Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 15.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 4.3 %

Total Probability Staked: 26.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 217.6

Total Profit: +117.5



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 SCO Robert MacIntyre 25 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.15% 1.89% -1.26% T36
2 POL Adrian Meronk 25 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.15% 1.66% -1.49% MC
3 ENG Jordan L Smith 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.82% 1.64% -1.19% T21
4 ENG Sam Horsfield 28 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.82% 1.61% -1.21% T21
5 RSA Dean Burmester 33 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.41% 1.31% -1.1% MC
6 ENG Laurie Canter 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.41% 1.19% -1.22% MC
7 ENG Lee Westwood 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.41% 1.01% -1.4% MC
8 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.41% 0.86% -1.55% T16
9 ENG Danny Willett 33 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.41% 0.77% -1.64% T16
10 ENG Richard Bland 35 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.28% 1.44% -0.83% MC
11 ESP Adria Arnaus 39 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 2.5% 2.05% 1.75% -0.29% T48
12 BEL Thomas Detry 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2% 1.18% -0.82% T54
13 RSA Justin Harding 40 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2% 0.96% -1.04% T16
14 NZL Ryan Fox 40 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2% 0.65% -1.35% T8
15 RSA Oliver Bekker 41 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 2.38% 1.95% 2.65% 0.7% T27 4.28
16 ESP Adrian Otaegui 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.78% 1.76% -0.02% T27 7.81
17 FIN Mikko Korhonen 50 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.61% 0.58% -1.02% T8
18 FRA Victor Perez 55 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.46% 0.83% -0.63% T21
19 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 56 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.75% 1.44% 1.9% 0.46% MC 3.15
20 ITA Edoardo Molinari 60 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.34% 1.35% 0.01% T36 5.89
21 RSA Thriston Lawrence 66 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.22% 1.68% 0.46% T36 5.36
22 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 66 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.22% 0.94% -0.28% 1 5.36 +217.6
23 ENG Marcus Armitage 66 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.22% 0.93% -0.29% T21
24 FRA Antoine Rozner 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.22% 0.92% -0.3% MC
25 RSA George Coetzee 70 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.15% 0.65% -0.5% T36
26 FRA Romain Langasque 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.01% 0.55% -0.46% T8
27 CHN Li Haotong 85 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.16% 0.95% 2.03% 1.08% MC 2.09
28 ENG Ross Fisher 89 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.11% 0.91% 0.52% -0.39% MC
29 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.9% 1.39% 0.49% 67 3.95
30 USA Johannes Veerman 90 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.9% 0.92% 0.02% MC 3.95
31 AUS Jason Scrivener 90 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.9% 0.68% -0.22% T45 3.95
32 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.81% 1.94% 1.13% MC 3.56
33 FRA Matthieu Pavon 100 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.81% 1.36% 0.54% MC 3.56
34 CHN Wu Ashun 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.81% 1.25% 0.44% T27 3.56
35 AUT Lukas Nemecz 100 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.81% 1.19% 0.38% MC 3.56
36 SWE Alexander Bjork 100 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.81% 0.99% 0.18% MC 3.56
37 ENG Daniel Gavins 100 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.81% 0.67% -0.15% MC 3.56
38 USA John Catlin 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.81% 0.6% -0.21% T36 3.56
39 NED Wil Besseling 100 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.81% 0.51% -0.3% MC
40 ENG Matthew Jordan 104 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.95% 0.78% 0.8% 0.02% MC 1.71
41 ESP Jorge Campillo 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.74% 0.48% -0.25% MC 3.24
42 DEN Joachim B Hansen 113 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.88% 0.72% 1.33% 0.61% MC 1.58
43 FRA Julien Brun 123 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.81% 0.66% 1.08% 0.42% T8 1.45
44 SCO Scott Jamieson 123 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.81% 0.66% 1.07% 0.41% MC 1.45
45 SCO Ewen Ferguson 125 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 1.17% 0.52% MC 2.85
46 ENG Tom Lewis 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 0.71% 0.06% MC 2.85
47 GER Yannik Paul 125 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 0.7% 0.05% T16 2.85
48 SCO Craig Howie 125 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 0.67% 0.02% MC 2.85
49 FIN Kalle Samooja 125 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 0.63% -0.02% MC 2.85
50 ENG Callum Shinkwin 125 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 0.45% -0.2% T16 2.85
51 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 0.41% -0.24% T8 2.85
52 ARG Daniel Vancsik 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 0.19% -0.46%
53 ENG Richard Mansell 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.58% 0.27% -0.31% T8
54 CAN Aaron Cockerill 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.54% 1.39% 0.85% MC
55 SWE Marcus Kinhult 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 1.07% 0.53% T27
56 DEN Jeff Winther 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.67% 0.13% MC
57 THA Jazz Janewattananond 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.54% 0.64% 0.1% T27
58 RSA Justin Walters 150 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.61% 0.07% T3
59 AUS Wade Ormsby 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.52% -0.03% MC
60 ENG Andy Sullivan 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.54% 0.5% -0.05% MC
61 FIN Sami Valimaki 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.54% 0.48% -0.06% MC
62 ENG David Horsey 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.46% -0.08% MC
63 SCO Richie Ramsay 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.36% -0.19% T3
64 SCO David Law 150 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.35% -0.19% MC
65 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.54% 0.34% -0.2% T59
66 POR Ricardo Gouveia 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.54% 0.24% -0.31% MC
67 ITA Guido Migliozzi 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.18% -0.37% MC
68 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 151 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.66% 0.54% 0.71% 0.17% MC
69 RSA JC Ritchie 151 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.66% 0.54% 0.35% -0.19% T8
70 FRA Victor Dubuisson 161 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.62% 0.51% 1.31% 0.8%
71 IND Shubhankar Sharma 161 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.62% 0.51% 0.55% 0.05% MC
72 ITA Francesco Laporta 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.47% 0.53% 0.07% MC
73 SCO Grant Forrest 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.47% 0.47% 0% MC
74 SCO Connor Syme 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.47% 0.41% -0.06% T3
75 ENG Eddie Pepperell 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.47% 0.34% -0.12% T48
76 FRA Julien Guerrier 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.47% 0.31% -0.15% MC
77 NED Joost Luiten 180 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.55% 0.45% 0.28% -0.17% T36
78 GER Hurly Long 199 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.5% 0.41% 0.8% 0.39% T6
79 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 199 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.5% 0.41% 0.75% 0.34% MC
80 ENG Jack Senior 199 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.5% 0.41% 0.51% 0.1% MC
81 ENG Oliver Wilson 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.56% 0.15% MC
82 USA Sean Crocker 200 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.53% 0.12% MC
83 RSA Brandon Stone 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.38% -0.02% T43
84 ENG James Morrison 200 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.35% -0.05% T27
85 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.28% -0.12% T43
86 ENG David Coupland 200 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.27% -0.13% T51
87 ESP Santiago Tarrio 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.19% -0.21%
88 RSA Zander Lombard 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.76% 0.44% 66
89 ENG Robert Rock 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.59% 0.26% MC
90 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.55% 0.22% T27
91 ENG Paul Waring 250 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.51% 0.18% T63
92 ESP Nacho Elvira 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.43% 0.11% MC
93 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.43% 0.1% MC
94 NOR Espen Kofstad 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.31% -0.02% T36
95 FRA Benjamin Hebert 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.3% -0.02% T45
96 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.29% -0.03% 2
97 SWE Niklas Lemke 265 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.38% 0.31% 0.31% 0% MC
98 RSA Darren Fichardt 275 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.36% 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% MC
99 ITA Nino Bertasio 275 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.36% 0.3% 0.47% 0.17% MC
100 GER Sebastian Heisele 275 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.36% 0.3% 0.43% 0.14% MC
101 ENG Ashley Chesters 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.59% 0.32% MC
102 ENG Richard McEvoy 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.59% 0.32% T63
103 GER Marcel Siem 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.44% 0.17% MC
104 WAL Jamie Donaldson 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.38% 0.11% T8
105 AUS Maverick Antcliff 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.32% 0.05% MC
106 SCO David Drysdale 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.31% 0.04% MC
107 MAS Gavin Green 313 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.32% 0.26% 0.77% 0.51% T48
108 ENG Garrick Porteous 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% 0.35% 0.12% MC
109 USA Chase Hanna 360 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.28% 0.23% 1.02% 0.79% T6
110 CHI Hugo Leon 360 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.28% 0.23% 0.23% 0% 62
111 NED Darius Van Driel 360 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.28% 0.23% 0.22% 0% T57
112 ENG Matthew Southgate 370 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.27% 0.22% 0.49% 0.27% T57
113 GER Marcel Schneider 389 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.26% 0.21% 0.39% 0.18% MC
114 ESP Alejandro Canizares 398 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.25% 0.21% 0.39% 0.19% WD
115 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 398 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.25% 0.21% 0.36% 0.16% MC
116 ENG Steven Brown 398 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.25% 0.21% 0.27% 0.06% MC
117 ENG Dale Whitnell 400 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.51% 0.31% MC
118 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.28% 0.08% MC
119 RSA Richard Sterne 427 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.21% 0.02% T54
120 FRA Frederic LaCroix 436 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.36% 0.17% T21
121 ENG Andrew Wilson 455 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.22% 0.18% 0.65% 0.47% MC
122 SWE Joakim Lagergren 484 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.21% 0.17% 0.42% 0.25% MC
123 ENG Jack Singh Brar 500 (QuinnBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.56% 0.39% T27
124 SCO Stephen Gallacher 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.38% 0.21% MC
125 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.29% 0.13% MC
126 POR Ricardo Santos 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.25% 0.09% MC
127 AUS Zach Murray 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.21% 0.05% MC
128 ITA Renato Paratore 560 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.39% 0.24% MC
129 DEN Thomas Bjorn 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.36% 0.23% T59
130 ENG Ross McGowan 664 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.34% 0.22% MC
131 ITA Andrea Pavan 683 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.4% 0.28% MC
132 ENG Chris Paisley 750 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.38% 0.27% MC
133 WAL Bradley Dredge 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.19% 0.09% MC
134 ENG Ben Schmidt 750 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.19% 0.09% T63
135 ESP Pep Angles Ros 778 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.55% 0.45% T59
136 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.41% 0.31% 68
137 ENG Chris Wood 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.49% 0.4% MC
138 SCO Marc Warren 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.39% 0.31% MC
139 SWE Rikard Karlberg 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.34% 0.25% MC
140 ESP Alvaro Quiros 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.33% 0.25% MC
141 IRL Paul Dunne 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.2% 0.12% MC
142 ENG Oliver Fisher 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.52% 0.44% MC
143 NED Daan Huizing 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.24% T51
144 ENG Graeme Storm 1000 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21% MC
145 FRA Robin Roussel 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.2% T45
146 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.11% T54
147 NIR Cormac Sharvin 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.55% 0.5% MC
148 FRA Joel Stalter 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.32% 0.26% T51
149 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.21% 0.16% MC
150 RSA Haydn Porteous 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.28% 0.24% MC
151 ENG David Howell 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.32% 0.29% MC
152 SCO Greig Hutcheon 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.19% 0.16% MC
153 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% T27
154 FRA Adrien Saddier 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% T21
156 ENG Ben Stow 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 ENG Adam Keogh 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
159 ENG Harley Smith 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 15.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 4.3 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 34% 18.1%
2 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 37.2% 20.9%
3 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 37.2% 20.9%
4 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 60.2% 22%
5 Coral 8 @ 1/5 60.2% 22%
6 Betway 7 @ 1/5 51.3% 24.6%
7 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 64.7% 25.3%
8 QuinnBet 7 @ 1/5 52.3% 25.5%
9 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 53.1% 26.2%
10 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 46.8% 31.8%
11 VBet 7 @ 1/5 60.2% 32.1%
12 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 48.5% 33.4%
13 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 48.5% 33.4%
14 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 52.5% 37%
15 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 52.8% 37.3%
16 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 58.4% 39.7%
17 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 70.4% 40.4%
18 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 70.4% 40.4%
19 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 57.3% 41.4%