Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 22.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 14.5 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100.2



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Maverick McNealy 11 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 8.33% 6.03% 3.42% -2.61% T9
2 SWE Alexander Noren 16 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.26% 2.86% -1.4% 2
3 AUS Cameron Davis 16 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.26% 2.14% -2.12% 6
4 USA Mark Hubbard 22 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.15% 2.02% -1.13% 4
5 USA Doug Ghim 25 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.78% 2.11% -0.68% MC
6 USA Nick Hardy 25 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.78% 0.97% -1.82% T13
7 CAN Taylor Pendrith 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.5% 1.67% -0.83% T11
8 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.5% 1.27% -1.23% T48
9 USA Andrew Putnam 33 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.13% 1.18% -0.95% MC
10 SCO Martin Laird 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.13% 1.02% -1.11% 3
11 AUT Matthias Schwab 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.13% 0.85% -1.27% MC
12 USA Chez Reavie 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.77% 1.52% -0.24% 1
13 USA Vincent Whaley 40 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.77% 0.69% -1.07% T31
14 USA John Huh 45 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.57% 1.39% -0.19% T55 6.88
15 GER Hurly Long 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.42% 2.06% 0.64% 7 6.21
16 USA Taylor Moore 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.42% 0.88% -0.54% T65
17 USA Scott Piercy 60 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.19% 1.05% -0.14% T65 5.19
18 USA Chesson Hadley 60 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.19% 0.84% -0.35% T31
19 USA Ryan Moore 60 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.19% 0.62% -0.57% MC
20 USA Greyson Sigg 63 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.56% 1.13% 0.88% -0.25% T26
21 CAN Michael Gligic 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 1.14% 0.06% T31 4.73
22 USA Johannes Veerman 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 1.11% 0.03% MC 4.73
23 GER Stephan Jaeger 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 0.89% -0.19% T22 4.73
24 USA Austin Smotherman 66 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 0.86% -0.22% 8
25 USA Hank Lebioda 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 0.6% -0.48% MC
26 USA Justin Lower 70 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.02% 0.81% -0.21% T16
27 USA Joe Highsmith 73 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.35% 0.98% 0.22% -0.76% MC
28 USA James Hahn 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% 1.1% 0.2% T26 3.91
29 FRA Julien Brun 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% 0.99% 0.09% MC 3.91
30 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% 0.8% -0.1% T44 3.91
31 USA Ryan Armour 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% 0.74% -0.16% MC 3.91
32 USA Sean O'Hair 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.89% 0.72% -0.17% MC 3.91
33 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% 0.72% -0.17% MC 3.91
34 USA Kelly Kraft 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% 0.71% -0.18% T31 3.91
35 USA Austin Cook 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% 0.59% -0.3% T60
36 USA Dylan Wu 80 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% 0.37% -0.53% MC
37 USA Robert Streb 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.8% 0.89% 0.09% MC 3.48
38 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.8% 0.55% -0.25% T13
39 USA Doc Redman 92 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.08% 0.78% 0.81% 0.03% MC 1.71
40 FRA Matthieu Pavon 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 1.04% 0.33% T31 3.14
41 GER Yannik Paul 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 1% 0.29% T20 3.14
42 ENG Callum Tarren 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.72% 0.87% 0.15% T22 3.14
43 USA Michael Thompson 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.71% -0.01% T9 3.14
44 USA Joseph Bramlett 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.72% 0.7% -0.02% T39 3.14
45 USA Brandon Hagy 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.72% 0.41% -0.3% MC
46 USA Sean Crocker 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.37% -0.34% T13
47 USA Charley Hoffman 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.33% -0.39% T31
48 NOR Espen Kofstad 107 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.93% 0.67% 0.75% 0.08% T16 1.47
49 USA Kevin Chappell 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.65% 0.72% 0.07% T55 2.86
50 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 1.22% 0.65% MC 2.52
51 RSA Justin Walters 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.57% 1.14% 0.56% MC 2.52
52 USA Jonathan Byrd 125 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 1.08% 0.51% MC 2.52
53 POR Ricardo Gouveia 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.71% 0.14% MC 2.52
54 ENG James Morrison 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.57% 0.68% 0.1% T26 2.52
55 USA Chase Seiffert 125 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.52% -0.05% T65 2.52
56 USA Ben Martin 125 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.28% -0.29% MC
57 USA Chad Ramey 136 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.73% 0.53% 0.89% 0.36% T60
58 CHN Wu Ashun 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% 1.13% 0.65% T44
59 USA Bill Haas 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.99% 0.51% T26
60 ENG Dale Whitnell 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.95% 0.47% MC
61 SCO Scott Jamieson 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.95% 0.47% T22
62 AUS Aaron Baddeley 150 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.76% 0.28% MC
63 ENG Tom Lewis 150 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.65% 0.17% MC
64 ARG Fabian Gomez 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.25% -0.22% T50
65 ESP Santiago Tarrio 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.22% -0.26%
66 USA Richy Werenski 160 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.45% 0.36% -0.09% T44
67 SWE David Lingmerth 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.77% 0.36% 64
68 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 175 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.61% 0.2% T50
69 FRA Paul Barjon 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.59% 0.18% MC
70 SWE Joakim Lagergren 175 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.59% 0.18% MC
71 USA Kevin Tway 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.56% 0.15% T22
72 ITA Francesco Laporta 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.53% 0.12% T39
73 USA Bo Hoag 175 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.44% 0.03% T60
74 USA Chris Stroud 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.26% -0.15% MC
75 AUS Cameron Percy 175 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.22% -0.19% T50
76 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 185 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.54% 0.39% 0.91% 0.52% MC
77 RSA George Coetzee 185 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.54% 0.39% 0.79% 0.4% WD
78 USA Brice Garnett 185 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.54% 0.39% 0.78% 0.39% T16
79 USA Vaughn Taylor 185 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.54% 0.39% 0.58% 0.19% MC
80 COL Camilo Villegas 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 1% 0.64% MC
81 USA Brian Stuard 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.7% 0.34% MC
82 USA Harry Higgs 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.69% 0.33% T11
83 KOR Seungyul Noh 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.43% 0.07% T55
84 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.4% 0.04% MC
85 USA Ben Kohles 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.36% 0% T50
86 ESP Pep Angles Ros 200 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.3% -0.06% T48
87 USA Max McGreevy 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% 0.55% 0.23% MC
88 USA Jason Dufner 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% 0.34% 0.02% 69
89 USA Grayson Murray 234 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.43% 0.31% 0.64% 0.33% MC
90 DEN Joachim B Hansen 234 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.43% 0.31% 0.46% 0.16%
91 CAN Roger Sloan 234 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.43% 0.31% 0.43% 0.13% MC
92 USA Scott Brown 234 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.43% 0.31% 0.33% 0.02% MC
93 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 1.18% 0.89% MC
94 GER Marcel Siem 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.78% 0.49% WD
95 ENG Daniel Gavins 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.65% 0.36% MC
96 ITA Nino Bertasio 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.57% 0.28% T20
97 SWE Henrik Norlander 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.29% 0% T31
98 AUS Mark Hensby 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.27% -0.01%
99 USA Ollie Osborne 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.22% -0.07% MC
100 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.26% 0.64% 0.37% T44
101 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.26% 0.31% 0.05% 59
102 CAN Aaron Cockerill 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 1.07% 0.83% T39
103 USA Bo Van Pelt 300 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.68% 0.43% 68
104 USA Scott Gutschewski 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.63% 0.39% 5
105 USA Seth Reeves 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.49% 0.25% MC
106 USA Curtis Thompson 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.47% 0.23% MC
107 CHI Hugo Leon 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.36% 0.12% MC
108 USA Chase Hanna 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.86% 0.66% MC
109 KOR Sunghoon Kang 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.45% 0.24% 70
110 USA Jim Knous 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.36% 0.15% T55
111 FRA Robin Roussel 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.31% 0.1% MC
112 USA Mark Baldwin 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.23% 0.03% T50
113 USA Nick Watney 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.59% 0.41% MC
114 USA Wesley Bryan 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.27% 0.09% MC
115 CAN David Hearn 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.23% 0.05% T39
116 AUS Greg Chalmers 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.23% 0.05% MC
117 MAS Gavin Green 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.6% 0.46% MC
118 ITA Andrea Pavan 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.6% 0.45% MC
119 USA Martin Trainer 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.53% 0.39% T39
120 ITA Renato Paratore 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.48% 0.34% WD
121 USA Johnson Wagner 500 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.43% 0.29%
122 USA Robert Garrigus 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.39% 0.24% MC
123 AUS Scott Hend 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.38% 0.23% MC
124 SWE Jonas Blixt 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.34% 0.2% MC
125 ESP Alejandro Canizares 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.27% 0.12% WD
126 USA Ben Crane 500 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.23% 0.09% MC
127 USA Joshua Creel 500 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.23% 0.09% T16
128 USA Julian Suri 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.23% 0.09% T26
129 FRA Benjamin Hebert 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.23% 0.09% MC
130 USA Matt Ryan 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.22% 0.08% MC
131 USA Tommy Gainey 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.2% 0.06% MC
132 IND Arjun Atwal 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.26% 0.14% MC
133 USA D.J. Trahan 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.26% 0.14% MC
134 RSA Dawie van der Walt 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.24% 0.12% MC
135 AUS Brett Drewitt 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.23% 0.11% MC
136 USA Tom Johnson 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.22% 0.1% MC
137 FRA Joel Stalter 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.39% 0.29% MC
138 USA Derek Ernst 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% MC
139 USA Kevin Stadler 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.25% 0.15% MC
140 USA Ricky Barnes 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.23% 0.14% T60
141 RSA Haydn Porteous 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.27% 0.2% MC
142 USA Parker McLachlin 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.26% 0.19% MC
143 USA J.J. Henry 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.24% 0.16% MC
144 USA D.A. Points 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.23% 0.16% MC
145 USA Matt Every 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.29% 0.23% MC
146 USA Omar Uresti 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.34% 0.29% MC
147 USA John Merrick 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.25% 0.2% MC
148 ENG Brian Davis 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.26% 0.23% MC
149 AUS Geoff Ogilvy 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 KOR K.J. Choi 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 USA Ted Potter-jr 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 SWE Joel Sjoholm 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 USA Chris Naegel 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 AUS Justin Warren 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% 38
157 USA Josh McCarthy 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 USA Preston Stanley 0% 0% 0% 0% 71
159 USA David Longmire 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
160 ESP Albert Boneta 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 22.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 14.5 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 41.5% 24.8%
2 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 69% 28.7%
3 Coral 8 @ 1/5 69% 28.7%
4 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 56.4% 38%
5 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 54.1% 38.5%
6 VBet 5 @ 1/4 58.2% 39.5%
7 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 69.9% 40.1%
8 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 69.9% 40.1%
9 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 56% 40.2%
10 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 61.2% 42.2%
11 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 59.7% 43.5%
12 Betway 6 @ 1/5 60.4% 44.2%
13 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 60.4% 44.2%
14 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 79.6% 79.6%