Nedbank Golf Challenge 2025 - Betting Preview, Odds and Result
See what we tipped for the Nedbank Golf Challenge
Below you can see our model's numbers in full for the top three in the market. Members see them for every player, plus the bets we actually advised, the stake for each one, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms - in their inbox every Tuesday morning.
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Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.
Nedbank Golf Challenge 2025 at a glance
The market, read in numbers
The bookmakers made Viktor Hovland favourite for the Nedbank Golf Challenge at 6/1. That is an implied 14.3% before the margin comes out, and 12.3% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number the market has a clear favourite, with Garrick Higgo next in at 14/1.
The five shortest players in the market share 30.0% of the win chance between them, which leaves 70.0% spread across the other 58 priced players. That is a fairly typical shape for a full-field event: a recognisable top of the market, and a long tail where the prices are set with much less care. 25 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.
Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 12.9%. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is Bet365 at 8.6% (5 @ 1/4), so taking the best price player by player is worth -4.3 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.
Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.
Nedbank Golf Challenge 2025 odds
Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.
| # | Player | Odds | ImpliedImpl. | NormalisedNorm. | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Viktor Hovland
|
6/1 | 14.3% | 12.3% | 23rd |
| 2 |
Garrick Higgo
|
14/1 | 6.7% | 5.7% | 16th |
| 3 |
Angel Ayora
|
18/1 | 5.3% | 4.5% | 8th |
| 4 |
Jordan L Smith
|
22/1 | 4.3% | 3.7% | 21st |
| 5 |
Jayden Trey Schaper
|
22/1 | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2nd |
| 6 |
Tom McKibbin
|
22/1 | 4.3% | 3.7% | 16th |
| 7 |
Nick Taylor
|
28/1 | 3.4% | 3.0% | 18th |
| 8 |
Thomas Detry
|
28/1 | 3.4% | 3.0% | 6th |
| 9 |
Kristoffer Reitan
|
28/1 | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1st |
| 10 |
Aldrich Potgieter
|
30/1 | 3.2% | 2.8% | 38th |
| 11 |
Netipong Sritonginn
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.5% | - |
| 12 |
Laurie Canter
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.5% | - |
| 13 |
Thriston Lawrence
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.5% | 33rd |
| 14 |
Will Zalatoris
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.5% | 15th |
| 15 |
John Parry
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 2.1% | 18th |
| 16 |
Oliver Lindell
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 2.1% | 40th |
| 17 |
Jesper Svensson
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 2.1% | 38th |
| 18 |
Andy Sullivan
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.9% | 8th |
| 19 |
Joost Luiten
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 10th |
| 20 |
Christo Lamprecht
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 33rd |
Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.
How the Nedbank Golf Challenge 2025 finished
Kristoffer Reitan won the Nedbank Golf Challenge, having started the week at 28/1 - an implied 3.4% chance. The favourite, Viktor Hovland, finished 23rd.
| Pos | Player | Starting odds | Implied chanceImpl. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Kristoffer Reitan
|
28/1 | 3.4% |
| 2 |
Jayden Trey Schaper
|
22/1 | 4.3% |
| 2 |
Dan Bradbury
|
66/1 | 1.5% |
| 4 |
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
|
- | - |
| 5 |
Shaun Norris
|
300/1 | 0.3% |
| 6 |
Julien Guerrier
|
85/1 | 1.2% |
| 6 |
Thomas Detry
|
28/1 | 3.4% |
| 8 |
Andy Sullivan
|
45/1 | 2.2% |
| 8 |
Angel Ayora
|
18/1 | 5.3% |
| 10 |
Joost Luiten
|
50/1 | 2.0% |
| 10 |
Francesco Molinari
|
110/1 | 0.9% |
| 10 |
Hao Tong Li
|
- | - |
| 10 |
Danie van Tonder
|
- | - |
| 10 |
Ewen Ferguson
|
70/1 | 1.4% |
Our model's numbers for the Nedbank Golf Challenge
The top of the market, with our model's win probability (Predicted) and how far it disagrees with the bookmakers (Discrepancy). The first three rows are shown in full so you can see exactly what the model produces. Odds and implied probabilities are public - the two green columns are ours.
Bookmaker margins and each-way terms
What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 24.6% | 8.6% |
| 2 | Betfred | 5 @ 1/4 | 26.2% | 10.1% |
| 3 | BetVictor | 5 @ 1/4 | 27.3% | 11% |
| 4 | Skybet | 5 @ 1/4 | 28.5% | 12.1% |
| 5 | Paddy Power | 5 @ 1/4 | 28.5% | 12.1% |
| 6 | Boyle Sports | 8 @ 1/5 | 49.6% | 12.3% |
| 7 | QuinnBet | 5 @ 1/4 | 30.9% | 14.1% |
| 8 | BetMGM UK | 5 @ 1/4 | 31% | 14.2% |
| 9 | Virgin Bet | 5 @ 1/4 | 31% | 14.2% |
| 10 | PricedUp | 5 @ 1/4 | 32.1% | 15.2% |
| 11 | BresBet | 5 @ 1/4 | 32.1% | 15.2% |
| 12 | Star Sports | 5 @ 1/4 | 32.5% | 15.5% |
| 13 | Betway | 5 @ 1/4 | 32.5% | 15.5% |
| 14 | Spreadex | 5 @ 1/4 | 34.9% | 17.7% |
| 15 | Sporting Index | 5 @ 1/4 | 34.9% | 17.7% |
| 16 | Ladbrokes | 7 @ 1/5 | 45.3% | 18% |
| 17 | Coral | 7 @ 1/5 | 45.3% | 18% |
| 18 | 10Bet | 5 @ 1/4 | 36.7% | 19.3% |
| 19 | William Hill | 5 @ 1/4 | 39.5% | 21.7% |
| 20 | 888Sport | 5 @ 1/4 | 39.5% | 21.7% |
| 21 | Unibet | 1 @ 1/1 | 29.1% | 29.1% |
Nedbank Golf Challenge 2025 betting FAQ
Who was favourite for the Nedbank Golf Challenge 2025?
Viktor Hovland was the outright favourite at 6/1, which is an implied chance of 14.3% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 12.3% after. Garrick Higgo was next in the market at 14/1.
Who won the Nedbank Golf Challenge 2025?
Kristoffer Reitan won the Nedbank Golf Challenge 2025, starting the week at 28/1.
When was the Nedbank Golf Challenge 2025 played?
The Nedbank Golf Challenge started on Thursday 4 December 2025 and finished on Sunday 7 December 2025. It is a Majors event.
How big was the Nedbank Golf Challenge field?
69 players were in the field, 63 of them priced by the bookmakers. 25 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.
What margin do the bookmakers take on the Nedbank Golf Challenge?
Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 12.9%, against 8.6% at Bet365, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.
Where can I get Nedbank Golf Challenge betting tips?
GolfForecast publishes its Nedbank Golf Challenge picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. The 30-day trial is free.
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