Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 10.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 2.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 38.4

Total Profit: -61.7

Dutch Open

26/05/2022 - 29/05/2022

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 18 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.4% 1.49% -2.91% T24
2 BEL Thomas Pieters 22 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.64% 2.81% -0.83% T10
3 POL Adrian Meronk 22 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.64% 2.42% -1.22% 3
4 NZL Ryan Fox 22 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.64% 2.24% -1.4% 2
5 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 25 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.22% 0.91% -2.31% T10
6 ENG Jordan L Smith 28 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.88% 2.32% -0.56% T24
7 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.46% 1.22% -1.25% MC
8 RSA Oliver Bekker 35 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.32% 2.91% 0.59% MC 10.32
9 ESP Adrian Otaegui 35 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.32% 1.55% -0.77% 65
10 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 40 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.04% 1.7% -0.34% MC
11 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 40 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.04% 1.4% -0.64% T56
12 FRA Romain Langasque 45 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.82% 1.45% -0.37% T31
13 RSA Dean Burmester 45 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.82% 1.04% -0.78% MC
14 BEL Thomas Detry 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.82% 0.7% -1.12% MC
15 ENG Richard Mansell 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.64% 0.58% -1.06% 9
16 FRA Victor Perez 50 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.64% 0.51% -1.13% 1
17 RSA George Coetzee 55 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.49% 0.57% -0.93% MC
18 FRA Julien Brun 60 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.37% 1.43% 0.06% MC 6.1
19 ITA Edoardo Molinari 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.37% 1.13% -0.25% T37
20 CHN Li Haotong 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.25% 1.73% 0.48% T37 5.55
21 ENG Callum Shinkwin 66 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.25% 0.79% -0.45% T37
22 ENG Marcus Armitage 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.25% 0.66% -0.59% T31
23 USA Johannes Veerman 70 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.18% 0.6% -0.58% MC
24 SWE Alexander Bjork 70 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.18% 0.59% -0.59% T7
25 FIN Mikko Korhonen 73 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.9/1) 1.35% 1.13% 1.08% -0.05% T14 5.03
26 ENG Matthew Jordan 75 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 1.1% 1.68% 0.58% T51 4.89
27 RSA JC Ritchie 75 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.32% 1.1% 0.7% -0.4% T24
28 USA John Catlin 77 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.5/1) 1.28% 1.07% 0.42% -0.66% MC
29 SCO Richie Ramsay 80 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.03% 1.58% 0.54% T43 4.59
30 USA Chase Hanna 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.03% 1.35% 0.32% MC 4.59
31 GER Yannik Paul 80 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.03% 0.96% -0.08% MC 4.59
32 RSA Thriston Lawrence 80 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.03% 0.95% -0.08% MC 4.59
33 ENG Matt Wallace 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.03% 0.31% -0.73% T5
34 NED Wil Besseling 92 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.4/1) 1.08% 0.9% 0.57% -0.33% MC
35 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.83% 1.69% 0.86% MC 3.68
36 USA Sean Crocker 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.83% 0.38% -0.44%
37 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.83% 0.33% -0.5% MC
38 CHN Wu Ashun 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.77% 1.25% 0.47% T47 3.44
39 SCO Connor Syme 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.77% 1.13% 0.36% MC 3.44
40 THA Jazz Janewattananond 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.75% 0.83% 0.07% T31 3.35
41 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.75% 0.59% -0.17% T47 3.35
42 ENG Ross Fisher 110 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.75% 0.58% -0.18% T51
43 NED Joost Luiten 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.71% 0.6% -0.11% T43 3.15
44 FRA Victor Dubuisson 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.66% 2.03% 1.36% 2.95
45 SWE Marcus Kinhult 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.66% 0.99% 0.33% MC 2.95
46 RSA Wilco Nienaber 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.66% 0.98% 0.31% MC 2.95
47 RSA Justin Walters 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.66% 0.88% 0.21% MC 2.95
48 SCO Ewen Ferguson 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.66% 0.87% 0.2% T37 2.95
49 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.66% 0.76% 0.1% T5 (tied w/2) 2.95 +38.4
50 GER Hurly Long 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.66% 0.89% 0.23% T10 2.93
51 AUS Jason Scrivener 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.66% 0.82% 0.16% MC 2.93
52 SCO Grant Forrest 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.66% 0.66% 0% T43 2.93
53 ESP Jorge Campillo 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.66% 0.57% -0.09% T21 2.93
54 SCO Scott Jamieson 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.61% 1.35% 0.74% MC
55 AUT Lukas Nemecz 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.61% 1.03% 0.42% MC
56 FRA Antoine Rozner 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.61% 0.44% -0.17% T21
57 FRA Julien Guerrier 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.57% 0.91% 0.34% MC
58 ENG Andy Sullivan 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.57% 0.6% 0.03% MC
59 ENG David Horsey 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% 0.83% 0.28% MC
60 ITA Francesco Laporta 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% 0.76% 0.21% T56
61 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% 0.4% -0.15% T31
62 ARG Daniel Vancsik 156 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24/1) 0.64% 0.53% 0.2% -0.33%
63 ESP Nacho Elvira 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.48% 0.92% 0.45% MC
64 IND Shubhankar Sharma 175 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.48% 0.65% 0.17% T14
65 FIN Kalle Samooja 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.48% 0.49% 0.02% MC
66 SCO David Law 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.48% 0.45% -0.02% T37
67 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 175 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.48% 0.45% -0.02% MC
68 DEN Jeff Winther 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.48% 0.39% -0.08% T47
69 ENG Eddie Pepperell 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.48% 0.26% -0.21% T14
70 ESP Santiago Tarrio 185 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.1/1) 0.54% 0.45% 0.2% -0.25%
71 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 195 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.1/1) 0.51% 0.43% 0.43% 0% T14
72 RSA Brandon Stone 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% 0.56% 0.14% MC
73 ITA Guido Migliozzi 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% 0.37% -0.05% T10
74 ENG Paul Waring 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% 0.29% -0.12% MC
75 GER Maximilian Kieffer 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% 0.2% -0.22% T14
76 SCO Craig Howie 205 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.1/1) 0.49% 0.41% 0.54% 0.14% MC
77 ENG Daniel Gavins 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.39% 0.95% 0.56% MC
78 GER Marcel Schneider 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.34% 0.8% 0.46% 4
79 MAS Gavin Green 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.34% 0.65% 0.31% MC
80 FIN Sami Valimaki 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.34% 0.63% 0.28% MC
81 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.57% 0.24% T24
82 ENG James Morrison 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.5% 0.17% MC
83 NOR Espen Kofstad 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.49% 0.16% MC
84 ENG Oliver Wilson 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.34% 0.01% 64
85 ESP Alejandro Canizares 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.32% -0.01% MC
86 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.31% -0.02% MC
87 ENG Jack Senior 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.31% 0.69% 0.39% T31
88 ITA Nino Bertasio 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.31% 0.42% 0.12% MC
89 GER Marcel Siem 283 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.4/1) 0.35% 0.29% 0.51% 0.21% MC
90 ENG Dale Whitnell 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 1.05% 0.77% T14
91 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.93% 0.65% MC
92 ENG Robert Rock 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.67% 0.4% MC
93 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.58% 0.31% MC
94 ENG Chris Wood 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.4% 0.12% MC
95 GER Sebastian Heisele 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.29% 0.02% 62
96 RSA Zander Lombard 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.26% -0.02% MC
97 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.27% 0.37% 0.1% MC
98 FRA Frederic LaCroix 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.27% 0.27% 0% T24
99 RSA Darren Fichardt 350 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% 0.4% 0.16% T37
100 NED Darius Van Driel 350 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% 0.34% 0.1% MC
101 SWE Joakim Lagergren 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% 0.3% 0.06% MC
102 FRA Benjamin Hebert 381 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.7/1) 0.26% 0.22% 0.27% 0.05% MC
103 AUS Maverick Antcliff 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.51% 0.3% MC
104 POR Ricardo Santos 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.49% 0.28% MC
105 ENG Matthew Southgate 411 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.7/1) 0.24% 0.2% 0.39% 0.19% MC
106 WAL Oliver Farr 420 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.6/1) 0.24% 0.2% 0.37% 0.17% T51
107 POR Ricardo Gouveia 430 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.6/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.26% 0.07% T7
108 ITA Renato Paratore 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.29% 0.12% MC
109 CHI Hugo Leon 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.29% 0.12% MC
110 ENG Ashley Chesters 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.29% 0.12% T21
111 ENG Jack Singh Brar 500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.72% 0.56% MC
112 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.31% 0.14% T24
113 NED Lars Van Meijel 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.56% 0.42% T56
114 ENG Richard McEvoy 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.42% 0.29% MC
115 AUS Scott Hend 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.33% 0.19% T14
116 USA Julian Suri 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.21% 0.07% MC
117 NED Rowin Caron 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.2% 0.06%
118 ENG Andrew Wilson 636 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 76.7/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.38% 0.25% MC
119 SCO David Drysdale 636 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 76.7/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.25% 0.12% MC
120 ENG Steven Brown 685 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.9/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.31% 0.19% MC
121 ESP Alvaro Quiros 734 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 85.1/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.2% 0.08% 63
122 ITA Andrea Pavan 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.52% 0.42% T51
123 FRA Robin Roussel 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.48% 0.37% MC
124 ENG Ross McGowan 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.42% 0.31% T56
125 SWE Rikard Karlberg 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.33% 0.23% MC
126 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.25% 0.15% T43
127 SCO Stephen Gallacher 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.24% 0.14% T24
128 NED Daan Huizing 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.23% 0.12% MC
129 NED Koen Kouwenaar 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% MC
130 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.2% 0.12% MC
131 NED Kiet Van Der Weele 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.2% 0.12% MC
132 SCO Marc Warren 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.4% 0.31% MC
133 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.24% T56
134 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.24% MC
135 AUS Zach Murray 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.18% MC
136 FRA Joel Stalter 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.14% T56
137 UKR Lev Grinberg 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.21% 0.12% MC
138 FRA Romain Wattel 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% MC
139 DEN Thomas Bjorn 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.4% 0.34% T51
140 ENG Oliver Fisher 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.33% 0.27% WD
141 NIR Cormac Sharvin 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.33% 0.27% MC
142 RSA Haydn Porteous 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.31% 0.27% MC
143 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.27% 0.24% MC
144 ENG David Howell 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.23% 0.19% WD
145 ENG Graeme Storm 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.23% 0.19% MC
146 NED Robbie Van West 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.2% 0.17% MC
147 ESP Javier Ballesteros 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.2% 0.17% MC
148 NED Dario Antonisse 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.2% 0.17% MC
149 CHN Zhang Huilin 5000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% 0.28% 0.26% MC
150 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% T47
151 USA Sihwan Kim 0% 0% 0% 0% T31
152 ENG David Coupland 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 ESP Pep Angles Ros 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 NED Rowin Caron 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 NED Mats Markovits 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 NED Jerry Ji 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
159 NED Jack Ingham 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
160 NED Thijmen Batens 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 10.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 2.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 26.5% 11.5%
2 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 28.8% 13.6%
3 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 17.1% 17.1%
4 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 34% 18.1%
5 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 65.6% 26.1%
6 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 66.2% 26.5%
7 Coral 8 @ 1/5 66.2% 26.5%
8 Betway 7 @ 1/5 59.4% 31.3%
9 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 47.2% 32.3%
10 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 49% 33.8%
11 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 51.1% 35.8%
12 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 51.5% 36.1%
13 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 51.5% 36.1%
14 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 54.6% 36.3%
15 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 51.8% 36.4%
16 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 52.7% 37.2%
17 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 68.9% 39.2%
18 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 68.9% 39.2%
19 VBet 6 @ 1/5 64.1% 47.4%