Home / Golf betting tips / Bermuda Championship 2026
Upcoming

Bermuda Championship 2026 Betting Tips, Odds and Predictions

22 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 Tour PGA Tour Prize fund $6,000,000 Field 120 Odds updated 20 Oct 2026

Our Bermuda Championship picks are already chosen

Below you can see our model's numbers in full for the top three in the market. Members see them for every player, plus the bets we actually advised, the stake for each one, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms - in their inbox every Tuesday morning.

£39.99/month after 30 days. Cancel any time.

profit since 2020, staked at £100 per event
return on investment

Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.

Bermuda Championship 2026 at a glance

Favourite
12/1Benjamin James
Favourite's chance
7.2%after the margin is removed
Top 5 in the market
18.6%combined win chance
Field
120120 priced by the bookies
Best-price overround
6.6%vs 17.4% at the cheapest book
100/1 or bigger
83players in the field

The market, read in numbers

The bookmakers have made Benjamin James favourite for the Bermuda Championship at 12/1. That is an implied 7.7% before the margin comes out, and 7.2% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number this is a moderate favourite rather than a standout, with Corey Conners next in at 31/1.

The five shortest players in the market share 18.6% of the win chance between them, which leaves 81.4% spread across the other 115 priced players. That is an unusually flat market. When no small group of players dominates, a model that prices the whole field has more room to disagree with the bookmakers. 83 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.

Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 6.6%, or 17.4% once the each-way terms are valued properly. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is Betfair Exchange at 17.4%, so taking the best price player by player is worth 10.8 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.

Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.

Bermuda Championship 2026 odds

Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.

# Player Odds ImpliedImpl. NormalisedNorm.
1 USA Benjamin James 12/1 7.7% 7.2%
2 CAN Corey Conners 31/1 3.1% 2.9%
3 USA Andrew Novak 31/1 3.1% 2.9%
4 USA Chris Kirk 33/1 2.9% 2.8%
5 TPE Kevin Yu 33/1 2.9% 2.8%
6 USA Eric Cole 35/1 2.8% 2.6%
7 IRL Seamus Power 37/1 2.6% 2.5%
8 USA Richard Hoey 39/1 2.5% 2.3%
9 USA Davis Thompson 41/1 2.4% 2.2%
10 USA Kevin Roy 41/1 2.4% 2.2%
11 USA Ben Kohles 43/1 2.3% 2.1%
12 USA Neal Shipley(Am) 43/1 2.3% 2.1%
13 USA Trace Crowe 45/1 2.2% 2.0%
14 USA Austin Smotherman 47/1 2.1% 2.0%
15 USA Denny McCarthy 49/1 2.0% 1.9%
16 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 49/1 2.0% 1.9%
17 USA Max Greyserman 49/1 2.0% 1.9%
18 David Ford 49/1 2.0% 1.9%
19 USA Max McGreevy 54/1 1.8% 1.7%
20 USA Zac Blair 64/1 1.5% 1.4%

Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.

Our model's numbers for the Bermuda Championship

The top of the market, with our model's win probability (Predicted) and how far it disagrees with the bookmakers (Discrepancy). The first three rows are shown in full so you can see exactly what the model produces. Odds and implied probabilities are public - the two green columns are ours.

🔓 Three rows are unlocked below. Members see Predicted and Discrepancy for every player, plus the bets we advised and the stake for each. Start your free trial →
# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Edge
1 USA Benjamin James 12 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 2.7/1) 7.69% 7.22% ≈ 13/1 0% -7.22% Free
2 CAN Corey Conners 31 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.2/1) 3.13% 2.93% ≈ 33/1 2.91% -0.03% Free
3 USA Andrew Novak 31 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 6.4/1) 3.13% 2.93% ≈ 33/1 2.82% -0.11% Free
4 TPE Kevin Yu 33 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.6/1) 2.94% 2.76% ≈ 35/1 🔒
5 USA Chris Kirk 33 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 6.8/1) 2.94% 2.76% ≈ 35/1 🔒
6 USA Eric Cole 35 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7/1) 2.78% 2.61% ≈ 37/1 🔒
7 IRL Seamus Power 37 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.2/1) 2.63% 2.47% ≈ 39/1 🔒
8 USA Richard Hoey 39 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 6.4/1) 2.5% 2.35% ≈ 42/1 🔒
9 USA Davis Thompson 41 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.6/1) 2.38% 2.23% ≈ 44/1 🔒
10 USA Kevin Roy 41 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 6.6/1) 2.38% 2.23% ≈ 44/1 🔒
11 USA Neal Shipley(Am) 43 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 6.8/1) 2.27% 2.13% ≈ 46/1 🔒
12 USA Ben Kohles 43 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8/1) 2.27% 2.13% ≈ 46/1 🔒
13 USA Trace Crowe 45 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.4/1) 2.17% 2.04% ≈ 48/1 🔒
14 USA Austin Smotherman 47 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 6.6/1) 2.08% 1.96% ≈ 50/1 🔒
15 USA Max Greyserman 49 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.4/1) 2% 1.88% ≈ 52/1 🔒
16 USA Denny McCarthy 49 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.8/1) 2% 1.88% ≈ 52/1 🔒
17 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 49 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8/1) 2% 1.88% ≈ 52/1 🔒
18 David Ford 49 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 6.2/1) 2% 1.88% ≈ 52/1 🔒
19 USA Max McGreevy 54 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 10.5/1) 1.82% 1.71% ≈ 58/1 🔒
20 CAN Taylor Pendrith 64 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.5/1) 1.54% 1.44% ≈ 68/1 🔒
Predicted and Edge are hidden on 17 of these 20 players, and on the other 100 in the field
Those two columns are the whole point: they are where our model disagrees with the bookmakers.
Unlock every player free for 30 days →

Bookmaker margins and each-way terms

What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 6.6% 17.4%

Bermuda Championship 2026 betting FAQ

Who is the favourite for the Bermuda Championship 2026?

Benjamin James is the outright favourite at 12/1, which is an implied chance of 7.7% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 7.2% after. Corey Conners is next in the market at 31/1.

When is the Bermuda Championship 2026 played?

The Bermuda Championship starts on Thursday 22 October 2026 and finishes on Sunday 25 October 2026. It is a PGA Tour event.

How big is the Bermuda Championship field?

120 players are in the field, 120 of them priced by the bookmakers. 83 of those are 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.

What margin do the bookmakers take on the Bermuda Championship?

Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 6.6%, against 17.4% at Betfair Exchange, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.

Where can I get Bermuda Championship betting tips?

GolfForecast publishes its Bermuda Championship picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. The 30-day trial is free.

Get the picks, not just the numbers

Every Tuesday we publish the shortlist for that week's event, the stake for each bet, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms. Your first 30 days are free.

£39.99/month after 30 days. Cancel any time.

More golf betting analysis

18+. Please gamble responsibly. GolfForecast publishes statistical analysis, not guarantees - past results do not guarantee future returns.

Bermuda Championship: Predicted and Edge are locked on the rest of the field. Unlock free for 30 days →