Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 5.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -4.6 %

Total Probability Staked: 29.0 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 328.9

Total Profit: +228.7



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Jon Rahm 11 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 8.33% 7.39% 2.23% -5.16% T10
2 NIR Rory McIlroy 12 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 6.82% 3.39% -3.43% T18
3 USA Patrick Cantlay 16 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 5.21% 1.89% -3.32% T3
4 AUS Cameron Smith 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.22% 3.85% -0.37% T13
5 USA Jordan Spieth 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.22% 2.3% -1.92% T18
6 USA Collin Morikawa 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.85% 1.38% -2.48% MC
7 USA Xander Schauffele 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.85% 1.29% -2.56% T18
8 IRL Shane Lowry 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.41% 2.26% -1.15% T32
9 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 25 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.41% 2.01% -1.4% MC
10 NOR Viktor Hovland 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.41% 1.7% -1.71% T51
11 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 3.06% 1.4% -1.66% DQ
12 KOR Sungjae Im 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.46% 1.53% -0.94% T10
13 USA Will Zalatoris 38 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 2.56% 2.27% 3.5% 1.23% T5 4.97
14 CHI Joaquin Niemann 40 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.16% 2.24% 0.08% T3 (tied w/2) 9.44 +42.5
15 USA Cameron Young 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.16% 2.16% 0% T60 9.44
16 USA Max Homa 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.16% 1.85% -0.31% T5 (tied w/5) 9.44 +10.4
17 CAN Corey Conners 50 (888sport: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.74% 1.34% -0.4% T13 7.59
18 USA Billy Horschel 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.45% 1.49% 0.03% 1 6.35 +235
19 USA Patrick Reed 60 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.45% 0.97% -0.48% T53 6.35
20 USA Davis Riley 63 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.56% 1.39% 1.8% 0.41% T13 3.03
21 USA Keegan Bradley 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.32% 1.49% 0.17% T37 5.78
22 USA Aaron Wise 66 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.32% 0.91% -0.42% 2 5.78 +41
23 USA Matt Kuchar 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.25% 1.12% -0.13% T45 5.45
24 USA Daniel Berger 73 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.35% 1.2% 1.47% 0.27% T5 2.62
25 USA Chris Kirk 80 (10Bet: 1 @ 1/1) 1.23% 1.09% 1.14% 0.05% T53 2.39
26 AUS Jason Day 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.09% 0.82% -0.27% 31 4.78
27 IRL Seamus Power 82 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.2% 1.07% 1.15% 0.08% MC 2.34
28 MEX Abraham Ancer 92 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.08% 0.95% 0.64% -0.31% T32 2.09
29 AUS Adam Scott 97 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.02% 0.9% 1.14% 0.24% T67 1.98
30 SWE Alexander Noren 97 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.02% 0.9% 1.08% 0.18% MC 1.98
31 AUS Marc Leishman 107 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.93% 0.82% 0.9% 0.08% MC 1.8
32 KOR Siwoo Kim 107 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.93% 0.82% 0.89% 0.07% T13 1.8
33 USA Gary Woodland 117 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.85% 0.75% 0.77% 0.02% MC 1.64
34 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.7% 0.92% 0.22% T53 3.08
35 USA Tom Hoge 146 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.68% 0.6% 1.34% 0.74% MC
36 IND Anirban Lahiri 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.59% 0.81% 0.23% MC
37 USA Brendan Steele 150 (10Bet: 1 @ 1/1) 0.66% 0.59% 0.67% 0.08% T10
38 USA Rickie Fowler 166 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.6% 0.53% 0.42% -0.11% T64
39 USA Keith Mitchell 185 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.54% 0.48% 0.96% 0.48% T18
40 USA Bryson DeChambeau 185 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.54% 0.48% 0.25% -0.23% MC
41 USA Cameron Tringale 195 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.51% 0.45% 0.88% 0.43% T48
42 USA Patrick Rodgers 200 (10Bet: 1 @ 1/1) 0.5% 0.44% 0.6% 0.16% MC
43 USA Brian Harman 205 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.49% 0.43% 0.98% 0.55% T18
44 USA Luke List 215 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.46% 0.41% 1.13% 0.72% T26
45 CAN Adam Hadwin 215 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.46% 0.41% 1.1% 0.69% T18
46 SCO Russell Knox 215 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.46% 0.41% 0.7% 0.29% MC
47 TPE C.T. Pan 215 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.46% 0.41% 0.65% 0.24% T53
48 USA Scott Stallings 234 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.43% 0.38% 0.71% 0.33% MC
49 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 244 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.41% 0.36% 0.51% 0.15% T37
50 AUS Matt Jones 254 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.39% 0.35% 1.36% 1.01% MC
51 AUT Sepp Straka 254 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.39% 0.35% 1.29% 0.94% T45
52 USA Kevin Streelman 254 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.39% 0.35% 0.83% 0.48% MC
53 RSA Erik van Rooyen 254 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.39% 0.35% 0.73% 0.38% MC
54 USA Ryan Palmer 254 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.39% 0.35% 0.61% 0.27% MC
55 AUS Cameron Davis 264 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.38% 0.33% 1.15% 0.82% T53
56 USA Lanto Griffin 264 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.38% 0.33% 0.98% 0.64% T51
57 AUS Lucas Herbert 273 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.36% 0.32% 0.87% 0.55% T48
58 USA Troy Merritt 283 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.35% 0.31% 0.67% 0.36% T53
59 USA Cameron Champ 283 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.35% 0.31% 0.58% 0.27% MC
60 USA Lucas Glover 313 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.32% 0.28% 0.81% 0.53% T60
61 USA Adam Long 313 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.32% 0.28% 0.44% 0.16% MC
62 USA Stewart Cink 322 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.31% 0.27% 0.87% 0.6% MC
63 USA Matthew NeSmith 322 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.31% 0.27% 0.79% 0.52% T37
64 USA Harris English 322 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.31% 0.27% 0.37% 0.1% MC
65 USA Beau Hossler 332 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.3% 0.27% 1.04% 0.78% T32
66 USA Denny McCarthy 342 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.29% 0.26% 0.89% 0.63% T5
67 ENG Aaron Rai 362 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.44% 0.2% T26
68 USA Mackenzie Hughes 391 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.26% 0.23% 0.46% 0.24% T37
69 USA Matthew Wolff 391 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.26% 0.23% 0.17% -0.06% MC
70 ITA Francesco Molinari 401 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.25% 0.22% 0.63% 0.41% T26
71 USA Doug Ghim 401 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.25% 0.22% 0.57% 0.35% T60
72 USA Joel Dahmen 401 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.25% 0.22% 0.37% 0.15% T32
73 USA David Lipsky 411 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.24% 0.22% 0.49% 0.27% T37
74 USA Alex Smalley 420 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.24% 0.21% 0.52% 0.31% MC
75 USA Sahith Theegala 420 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.24% 0.21% 0.42% 0.21% T5
76 ENG Danny Willett 450 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.22% 0.2% 0.42% 0.22% MC
77 USA Patton Kizzire 469 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.21% 0.19% 0.69% 0.5% MC
78 USA Charles Howell III 469 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.21% 0.19% 0.52% 0.33% T18
79 ARG Emiliano Grillo 469 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.21% 0.19% 0.33% 0.14% T32
80 USA Pat Perez 489 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.86% 0.68% T26
81 USA JT Poston 489 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.74% 0.56% T37
82 USA Kurt Kitayama 489 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.55% 0.37% MC
83 NZL Danny Lee 500 (10Bet: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.31% 0.13% MC
84 USA Andrew Putnam 528 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.19% 0.17% 0.59% 0.42% MC
85 SCO Martin Laird 528 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.19% 0.17% 0.44% 0.27% T37
86 USA Nate Lashley 548 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.18% 0.16% 0.35% 0.19% MC
87 MEX Carlos Ortiz 548 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.18% 0.16% 0.35% 0.18% T64
88 AUS Minwoo Lee 577 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.39% 0.23% MC
89 USA Taylor Moore 626 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.37% 0.23% MC
90 USA Chad Ramey 626 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.25% 0.11% WD
91 USA Ryan Moore 646 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.15% 0.14% 0.22% 0.08% 70
92 CAN Adam Svensson 695 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.14% 0.13% 0.56% 0.43% T45
93 USA Hudson Swafford 744 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.13% 0.12% 0.7% 0.59% MC
94 USA Ryan Brehm 750 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.12% 0.09% -0.03% MC
95 USA Peter Malnati 783 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.67% 0.56% MC
96 USA Brandt Snedeker 783 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.29% 0.18% T60
97 RSA Garrick Higgo 783 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.27% 0.15% T18
98 USA Charley Hoffman 793 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.1% -0.01% MC
99 USA Adam Schenk 812 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.12% 0.11% 0.29% 0.18% T26
100 USA Justin Lower 812 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.12% 0.11% 0.27% 0.16% MC
101 USA Robert Streb 822 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.12% 0.11% 0.42% 0.32% MC
102 USA Harry Higgs 822 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.12% 0.11% 0.38% 0.27%
103 USA Brandon Wu 832 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.12% 0.11% 0.48% 0.37% 69
104 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 959 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.4% 0.31% MC
105 ENG Luke Donald 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.44% 0.35% MC
106 SWE David Lingmerth 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.25% 0.16% T48
107 USA Nick Watney 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.24% 0.15% MC
108 USA Wyndham Clark 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.22% 0.13% T37
109 USA Brandon Hagy 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.19% 0.1% MC
110 USA Jason Dufner 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.18% 0.09% MC
111 COL Camilo Villegas 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.16% 0.07% T53
112 USA Bo Hoag 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.14% 0.05% MC
113 USA Chan Kim 979 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.12% 0.02% T67
114 USA John Pak 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.16% 0.07% MC
115 USA William McGirt 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.14% 0.05% MC
116 AUS Curtis Luck 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.09% 0% MC
117 AUS Jediah Morgan 1000 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.09% 0% MC
118 ENG Laird Shepherd 1500 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.06% 0.1% 0.04%
119 USA James Piot 1500 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.06% 0.09% 0.03% MC
120 CHI Guillermo Pereira 0% 0% 0% 0% T13
121 USA Sam Ryder 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
122 USA Kramer Hickok 0% 0% 0% 0% T64

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 5.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -4.6 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 5.8% 5.8%
2 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 46.7% 11.4%
3 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 54% 17.1%
4 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 33.1% 17.2%
5 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 56.2% 18.8%
6 Coral 8 @ 1/5 61.7% 23%
7 Betway 8 @ 1/5 62.7% 23.7%
8 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 62.9% 23.9%
9 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 63.6% 24.4%
10 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 64.4% 25%
11 888Sport 7 @ 1/5 56.3% 28.6%
12 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 46.4% 31.2%
13 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 50.4% 32.5%
14 VBet 5 @ 1/4 51.1% 33.1%
15 Sport Nation 1 @ 1/1 34% 34%
16 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 102.8% 34.2%
17 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 50.5% 35%
18 10Bet 1 @ 1/1 43.4% 43.4%