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Investec South African Open Championship 2026 - Betting Preview, Odds and Result

26 Feb 2026 to 1 Mar 2026 Tour DP World Tour Prize fund USD 1,500,000 Field 402 Odds updated 26 Feb 2026

See what we tipped for the Investec South African Open Championship

Below you can see our model's numbers in full for the top three in the market. Members see them for every player, plus the bets we actually advised, the stake for each one, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms - in their inbox every Tuesday morning.

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Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.

Investec South African Open Championship 2026 at a glance

Favourite
9/1Patrick Reed
Favourite's chance
7.1%after the margin is removed
Top 5 in the market
23.2%combined win chance
Field
402136 priced by the bookies
Best-price overround
16.4%vs 12.6% at the cheapest book
100/1 or bigger
96players in the field

The market, read in numbers

The bookmakers made Patrick Reed favourite for the Investec South African Open Championship at 9/1. That is an implied 10.0% before the margin comes out, and 7.1% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number this is a moderate favourite rather than a standout, with Branden Grace next in at 14/1.

The five shortest players in the market share 23.2% of the win chance between them, which leaves 76.8% spread across the other 131 priced players. That is an unusually flat market. When no small group of players dominates, a model that prices the whole field has more room to disagree with the bookmakers. 96 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.

Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 16.4%, or 0.0% once the each-way terms are valued properly. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is Skybet at 12.6% (12 @ 1/5), so taking the best price player by player is worth -3.7 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.

Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.

Investec South African Open Championship 2026 odds

Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.

# Player Odds ImpliedImpl. NormalisedNorm. Finish
1 USA Patrick Reed 9/1 10.0% 7.1% 31st
2 RSA Branden Grace 14/1 6.7% 4.7% 38th
3 South Africa Hennie Du Plessis 16/1 5.9% 4.2% 2nd
4 RSA Casey Jarvis 18/1 5.3% 3.7% 1st
5 RSA Thriston Lawrence 20/1 4.8% 3.4% 82nd
6 FIN Oliver Lindell 25/1 3.8% 2.7% 7th
7 RSA Charl Schwartzel 28/1 3.4% 2.5% 111th
8 ITA Francesco Laporta 30/1 3.2% 2.3% 17th
9 FRA Antoine Rozner 30/1 3.2% 2.3% 24th
10 ENG Alex Fitzpatrick 33/1 2.9% 2.1% 13th
11 SCO Calum Hill 35/1 2.8% 2.0% 21st
12 NED Joost Luiten 40/1 2.4% 1.7% 109th
13 ENG Andy Sullivan 40/1 2.4% 1.7% 56th
14 ESP Jorge Campillo 40/1 2.4% 1.7% 79th
15 ENG Nathan Kimsey 40/1 2.4% 1.7% 11th
16 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 40/1 2.4% 1.7% 15th
17 FRA Julien Guerrier 45/1 2.2% 1.5% 29th
18 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 45/1 2.2% 1.5% 141st
19 ENG Matthew Jordan 45/1 2.2% 1.5% 36th
20 CHN Ding Wenyi 45/1 2.2% 1.5% 32nd

Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.

How the Investec South African Open Championship 2026 finished

Nicolas Echavarria won the Investec South African Open Championship. The favourite, Patrick Reed, finished 31st.

Pos Player Starting odds Implied chanceImpl.
1 COL Nicolas Echavarria - -
1 ITA Andrea Romano(June2000) - -
1 RSA Casey Jarvis 18/1 5.3%
2 USA Taylor Moore - -
2 South Africa Hennie Du Plessis 16/1 5.9%
2 ITA Alessandro Nardini - -
3 IRL Shane Lowry - -
3 ENG Eddie Pepperell 200/1 0.5%
3 IRL Robert Moran - -
4 UAE Adrian Otaegui 225/1 0.4%
4 ESP Carlos Aguilar - -
4 USA Austin Smotherman - -
5 RSA Haydn Porteous 600/1 0.2%
5 USA Ricky Castillo - -
5 FRA Benjamin Kedochim - -

Our model's numbers for the Investec South African Open Championship

The top of the market, with our model's win probability (Predicted) and how far it disagrees with the bookmakers (Discrepancy). The first three rows are shown in full so you can see exactly what the model produces. Odds and implied probabilities are public - the two green columns are ours.

🔓 Three rows are unlocked below. Members see Predicted and Discrepancy for every player, plus the bets we advised and the stake for each. Start your free trial →
# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Edge
1 USA Patrick Reed 9 (Skybet: 12 @ 1/5) 10% 7.11% ≈ 13/1 1% -6.11% Free
2 RSA Branden Grace 14 (Skybet: 12 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.74% ≈ 20/1 0% -4.74% Free
3 South Africa Hennie Du Plessis 16 (Skybet: 12 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.18% ≈ 23/1 0% -4.18% Free
4 RSA Casey Jarvis 18 (Skybet: 12 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.74% ≈ 26/1 🔒
5 RSA Thriston Lawrence 20 (Skybet: 12 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.38% ≈ 29/1 🔒
6 FIN Oliver Lindell 25 (Skybet: 12 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.73% ≈ 36/1 🔒
7 RSA Charl Schwartzel 28 (Skybet: 12 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.45% ≈ 40/1 🔒
8 ITA Francesco Laporta 30 (Skybet: 12 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.29% ≈ 43/1 🔒
9 FRA Antoine Rozner 30 (Skybet: 12 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.29% ≈ 43/1 🔒
10 ENG Alex Fitzpatrick 33 (Skybet: 12 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.09% ≈ 47/1 🔒
11 SCO Calum Hill 35 (Skybet: 12 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.97% ≈ 50/1 🔒
12 ENG Andy Sullivan 40 (Skybet: 12 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.73% ≈ 57/1 🔒
13 NED Joost Luiten 40 (Skybet: 12 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.73% ≈ 57/1 🔒
14 ESP Jorge Campillo 40 (Skybet: 12 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.73% ≈ 57/1 🔒
15 ENG Nathan Kimsey 40 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.73% ≈ 57/1 🔒
16 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 40 (Skybet: 12 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.73% ≈ 57/1 🔒
17 FRA Julien Guerrier 45 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.55% ≈ 64/1 🔒
18 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 45 (Skybet: 12 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.55% ≈ 64/1 🔒
19 ENG Matthew Jordan 45 (Skybet: 12 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.55% ≈ 64/1 🔒
20 CHN Ding Wenyi 45 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.55% ≈ 64/1 🔒
Predicted and Edge are hidden on 17 of these 20 players, and on the other 382 in the field
Those two columns are the whole point: they are where our model disagrees with the bookmakers.
Unlock every player free for 30 days →

Bookmaker margins and each-way terms

What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Skybet 12 @ 1/5 93% 12.6%
2 Paddy Power 12 @ 1/5 93% 12.6%
3 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 28.7% 13.4%
4 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 30.6% 17.2%
5 Sporting Index 6 @ 1/5 30.6% 17.2%
6 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 43.8% 18.3%
7 Coral 7 @ 1/5 43.8% 18.3%
8 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 35.3% 19.2%
9 Boyle Sports 6 @ 1/5 32.9% 19.2%
10 Star Sports 6 @ 1/5 35.3% 21.4%
11 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 41.2% 26.8%
12 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 43.4% 28.7%
13 William Hill 5 @ 1/4 46.9% 29.5%
14 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 47% 29.5%
15 BetMGM UK 6 @ 1/5 44.6% 29.7%
16 Virgin Bet 6 @ 1/5 44.6% 29.7%
17 Betway 6 @ 1/5 45.4% 30.5%
18 BetGoodwin 1 @ 1/1 65.7% 65.7%
19 BetTom 1 @ 1/1 65.7% 65.7%

Investec South African Open Championship 2026 betting FAQ

Who was favourite for the Investec South African Open Championship 2026?

Patrick Reed was the outright favourite at 9/1, which is an implied chance of 10.0% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 7.1% after. Branden Grace was next in the market at 14/1.

Who won the Investec South African Open Championship 2026?

Nicolas Echavarria won the Investec South African Open Championship 2026.

When was the Investec South African Open Championship 2026 played?

The Investec South African Open Championship started on Thursday 26 February 2026 and finished on Sunday 1 March 2026. It is a DP World Tour event.

How big was the Investec South African Open Championship field?

402 players were in the field, 136 of them priced by the bookmakers. 96 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.

What margin do the bookmakers take on the Investec South African Open Championship?

Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 16.4%, against 12.6% at Skybet, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.

Where can I get Investec South African Open Championship betting tips?

GolfForecast publishes its Investec South African Open Championship picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. The 30-day trial is free.

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Investec South African Open Championship: Predicted and Edge are locked on the rest of the field. Unlock free for 30 days →