Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 24.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 80.8

Total Profit: -19.3



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NIR Rory McIlroy 7 12.5% 9.27% 3.43% -5.84% T30
2 USA Dustin Johnson 8 11.11% 8.24% 3.73% -4.51% 1
3 USA Jordan Spieth 9 10% 7.41% 3.9% -3.51% T30
4 AUS Jason Day 12 7.69% 5.7% 2.31% -3.39% 58
5 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 20 4.76% 3.53% 3.98% 0.45% T51
6 USA Justin Thomas 25 3.85% 2.85% 3.08% 0.23% T39 11.75
7 ESP Jon Rahm 25 3.85% 2.85% 2.7% -0.15% 2
8 ESP Sergio Garcia 30 3.23% 2.39% 2.94% 0.55% T30 9.85
9 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 30 3.23% 2.39% 2.03% -0.37% T17
10 ENG Paul Casey 30 3.23% 2.39% 1.64% -0.76% T9
11 USA Phil Mickelson 30 3.23% 2.39% 1.45% -0.94% T5
12 USA Patrick Reed 30 3.23% 2.39% 0.85% -1.54% T51
13 USA Brandt Snedeker 40 2.44% 1.81% 1.91% 0.1% T17
14 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 40 2.44% 1.81% 1.69% -0.11% T17
15 USA Matt Kuchar 40 2.44% 1.81% 1.65% -0.16% T30
16 BEL Thomas Pieters 40 2.44% 1.81% 0.87% -0.94% T30
17 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 50 1.96% 1.45% 4.02% 2.57% T39 5.99
18 ITA Francesco Molinari 50 1.96% 1.45% 2.3% 0.84% 58 5.99
19 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 50 1.96% 1.45% 1.57% 0.12% T17
20 USA Kevin Kisner 50 1.96% 1.45% 1.23% -0.22% T17
21 GER Martin Kaymer 60 1.64% 1.22% 2.32% 1.1% T17 5.01
22 USA Gary Woodland 60 1.64% 1.22% 2.27% 1.05% 39 5.01
23 USA Bubba Watson 60 1.64% 1.22% 2.16% 0.95% T9 5.01
24 USA Bill Haas 60 1.64% 1.22% 1.8% 0.58% 3 5.01 +32.6
25 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 60 1.64% 1.22% 1.74% 0.53% T17 5.01
26 SWE Alexander Noren 60 1.64% 1.22% 1.67% 0.46% T5 (tied w/4) 5.01 +24.4
27 AUS Marc Leishman 60 1.64% 1.22% 1.38% 0.17% T9
28 RSA Branden Grace 60 1.64% 1.22% 1.31% 0.1% T39
29 USA J.B. Holmes 60 1.64% 1.22% 1.28% 0.06% T51
30 RSA Charl Schwartzel 60 1.64% 1.22% 1.15% -0.07% T17
31 USA Ryan Moore 60 1.64% 1.22% 1.08% -0.13% T30
32 USA Daniel Berger 60 1.64% 1.22% 1.07% -0.14% T39
33 ARG Emiliano Grillo 60 1.64% 1.22% 1.05% -0.16% T51
34 SCO Russell Knox 60 1.64% 1.22% 1.04% -0.18% T39
35 USA Jimmy Walker 60 1.64% 1.22% 1.02% -0.2% T39
36 USA Brooks Koepka 80 1.23% 0.92% 1.41% 0.49% T9 3.77
37 USA Zach Johnson 80 1.23% 0.92% 1.06% 0.15% T9
38 ENG Danny Willett 80 1.23% 0.92% 1.01% 0.09% T39
39 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 100 0.99% 0.73% 1.5% 0.77% T17 3.03
40 USA Pat Perez 100 0.99% 0.73% 1.48% 0.75% T17 3.03
41 ENG Ross Fisher 100 0.99% 0.73% 1.32% 0.59% T5 (tied w/4) 3.03 +23.9
42 USA Brendan Steele 100 0.99% 0.73% 1.32% 0.59% T30 3.03
43 USA Charles Howell III 100 0.99% 0.73% 1.21% 0.48% T9 3.03
44 ENG Lee Westwood 100 0.99% 0.73% 1.18% 0.45% T17 3.03
45 USA Jason Dufner 100 0.99% 0.73% 1.17% 0.44% T51 3.03
46 USA Kevin Na 100 0.99% 0.73% 1.15% 0.41% T9 3.03
47 IRL Shane Lowry 100 0.99% 0.73% 1.02% 0.28% T51 3.03
48 KOR Byeong Hun An 100 0.99% 0.73% 0.98% 0.24% T58 3.03
49 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 125 0.79% 0.59% 1.04% 0.45% T17 2.43
50 USA Scott Piercy 125 0.79% 0.59% 0.78% 0.19% T58
51 ENG Andy Sullivan 125 0.79% 0.59% 0.69% 0.11% T58
52 USA Jim Furyk 150 0.66% 0.49% 1.37% 0.88% T30
53 USA Webb Simpson 150 0.66% 0.49% 1.14% 0.65% T58
54 ENG Chris Wood 150 0.66% 0.49% 1.13% 0.64% T39
55 THA Thongchai Jaidee 150 0.66% 0.49% 1.06% 0.57% T39
56 KOR Jeunghun Wang 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.94% 0.45% T58
57 NED Joost Luiten 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.79% 0.3% T39
58 USA Kevin Chappell 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.49% 0% T39
59 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 200 0.5% 0.37% 1.18% 0.81% T5
60 USA William McGirt 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.8% 0.43% T9
61 JPN Yuta Ikeda 250 0.4% 0.3% 1.33% 1.04% T51
62 JPN Hideto Tanihara 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.73% 0.44% 4
63 KOR Siwoo Kim 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.43% 0.13% T30
64 KOR K.T. Kim 0% 0% 0.66% 0% T17

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...