Alfred Dunhill Championship 2025 - Betting Preview, Odds and Result
See what we tipped for the Alfred Dunhill Championship
Below you can see our model's numbers in full for the top three in the market. Members see them for every player, plus the bets we actually advised, the stake for each one, and the bookmaker with the best each-way terms - in their inbox every Tuesday morning.
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Every tip published since 2020, settled and shown in full on the track record page.
Alfred Dunhill Championship 2025 at a glance
The market, read in numbers
The bookmakers made Christiaan Bezuidenhout favourite for the Alfred Dunhill Championship at 11/1. That is an implied 8.3% before the margin comes out, and 7.1% once the book is normalised back to 100%. On that number this is a moderate favourite rather than a standout, with Branden Grace next in at 22/1.
The five shortest players in the market share 19.5% of the win chance between them, which leaves 80.5% spread across the other 126 priced players. That is an unusually flat market. When no small group of players dominates, a model that prices the whole field has more room to disagree with the bookmakers. 93 players are priced at 100/1 or bigger.
Take the best price available on every player and the overround on this market is 9.7%. The cheapest single bookmaker on this event is Spreadex at 11.4% (6 @ 1/5), so taking the best price player by player is worth 1.8 points of margin before a single selection is made. We explain how the number is built in what are the bookies' margins on golf, and which books are worth having an account with in which bookie is best for golf.
Our model prices every player in the field from world ranking points, recent form and the strength of the field, then compares that price against the market. Where our number is higher than the bookmakers', there is an edge - that is the Discrepancy column in the table below. Picks are the players with the biggest edge once the each-way terms on offer are taken into account, which is why a 150/1 shot at 1/5 odds and 8 places can be a better bet than the same player at 150/1 and 5 places elsewhere.
Alfred Dunhill Championship 2025 odds
Best available outright prices across the bookmakers we track, with the implied chance each price carries. Normalised probability removes the bookmakers' margin so the column sums to 100%.
| # | Player | Odds | ImpliedImpl. | NormalisedNorm. | Finish |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
|
11/1 | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8th |
| 2 |
Branden Grace
|
22/1 | 4.3% | 3.7% | 16th |
| 3 |
Louis Oosthuizen
|
28/1 | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4th |
| 4 |
Thriston Lawrence
|
28/1 | 3.4% | 2.9% | 14th |
| 5 |
Hennie Du Plessis
|
28/1 | 3.4% | 2.9% | 63rd |
| 6 |
Casey Jarvis
|
30/1 | 3.2% | 2.7% | 32nd |
| 7 |
John Parry
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.5% | 6th |
| 8 |
Ewen Ferguson
|
33/1 | 2.9% | 2.5% | - |
| 9 |
Joost Luiten
|
35/1 | 2.8% | 2.4% | 115th |
| 10 |
Aldrich Potgieter
|
35/1 | 2.8% | 2.4% | 10th |
| 11 |
Dan Bradbury
|
35/1 | 2.8% | 2.4% | 60th |
| 12 |
Oliver Lindell
|
40/1 | 2.4% | 2.1% | 50th |
| 13 |
Richard Sterne
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.8% | 114th |
| 14 |
Julien Guerrier
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.8% | 117th |
| 15 |
Mikael Lindberg
|
45/1 | 2.2% | 1.8% | 15th |
| 16 |
Brandon Stone
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 27th |
| 17 |
Francesco Laporta
|
50/1 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 139th |
| 18 |
JC Ritchie
|
60/1 | 1.6% | 1.4% | 7th |
| 19 |
Jacques Kruyswijk
|
60/1 | 1.6% | 1.4% | 123rd |
| 20 |
Marcus Armitage
|
60/1 | 1.6% | 1.4% | 67th |
Prices were recorded before the tournament started and are not live. Always check the current price with your bookmaker.
How the Alfred Dunhill Championship 2025 finished
Jayden Trey Schaper won the Alfred Dunhill Championship. The favourite, Christiaan Bezuidenhout, finished 8th.
| Pos | Player | Starting odds | Implied chanceImpl. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Jayden Trey Schaper
|
- | - |
| 2 |
Oliver Bekker
|
350/1 | 0.3% |
| 3 |
Christiaan Burke
|
225/1 | 0.4% |
| 4 |
Louis Oosthuizen
|
28/1 | 3.4% |
| 5 |
Martin Couvra
|
66/1 | 1.5% |
| 6 |
John Parry
|
33/1 | 2.9% |
| 7 |
JC Ritchie
|
60/1 | 1.6% |
| 8 |
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
|
11/1 | 8.3% |
| 9 |
Michael Hollick
|
160/1 | 0.6% |
| 10 |
Aldrich Potgieter
|
35/1 | 2.8% |
Our model's numbers for the Alfred Dunhill Championship
The top of the market, with our model's win probability (Predicted) and how far it disagrees with the bookmakers (Discrepancy). The first three rows are shown in full so you can see exactly what the model produces. Odds and implied probabilities are public - the two green columns are ours.
Bookmaker margins and each-way terms
What each bookmaker is charging on this market, and the each-way terms they are offering. True overround values the extra places properly, so it is the number to compare - the lower it is, the more the bookmaker is giving back. How we calculate it.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spreadex | 6 @ 1/5 | 24.1% | 11.4% |
| 2 | Sporting Index | 6 @ 1/5 | 24.1% | 11.4% |
| 3 | Betfred | 5 @ 1/4 | 27.3% | 12.1% |
| 4 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 30.4% | 14.9% |
| 5 | Boyle Sports | 10 @ 1/5 | 75% | 15.7% |
| 6 | BetVictor | 5 @ 1/4 | 32.9% | 17.1% |
| 7 | Skybet | 5 @ 1/4 | 34.3% | 18.3% |
| 8 | Paddy Power | 5 @ 1/4 | 34.3% | 18.3% |
| 9 | Ladbrokes | 5 @ 1/4 | 34.5% | 18.5% |
| 10 | Coral | 5 @ 1/4 | 34.5% | 18.5% |
| 11 | William Hill | 5 @ 1/4 | 40.3% | 23.6% |
| 12 | 888Sport | 5 @ 1/4 | 40.4% | 23.7% |
| 13 | Star Sports | 6 @ 1/5 | 39.2% | 24.9% |
| 14 | BetMGM UK | 6 @ 1/5 | 40.2% | 25.8% |
| 15 | Virgin Bet | 6 @ 1/5 | 40.2% | 25.8% |
| 16 | 10Bet | 6 @ 1/5 | 41.2% | 26.7% |
| 17 | QuinnBet | 6 @ 1/5 | 42.5% | 27.9% |
| 18 | Betway | 6 @ 1/5 | 42.7% | 28% |
| 19 | Unibet | 1 @ 1/1 | 35.9% | 35.9% |
| 20 | BetGoodwin | 1 @ 1/1 | 63% | 63% |
| 21 | BetTom | 1 @ 1/1 | 63% | 63% |
Alfred Dunhill Championship 2025 betting FAQ
Who was favourite for the Alfred Dunhill Championship 2025?
Christiaan Bezuidenhout was the outright favourite at 11/1, which is an implied chance of 8.3% before the bookmakers' margin is removed and 7.1% after. Branden Grace was next in the market at 22/1.
Who won the Alfred Dunhill Championship 2025?
Jayden Trey Schaper won the Alfred Dunhill Championship 2025.
When was the Alfred Dunhill Championship 2025 played?
The Alfred Dunhill Championship started on Friday 12 December 2025 and finished on Monday 15 December 2025. It is a DP World Tour event.
How big was the Alfred Dunhill Championship field?
159 players were in the field, 131 of them priced by the bookmakers. 93 of those were 100/1 or bigger, which is where most each-way value is found.
What margin do the bookmakers take on the Alfred Dunhill Championship?
Taking the best price available on every player cuts the overround to 9.7%, against 11.4% at Spreadex, the cheapest single bookmaker on this market. Shopping the whole market is worth more than most tips are.
Where can I get Alfred Dunhill Championship betting tips?
GolfForecast publishes its Alfred Dunhill Championship picks each Tuesday morning, with the stake for each bet and the bookmaker offering the best each-way terms. The 30-day trial is free.
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