Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 7.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 1.3 %

Total Probability Staked: 26.8 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 42.5

Total Profit: -57.7



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 20 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 4.76% 4.24% 0.76% -3.48% T69
2 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 23 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 4.17% 3.71% 2.03% -1.68% T38
3 ESP Adria Arnaus 25 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.42% 1.76% -1.67% MC
4 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 28 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.45% 3.07% 3.2% 0.13% T71 13.81
5 ENG Laurie Canter 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.17% 0.72% -1.45% T30
6 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 41 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 2.38% 2.12% 0.82% -1.3% 1
7 FRA Matthieu Pavon 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.94% 2.39% 0.45% MC 8.71
8 FRA Romain Langasque 45 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 2.17% 1.94% 1.18% -0.75% MC
9 NZL Ryan Fox 47 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 2.08% 1.85% 0.65% -1.2% T15
10 RSA Oliver Bekker 50 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.75% 1.63% -0.12% T10
11 USA John Catlin 50 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.75% 0.61% -1.14% T64
12 DEN Joachim B Hansen 51 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.92% 1.71% 1.22% -0.49% T49
13 FRA Julien Brun 56 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.75% 1.56% 2.47% 0.91% T56 3.52
14 RSA Thriston Lawrence 60 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.46% 1.95% 0.49% T38 6.57
15 ESP Adrian Otaegui 61 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.61% 1.44% 1.6% 0.16% 2 3.23
16 SCO Scott Jamieson 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.33% 1.85% 0.53% T10 5.98
17 USA Johannes Veerman 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.33% 1.73% 0.41% T38 5.98
18 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.33% 1.35% 0.02% T3 (tied w/2) 5.98 +42.5
19 SWE Alexander Bjork 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.33% 1.33% 0% MC 5.98
20 ENG Callum Shinkwin 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.33% 1.08% -0.25% MC
21 SCO Connor Syme 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.33% 0.79% -0.54% MC
22 FRA Antoine Rozner 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.33% 0.62% -0.71% 5
23 ENG Matthew Jordan 75 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.32% 1.17% 1.42% 0.24% T15 2.64
24 ENG Ross Fisher 75 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.32% 1.17% 0.63% -0.54% T15
25 CHN Wu Ashun 80 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.23% 1.1% 1.91% 0.81% MC 2.48
26 GER Hurly Long 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.1% 1.29% 0.19% MC 4.95
27 FIN Mikko Korhonen 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.1% 0.98% -0.12% T15
28 RSA Wilco Nienaber 80 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.23% 1.1% 0.88% -0.22% MC
29 ENG Daniel Gavins 80 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.1% 0.57% -0.53% MC
30 SCO Grant Forrest 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.1% 0.55% -0.55% MC
31 ITA Nino Bertasio 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.1% 0.5% -0.6% MC
32 USA Sihwan Kim 80 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.23% 1.1% 0.23% -0.87% MC
33 ARG Daniel Vancsik 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.1% 0.22% -0.87%
34 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 89 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.11% 0.99% 0.92% -0.07% T23 2.23
35 FRA Victor Perez 89 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.11% 0.99% 0.7% -0.29% T8
36 AUS Wade Ormsby 95 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.04% 0.93% 0.98% 0.05% T56 4.18
37 SCO Ewen Ferguson 100 (Boyle Sports: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.88% 2% 1.12% MC 3.97
38 FIN Kalle Samooja 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.88% 0.78% -0.1% T38 3.97
39 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 100 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.88% 0.62% -0.26% WD
40 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.88% 0.43% -0.45% MC
41 FRA Julien Guerrier 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.8% 0.58% -0.22% T49
42 SWE Marcus Kinhult 113 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.88% 0.78% 1.25% 0.47% MC 1.76
43 NED Joost Luiten 113 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.88% 0.78% 0.36% -0.43% MC
44 NED Wil Besseling 113 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.88% 0.78% 0.35% -0.43% MC
45 CHN Li Haotong 123 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.81% 0.72% 1.96% 1.24% 6 1.62
46 THA Jazz Janewattananond 123 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.81% 0.72% 0.59% -0.13% T38
47 ESP Jorge Campillo 123 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.81% 0.72% 0.53% -0.19% T30
48 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 123 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.81% 0.72% 0.43% -0.29% MC
49 ENG Andy Sullivan 123 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.81% 0.72% 0.43% -0.29% MC
50 SCO David Law 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.71% 0.77% 0.07% T54 3.18
51 SCO Craig Howie 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.71% 0.74% 0.04% T30 3.18
52 GER Marcel Siem 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.71% 0.64% -0.07% MC 3.18
53 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.71% 0.37% -0.34% MC
54 SWE Niklas Lemke 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.71% 0.36% -0.35% MC
55 FIN Sami Valimaki 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.71% 0.29% -0.42% MC
56 ESP Santiago Tarrio 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.71% 0.22% -0.48%
57 DEN Jeff Winther 132 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.75% 0.67% 1.08% 0.41% T56 1.51
58 ITA Francesco Laporta 132 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.75% 0.67% 0.98% 0.31% MC 1.51
59 AUT Lukas Nemecz 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.63% 1.17% 0.54% T15
60 ESP Nacho Elvira 142 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.7% 0.62% 0.69% 0.07% MC
61 USA Chase Hanna 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.59% 0.88% 0.29% MC
62 USA Sean Crocker 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.59% 0.5% -0.09% MC
63 RSA Zander Lombard 151 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.66% 0.59% 0.59% 0.01% MC
64 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.55% 0.17% -0.38% T23
65 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 161 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.62% 0.55% 1.25% 0.7% T23
66 ENG Paul Waring 170 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.58% 0.52% 0.6% 0.08% MC
67 ITA Guido Migliozzi 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.51% 0.45% -0.06% T56
68 RSA Louis de Jager 180 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.55% 0.49% 0.84% 0.34% T38
69 ENG Oliver Wilson 189 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.53% 0.47% 1.12% 0.65% T30
70 ENG Jack Senior 189 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.53% 0.47% 0.21% -0.26% T10
71 RSA Justin Walters 199 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.5% 0.45% 0.88% 0.43% T23
72 WAL Jamie Donaldson 199 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.5% 0.45% 0.34% -0.11% MC
73 ENG Tom Lewis 199 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.5% 0.45% 0.23% -0.21% T10
74 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.44% 0.71% 0.27%
75 ENG Garrick Porteous 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.44% 0.64% 0.19% MC
76 NOR Espen Kofstad 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.44% 0.4% -0.05% MC
77 IRL Niall Kearney 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.44% 0.39% -0.05% T67
78 RSA Richard Sterne 200 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 0.36% -0.08% MC
79 SWE Joakim Lagergren 208 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.48% 0.43% 0.64% 0.22% MC
80 GER Yannik Paul 218 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.46% 0.41% 0.55% 0.14% T10
81 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.39% 0.22% -0.17% MC
82 POR Ricardo Gouveia 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.39% 0.22% -0.18% MC
83 CAN Aaron Cockerill 227 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.44% 0.39% 1.13% 0.74% T3
84 ENG Robert Rock 246 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.4% 0.36% 0.9% 0.54% T38
85 ESP Alejandro Canizares 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.35% 0.51% 0.16% MC
86 ENG Matthew Southgate 256 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.39% 0.35% 0.87% 0.53% T67
87 ENG Dale Whitnell 265 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.38% 0.33% 0.45% 0.12% MC
88 ITA Renato Paratore 265 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.38% 0.33% 0.27% -0.06% MC
89 CHI Hugo Leon 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.32% 0.3% -0.02% MC
90 ENG James Morrison 284 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.35% 0.31% 0.39% 0.08% MC
91 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.3% 0.91% 0.61% T30
92 ESP Pep Angles Ros 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.3% 0.71% 0.41% T49
93 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 300 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.3% 0.32% 0.03% T49
94 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 300 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.3% 0.32% 0.02% T30
95 WAL Oliver Farr 300 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.3% 0.26% -0.03% MC
96 JPN Ryo Hisatsune 300 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.3% 0.22% -0.07% MC
97 ENG Richard Mansell 300 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.3% 0.22% -0.07% T30
98 ENG Eddie Pepperell 303 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.33% 0.29% 0.29% 0% T15
99 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 313 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.32% 0.28% 0.31% 0.02% T23
100 ITA Andrea Pavan 350 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.25% 0.44% 0.19% MC
101 SWE Jens Dantorp 350 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.25% 0.39% 0.14% T49
102 CZE Ondrej Lieser 350 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.25% 0.39% 0.14% MC
103 POR Ricardo Santos 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.25% 0.29% 0.04% MC
104 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 360 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.28% 0.25% 0.44% 0.19% MC
105 MAS Gavin Green 370 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.27% 0.24% 0.85% 0.61% T23
106 FRA Adrien Saddier 370 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.27% 0.24% 0.23% -0.01% T15
107 AUS Maverick Antcliff 379 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.26% 0.23% 0.53% 0.3% MC
108 ESP Emilio Cuartero Blanco 398 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.25% 0.22% 0.22% 0% T56
109 ENG David Coupland 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.22% 0.4% 0.18% MC
110 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 417 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.24% 0.21% 0.71% 0.49% T56
111 NED Lars Van Meijel 446 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.22% 0.2% 0.78% 0.58% MC
112 NED Darius Van Driel 455 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.22% 0.2% 0.25% 0.05% MC
113 ENG Andrew Wilson 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.3% 0.13% 7
114 NED Daan Huizing 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.27% 0.09% MC
115 GER Marcel Schneider 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.25% 0.07% MC
116 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.23% 0.05% T71
117 AUS Zach Murray 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.22% 0.05% MC
118 SCO Stephen Gallacher 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.22% 0.04% T69
119 AUS Scott Hend 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.21% 0.03% MC
120 ESP Alvaro Quiros 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.17% 0% MC
121 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 522 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.19% 0.17% 0.22% 0.05% T54
122 ENG Ashley Chesters 531 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.19% 0.17% 0.4% 0.24% T23
123 RSA Darren Fichardt 550 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.18% 0.16% 0.3% 0.14% T8
124 FRA Robin Roussel 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.15% 0.54% 0.39% MC
125 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 645 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.15% 0.14% 0.29% 0.16% MC
126 AUS Jake McLeod 664 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.22% 0.09% T38
127 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 702 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.14% 0.13% 0.3% 0.18% MC
128 ENG Oliver Fisher 721 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.5% 0.37% MC
129 SCO Marc Warren 731 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.26% 0.14% T64
130 ENG Chris Paisley 797 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.3% 0.19% MC
131 ENG Jack Singh Brar 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.62% 0.51% T15
132 SWE Rikard Karlberg 892 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.27% 0.17% MC
133 SWE Jesper Kennegard 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.39% 0.3% MC
134 ENG Richard McEvoy 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.35% 0.25% MC
135 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.23% 0.14% T56
136 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.22% 0.13% T56
137 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.22% 0.13% MC
138 ESP Eduard Rousaud 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.22% 0.13% MC
139 FRA Joel Stalter 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.35% 0.26% MC
140 DEN Thomas Bjorn 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.34% 0.25%
141 RSA Haydn Porteous 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.29% 0.2% MC
142 SWE Joel Sjoholm 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.24% 0.15% MC
143 ENG Ben Stow 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.22% 0.14% 73
144 ENG Jonathan Thomson 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.22% 0.14% T38
145 ENG Matt Ford 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.21% 0.12% MC
146 NIR Cormac Sharvin 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.42% 0.36% MC
147 ESP Carlos Pigem 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.4% 0.34% MC
148 POR Pedro Figueiredo 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.24% 0.18% MC
149 JPN Mark NISHIWAKI 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.22% 0.17% MC
150 JPN Kento Nakai 1500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.06% 0.22% 0.17% MC
151 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.22% 0.16% T38
152 JPN Koichiro Ishika 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.36% 0.32% MC
153 ENG David Howell 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.35% 0.3% MC
154 ENG Graeme Storm 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.32% 0.28% MC
155 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% T64
156 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 FRA Clement Sordet 0% 0% 0% 0% T38
159 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% T30
160 JPN Shiso Go 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 7.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 1.3 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 10.3% 10.3%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 42.4% 25.5%
3 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 53.5% 26.5%
4 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 44.3% 27.2%
5 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 55.3% 28%
6 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 46% 28.7%
7 Betway 7 @ 1/5 61% 32.7%
8 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 64% 35.1%
9 Coral 7 @ 1/5 64% 35.1%
10 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 53.8% 35.6%
11 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 53.8% 38.2%
12 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 56.5% 40.6%
13 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 57.3% 41.3%
14 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 72.6% 42.3%
15 Boyle Sports 6 @ 1/5 58.6% 42.5%
16 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 73.3% 42.8%
17 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 63.2% 43.9%
18 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 63.2% 43.9%
19 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 68.3% 51.3%
20 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 76.3% 55.5%