FedEx St. Jude Championship 2026 - Betting Preview, Odds and Result
See what we tipped for the FedEx St. Jude Championship
Below you can see our model's numbers in full for the top three in the market. Members see them for every player, plus the bets we actually advised, the stake for each one, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms - in their inbox every Tuesday morning.
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Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.
FedEx St. Jude Championship 2026 at a glance
The market, read in numbers
The bookmakers made Scottie Scheffler favourite for the FedEx St. Jude Championship at 4.5/1. That is an implied 18.2% before the margin comes out, and 13.1% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number the market has a clear favourite, with Rory McIlroy next in at 14/1.
The five shortest players in the market share 30.3% of the win chance between them, which leaves 69.7% spread across the other 61 priced players. That is a fairly typical shape for a full-field event: a recognisable top of the market, and a long tail where the prices are set with much less care. 20 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.
Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.
FedEx St. Jude Championship 2026 odds
Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.
| # | Player | Odds | ImpliedImpl. | NormalisedNorm. | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Scottie Scheffler
|
4.5/1 | 18.2% | 13.1% | 1st |
| 2 |
Rory McIlroy
|
14/1 | 6.7% | 4.8% | 66th |
| 3 |
Xander Schauffele
|
14/1 | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7th |
| 4 |
Cameron Young
|
16/1 | 5.9% | 4.2% | 39th |
| 5 |
Hideki Matsuyama
|
20/1 | 4.8% | 3.4% | 7th |
| 6 |
Tommy Fleetwood
|
20/1 | 4.8% | 3.4% | 7th |
| 7 |
Sam Burns
|
22/1 | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3rd |
| 8 |
Collin Morikawa
|
22/1 | 4.3% | 3.1% | 52nd |
| 9 |
Matthew Fitzpatrick
|
25/1 | 3.8% | 2.8% | 12th |
| 10 |
Ludvig Aberg
|
28/1 | 3.4% | 2.5% | 7th |
| 11 |
Russell Henley
|
30/1 | 3.2% | 2.3% | 30th |
| 12 |
Patrick Cantlay
|
30/1 | 3.2% | 2.3% | 12th |
| 13 |
Justin Thomas
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.1% | 47th |
| 14 |
Siwoo Kim
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2nd |
| 15 |
Chris Gotterup
|
35/1 | 2.8% | 2.0% | 30th |
| 16 |
Wyndham Clark
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.8% | 5th |
| 17 |
Viktor Hovland
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.8% | 19th |
| 18 |
Jackson Koivun(Am)
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.8% | 24th |
| 19 |
Joohyung Kim
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 1.8% | - |
| 20 |
Robert MacIntyre
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.6% | 69th |
Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.
How the FedEx St. Jude Championship 2026 finished
Scottie Scheffler won the FedEx St. Jude Championship, having started the week at 4.5/1 - an implied 18.2% chance. The favourite delivered, which happens far less often than most punters assume - see how often do favourites win golf events.
| Pos | Player | Starting odds | Implied chanceImpl. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Scottie Scheffler
|
4.5/1 | 18.2% |
| 2 |
Siwoo Kim
|
33/1 | 2.9% |
| 3 |
Alexander Noren
|
70/1 | 1.4% |
| 3 |
Sam Burns
|
22/1 | 4.3% |
| 5 |
Sungjae Im
|
85/1 | 1.2% |
| 5 |
Wyndham Clark
|
40/1 | 2.4% |
| 7 |
Hideki Matsuyama
|
20/1 | 4.8% |
| 7 |
Tommy Fleetwood
|
20/1 | 4.8% |
| 7 |
Jake Knappe
|
80/1 | 1.2% |
| 7 |
Xander Schauffele
|
14/1 | 6.7% |
| 7 |
Ludvig Aberg
|
28/1 | 3.4% |
Our model's numbers for the FedEx St. Jude Championship
The top of the market, with our model's win probability (Predicted) and how far it disagrees with the bookmakers (Discrepancy). The first three rows are shown in full so you can see exactly what the model produces. Odds and implied probabilities are public - the two green columns are ours.
Bookmaker margins and each-way terms
What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virgin Bet | 5 @ 1/4 | 45% | 26.7% |
| 2 | Ladbrokes | 8 @ 1/5 | 69.5% | 27.7% |
| 3 | Coral | 8 @ 1/5 | 69.5% | 27.7% |
| 4 | AK Bets | 5 @ 1/5 | 31.5% | 28% |
| 5 | PricedUp | 5 @ 1/4 | 47.3% | 28.6% |
| 6 | BresBet | 5 @ 1/4 | 47.3% | 28.6% |
| 7 | Boyle Sports | 10 @ 1/5 | 96.7% | 28.7% |
| 8 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 47.5% | 28.9% |
| 9 | Spreadex | 5 @ 1/4 | 48.6% | 29.8% |
| 10 | Sporting Index | 5 @ 1/4 | 48.6% | 29.8% |
| 11 | Star Sports | 5 @ 1/4 | 49.3% | 30.4% |
| 12 | BetVictor | 5 @ 1/4 | 50.9% | 31.8% |
| 13 | BetGoodwin | 5 @ 1/4 | 52.7% | 33.3% |
| 14 | BetTom | 5 @ 1/4 | 52.7% | 33.3% |
| 15 | BetAhoy | 5 @ 1/4 | 52.7% | 33.3% |
| 16 | QuinnBet | 7 @ 1/5 | 64.7% | 34.1% |
| 17 | William Hill | 5 @ 1/4 | 53.9% | 34.4% |
| 18 | Skybet | 5 @ 1/4 | 55.5% | 35.8% |
| 19 | Paddy Power | 5 @ 1/4 | 55.5% | 35.8% |
| 20 | 10Bet | 6 @ 1/5 | 53.8% | 36.4% |
| 21 | Betway | 5 @ 1/4 | 57.5% | 37.5% |
| 22 | Unibet | 1 @ 1/1 | 43.8% | 43.8% |
| 23 | BetMGM UK | 1 @ 1/1 | 51.6% | 51.6% |
FedEx St. Jude Championship 2026 betting FAQ
Who was favourite for the FedEx St. Jude Championship 2026?
Scottie Scheffler was the outright favourite at 4.5/1, which is an implied chance of 18.2% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 13.1% after. Rory McIlroy was next in the market at 14/1.
Who won the FedEx St. Jude Championship 2026?
Scottie Scheffler won the FedEx St. Jude Championship 2026, starting the week at 4.5/1.
When was the FedEx St. Jude Championship 2026 played?
The FedEx St. Jude Championship started on Thursday 13 August 2026 and finished on Sunday 16 August 2026. It is a PGA Tour event.
How big was the FedEx St. Jude Championship field?
70 players were in the field, 66 of them priced by the bookmakers. 20 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.
Where can I get FedEx St. Jude Championship betting tips?
GolfForecast publishes its FedEx St. Jude Championship picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. The 30-day trial is free.
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