Mayakoba Golf Classic 2020 - Betting Preview, Odds and Result
See what we tipped for the Mayakoba Golf Classic
Below you can see our model's numbers in full for the top three in the market. Members see them for every player, plus the bets we actually advised, the stake for each one, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms - in their inbox every Tuesday morning.
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Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.
Mayakoba Golf Classic 2020 at a glance
The market, read in numbers
The bookmakers made Justin Thomas favourite for the Mayakoba Golf Classic at 6/1. That is an implied 14.3% before the margin comes out, and 10.7% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number this is a moderate favourite rather than a standout, with Brooks Koepka next in at 12/1.
The five shortest players in the market share 28.3% of the win chance between them, which leaves 71.7% spread across the other 118 priced players. That is a fairly typical shape for a full-field event: a recognisable top of the market, and a long tail where the prices are set with much less care. 92 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.
Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 32.1%, or 6.2% once the each-way terms are valued properly. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is William Hill at 15.5% (8 @ 1/5), so taking the best price player by player is worth -16.6 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.
Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.
Mayakoba Golf Classic 2020 odds
Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.
| # | Player | Odds | ImpliedImpl. | NormalisedNorm. | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Justin Thomas
|
6/1 | 14.3% | 10.7% | 12th |
| 2 |
Brooks Koepka
|
12/1 | 7.7% | 5.7% | 73rd |
| 3 |
Harris English
|
16/1 | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5th |
| 4 |
Abraham Ancer
|
18/1 | 5.3% | 3.9% | 12th |
| 5 |
Daniel Berger
|
20/1 | 4.8% | 3.6% | 23rd |
| 6 |
Tony Finau
|
22/1 | 4.3% | 3.2% | 8th |
| 7 |
Viktor Hovland
|
22/1 | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1st |
| 8 |
Russell Henley
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 2.9% | 108th |
| 9 |
Corey Conners
|
28/1 | 3.4% | 2.6% | 17th |
| 10 |
Rickie Fowler
|
30/1 | 3.2% | 2.4% | 80th |
| 11 |
Will Zalatoris
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.2% | 52nd |
| 12 |
Billy Horschel
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.8% | 5th |
| 13 |
Joaquin Niemann
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.8% | 23rd |
| 14 |
Carlos Ortiz
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.6% | 8th |
| 15 |
Marc Leishman
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.5% | 127th |
| 16 |
Brendon Todd
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.5% | 8th |
| 17 |
Emiliano Grillo
|
55/1 | 1.8% | 1.3% | 8th |
| 18 |
Brian Harman
|
60/1 | 1.6% | 1.2% | 30th |
| 19 |
Adam Long
|
60/1 | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3rd |
| 20 |
Russell Knox
|
66/1 | 1.5% | 1.1% | 23rd |
Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.
How the Mayakoba Golf Classic 2020 finished
Viktor Hovland won the Mayakoba Golf Classic, having started the week at 22/1 - an implied 4.3% chance. The favourite, Justin Thomas, finished 12th.
| Pos | Player | Starting odds | Implied chanceImpl. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Viktor Hovland
|
22/1 | 4.3% |
| 2 |
Aaron Wise
|
110/1 | 0.9% |
| 3 |
Tom Hoge
|
175/1 | 0.6% |
| 3 |
Adam Long
|
60/1 | 1.6% |
| 5 |
Billy Horschel
|
40/1 | 2.4% |
| 5 |
Harris English
|
16/1 | 5.9% |
| 5 |
Lucas Glover
|
125/1 | 0.8% |
| 8 |
Brendon Todd
|
50/1 | 2.0% |
| 8 |
Emiliano Grillo
|
55/1 | 1.8% |
| 8 |
Tony Finau
|
22/1 | 4.3% |
| 8 |
Carlos Ortiz
|
45/1 | 2.2% |
Our model's numbers for the Mayakoba Golf Classic
The top of the market, with our model's win probability (Predicted) and how far it disagrees with the bookmakers (Discrepancy). The first three rows are shown in full so you can see exactly what the model produces. Odds and implied probabilities are public - the two green columns are ours.
Bookmaker margins and each-way terms
What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | William Hill | 8 @ 1/5 | 48.9% | 15.5% |
| 2 | Skybet | 8 @ 1/5 | 53.7% | 19.4% |
| 3 | Betfair Sportsbook | 8 @ 1/5 | 54.2% | 19.7% |
| 4 | Paddy Power | 8 @ 1/5 | 54.2% | 19.7% |
| 5 | Boyle Sports | 8 @ 1/5 | 58.2% | 22.8% |
| 6 | Betfred | 7 @ 1/5 | 52.4% | 27.8% |
| 7 | VBet | 5 @ 1/4 | 43.8% | 28.4% |
| 8 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 44% | 28.6% |
| 9 | Betway | 7 @ 1/5 | 54.2% | 29.3% |
| 10 | Bet Victor | 6 @ 1/5 | 47.9% | 34.9% |
| 11 | Redzone | 5 @ 1/4 | 51.9% | 35.6% |
| 12 | SportPesa | 5 @ 1/4 | 51.9% | 35.6% |
| 13 | Sport Nation | 5 @ 1/4 | 51.9% | 35.6% |
| 14 | 10Bet | 5 @ 1/4 | 52.2% | 35.9% |
| 15 | GentingBet | 6 @ 1/5 | 50.1% | 36.9% |
| 16 | Unibet | 6 @ 1/5 | 51.8% | 38.5% |
| 17 | 888Sport | 6 @ 1/5 | 51.8% | 38.5% |
| 18 | Spreadex | 6 @ 1/5 | 54.9% | 41.3% |
Mayakoba Golf Classic 2020 betting FAQ
Who was favourite for the Mayakoba Golf Classic 2020?
Justin Thomas was the outright favourite at 6/1, which is an implied chance of 14.3% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 10.7% after. Brooks Koepka was next in the market at 12/1.
Who won the Mayakoba Golf Classic 2020?
Viktor Hovland won the Mayakoba Golf Classic 2020, starting the week at 22/1.
When was the Mayakoba Golf Classic 2020 played?
The Mayakoba Golf Classic started on Thursday 3 December 2020 and finished on Sunday 6 December 2020. It is a PGA Tour event.
How big was the Mayakoba Golf Classic field?
132 players were in the field, 123 of them priced by the bookmakers. 92 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.
What margin do the bookmakers take on the Mayakoba Golf Classic?
Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 32.1%, against 15.5% at William Hill, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.
Where can I get Mayakoba Golf Classic betting tips?
GolfForecast publishes its Mayakoba Golf Classic picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. The 30-day trial is free.
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