Joburg Open 2026 - Betting Preview, Odds and Result
See what we tipped for the Joburg Open
Below you can see our model's numbers in full for the top three in the market. Members see them for every player, plus the bets we actually advised, the stake for each one, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms - in their inbox every Tuesday morning.
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Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.
Joburg Open 2026 at a glance
The market, read in numbers
The bookmakers made Jayden Trey Schaper favourite for the Joburg Open at 8/1. That is an implied 11.1% before the margin comes out, and 8.4% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number this is a moderate favourite rather than a standout, with Hennie Du Plessis next in at 11/1.
The five shortest players in the market share 25.1% of the win chance between them, which leaves 74.9% spread across the other 131 priced players. That is an unusually flat market. When no small group of players dominates, a model that prices the whole field has more room to disagree with the bookmakers. 97 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.
Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 15.2%. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is Skybet at 8.8% (12 @ 1/5), so taking the best price player by player is worth -6.5 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.
Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.
Joburg Open 2026 odds
Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.
| # | Player | Odds | ImpliedImpl. | NormalisedNorm. | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Jayden Trey Schaper
|
8/1 | 11.1% | 8.4% | 17th |
| 2 |
Hennie Du Plessis
|
11/1 | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4th |
| 3 |
Francesco Laporta
|
18/1 | 5.3% | 4.0% | 117th |
| 4 |
Thriston Lawrence
|
22/1 | 4.3% | 3.3% | 119th |
| 5 |
Calum Hill
|
22/1 | 4.3% | 3.3% | 85th |
| 6 |
Alex Fitzpatrick
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 2.9% | 9th |
| 7 |
Antoine Rozner
|
28/1 | 3.4% | 2.6% | 90th |
| 8 |
Alejandro Del Rey
|
28/1 | 3.4% | 2.6% | 57th |
| 9 |
Dan Bradbury
|
28/1 | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1st |
| 10 |
Andy Sullivan
|
30/1 | 3.2% | 2.4% | 132nd |
| 11 |
Jacob Skov Olesen
|
30/1 | 3.2% | 2.4% | 44th |
| 12 |
Ewen Ferguson
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.2% | 59th |
| 13 |
Martin Couvra
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.2% | 99th |
| 14 |
Julien Guerrier
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.8% | 55th |
| 15 |
Daniel Vancsik
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.8% | - |
| 16 |
JC Ritchie
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.8% | 115th |
| 17 |
Brandon Stone
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.5% | 27th |
| 18 |
Jacques Kruyswijk
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.5% | 31st |
| 19 |
Marcus Armitage
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.5% | 50th |
| 20 |
Sam Bairstow
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.5% | 63rd |
Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.
How the Joburg Open 2026 finished
Dan Bradbury won the Joburg Open, having started the week at 28/1 - an implied 3.4% chance. The favourite, Jayden Trey Schaper, finished 17th.
| Pos | Player | Starting odds | Implied chanceImpl. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Dan Bradbury
|
28/1 | 3.4% |
| 2 |
Casey Jarvis
|
- | - |
| 3 |
Brandon Robinson-Thompson
|
125/1 | 0.8% |
| 4 |
Hennie Du Plessis
|
11/1 | 8.3% |
| 5 |
David Ravetto
|
110/1 | 0.9% |
| 6 |
Louis Albertse
|
225/1 | 0.4% |
| 7 |
Danie van Tonder
|
- | - |
| 8 |
Adrian Otaegui
|
55/1 | 1.8% |
| 9 |
Alex Fitzpatrick
|
25/1 | 3.8% |
| 10 |
Patrick Reed
|
- | - |
Our model's numbers for the Joburg Open
The top of the market, with our model's win probability (Predicted) and how far it disagrees with the bookmakers (Discrepancy). The first three rows are shown in full so you can see exactly what the model produces. Odds and implied probabilities are public - the two green columns are ours.
Bookmaker margins and each-way terms
What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skybet | 12 @ 1/5 | 86.1% | 8.8% |
| 2 | Paddy Power | 12 @ 1/5 | 86.1% | 8.8% |
| 3 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 28% | 12.8% |
| 4 | PricedUp | 5 @ 1/4 | 30% | 14.5% |
| 5 | BresBet | 5 @ 1/4 | 30% | 14.5% |
| 6 | Betfred | 5 @ 1/4 | 31.7% | 16% |
| 7 | Ladbrokes | 7 @ 1/5 | 41.8% | 16.8% |
| 8 | Coral | 7 @ 1/5 | 41.8% | 16.8% |
| 9 | Star Sports | 6 @ 1/5 | 30.6% | 17.2% |
| 10 | BetVictor | 5 @ 1/4 | 33.3% | 17.5% |
| 11 | BetMGM UK | 6 @ 1/5 | 32.7% | 19.1% |
| 12 | Virgin Bet | 6 @ 1/5 | 32.7% | 19.1% |
| 13 | Spreadex | 6 @ 1/5 | 33.1% | 19.5% |
| 14 | Sporting Index | 6 @ 1/5 | 33.1% | 19.5% |
| 15 | Unibet | 1 @ 1/1 | 25% | 25% |
| 16 | QuinnBet | 6 @ 1/5 | 39.3% | 25.1% |
| 17 | 10Bet | 6 @ 1/5 | 40.8% | 26.5% |
| 18 | Betway | 6 @ 1/5 | 41.2% | 26.8% |
| 19 | William Hill | 5 @ 1/4 | 44.6% | 27.4% |
| 20 | 888Sport | 5 @ 1/4 | 44.6% | 27.4% |
Joburg Open 2026 betting FAQ
Who was favourite for the Joburg Open 2026?
Jayden Trey Schaper was the outright favourite at 8/1, which is an implied chance of 11.1% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 8.4% after. Hennie Du Plessis was next in the market at 11/1.
Who won the Joburg Open 2026?
Dan Bradbury won the Joburg Open 2026, starting the week at 28/1.
When was the Joburg Open 2026 played?
The Joburg Open started on Thursday 5 March 2026 and finished on Sunday 8 March 2026. It is a DP World Tour event.
How big was the Joburg Open field?
164 players were in the field, 136 of them priced by the bookmakers. 97 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.
What margin do the bookmakers take on the Joburg Open?
Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 15.2%, against 8.8% at Skybet, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.
Where can I get Joburg Open betting tips?
GolfForecast publishes its Joburg Open picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. The 30-day trial is free.
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