Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 6.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 1.4 %

Total Probability Staked: 27.8 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 51.4

Total Profit: -48.7



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Adrian Otaegui 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.34% 2.27% -1.07% MC
2 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.34% 1.61% -1.73% T13
3 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 25 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.34% 1.34% -2% 8
4 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 25 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.34% 0.8% -2.54% T42
5 ENG Richard Bland 28 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.99% 1.75% -1.24% T66
6 POL Adrian Meronk 35 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.41% 1.57% -0.84% T3
7 ENG Jordan L Smith 35 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 2.78% 2.41% 1.33% -1.08% T18
8 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.12% 2.39% 0.27% T13 9.52
9 ESP Adria Arnaus 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.12% 1.17% -0.94% 1
10 ENG Laurie Canter 40 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.12% 0.74% -1.38% T3
11 CHN Li Haotong 50 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.7% 1.94% 0.24% T26 7.65
12 FRA Romain Langasque 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.7% 0.76% -0.95% MC
13 RSA Oliver Bekker 55 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.55% 2.37% 0.82% 2 6.97 +51.4
14 ENG Ross Fisher 55 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.55% 0.52% -1.03% T42
15 ENG Marcus Armitage 56 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.75% 1.52% 0.98% -0.55% MC
16 FRA Matthieu Pavon 60 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.42% 2.39% 0.97% MC 6.4
17 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 60 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.42% 0.91% -0.51% T33
18 FRA Antoine Rozner 61 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.61% 1.4% 1.47% 0.07% MC 3.15
19 FRA Victor Perez 61 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.61% 1.4% 1.23% -0.17% MC 3.15
20 NZL Ryan Fox 61 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.61% 1.4% 0.49% -0.91% T9
21 USA Johannes Veerman 66 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.3% 1.19% -0.11% MC 5.83
22 FIN Mikko Korhonen 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.3% 1.02% -0.27% T33
23 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.3% 0.38% -0.91% MC
24 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 70 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.41% 1.22% 1.75% 0.53% T6 2.75
25 ENG Matthew Jordan 70 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.41% 1.22% 1.13% -0.1% MC 2.75
26 AUS Jason Scrivener 75 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 1.14% 0.59% -0.55% T18
27 RSA Thriston Lawrence 80 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.07% 1.41% 0.34% T18 4.82
28 SWE Alexander Bjork 80 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.07% 1.22% 0.15% T33 4.82
29 FRA Julien Brun 80 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.23% 1.07% 1.16% 0.09% T42 2.41
30 IND Shubhankar Sharma 80 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.07% 1.02% -0.05% MC 4.82
31 ENG Callum Shinkwin 80 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.07% 0.71% -0.36% MC
32 USA John Catlin 80 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.23% 1.07% 0.68% -0.39% MC
33 ENG Tom Lewis 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.07% 0.49% -0.58% MC
34 DEN Joachim B Hansen 85 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.16% 1.01% 1.5% 0.49% MC 2.27
35 SCO Scott Jamieson 85 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.16% 1.01% 1.16% 0.15% MC 2.27
36 FRA Victor Dubuisson 90 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.95% 1.67% 0.72% 4.29
37 SWE Marcus Kinhult 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.86% 1.05% 0.19% MC 3.87
38 AUS Wade Ormsby 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.86% 0.62% -0.24% MC
39 ITA Edoardo Molinari 110 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.78% 0.73% -0.05% T6 3.52
40 ESP Jorge Campillo 110 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.78% 0.51% -0.28% T33
41 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.78% 0.42% -0.36% MC
42 CAN Aaron Cockerill 113 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.88% 0.76% 1.56% 0.79% MC 1.72
43 ENG David Horsey 123 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.81% 0.7% 1.05% 0.35% MC 1.58
44 CHN Wu Ashun 123 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.81% 0.7% 0.95% 0.25% T26 1.58
45 FIN Kalle Samooja 123 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.81% 0.7% 0.66% -0.04% MC 1.58
46 NED Joost Luiten 123 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.81% 0.7% 0.38% -0.32% MC
47 AUT Lukas Nemecz 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.69% 1.56% 0.88% T26 3.1
48 GER Hurly Long 125 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.69% 1.2% 0.51% T42 3.1
49 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.69% 0.55% -0.14% T60 3.1
50 FRA Julien Guerrier 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.69% 0.52% -0.17% MC 3.1
51 ESP Nacho Elvira 125 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.69% 0.36% -0.33% MC
52 RSA Brandon Stone 125 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.69% 0.32% -0.37% MC
53 ENG Eddie Pepperell 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.69% 0.31% -0.38% MC
54 ARG Daniel Vancsik 132 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.75% 0.65% 0.2% -0.45%
55 SCO Richie Ramsay 142 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.7% 0.61% 0.64% 0.03% MC
56 SCO Connor Syme 142 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.7% 0.61% 0.46% -0.15% MC
57 USA Sihwan Kim 142 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.7% 0.61% 0.22% -0.38% MC
58 SCO David Law 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.57% 0.57% 0% T42
59 GER Marcel Siem 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 0.54% -0.04% MC
60 GER Yannik Paul 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.57% 0.47% -0.11% T52
61 ESP Santiago Tarrio 150 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 0.2% -0.37%
62 THA Jazz Janewattananond 151 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.66% 0.57% 0.62% 0.05% T63
63 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 161 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.62% 0.54% 0.89% 0.36% T9
64 ITA Francesco Laporta 161 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.62% 0.54% 0.77% 0.23% MC
65 DEN Jeff Winther 161 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.62% 0.54% 0.59% 0.05% T66
66 ENG Daniel Gavins 161 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.62% 0.54% 0.54% 0.01% T13
67 ENG Jack Senior 161 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.62% 0.54% 0.52% -0.02% MC
68 NED Wil Besseling 161 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.62% 0.54% 0.32% -0.22% T9
69 SCO Ewen Ferguson 170 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.58% 0.51% 1.7% 1.19% T52
70 SCO Craig Howie 170 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.58% 0.51% 0.52% 0.01%
71 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.49% 0.26% -0.23% T33
72 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 189 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.53% 0.46% 0.61% 0.15% MC
73 ENG Andy Sullivan 199 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.5% 0.43% 0.62% 0.19% MC
74 FIN Sami Valimaki 199 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.5% 0.43% 0.59% 0.16% T18
75 ITA Nino Bertasio 199 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.5% 0.43% 0.34% -0.09%
76 RSA Justin Walters 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.5% 0.07% T42
77 SCO Grant Forrest 208 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.48% 0.42% 0.55% 0.14% T55
78 ITA Guido Migliozzi 208 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.48% 0.42% 0.28% -0.13% T66
79 FRA Benjamin Hebert 218 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.46% 0.4% 0.44% 0.05% MC
80 ENG Richard Mansell 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.38% 0.22% -0.16% T26
81 FRA Adrien Saddier 237 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.42% 0.36% 0.41% 0.04% T33
82 WAL Jamie Donaldson 246 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.4% 0.35% 0.95% 0.6% MC
83 USA Sean Crocker 246 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.4% 0.35% 0.53% 0.18% MC
84 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.35% 0.8% 0.45% T55
85 ENG James Morrison 250 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.35% 0.35% 0.01% T33
86 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 256 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.39% 0.34% 0.41% 0.07% MC
87 ENG Oliver Wilson 265 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.38% 0.33% 0.59% 0.26% T42
88 RSA Zander Lombard 284 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.35% 0.3% 0.48% 0.17% MC
89 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 0.53% 0.24% T26
90 RSA Darren Fichardt 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 0.51% 0.22% T26
91 ENG Garrick Porteous 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.48% 0.2% MC
92 ESP Pep Angles Ros 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.43% 0.14% MC
93 SCO David Drysdale 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 0.24% -0.05% T52
94 ENG Ashley Chesters 303 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.33% 0.29% 0.79% 0.5% MC
95 ENG Andrew Wilson 313 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.32% 0.28% 0.55% 0.27% MC
96 RSA Richard Sterne 313 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.32% 0.28% 0.36% 0.08% MC
97 SWE Niklas Lemke 322 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.31% 0.27% 0.28% 0.01% T22
98 MAS Gavin Green 332 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.3% 0.26% 0.69% 0.43% T22
99 ENG Matthew Southgate 332 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.3% 0.26% 0.5% 0.24% MC
100 NOR Espen Kofstad 341 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.29% 0.25% 0.24% -0.01% T22
101 ESP Pedro Oriol 350 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.25% 0.2% -0.05% MC
102 USA Chase Hanna 360 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.93% 0.69% MC
103 CHI Hugo Leon 360 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.27% 0.03% MC
104 ENG Dale Whitnell 389 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.26% 0.22% 0.48% 0.26% MC
105 POR Ricardo Gouveia 398 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.25% 0.22% 0.42% 0.2% T26
106 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 398 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.25% 0.22% 0.31% 0.09% T9
107 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 0.28% 0.07% T13
108 GER Sebastian Heisele 408 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.24% 0.21% 0.2% -0.01% T22
109 SWE Joakim Lagergren 417 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.24% 0.21% 0.41% 0.2% MC
110 FRA Frederic LaCroix 427 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.41% 0.2% MC
111 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 436 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.44% 0.25% MC
112 AUS Maverick Antcliff 436 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.34% 0.14% T63
113 NIR Tom McKibbin 436 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.18% -0.02% MC
114 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 474 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.18% 0% MC
115 ESP Alejandro Canizares 493 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.3% 0.12% T42
116 ENG Ross McGowan 500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.44% 0.26% MC
117 ENG Jack Singh Brar 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.35% 0.17% MC
118 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 522 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.19% 0.17% 1.12% 0.96% MC
119 WAL Oliver Farr 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% MC
120 ITA Andrea Pavan 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.29% 0.15% T42
121 ITA Renato Paratore 617 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.42% 0.28% MC
122 NED Lars Van Meijel 626 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.67% 0.53% T55
123 ENG Chris Wood 626 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.29% 0.15% MC
124 NED Darius Van Driel 674 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.28% 0.15% T33
125 POR Ricardo Santos 712 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.52% 0.4% T66
126 ESP Alvaro Quiros 721 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.37% 0.25% MC
127 ENG Chris Paisley 750 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.12% 0.28% 0.16% MC
128 AUS Scott Hend 750 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.12% 0.24% 0.12% MC
129 ENG David Coupland 759 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.27% 0.16% T60
130 GER Marcel Schneider 769 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.21% 0.1% T13
131 SCO Marc Warren 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.51% 0.41% MC
132 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 892 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.21% 0.12% T55
133 DEN Thomas Bjorn 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.53% 0.44% T33
134 ENG Richard McEvoy 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.31% 0.22% T3
135 SWE Rikard Karlberg 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.29% 0.19% MC
136 NED Daan Huizing 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.28% 0.19% MC
137 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.23% 0.14% MC
138 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.23% 0.13% MC
139 AUS Zach Murray 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.23% 0.13% MC
140 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.23% 0.13% T60
141 ESP Eduard Rousaud 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.23% 0.13% MC
142 FRA Joel Stalter 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.31% 0.22% MC
143 RSA Haydn Porteous 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.27% 0.19% MC
144 FRA Robin Roussel 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.27% 0.18% MC
145 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.25% 0.16% 71
146 ENG Ben Stow 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.23% 0.14% MC
147 ENG Oliver Fisher 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.22% 0.14% MC
148 SWE Joel Sjoholm 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.21% 0.12% MC
149 NIR Cormac Sharvin 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.24% 0.18% MC
150 ENG David Howell 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.31% 0.27% T66
151 ENG Graeme Storm 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.31% 0.26% MC
152 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.24% 0.19% T55
153 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.23% 0.18% MC
154 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% T42
155 ESP Carlos Pigem 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 ENG Matt Ford 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 POR Pedro Figueiredo 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
159 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 0% 0% 0% 0% WD
160 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% T63
161 IRL Luke Donnelly 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 6.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 1.4 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 9.1% 9.1%
2 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 35.6% 19.5%
3 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 35.8% 19.7%
4 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 37.2% 21%
5 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 65.6% 26.1%
6 Coral 8 @ 1/5 65.6% 26.1%
7 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 55.8% 28.4%
8 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 58.3% 30.5%
9 Betway 7 @ 1/5 59.2% 31.2%
10 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 49.1% 34%
11 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 50.6% 35.4%
12 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 50.6% 35.4%
13 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 52.8% 37.3%
14 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 69% 39.3%
15 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 69% 39.3%
16 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 56.1% 40.3%
17 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 56.3% 40.4%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 57.1% 41.2%
19 Boyle Sports 6 @ 1/5 60.4% 44.1%
20 VBet 5 @ 1/4 65.6% 46.1%
21 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 73.8% 53.3%