Soudal Open 2026 - Betting Preview, Odds and Result
See what we tipped for the Soudal Open
Below you can see our model's numbers in full for the top three in the market. Members see them for every player, plus the bets we actually advised, the stake for each one, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms - in their inbox every Tuesday morning.
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Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.
Soudal Open 2026 at a glance
The market, read in numbers
The bookmakers made Thomas Detry favourite for the Soudal Open at 12/1. That is an implied 7.7% before the margin comes out, and 5.4% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number no player is anywhere near a standout, and the market is wide open, with Daniel Hillier next in at 16/1.
The five shortest players in the market share 18.5% of the win chance between them, which leaves 81.5% spread across the other 150 priced players. That is an unusually flat market. When no small group of players dominates, a model that prices the whole field has more room to disagree with the bookmakers. 106 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.
Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 41.2%, or 24.3% once the each-way terms are valued properly. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is BresBet at 35.6% (5 @ 1/4), so taking the best price player by player is worth -5.6 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.
Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.
Soudal Open 2026 odds
Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.
| # | Player | Odds | ImpliedImpl. | NormalisedNorm. | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Thomas Detry
|
12/1 | 7.7% | 5.4% | 53rd |
| 2 |
Daniel Hillier
|
16/1 | 5.9% | 4.2% | 131st |
| 3 |
Jayden Trey Schaper
|
22/1 | 4.3% | 3.1% | 24th |
| 4 |
Jose Luis Ballester
|
22/1 | 4.3% | 3.1% | 103rd |
| 5 |
Oliver Lindell
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 2.7% | 30th |
| 6 |
Ewen Ferguson
|
28/1 | 3.4% | 2.4% | 80th |
| 7 |
Hennie Du Plessis
|
28/1 | 3.4% | 2.4% | 63rd |
| 8 |
Victor Perez
|
30/1 | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2nd |
| 9 |
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
|
30/1 | 3.2% | 2.3% | 22nd |
| 10 |
Casey Jarvis
|
30/1 | 3.2% | 2.3% | 22nd |
| 11 |
Mikael Lindberg
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.1% | 17th |
| 12 |
Matthew Jordan
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 135th |
| 13 |
Nathan Kimsey
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.5% | 8th |
| 14 |
Ugo Coussaud
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.5% | 95th |
| 15 |
Martin Couvra
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.5% | 24th |
| 16 |
Nacho Elvira
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 150th |
| 17 |
JC Ritchie
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 101st |
| 18 |
Calum Hill
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 59th |
| 19 |
Caleb Surratt
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 70th |
| 20 |
Eddie Pepperell
|
55/1 | 1.8% | 1.3% | 24th |
Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.
How the Soudal Open 2026 finished
Richard Sterne won the Soudal Open, having started the week at 350/1 - an implied 0.3% chance. The favourite, Thomas Detry, finished 53rd.
| Pos | Player | Starting odds | Implied chanceImpl. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Richard Sterne
|
350/1 | 0.3% |
| 2 |
Jorge Campillo
|
60/1 | 1.6% |
| 2 |
Marcus Armitage
|
80/1 | 1.2% |
| 2 |
Marcus Kinhult
|
175/1 | 0.6% |
| 2 |
Victor Perez
|
30/1 | 3.2% |
| 2 |
Kota Yuta Kaneko
|
66/1 | 1.5% |
| 2 |
Jacob Skov Olesen
|
55/1 | 1.8% |
| 8 |
Nathan Kimsey
|
45/1 | 2.2% |
| 8 |
Zander Lombard
|
200/1 | 0.5% |
| 8 |
MJ Daffue
|
125/1 | 0.8% |
| 8 |
Alessandro Napoleoni
|
- | - |
| 8 |
Ben Schmidt
|
110/1 | 0.9% |
| 8 |
Gregorio De Leo
|
125/1 | 0.8% |
Our model's numbers for the Soudal Open
The top of the market, with our model's win probability (Predicted) and how far it disagrees with the bookmakers (Discrepancy). The first three rows are shown in full so you can see exactly what the model produces. Odds and implied probabilities are public - the two green columns are ours.
Bookmaker margins and each-way terms
What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BresBet | 5 @ 1/4 | 53.8% | 35.6% |
| 2 | Boyle Sports | 5 @ 1/4 | 54.6% | 36.4% |
| 3 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 56.3% | 37.9% |
| 4 | Ladbrokes | 7 @ 1/5 | 70.1% | 40.3% |
| 5 | Coral | 7 @ 1/5 | 70.1% | 40.3% |
| 6 | Spreadex | 6 @ 1/5 | 58% | 42.1% |
| 7 | Sporting Index | 6 @ 1/5 | 58% | 42.1% |
| 8 | BetMGM UK | 6 @ 1/5 | 63.1% | 46.7% |
| 9 | Virgin Bet | 6 @ 1/5 | 63.1% | 46.7% |
| 10 | BetVictor | 5 @ 1/4 | 68% | 48.2% |
| 11 | Star Sports | 6 @ 1/5 | 66.3% | 49.5% |
| 12 | William Hill | 5 @ 1/4 | 70.4% | 50.3% |
| 13 | 888Sport | 5 @ 1/4 | 70.4% | 50.3% |
| 14 | Betway | 6 @ 1/5 | 72.9% | 55.4% |
| 15 | Skybet | 5 @ 1/4 | 80.4% | 59.2% |
| 16 | Paddy Power | 5 @ 1/4 | 80.4% | 59.2% |
| 17 | QuinnBet | 1 @ 1/1 | 62.9% | 62.9% |
| 18 | Unibet | 1 @ 1/1 | 63.2% | 63.2% |
Soudal Open 2026 betting FAQ
Who was favourite for the Soudal Open 2026?
Thomas Detry was the outright favourite at 12/1, which is an implied chance of 7.7% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 5.4% after. Daniel Hillier was next in the market at 16/1.
Who won the Soudal Open 2026?
Richard Sterne won the Soudal Open 2026, starting the week at 350/1.
When was the Soudal Open 2026 played?
The Soudal Open started on Thursday 21 May 2026 and finished on Sunday 24 May 2026. It is a DP World Tour event.
How big was the Soudal Open field?
161 players were in the field, 155 of them priced by the bookmakers. 106 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.
What margin do the bookmakers take on the Soudal Open?
Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 41.2%, against 35.6% at BresBet, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.
Where can I get Soudal Open betting tips?
GolfForecast publishes its Soudal Open picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. The 30-day trial is free.
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