Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 16.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 4.1 %

Total Probability Staked: 24.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 73.6

Total Profit: -26.5



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 SCO Robert MacIntyre 17 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 5.56% 4.41% 2.83% -1.59% T20
2 RSA Thriston Lawrence 18 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.18% 2.83% -1.35% MC
3 RSA Oliver Bekker 20 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.78% 3.21% -0.58% T64
4 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 22 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.45% 1.95% -1.5% T11
5 FRA Romain Langasque 22 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.45% 1.28% -2.17% T46
6 ITA Edoardo Molinari 25 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.05% 1.62% -1.43% MC
7 SWE Alexander Bjork 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.74% 1.37% -1.37% T20
8 SCO Richie Ramsay 28 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.74% 1.33% -1.41% 1
9 ENG Richard Mansell 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.74% 1.2% -1.54% T29
10 ESP Adrian Otaegui 30 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.56% 3.44% 0.88% T29 11.3
11 ENG Marcus Armitage 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.34% 1.36% -0.97% T16
12 ENG Matthew Jordan 35 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.21% 1.49% -0.71% T34
13 ESP Jorge Campillo 40 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.94% 1.33% -0.61% T52
14 FRA Antoine Rozner 40 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 2.44% 1.94% 1.15% -0.78% T34
15 FIN Sami Valimaki 45 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.73% 2.21% 0.49% T16 7.62
16 RSA JC Ritchie 50 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.56% 1.5% -0.05% T46 6.87
17 JPN Takumi Kanaya 50 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.56% 1.4% -0.16% MC 6.87
18 ENG Ross Fisher 50 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.56% 0.78% -0.78% T56
19 USA Sean Crocker 50 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.56% 0.54% -1.01% MC
20 KOR Bio Kim 50 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.56% 0.35% -1.2%
21 AUT Lukas Nemecz 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.42% 1.94% 0.52% T34 6.26
22 ENG Callum Shinkwin 60 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.3% 0.83% -0.47% T16
23 RSA Wilco Nienaber 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.19% 1.26% 0.07% 69 5.23
24 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 66 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.19% 0.7% -0.49% 60
25 ENG Jack Senior 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.19% 0.62% -0.56% T41
26 FRA Frederic LaCroix 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.12% 0.91% -0.21% T56 4.94
27 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 1.04% 0.72% -0.32% MC
28 SCO Ewen Ferguson 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.98% 1.69% 0.71% MC 4.33
29 FRA Julien Guerrier 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% 1.57% 0.59% T3 (tied w/5) 4.33 +36.8
30 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% 1.1% 0.12% MC 4.33
31 ENG Paul Waring 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% 0.79% -0.19% 2 4.33 +36.8
32 ENG Matthew Southgate 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% 0.77% -0.21% T56 4.33
33 ENG Eddie Pepperell 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% 0.76% -0.23% T11 4.33
34 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.98% 0.68% -0.3% 4.33
35 SCO Grant Forrest 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% 0.46% -0.52% T3
36 SWE Jens Dantorp 80 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.98% 0.44% -0.54% T8
37 USA Sihwan Kim 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% 0.33% -0.65% T46
38 NZL Josh Geary 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% 0.33% -0.65% MC
39 SWE Marcus Kinhult 87 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.14% 0.9% 1.14% 0.23% T3 1.99
40 IRL Niall Kearney 87 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.14% 0.9% 0.79% -0.11% MC 1.99
41 ENG Dale Whitnell 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.87% 1.37% 0.5% T66 3.85
42 THA Jazz Janewattananond 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.87% 0.57% -0.3% MC
43 DEN Joachim B Hansen 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.87% 0.57% -0.31%
44 ESP Santiago Tarrio 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.87% 0.32% -0.55%
45 NED Darius Van Driel 97 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.02% 0.81% 0.59% -0.22% T29 1.79
46 ENG Daniel Gavins 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.79% 0.94% 0.16% MC 3.47
47 ENG Andy Sullivan 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.79% 0.68% -0.11% T8 3.47
48 FRA Victor Dubuisson 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.79% 0.33% -0.46% T11
49 NZL Daniel Hillier 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.79% 0.32% -0.47% 68
50 RSA Zander Lombard 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% 0.66% 0.03% T52 2.78
51 ESP Nacho Elvira 126 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.79% 0.63% 0.85% 0.22% T34 1.38
52 SCO Craig Howie 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.61% 0.08% T29
53 RSA Louis de Jager 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.59% 0.06% MC
54 ENG Robert Rock 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.47% -0.06% MC
55 USA Jamie Lovemark 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.32% -0.21%
56 ENG David Horsey 156 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.64% 0.51% 1.06% 0.56% T56
57 WAL Stuart Manley 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 4.22% 3.77% T52
58 ENG Ashley Chesters 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 1.17% 0.72% T34
59 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 0.69% 0.24% T8
60 RSA Darren Fichardt 175 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.57% 0.45% 0.55% 0.1% T20
61 ENG Matthew Baldwin 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 0.32% -0.13% T20
62 MAS Gavin Green 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 1.01% 0.62% T26
63 NED Daan Huizing 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.84% 0.45% T3
64 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.7% 0.31% MC
65 RSA Richard Sterne 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.67% 0.27% T20
66 ENG Garrick Porteous 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.64% 0.25% T16
67 CHI Hugo Leon 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.62% 0.23% T61
68 RSA Bryce Easton 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.2% MC
69 ESP Pep Angles Ros 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.41% 0.01% MC
70 WAL Oliver Farr 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0% T46
71 SWE Bjorn Hellgren 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.32% -0.08% MC
72 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.63% 0.31% MC
73 SCO Stephen Gallacher 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.54% 0.22% MC
74 ENG Andrew Wilson 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.53% 0.22% T34
75 ESP Pedro Oriol 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.33% 0.01% MC
76 ENG David Coupland 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.33% 0.01% MC
77 AUS Blake Windred 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.32% 0.01% MC
78 ESP Alvaro Quiros 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.3% -0.02% MC
79 AUS Scott Hend 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.46% 0.2% MC
80 ENG Laird Shepherd 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.36% 0.1% MC
81 SWE Anton Karlsson 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.34% 0.07% T66
82 RSA Jacques Blaauw 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.33% 0.06% MC
83 ENG Steven Brown 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.32% 0.06% MC
84 ENG Todd Clements 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.32% 0.05% T26
85 ENG Jonathan Thomson 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.3% 0.04% MC
86 ENG Lee Slattery 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 1.08% 0.86% T11
87 SWE Jesper Svensson 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.99% 0.76% MC
88 ESP Alejandro Canizares 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% 0.6% 0.37% MC
89 SCO Marc Warren 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.6% 0.37% MC
90 ENG Ben Stow 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.3% 0.08% T41
91 ENG Richard McEvoy 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.75% 0.55% T34
92 POR Ricardo Santos 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.69% 0.49% T41
93 FRA Robin Roussel 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.41% 0.21% T46
94 SWE Jesper Kennegard 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.34% 0.14% MC
95 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.32% 0.13% T41
96 ENG Alfie Plant 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.32% 0.13% T29
97 SCO David Drysdale 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.53% 0.37% T26
98 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.53% 0.37% MC
99 ENG Ross McGowan 500 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.52% 0.37% MC
100 AUS Jake McLeod 500 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.33% 0.17% MC
101 SWE Henric Sturehed 500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.32% 0.17% T46
102 POR Pedro Figueiredo 500 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.32% 0.16% T61
103 SCO Liam Johnston 500 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.32% 0.16% MC
104 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 500 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.31% 0.16% MC
105 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.38% 0.24% T41
106 ENG Ben Evans 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.32% 0.19% MC
107 AUS Rod Pampling 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.32% 0.19% MC
108 AUS Jarryd Felton 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.32% 0.19% T52
109 ENG Oliver Fisher 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.3% 0.17% 70
110 ENG Ryan Evans 636 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.16% 0.12% 0.32% 0.19% MC
111 ENG Nick McCarthy 636 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.16% 0.12% 0.32% 0.19% MC
112 ENG Matt Ford 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.4% 0.29% MC
113 ENG Adam Keogh 750 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.33% 0.23% MC
114 SWE Robin Petersson 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.32% 0.21% T3
115 FRA Damien Perrier 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.32% 0.22% T64
116 ENG Chris Paisley 861 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.12% 0.09% 0.68% 0.59% MC
117 ENG Jack Singh Brar 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.66% 0.58% MC
118 CHN Zhang Huilin 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.37% 0.28% MC
119 ENG Harley Smith 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% MC
120 ENG Frank Kennedy 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.24% MC
121 NIR Cormac Sharvin 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.22% MC
122 ENG David Howell 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.45% 0.37% MC
123 IRL Gavin Moynihan 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.25% MC
124 BAN Siddikur Rahman 1000 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.24% MC
125 IRL Simon Thornton 1000 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.24%
126 ENG David Dixon 1000 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.24% MC
127 ENG Jordan Wrisdale 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.24% T20
128 IMN Tom Gandy 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.24% MC
129 ENG Graeme Storm 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.22% MC
130 IRL Paul Dunne 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.18% MC
131 BEL Kristof Ulenaers 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.34% 0.28% MC
132 USA Tyler Koivisto 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.34% 0.27% WD
133 IRL David Higgins 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.35% 0.29% MC
134 SCO Greig Hutcheon 1500 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.34% 0.29% MC
135 AUS Dimi Papadatos 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
136 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% T11
137 SCO Richard McDonald 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
138 ENG Gary Boyd 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
139 CHN Backjun Bobby An 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
140 IRL Simon Thornton 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
141 ENG Bradley Bawden 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
142 ENG Thomas Thurloway 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
143 USA Aman Gupta 0% 0% 0% 0% T61
144 ENG Dan Bradbury 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 16.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 4.1 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 33.2% 17.4%
2 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 36.2% 19.9%
3 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 36.6% 20.4%
4 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 37% 20.7%
5 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 51.2% 24.6%
6 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 63.7% 24.6%
7 Coral 8 @ 1/5 63.7% 24.6%
8 Betway 7 @ 1/5 52.4% 25.5%
9 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 45.3% 28%
10 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 46.1% 28.7%
11 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 46.1% 28.7%
12 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 47.4% 29.9%
13 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 44.8% 30%
14 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 45.7% 30.8%
15 VBet 5 @ 1/4 51.1% 33.2%
16 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 64.7% 35.6%
17 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 64.7% 35.6%
18 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 81% 37.8%
19 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 53.8% 38%
20 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 53.9% 38.1%
21 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 60.4% 44%