Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 11.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 5.2 %

Total Probability Staked: 24.7 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100.1



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 10 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 9.09% 7.53% 2.24% -5.29% MC
2 ENG Jordan L Smith 20 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.94% 1.73% -2.22% 2
3 POL Adrian Meronk 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.19% 2.62% -0.56% T57
4 FRA Romain Langasque 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.19% 1.09% -2.1% MC
5 ENG Richard Bland 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.44% 2.82% 0.38% MC 10.86
6 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.44% 1.2% -1.24% T42
7 BEL Thomas Detry 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.44% 0.99% -1.44% T9
8 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 35 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.3% 1.72% -0.58% 1
9 DEN Joachim B Hansen 35 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.3% 1.63% -0.67% T42
10 SCO Robert MacIntyre 35 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 2.78% 2.3% 0.74% -1.56% T13
11 USA Johannes Veerman 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.8% 1.33% -0.47% 12
12 NZL Ryan Fox 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.8% 1.07% -0.73% MC
13 SWE Alexander Bjork 47 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 2.08% 1.73% 1.24% -0.49% MC
14 USA John Catlin 55 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.48% 1.98% 0.5% T57 6.6
15 FIN Kalle Samooja 55 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.48% 1.01% -0.47% MC
16 ENG Marcus Armitage 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.48% 0.98% -0.5% T35
17 FRA Antoine Rozner 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.48% 0.74% -0.73% MC
18 ENG Danny Willett 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.36% 1.58% 0.22% T35 6.06
19 FRA Julien Brun 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.36% 1.29% -0.07% T13 6.06
20 IRL Padraig Harrington 60 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.36% 1.11% -0.25% T27
21 SCO Grant Forrest 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.24% 1.48% 0.24% T64 5.51
22 CHN Li Haotong 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.24% 0.64% -0.6% T3
23 SCO Scott Jamieson 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.17% 1.18% 0.01% T21 5.2
24 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 70 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.41% 1.17% 0.48% -0.69% MC
25 DEN Jeff Winther 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.02% 1.31% 0.29% T57 4.56
26 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 80 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.23% 1.02% 1.16% 0.14% T35 2.28
27 ENG Callum Shinkwin 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.02% 0.9% -0.13% T21 4.56
28 RSA Brandon Stone 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.02% 0.79% -0.23% T35
29 FIN Mikko Korhonen 85 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.16% 0.96% 0.63% -0.34% MC
30 FRA Victor Dubuisson 89 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.11% 0.92% 1.07% 0.15% 2.06
31 SWE Joakim Lagergren 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.91% 1.29% 0.38% T48 4.06
32 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.91% 1.16% 0.25% T42 4.06
33 ITA Edoardo Molinari 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.91% 0.95% 0.04% T27 4.06
34 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.91% 0.77% -0.14% T27
35 FRA Matthieu Pavon 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.91% 0.74% -0.17% T3
36 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.91% 0.66% -0.25% MC
37 ESP Santiago Tarrio 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.91% 0.2% -0.71%
38 ENG Matthew Jordan 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.82% 0.83% 0.01% T13 3.66
39 RSA George Coetzee 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.82% 0.71% -0.11% T27 3.66
40 RSA Shaun Norris 104 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.95% 0.79% 1.11% 0.32% T9 1.76
41 ENG James Morrison 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.75% 1.73% 0.98% T48 3.33
42 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.75% 0.56% -0.19% MC
43 ARG Daniel Vancsik 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.75% 0.2% -0.55%
44 ITA Francesco Laporta 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.66% 1.35% 0.69% T21 2.93
45 GER Yannik Paul 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.66% 1.35% 0.69% T53 2.93
46 ITA Guido Migliozzi 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.66% 1.02% 0.36% T67 2.93
47 ENG David Horsey 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.66% 0.95% 0.29% T21 2.93
48 ITA Nino Bertasio 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.66% 0.85% 0.19% MC 2.93
49 ENG Daniel Gavins 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.66% 0.54% -0.12% 2.93
50 WAL Jamie Donaldson 132 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.75% 0.62% 1.42% 0.79% T57 1.39
51 FRA Julien Guerrier 132 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.75% 0.62% 0.71% 0.09% T13 1.39
52 SCO Richie Ramsay 132 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.75% 0.62% 0.68% 0.05% MC 1.39
53 NED Wil Besseling 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.59% 0.55% -0.03% T35
54 AUS Jason Scrivener 142 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.7% 0.58% 0.33% -0.25% T53
55 FRA Frederic LaCroix 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 1.42% 0.87% T53
56 FRA Alexander Levy 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% 0.96% 0.41% 72
57 ESP Alejandro Canizares 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 0.72% 0.17% WD
58 RSA Justin Walters 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 0.62% 0.07% MC
59 POR Ricardo Gouveia 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% 0.23% -0.32% MC
60 ESP Adrian Otaegui 161 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.62% 0.51% 0.68% 0.17% T3
61 ENG Richard Mansell 170 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.58% 0.48% 0.81% 0.33% T35
62 ESP Nacho Elvira 170 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.58% 0.48% 0.78% 0.3% T48
63 ENG Ashley Chesters 170 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.58% 0.48% 0.74% 0.25% T67
64 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 170 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.58% 0.48% 0.56% 0.08% MC
65 SCO Ewen Ferguson 175 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.47% 1.09% 0.62%
66 SCO David Law 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.47% 0.5% 0.03% T7
67 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.47% 0.2% -0.27% T64
68 ESP Jorge Campillo 189 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.53% 0.44% 0.72% 0.28% MC
69 CHI Hugo Leon 189 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.53% 0.44% 0.52% 0.08% MC
70 ITA Renato Paratore 199 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.5% 0.41% 0.5% 0.08% MC
71 ENG Jack Singh Brar 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.6% 0.19% MC
72 GER Maximilian Kieffer 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.59% 0.18% MC
73 ENG Dale Whitnell 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.54% 0.12% MC
74 GER Marcel Schneider 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.23% -0.18% MC
75 SCO Connor Syme 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.21% -0.2% T27
76 NOR Espen Kofstad 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.19% -0.22% MC
77 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 208 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.48% 0.4% 1.03% 0.64% MC
78 ENG Ross Fisher 208 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.48% 0.4% 0.53% 0.13% T18
79 FRA Benjamin Hebert 208 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.48% 0.4% 0.29% -0.11% T35
80 ENG Eddie Pepperell 208 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.48% 0.4% 0.22% -0.18% MC
81 USA Chase Hanna 218 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.46% 0.38% 0.58% 0.2% MC
82 ESP Alvaro Quiros 218 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.46% 0.38% 0.52% 0.14% MC
83 ITA Andrea Pavan 218 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.46% 0.38% 0.51% 0.13% T57
84 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 237 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.42% 0.35% 2.37% 2.02% MC
85 RSA Oliver Bekker 237 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.42% 0.35% 1.55% 1.2% T9
86 RSA Zander Lombard 237 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.42% 0.35% 0.62% 0.27% T57
87 GER Marcel Siem 237 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.42% 0.35% 0.59% 0.24% T21
88 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.85% 0.52% T7
89 NED Darius Van Driel 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.61% 0.28% MC
90 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.5% 0.17% MC
91 FIN Sami Valimaki 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.3% -0.03% T70
92 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.25% -0.08% T27
93 GER Sebastian Heisele 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.18% -0.15% T42
94 ENG Matthew Southgate 256 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.39% 0.32% 0.48% 0.16% T18
95 ENG Paul Waring 265 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.38% 0.31% 0.64% 0.33%
96 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 265 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.38% 0.31% 0.63% 0.32% T70
97 ENG Oliver Wilson 265 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.38% 0.31% 0.56% 0.25% T27
98 AUS Maverick Antcliff 265 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.38% 0.31% 0.24% -0.08% T27
99 GER Hurly Long 265 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.38% 0.31% 0.22% -0.09% T18
100 ESP Miguel A Jimenez 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.3% 0.66% 0.36% MC
101 ENG Steven Brown 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.3% 0.3% 0% T42
102 AUT Lukas Nemecz 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.3% 0.19% -0.11% T3
103 SWE Marcus Kinhult 294 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.34% 0.28% 0.31% 0.03%
104 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.19% -0.08% MC
105 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 303 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.33% 0.27% 0.52% 0.25% MC
106 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 322 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.31% 0.26% 0.84% 0.58% MC
107 WAL Oliver Farr 332 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.3% 0.25% 0.51% 0.26% MC
108 SCO Stephen Gallacher 341 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.29% 0.24% 0.4% 0.16%
109 SCO David Drysdale 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% 0.68% 0.44% MC
110 RSA Darren Fichardt 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% 0.21% -0.03% MC
111 NED Daan Huizing 379 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.26% 0.22% 0.26% 0.04% MC
112 NIR Tom McKibbin 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.2% -0.01% MC
113 RSA Thriston Lawrence 427 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.23% 0.19% 2.19% 2% T53
114 SCO Craig Howie 427 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.59% 0.39% T21
115 ENG Andrew Wilson 427 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.22% 0.03% T64
116 ENG Ross McGowan 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.72% 0.55% MC
117 DEN Thomas Bjorn 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.34% 0.18% MC
118 RSA Richard Sterne 569 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.19% 0.04% T67
119 ENG Chris Wood 626 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.44% 0.31% MC
120 POR Ricardo Santos 655 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.38% 0.25% 47
121 ENG Chris Paisley 664 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.33% 0.21% MC
122 SCO Marc Warren 759 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.48% 0.37% MC
123 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 759 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.26% 0.15% MC
124 SWE Rikard Karlberg 759 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.24% 0.13% MC
125 ENG Richard McEvoy 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.27% 0.18% T48
126 SCO Colin Montgomerie 1000 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.22% 0.14% MC
127 ENG David Howell 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% MC
128 UAE Ahmed Al musharrekh 1500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.06% 0.21% 0.15% MC
129 UAE Ahmed Skaik 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.22% 0.18% MC
130 EGY Issa Abou El Ela 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.2% 0.17% MC
131 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% T13
132 ENG Graeme Storm 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
133 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
134 SWE Niklas Lemke 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
135 SWE Joel Sjoholm 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
136 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 0% 0% 0% 0% T48
137 FRA Joel Stalter 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
138 CAN Aaron Cockerill 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
139 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% T57
140 ENG Monty Scowsill 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 11.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 5.2 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 10.8% 10.8%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 31.2% 15.5%
3 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 48.6% 22.2%
4 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 39.5% 25%
5 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 39.5% 25%
6 Betway 7 @ 1/5 56.6% 28.8%
7 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 58.3% 30.2%
8 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 58.3% 30.2%
9 Coral 7 @ 1/5 59.8% 31.4%
10 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 73.5% 31.9%
11 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 60.7% 32.2%
12 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 52.3% 34.1%
13 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 49.6% 34.2%
14 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 50.1% 34.6%
15 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 50.3% 34.8%
16 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 51.4% 35.8%
17 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 53.2% 37.3%
18 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 53.8% 37.9%
19 Sport Nation 1 @ 1/1 49.5% 49.5%