Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 6.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -4.9 %

Total Probability Staked: 24.9 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 48.5

Total Profit: -51.6



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NIR Rory McIlroy 10 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 9.09% 7.87% 4.26% -3.61% T19
2 USA Scottie Scheffler 11 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 8.33% 7.22% 7.09% -0.13% T13
3 USA Justin Thomas 12 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 6.66% 3.47% -3.19%
4 USA Patrick Cantlay 16 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 5.09% 2.78% -2.31% T13
5 USA Xander Schauffele 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.12% 2.4% -1.72% 1
6 USA Sam Burns 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.12% 2.01% -2.11% MC
7 USA Jordan Spieth 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.33% 2.15% -1.18% MC
8 CHI Joaquin Niemann 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.79% 2.13% -0.67% MC
9 KOR Sungjae Im 30 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.79% 1.1% -1.7%
10 USA Keegan Bradley 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.41% 1.98% -0.42% T19 10.56
11 USA Davis Riley 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.11% 2% -0.12% T64 9.28
12 USA Tony Finau 40 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.11% 1.75% -0.37% T13 9.28
13 IRL Seamus Power 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.88% 1.63% -0.25% T25 8.27
14 USA Brian Harman 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.88% 1.48% -0.4% T8 (tied w/5) 8.27 +8.3
15 USA Aaron Wise 45 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.88% 1.27% -0.61% MC
16 AUS Marc Leishman 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.7% 1.06% -0.64% MC
17 USA Harold Varner III 55 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.55% 1.11% -0.44% T43 6.79
18 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 63 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.56% 1.35% 1.11% -0.24% T46 2.97
19 USA Brooks Koepka 63 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.56% 1.35% 0.93% -0.42% 2.97
20 USA Denny McCarthy 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.29% 1.29% 0% MC 5.68
21 USA Brendan Steele 66 (888sport: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.29% 0.54% -0.76% T25
22 USA Keith Mitchell 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.22% 1.16% -0.06% T6 (tied w/2) 5.36 +40.2
23 AUS Jason Day 80 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.07% 0.7% -0.37% MC 4.7
24 USA Webb Simpson 80 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.07% 0.53% -0.54% T13
25 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 90 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.95% 1.07% 0.11% T19 4.18
26 USA Joel Dahmen 90 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.95% 0.78% -0.17% 69 4.18
27 USA Cameron Tringale 100 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.86% 1.12% 0.26% MC 3.77
28 KOR Siwoo Kim 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.86% 1.04% 0.19% MC 3.77
29 USA Brendon Todd 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.86% 1% 0.15% MC 3.77
30 USA Jason Kokrak 107 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.93% 0.8% 0.66% -0.14% DQ 1.76
31 USA Luke List 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.69% 1.17% 0.48% T19 3.02
32 USA Maverick McNealy 126 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.79% 0.68% 0.61% -0.08% MC 1.5
33 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 136 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.73% 0.63% 0.64% 0.01% MC
34 USA Tom Hoge 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.57% 1.12% 0.54% MC
35 USA Adam Long 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.57% 0.92% 0.34% T25
36 AUS Cameron Davis 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.57% 0.89% 0.32% T56
37 USA Matthew NeSmith 150 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 0.74% 0.16% T19
38 USA Patrick Rodgers 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.57% 0.7% 0.12%
39 USA Sahith Theegala 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.57% 0.62% 0.04% T2
40 TPE C.T. Pan 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 0.6% 0.03% MC
41 USA Doug Ghim 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 0.52% -0.06% MC
42 USA Mackenzie Hughes 166 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.6% 0.52% 0.78% 0.26% T25
43 ENG Aaron Rai 175 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.57% 0.49% 0.62% 0.13% T40
44 USA Kevin Kisner 195 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.51% 0.44% 0.93% 0.49% T6
45 USA Rickie Fowler 195 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.51% 0.44% 0.29% -0.15% MC
46 RSA Erik van Rooyen 200 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.43% 0.97% 0.54%
47 USA Troy Merritt 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.43% 0.82% 0.39% MC
48 USA Kevin Streelman 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.43% 0.38% -0.06% T25
49 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 215 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.46% 0.4% 0.39% -0.01% MC
50 AUT Sepp Straka 224 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.44% 0.38% 1.3% 0.92% MC
51 IND Anirban Lahiri 224 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.44% 0.38% 0.76% 0.37% MC
52 ARG Emiliano Grillo 224 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.44% 0.38% 0.33% -0.06% MC
53 USA Lanto Griffin 244 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.41% 0.35% 0.5% 0.15% MC
54 USA Kramer Hickok 250 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.35% 0.4% 0.06% MC
55 USA Chez Reavie 254 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.39% 0.34% 0.66% 0.32% T8
56 USA Charles Howell III 264 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.38% 0.33% 0.69% 0.37% T35
57 SCO Russell Knox 264 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.38% 0.33% 0.58% 0.25% MC
58 USA Alex Smalley 273 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.36% 0.32% 0.47% 0.16% MC
59 USA Lucas Glover 283 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.35% 0.3% 0.69% 0.39% T70
60 USA Stewart Cink 293 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.34% 0.29% 0.95% 0.65% T53
61 USA Wyndham Clark 293 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.34% 0.29% 0.72% 0.43% T35
62 USA Cameron Champ 293 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.34% 0.29% 0.32% 0.03% MC
63 NZL Danny Lee 300 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 0.47% 0.18% WD
64 USA Scott Stallings 303 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.33% 0.28% 0.73% 0.44% T8
65 USA Matthew Wolff 303 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.33% 0.28% 0.18% -0.11% T40
66 CAN Adam Svensson 313 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.32% 0.28% 0.66% 0.39% T25
67 USA Nick Hardy 313 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.32% 0.28% 0.43% 0.15% T8
68 USA Harris English 332 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.3% 0.26% 0.22% -0.04% T19
69 USA J.J Spaun 342 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.29% 0.25% 0.57% 0.32% MC
70 USA Vincent Whaley 350 (888sport: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.25% 0.33% 0.09% MC
71 USA Tyler Duncan 352 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.28% 0.25% 0.43% 0.19% T46
72 USA Ryan Palmer 362 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.46% 0.22% MC
73 USA Andrew Putnam 371 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.27% 0.23% 0.68% 0.45% T46
74 USA Hank Lebioda 391 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.26% 0.22% 0.33% 0.11% T56
75 USA Hayden Buckley 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 0.27% 0.05% T43
76 USA David Lipsky 401 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.25% 0.22% 0.61% 0.39% MC
77 USA James Hahn 401 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.25% 0.22% 0.31% 0.1% MC
78 RSA Dylan Frittelli 411 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.24% 0.21% 0.3% 0.09% MC
79 USA Adam Schenk 430 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.65% 0.45% MC
80 SCO Martin Laird 440 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.38% 0.18% T13
81 MEX Carlos Ortiz 440 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.25% 0.05% MC
82 ENG Matt Wallace 450 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.22% 0.19% 0.24% 0.05% T46
83 USA JT Poston 460 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.22% 0.19% 0.56% 0.37% T2
84 USA Joseph Bramlett 479 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.44% 0.26% T56
85 USA Austin Smotherman 489 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.44% 0.26% MC
86 USA Nate Lashley 489 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.39% 0.22% T25
87 SVK Rory Sabbatini 509 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.67% 0.5% MC
88 USA Zach Johnson 509 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.42% 0.25% MC
89 USA John Huh 528 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.52% 0.36% T13
90 USA Patton Kizzire 538 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.56% 0.4% T64
91 RSA Garrick Higgo 538 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.39% 0.23% MC
92 USA Chad Ramey 538 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.25% 0.09% MC
93 USA Charley Hoffman 548 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.18% 0.16% 0.12% -0.04% MC
94 ENG Danny Willett 587 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.73% 0.58% MC
95 USA Taylor Moore 597 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.27% 0.13% T56
96 USA Brandon Wu 607 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.33% 0.18% MC
97 USA Lee Hodges 607 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.27% 0.13% T25
98 AUT Matthias Schwab 646 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.3% 0.16% T53
99 USA Scott Piercy 656 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.33% 0.2% MC
100 USA Doc Redman 656 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.24% 0.11% MC
101 ENG Callum Tarren 675 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.24% 0.11% MC
102 USA Brice Garnett 685 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.35% 0.23% MC
103 USA Brian Stuard 695 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.35% 0.22% MC
104 USA Peter Malnati 705 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.56% 0.44% T64
105 GER Stephan Jaeger 705 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.42% 0.3% MC
106 USA Kelly Kraft 714 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.44% 0.32% T56
107 USA Robert Streb 724 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.27% 0.15% T35
108 USA Kevin Tway 750 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.12% 0.57% 0.46% 67
109 USA Brandt Snedeker 773 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.26% 0.15% MC
110 USA Andrew Novak 773 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.22% 0.11% T46
111 USA Trey Mullinax 803 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.12% 0.11% 0.25% 0.14% MC
112 FRA Paul Barjon 822 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.12% 0.11% 0.22% 0.11% T53
113 USA Austin Cook 842 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.29% 0.19% 63
114 USA Justin Lower 852 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.29% 0.19% MC
115 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 891 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.17% 0.08% MC
116 USA Harry Higgs 901 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.29% 0.2% T70
117 ENG Luke Donald 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.39% 0.3% T56
118 USA Greyson Sigg 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.35% 0.26% MC
119 USA Bill Haas 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.32% 0.23% T25
120 USA Sam Ryder 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.31% 0.22% T35
121 USA Brandon Hagy 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% MC
122 CAN Roger Sloan 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.18% 0.09% MC
123 USA Seth Reeves 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.16% 0.07% MC
124 SWE Henrik Norlander 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.16% 0.07% MC
125 KOR Sunghoon Kang 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.15% 0.07% MC
126 USA Chesson Hadley 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.15% 0.06% 5
127 USA Dylan Wu 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.15% 0.06% MC
128 CAN Michael Gligic 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.13% 0.04% T40
129 USA Ben Kohles 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.12% 0.03% MC
130 USA Scott Gutschewski 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.11% 0.02% MC
131 USA Andrew Landry 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.1% 0.02% MC
132 ENG David Skinns 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.1% 0.01% MC
133 USA Jim Herman 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.09% 0% MC
134 USA Martin Trainer 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.5% 0.41% MC
135 USA Nick Watney 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.25% 0.17% MC
136 USA Jared Wolfe 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.2% 0.11% MC
137 USA Richy Werenski 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.18% 0.1% MC
138 SWE Jonas Blixt 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.16% 0.07% T56
139 USA Ryan Brehm 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.13% 0.05% MC
140 RSA Dawie van der Walt 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.12% 0.04% MC
141 USA William McGirt 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.11% 0.02% T8
142 USA Michael Thorbjornsen 1000 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.1% 0.01% 4
143 USA Curtis Thompson 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.1% 0.01% MC
144 USA Cole Hammer 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.09% 0% MC
145 USA Morgan Hoffmann 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.08% 0% 68
146 USA J.J. Henry 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.09% 0.03% MC
147 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
148 USA Mark Hubbard 0% 0% 0% 0% T46
149 USA Ryan Armour 0% 0% 0% 0% T25
150 AUS Brett Drewitt 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 CAN Benjamin Silverman 0% 0% 0% 0% T46
152 CHI Guillermo Pereira 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 USA Conrad Shindler 0% 0% 0% 0% T43
154 USA Beau Hossler 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 USA Max McGreevy 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 USA Bo Hoag 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 USA Joshua Creel 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 USA Patrick Flavin 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
159 USA Chris Gotterup 0% 0% 0% 0% T35
160 USA Benjamin James 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
161 USA Adam D'Amario 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 6.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -4.9 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 7.1% 7.1%
2 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 47.3% 12.6%
3 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 53.2% 16.9%
4 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 32.6% 17%
5 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 32.6% 17%
6 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 55.7% 18.8%
7 Betway 8 @ 1/5 56.3% 19.3%
8 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 57.2% 20%
9 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 36.2% 20.3%
10 Coral 8 @ 1/5 58.6% 21%
11 888Sport 7 @ 1/5 47.8% 22.1%
12 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 65.8% 26.5%
13 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 65.8% 26.5%
14 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 44.2% 27.3%
15 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 44.2% 27.3%
16 VBet 8 @ 1/5 71.7% 31.1%
17 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 50.3% 35.2%
18 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 54.4% 36.3%
19 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 57% 41.3%