Turkish Airlines Open 2026 - Betting Preview, Odds and Result
See what we tipped for the Turkish Airlines Open
Below you can see our model's numbers in full for the top three in the market. Members see them for every player, plus the bets we actually advised, the stake for each one, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms - in their inbox every Tuesday morning.
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Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.
Turkish Airlines Open 2026 at a glance
The market, read in numbers
The bookmakers made David Puig favourite for the Turkish Airlines Open at 11/1. That is an implied 8.3% before the margin comes out, and 5.9% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number no player is anywhere near a standout, and the market is wide open, with Angel Ayora next in at 14/1.
The five shortest players in the market share 21.7% of the win chance between them, which leaves 78.3% spread across the other 148 priced players. That is an unusually flat market. When no small group of players dominates, a model that prices the whole field has more room to disagree with the bookmakers. 110 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.
Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 39.8%, or 21.8% once the each-way terms are valued properly. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is Bet365 at 36.8% (5 @ 1/4), so taking the best price player by player is worth -3 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.
Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.
Turkish Airlines Open 2026 odds
Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.
| # | Player | Odds | ImpliedImpl. | NormalisedNorm. | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
David Puig
|
11/1 | 8.3% | 5.9% | 18th |
| 2 |
Angel Ayora
|
14/1 | 6.7% | 4.7% | 18th |
| 3 |
Jayden Trey Schaper
|
16/1 | 5.9% | 4.1% | 100th |
| 4 |
Daniel Hillier
|
18/1 | 5.3% | 3.7% | 111th |
| 5 |
Tom McKibbin
|
20/1 | 4.8% | 3.3% | 112th |
| 6 |
Hennie Du Plessis
|
22/1 | 4.3% | 3.1% | 120th |
| 7 |
Oliver Lindell
|
30/1 | 3.2% | 2.3% | 43rd |
| 8 |
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.1% | 18th |
| 9 |
Martin Couvra
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 43rd |
| 10 |
Jacob Skov Olesen
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 4th |
| 11 |
Nathan Kimsey
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.5% | 29th |
| 12 |
Mikael Lindberg
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1st |
| 13 |
Ewen Ferguson
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.5% | 4th |
| 14 |
Francesco Molinari
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 113th |
| 15 |
Jorge Campillo
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 91st |
| 16 |
Julien Guerrier
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 53rd |
| 17 |
Antoine Rozner
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 29th |
| 18 |
Jesper Svensson
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 65th |
| 19 |
Ding Wenyi
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 13th |
| 20 |
Adrian Otaegui
|
55/1 | 1.8% | 1.3% | 76th |
Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.
How the Turkish Airlines Open 2026 finished
Mikael Lundberg won the Turkish Airlines Open. The favourite, David Puig, finished 18th.
| Pos | Player | Starting odds | Implied chanceImpl. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Mikael Lundberg
|
- | - |
| 1 |
Mikael Lindberg
|
45/1 | 2.2% |
| 2 |
Guido Migliozzi
|
125/1 | 0.8% |
| 2 |
Daniel Da Costa Rodrigues
|
125/1 | 0.8% |
| 4 |
Darius Van Driel
|
90/1 | 1.1% |
| 4 |
Ewen Ferguson
|
45/1 | 2.2% |
| 4 |
Jacob Skov Olesen
|
40/1 | 2.4% |
| 7 |
Ricardo Gouveia
|
250/1 | 0.4% |
| 7 |
Gregorio De Leo
|
150/1 | 0.7% |
| 8 |
Alessandro Napoleoni
|
- | - |
| 9 |
JC Ritchie
|
90/1 | 1.1% |
| 9 |
Marcus Armitage
|
70/1 | 1.4% |
| 9 |
Ugo Coussaud
|
66/1 | 1.5% |
| 9 |
Kota Yuta Kaneko
|
70/1 | 1.4% |
Our model's numbers for the Turkish Airlines Open
The top of the market, with our model's win probability (Predicted) and how far it disagrees with the bookmakers (Discrepancy). The first three rows are shown in full so you can see exactly what the model produces. Odds and implied probabilities are public - the two green columns are ours.
Bookmaker margins and each-way terms
What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 55% | 36.8% |
| 2 | Boyle Sports | 6 @ 1/5 | 52.2% | 36.8% |
| 3 | Betfred | 5 @ 1/4 | 55.3% | 37% |
| 4 | PricedUp | 6 @ 1/5 | 54.2% | 38.6% |
| 5 | BresBet | 6 @ 1/5 | 54.2% | 38.6% |
| 6 | Star Sports | 6 @ 1/5 | 54.7% | 39.1% |
| 7 | Ladbrokes | 7 @ 1/5 | 69.8% | 40.1% |
| 8 | Coral | 7 @ 1/5 | 69.8% | 40.1% |
| 9 | Skybet | 8 @ 1/5 | 84.9% | 41% |
| 10 | Paddy Power | 8 @ 1/5 | 84.9% | 41% |
| 11 | BetVictor | 5 @ 1/4 | 60.7% | 41.8% |
| 12 | Spreadex | 6 @ 1/5 | 58.5% | 42.5% |
| 13 | Sporting Index | 6 @ 1/5 | 58.5% | 42.5% |
| 14 | William Hill | 5 @ 1/4 | 64.8% | 45.4% |
| 15 | 888Sport | 5 @ 1/4 | 65% | 45.6% |
| 16 | BetMGM UK | 6 @ 1/5 | 63.3% | 46.8% |
| 17 | Virgin Bet | 6 @ 1/5 | 63.3% | 46.8% |
| 18 | QuinnBet | 6 @ 1/5 | 66.3% | 49.5% |
| 19 | Betway | 5 @ 1/4 | 71.7% | 51.5% |
Turkish Airlines Open 2026 betting FAQ
Who was favourite for the Turkish Airlines Open 2026?
David Puig was the outright favourite at 11/1, which is an implied chance of 8.3% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 5.9% after. Angel Ayora was next in the market at 14/1.
Who won the Turkish Airlines Open 2026?
Mikael Lundberg won the Turkish Airlines Open 2026.
When was the Turkish Airlines Open 2026 played?
The Turkish Airlines Open started on Thursday 30 April 2026 and finished on Sunday 3 May 2026. It is a DP World Tour event.
How big was the Turkish Airlines Open field?
164 players were in the field, 153 of them priced by the bookmakers. 110 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.
What margin do the bookmakers take on the Turkish Airlines Open?
Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 39.8%, against 36.8% at Bet365, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.
Where can I get Turkish Airlines Open betting tips?
GolfForecast publishes its Turkish Airlines Open picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. The 30-day trial is free.
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