 36 2.7% 2.27% 0.67% -1.6% T6
13 USA Patrick Reed 37 2.63% 2.21% 1.04% -1.17% MC
14 USA Ollie Schniederjans 41 2.38% 2% 1.08% -0.92% T18
15 ENG Luke Donald 45 2.17% 1.83% 0.93% -0.89% MC
16 USA Zach Johnson 46 2.13% 1.79% 1.18% -0.61% MC
17 USA Luke List 47 2.08% 1.75% 1.1% -0.65% MC
18 USA Keegan Bradley 51 1.92% 1.62% 1.97% 0.35% MC 7.23
19 KOR Byeong Hun An 64 1.54% 1.29% 1.34% 0.05% T40 5.79
20 SCO Martin Laird 67 1.47% 1.24% 1.09% -0.15% T18 5.53
21 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 68 1.45% 1.22% 1.46% 0.24% T34 5.45
22 NIR Graeme McDowell 69 1.43% 1.2% 1.39% 0.19% T27 5.37
23 USA Chris Kirk 69 1.43% 1.2% 0.77% -0.44% MC
24 USA Harold Varner III 69 1.43% 1.2% 0.71% -0.49% T40
25 ENG Ian Poulter 71 1.39% 1.17% 1.03% -0.14% MC 5.22
26 KOR Sunghoon Kang 72 1.37% 1.15% 1.34% 0.19% T6 (tied w/4) 5.15 +19.8
27 USA Daniel Summerhays 72 1.37% 1.15% 0.64% -0.52% T58
28 IND Anirban Lahiri 80 1.23% 1.04% 1.04% 0% T72 4.64
29 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 81 1.22% 1.03% 1.66% 0.63% T62 4.59
30 USA Bud Cauley 92 1.08% 0.91% 0.66% -0.24% T10 4.05
31 NZL Danny Lee 100 0.99% 0.83% 0.58% -0.25% MC 3.73
32 USA Jason Kokrak 100 0.99% 0.83% 0.47% -0.37% T67 3.73
33 USA Jamie Lovemark 101 0.98% 0.83% 0.58% -0.25% T40 3.69
34 USA Bryson DeChambeau 103 0.96% 0.81% 0.83% 0.02% MC 3.62
35 USA Scott Piercy 106 0.93% 0.79% 0.83% 0.05% MC 3.52
36 USA Nick Watney 108 0.92% 0.77% 0.83% 0.06% MC 3.45
37 USA Stewart Cink 109 0.91% 0.77% 1.45% 0.68% T22 3.42
38 USA Kevin Streelman 109 0.91% 0.77% 0.65% -0.11% T53 3.42
39 AUS Cameron Smith 116 0.85% 0.72% 1.18% 0.46% T6 (tied w/4) 3.22 +19.5
40 AUS Aaron Baddeley 120 0.83% 0.7% 1.02% 0.32% 5 3.11 +38.9
41 CAN Nick Taylor 120 0.83% 0.7% 0.65% -0.04% T22 3.11
42 USA Sam Saunders 120 0.83% 0.7% 0.63% -0.07% MC 3.11
43 PUR Rafael Campos 120 0.83% 0.7% 0.5% -0.19% MC 3.11
44 USA Chad Campbell 130 0.76% 0.64% 0.65% 0.01% MC 2.87
45 USA John Huh 150 0.66% 0.56% 0.94% 0.38% T22
46 USA Zac Blair 150 0.66% 0.56% 0.58% 0.02% MC
47 CAN David Hearn 150 0.66% 0.56% 0.55% -0.01% MC
48 KOR Seungyul Noh 160 0.62% 0.52% 0.72% 0.2% MC
49 USA Michael Kim 160 0.62% 0.52% 0.62% 0.09% MC
50 USA Michael Thompson 180 0.55% 0.47% 0.91% 0.44% T49
51 AUS Matt Jones 180 0.55% 0.47% 0.9% 0.44% T13
52 USA Billy Hurley III 180 0.55% 0.47% 0.75% 0.28% T37
53 USA Scott Stallings 180 0.55% 0.47% 0.73% 0.27% MC
54 USA John Peterson 180 0.55% 0.47% 0.7% 0.23% MC
55 USA Brandon Hagy 180 0.55% 0.47% 0.52% 0.05% T34
56 ENG Andrew Johnston 180 0.55% 0.47% 0.48% 0.01% T40
57 USA Robert Garrigus 190 0.52% 0.44% 0.61% 0.17% MC
58 USA Cameron Tringale 190 0.52% 0.44% 0.54% 0.1% MC
59 USA Bryce Molder 190 0.52% 0.44% 0.35% -0.09% 57
60 USA Jim Herman 200 0.5% 0.42% 1.07% 0.65% T18
61 USA Brian Gay 200 0.5% 0.42% 0.93% 0.52% T6
62 USA Brian Stuard 200 0.5% 0.42% 0.87% 0.45% MC
63 USA Blayne Barber 200 0.5% 0.42% 0.65% 0.23% T62
64 AUS Curtis Luck 200 0.5% 0.42% 0.46% 0.04% MC
65 NZL Tim Wilkinson 210 0.47% 0.4% 0.65% 0.25% MC
66 USA Mackenzie Hughes 220 0.45% 0.38% 0.75% 0.37% MC
67 USA Robert Streb 220 0.45% 0.38% 0.71% 0.33% MC
68 USA Morgan Hoffmann 220 0.45% 0.38% 0.64% 0.26% MC
69 USA Martin Flores 220 0.45% 0.38% 0.6% 0.21% MC
70 USA Chris Stroud 220 0.45% 0.38% 0.35% -0.03% MC
71 IRL Seamus Power 220 0.45% 0.38% 0.32% -0.06% T58
72 USA Trey Mullinax 220 0.45% 0.38% 0.3% -0.08% MC
73 USA Dominic Bozzelli 230 0.43% 0.36% 0.59% 0.22% T69
74 RSA Retief Goosen 230 0.43% 0.36% 0.52% 0.15% MC
75 USA Will Mackenzie 230 0.43% 0.36% 0.48% 0.11% MC
76 AUS Cameron Percy 230 0.43% 0.36% 0.45% 0.09% T62
77 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 230 0.43% 0.36% 0.45% 0.09% MC
78 AUS Geoff Ogilvy 250 0.4% 0.34% 0.92% 0.58% T27
79 USA Ryan Blaum 250 0.4% 0.34% 0.53% 0.2% MC
80 SVK Rory Sabbatini 250 0.4% 0.34% 0.41% 0.08% MC
81 USA Tom Hoge 250 0.4% 0.34% 0.37% 0.03% T53
82 KOR Meenwhee Kim 260 0.38% 0.32% 0.46% 0.14% MC
83 USA Ben Crane 260 0.38% 0.32% 0.41% 0.09% T40
84 USA Cody Gribble 260 0.38% 0.32% 0.4% 0.08% MC
85 GER Alex Cejka 270 0.37% 0.31% 0.61% 0.3% MC
86 USA Kyle Reifers 270 0.37% 0.31% 0.48% 0.17% T37
87 USA Johnson Wagner 270 0.37% 0.31% 0.43% 0.12% MC
88 ARG Julian Etulain 270 0.37% 0.31% 0.4% 0.09% 75
89 USA Chad Collins 280 0.36% 0.3% 0.51% 0.21% MC
90 USA Will Wilcox 280 0.36% 0.3% 0.23% -0.06% MC
91 JPN Ryo Ishikawa 290 0.34% 0.29% 0.59% 0.3% T72
92 USA Andres Gonzales 290 0.34% 0.29% 0.53% 0.24% T40
93 USA Jason Bohn 290 0.34% 0.29% 0.49% 0.2% MC
94 USA Andrew Loupe 290 0.34% 0.29% 0.48% 0.19% T69
95 USA Ricky Barnes 290 0.34% 0.29% 0.43% 0.15% T67
96 USA Shawn Stefani 290 0.34% 0.29% 0.35% 0.06% T49
97 USA Kelly Kraft 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.71% 0.43% MC
98 AUS John Senden 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.55% 0.27% MC
99 USA Roberto Castro 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.45% 0.17% MC
100 COL Camilo Villegas 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.45% 0.17% T10
101 ARG Angel Cabrera 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.45% 0.17% MC
102 USA Richy Werenski 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.44% 0.16% MC
103 USA Smylie Kaufman 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.39% 0.11% T37
104 USA Ryan Armour 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.36% 0.08% MC
105 USA Ryan Brehm 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.34% 0.06% T34
106 USA Troy Merritt 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.34% 0.06% T49
107 USA Spencer Levin 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.33% 0.05% MC
108 USA Steve Wheatcroft 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.22% -0.06% MC
109 USA Jonathan Randolph 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.22% -0.06% T27
110 USA Peter Malnati 300 0.33% 0.28% 0.21% -0.07% MC
111 USA Jordan Niebrugge 400 0.25% 0.21% 1.01% 0.8% MC
112 ENG Greg Owen 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.61% 0.4% MC
113 USA Hunter Mahan 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.37% 0.16% MC
114 USA Steve Marino 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.36% 0.15% MC
115 USA Kevin Tway 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.33% 0.12% T3
116 USA Mark Anderson 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.28% 0.07% MC
117 USA Robby Shelton 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.25% 0.04% T16
118 CAN Brad Fritsch 400 0.25% 0.21% 0.21% 0% T69
119 AUS Greg Chalmers 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.51% 0.34% MC
120 USA Bob Estes 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.38% 0.22% T27
121 USA Brett Stegmaier 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.34% 0.17% MC
122 SWE Nicholas Lindheim 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.3% 0.14% T27
123 USA Tag Ridings 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.28% 0.11% T40
124 USA Max Homa 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.26% 0.09% MC
125 ARG Miguel Angel Carballo 500 0.2% 0.17% 0.25% 0.08% MC
126 USA Matt Every 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.49% 0.35% MC
127 SWE Carl Pettersson 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.38% 0.24% T16
128 AUS Steven Bowditch 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.34% 0.2% MC
129 USA Ken Duke 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% T58
130 USA Joel Dahmen 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.26% 0.12% MC
131 NZL Steven Alker 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.19% 0.05% 76
132 AUS Brett Drewitt 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.17% 0.06% MC
133 COL Sebastian Munoz 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.1% T27
134 USA J.J Spaun 0% 0% 1.36% 0% T49
135 USA JT Poston 0% 0% 0.73% 0% T27
136 USA Xander Schauffele 0% 0% 0.67% 0% MC
137 TPE C.T. Pan 0% 0% 0.62% 0% MC
138 KOR K.J. Choi 0% 0% 0.61% 0% MC
139 USA D.A. Points 0% 0% 0.59% 0% MC
140 USA J.J. Henry 0% 0% 0.52% 0% T22
141 KOR Siwoo Kim 0% 0% 0.52% 0% T22
142 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0.39% 0% T13
143 USA Beau Hossler 0% 0% 0.34% 0% MC
144 USA Rick Lamb 0% 0% 0.23% 0% MC
145 USA Brian Campbell 0% 0% 0.18% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...