Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.9 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 120.8

Total Profit: +20.7

John Deere Classic

11/08/2016 - 14/08/2016

Up to date as of: 7 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Zach Johnson 7 12.5% 11.15% 3.12% -8.03% T34
2 USA Steve Stricker 13 7.14% 6.37% 2.66% -3.71% T52
3 ESP Jon Rahm 16 5.88% 5.25% 1.57% -3.68% T14
4 USA Daniel Summerhays 22 4.35% 3.88% 1.73% -2.15% MC
5 USA Kevin Na 23 4.17% 3.72% 1.72% -2% T8
6 USA Ryan Moore 26 3.7% 3.3% 1.51% -1.8% 1
7 USA Gary Woodland 27 3.57% 3.19% 2.22% -0.96% MC
8 USA Robert Streb 37 2.63% 2.35% 0.98% -1.37% MC
9 USA Keegan Bradley 44 2.22% 1.98% 1.98% 0% T22 8.65
10 USA Jerry Kelly 44 2.22% 1.98% 1.71% -0.27% MC
11 USA Brian Harman 45 2.17% 1.94% 1.27% -0.67% MC
12 USA Patrick Rodgers 46 2.13% 1.9% 1.15% -0.75% T27
13 USA Wesley Bryan 46 2.13% 1.9% 0.5% -1.39% T8
14 USA Robert Garrigus 49 2% 1.78% 1.53% -0.25% T22 7.79
15 AUS John Senden 64 1.54% 1.37% 1.26% -0.11% MC 5.99
16 AUS Matt Jones 70 1.41% 1.26% 0.87% -0.38% T27
17 USA Hudson Swafford 80 1.23% 1.1% 0.84% -0.26% T47 4.81
18 USA Scott Brown 81 1.22% 1.09% 0.73% -0.36% T16
19 USA Spencer Levin 82 1.2% 1.07% 0.98% -0.09% MC 4.69
20 RSA Retief Goosen 90 1.1% 0.98% 1.29% 0.31% MC 4.28
21 CAN Adam Hadwin 91 1.09% 0.97% 1.07% 0.1% T8 4.24
22 USA Shawn Stefani 91 1.09% 0.97% 0.92% -0.05% T40 4.24
23 USA Jamie Lovemark 93 1.06% 0.95% 1.07% 0.12% T34 4.15
24 USA Chris Stroud 93 1.06% 0.95% 1.01% 0.06% MC 4.15
25 USA Boo Weekley 93 1.06% 0.95% 0.88% -0.07% T47 4.15
26 USA Steve Wheatcroft 97 1.02% 0.91% 0.69% -0.22% T27 3.98
27 USA Billy Hurley III 113 0.88% 0.78% 1.36% 0.57% T34 3.42
28 USA Michael Thompson 113 0.88% 0.78% 0.84% 0.06% MC 3.42
29 USA Vaughn Taylor 114 0.87% 0.78% 0.89% 0.11% MC 3.39
30 USA Ricky Barnes 115 0.86% 0.77% 1.02% 0.25% T5 (tied w/3) 3.36 +40.3
31 KOR Seungyul Noh 115 0.86% 0.77% 0.74% -0.03% WD 3.36
32 USA Ben Martin 120 0.83% 0.74% 0.95% 0.21% 2 3.22 +40.3
33 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 120 0.83% 0.74% 0.81% 0.07% MC 3.22
34 USA Johnson Wagner 120 0.83% 0.74% 0.67% -0.07% T5 (tied w/3) 3.22 +40.3
35 USA Jason Bohn 120 0.83% 0.74% 0.51% -0.23% T56 3.22
36 USA Luke Guthrie 120 0.83% 0.74% 0.5% -0.24% MC 3.22
37 USA Luke List 130 0.76% 0.68% 1.13% 0.45% T56 2.98
38 AUS Geoff Ogilvy 130 0.76% 0.68% 0.75% 0.07% T16 2.98
39 AUS Rhein Gibson 150 0.66% 0.59% 0.66% 0.07% MC
40 USA Michael Kim 160 0.62% 0.55% 1.23% 0.67% T47
41 USA Blayne Barber 160 0.62% 0.55% 0.85% 0.3% T40
42 USA Bud Cauley 160 0.62% 0.55% 0.82% 0.27% T8
43 ZIM Brendon de Jonge 160 0.62% 0.55% 0.57% 0.02% MC
44 USA Derek Fathauer 180 0.55% 0.49% 0.66% 0.17% WD
45 USA Mark Hubbard 180 0.55% 0.49% 0.56% 0.07% MC
46 USA Troy Merritt 190 0.52% 0.47% 1.51% 1.04% T56
47 AUS Stuart Appleby 190 0.52% 0.47% 0.96% 0.49% T40
48 USA Andres Gonzales 190 0.52% 0.47% 0.78% 0.31% T64
49 USA Sam Saunders 190 0.52% 0.47% 0.62% 0.15% WD
50 MEX Carlos Ortiz 190 0.52% 0.47% 0.48% 0.02% MC
51 SWE Henrik Norlander 190 0.52% 0.47% 0.46% 0% T27
52 AUS Cameron Smith 200 0.5% 0.44% 0.77% 0.33% T22
53 USA Kyle Stanley 200 0.5% 0.44% 0.72% 0.28% T22
54 CAN Nick Taylor 200 0.5% 0.44% 0.65% 0.21% MC
55 USA Scott Stallings 200 0.5% 0.44% 0.57% 0.12% T16
56 RSA Thomas Aiken 200 0.5% 0.44% 0.51% 0.06% MC
57 AUS Cameron Percy 200 0.5% 0.44% 0.49% 0.04% MC
58 USA Morgan Hoffmann 200 0.5% 0.44% 0.48% 0.04% T3
59 USA Scott Pinckney 200 0.5% 0.44% 0.4% -0.04% T52
60 USA Alex Prugh 200 0.5% 0.44% 0.3% -0.14% T52
61 USA Chesson Hadley 210 0.47% 0.42% 0.85% 0.42% MC
62 USA Will Mackenzie 210 0.47% 0.42% 0.64% 0.22% T56
63 USA Hunter Mahan 210 0.47% 0.42% 0.58% 0.15% MC
64 USA John Huh 220 0.45% 0.4% 0.47% 0.07% T64
65 USA Eric Axley 220 0.45% 0.4% 0.4% -0.01% MC
66 COL Camilo Villegas 230 0.43% 0.39% 0.6% 0.22% MC
67 USA Stewart Cink 250 0.4% 0.36% 0.73% 0.38% T40
68 NZL Tim Wilkinson 250 0.4% 0.36% 0.57% 0.21% MC
69 USA Andrew Loupe 250 0.4% 0.36% 0.51% 0.15% T16
70 USA Wes Roach 250 0.4% 0.36% 0.48% 0.13% MC
71 ARG Andres Romero 250 0.4% 0.36% 0.42% 0.06% T67
72 USA Steve Marino 260 0.38% 0.34% 0.54% 0.2% T8
73 USA Zac Blair 260 0.38% 0.34% 0.49% 0.15% T56
74 USA Tom Gillis 260 0.38% 0.34% 0.12% -0.22% T34
75 KOR Sunghoon Kang 270 0.37% 0.33% 0.85% 0.52% T14
76 USA Tom Hoge 270 0.37% 0.33% 0.62% 0.29% MC
77 USA Chad Collins 270 0.37% 0.33% 0.47% 0.14% MC
78 KOR Meenwhee Kim 280 0.36% 0.32% 0.68% 0.36% T3
79 USA Mark Wilson 280 0.36% 0.32% 0.66% 0.35% T64
80 USA Jordan Niebrugge 280 0.36% 0.32% 0.32% 0% MC
81 USA Ken Duke 290 0.34% 0.31% 0.66% 0.36% MC
82 AUS Rod Pampling 290 0.34% 0.31% 0.63% 0.33% 73
83 USA John Merrick 290 0.34% 0.31% 0.62% 0.31% MC
84 USA Bronson Burgoon 290 0.34% 0.31% 0.52% 0.21% T47
85 ARG Angel Cabrera 300 0.33% 0.3% 1.02% 0.72% T40
86 USA Kelly Kraft 300 0.33% 0.3% 0.64% 0.34% T5
87 USA Andrew Landry 300 0.33% 0.3% 0.59% 0.29% T8
88 USA Rob Oppenheim 300 0.33% 0.3% 0.58% 0.29% T70
89 USA Martin Piller 300 0.33% 0.3% 0.57% 0.28% MC
90 USA Brian Gay 300 0.33% 0.3% 0.53% 0.24% MC
91 JPN Hiroshi Iwata 300 0.33% 0.3% 0.52% 0.22% T56
92 USA Jason Gore 300 0.33% 0.3% 0.51% 0.21% MC
93 SVK Rory Sabbatini 300 0.33% 0.3% 0.44% 0.14% T62
94 USA Tyler Aldridge 300 0.33% 0.3% 0.43% 0.13% T67
95 USA Matt Every 300 0.33% 0.3% 0.38% 0.08% MC
96 ENG Greg Owen 300 0.33% 0.3% 0.35% 0.05% MC
97 USA Scott Langley 300 0.33% 0.3% 0.33% 0.03% T40
98 ARG Miguel Angel Carballo 300 0.33% 0.3% 0.31% 0.01% T16
99 USA Robby Shelton 300 0.33% 0.3% 0.26% -0.04% T27
100 USA Derek Ernst 400 0.25% 0.22% 0.74% 0.52% T34
101 RSA Dawie van der Walt 400 0.25% 0.22% 0.67% 0.44% T34
102 USA Tim Herron 400 0.25% 0.22% 0.49% 0.26% T62
103 USA John Rollins 400 0.25% 0.22% 0.35% 0.13% MC
104 USA Peter Malnati 400 0.25% 0.22% 0.3% 0.08% T27
105 AUS Steven Bowditch 500 0.2% 0.18% 0.65% 0.47% MC
106 MEX Abraham Ancer 500 0.2% 0.18% 0.55% 0.37% T27
107 USA Troy Matteson 500 0.2% 0.18% 0.45% 0.28% MC
108 USA Brice Garnett 500 0.2% 0.18% 0.42% 0.24% MC
109 IND Arjun Atwal 500 0.2% 0.18% 0.39% 0.22% MC
110 USA Brendon Todd 500 0.2% 0.18% 0.29% 0.11% MC
111 BRA Lucas Lee 500 0.2% 0.18% 0.23% 0.05% MC
112 USA Darron Stiles 500 0.2% 0.18% 0.21% 0.04% MC
113 USA Tim Petrovic 750 0.13% 0.12% 0.62% 0.5% MC
114 USA Dicky Pride 750 0.13% 0.12% 0.38% 0.26% T52
115 USA Cameron Beckman 750 0.13% 0.12% 0.36% 0.24% MC
116 KOR Charlie Wi 750 0.13% 0.12% 0.33% 0.21% MC
117 USA Matt Weibring 750 0.13% 0.12% 0.29% 0.17% MC
118 SWE Daniel Chopra 750 0.13% 0.12% 0.29% 0.17% MC
119 AUS Jarrod Lyle 750 0.13% 0.12% 0.29% 0.17% MC
120 AUS Mark Hensby 750 0.13% 0.12% 0.23% 0.11% MC
121 USA Craig Barlow 750 0.13% 0.12% 0.23% 0.11% MC
122 USA Chris Smith 750 0.13% 0.12% 0.15% 0.03% MC
123 USA Heath Slocum 1000 0.1% 0.09% 0.56% 0.47% MC
124 SUI Robert Coles 1000 0.1% 0.09% 0.43% 0.34% MC
125 USA Matt Bettencourt 1000 0.1% 0.09% 0.33% 0.24% MC
126 AUS Robert Allenby 1000 0.1% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% MC
127 USA Ben Curtis 1000 0.1% 0.09% 0.28% 0.2% T47
128 CAN Mike Weir 1000 0.1% 0.09% 0.27% 0.18% WD
129 RSA Trevor Immelman 1000 0.1% 0.09% 0.25% 0.17% MC
130 USA Sean O'Hair 0% 0% 1.02% 0% MC
131 USA Michael Johnson 0% 0% 0.66% 0% MC
132 USA Parker McLachlin 0% 0% 0.65% 0% MC
133 USA D.A. Points 0% 0% 0.59% 0% MC
134 USA J.J. Henry 0% 0% 0.56% 0% MC
135 USA George McNeill 0% 0% 0.56% 0% MC
136 USA Richard H. Lee 0% 0% 0.48% 0% MC
137 USA Lee McCoy 0% 0% 0.43% 0% MC
138 KOR Donghwan Lee 0% 0% 0.41% 0% T70
139 USA Joey Garber 0% 0% 0.41% 0% 72
140 USA Steven Ihm 0% 0% 0.37% 0% MC
141 USA D.J. Trahan 0% 0% 0.33% 0% MC
142 CAN Austin Connelly 0% 0% 0.32% 0% MC
143 USA Aaron Wise 0% 0% 0.28% 0% T16
144 USA Charlie Danielson 0% 0% 0.22% 0% T22

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...