Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 25.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 8.2 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 59.3

Total Profit: -40.8



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Justin Thomas 10 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 9.09% 6.78% 2.43% -4.36% T3
2 NOR Viktor Hovland 11 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 8.33% 6.22% 6.17% -0.05% T33
3 USA Collin Morikawa 11 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 8.33% 6.22% 4.56% -1.65% T68
4 USA Dustin Johnson 16 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.39% 0.95% -3.44% T39
5 USA Xander Schauffele 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.24% 1.65% -1.6% T12
6 ENG Paul Casey 22 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.24% 1.34% -1.91%
7 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.24% 0.89% -2.35% T62
8 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.87% 3.15% 0.28% T21 12.78
9 USA Sam Burns 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.87% 2.35% -0.52% 1
10 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.57% 2.41% -0.16% T5 (tied w/2) 11.46 +37.8
11 IRL Shane Lowry 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.57% 2.02% -0.55% T12
12 USA Jason Kokrak 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.19% 2.27% 0.08% MC 9.77
13 MEX Abraham Ancer 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.19% 0.99% -1.2% MC
14 USA Brooks Koepka 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.19% 0.77% -1.43% T12
15 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 40 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.82% 1.44% -0.38% T16
16 USA Gary Woodland 45 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.62% 0.96% -0.66% T21
17 USA Keegan Bradley 50 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 1.61% 0.14% MC 6.52
18 SWE Alexander Noren 50 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 1.35% -0.11% T12 6.52
19 AUS Jason Day 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 0.38% -1.09% MC
20 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 60 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.22% 1.08% -0.15% T62 5.45
21 USA Bubba Watson 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.22% 0.41% -0.82% MC
22 USA Cameron Tringale 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 1.41% 0.3% T62 4.96
23 SCO Russell Knox 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 1.01% -0.1% T57 4.96
24 USA Kevin Kisner 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 0.99% -0.13% T33 4.96
25 USA Harold Varner III 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 0.9% -0.22% T57
26 CAN Adam Hadwin 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 0.85% -0.26% T7
27 USA Webb Simpson 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.11% 0.7% -0.42% T48
28 USA Aaron Wise 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.82% 1.27% 0.45% MC 3.65
29 USA Brian Harman 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.82% 0.62% -0.2% T5 (tied w/2) 3.65 +21.4
30 COL Sebastian Munoz 94 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.05% 0.79% 1.31% 0.52% 1.75
31 USA Mackenzie Hughes 94 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.05% 0.79% 0.73% -0.06% MC 1.75
32 USA Lanto Griffin 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 1.03% 0.29% MC 3.29
33 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.92% 0.18% T33 3.29
34 ITA Francesco Molinari 100 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.67% -0.06% MC 3.29
35 USA Denny McCarthy 113 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.88% 0.65% 0.9% 0.24% T48 1.46
36 USA Doug Ghim 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 1.01% 0.42% 2.64
37 SCO Martin Laird 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.82% 0.23% MC 2.64
38 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.66% 0.07% T27 2.64
39 USA Patton Kizzire 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 0.61% 0.02% T33 2.64
40 CAN Nick Taylor 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.95% 0.46% T70
41 USA Joel Dahmen 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.7% 0.21% T39
42 RSA Branden Grace 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.54% 0.05% MC
43 USA Scott Stallings 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.45% -0.04% T16
44 USA Doc Redman 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.43% -0.06% T39
45 USA Charley Hoffman 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.31% -0.18% MC
46 AUT Matthias Schwab 151 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.66% 0.49% 0.69% 0.2% MC
47 USA Kevin Streelman 151 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.66% 0.49% 0.56% 0.07% T7
48 TPE C.T. Pan 170 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.58% 0.44% 0.63% 0.2% T48
49 USA Troy Merritt 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.86% 0.44% T27
50 USA Sahith Theegala 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.7% 0.27% T7
51 USA Taylor Moore 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.7% 0.27% MC
52 USA Matthew NeSmith 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.66% 0.23% T3
53 MEX Carlos Ortiz 199 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.5% 0.37% 1.02% 0.64% MC
54 USA Pat Perez 199 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.5% 0.37% 0.85% 0.47% T70
55 USA Alex Smalley 199 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.5% 0.37% 0.6% 0.23% MC
56 USA Brendon Todd 199 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.5% 0.37% 0.52% 0.14% MC
57 USA Kramer Hickok 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.71% 0.34% T33
58 USA Chez Reavie 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.66% 0.29% T39
59 CAN Adam Svensson 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.49% 0.12% T39
60 ARG Emiliano Grillo 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.43% 0.06% MC
61 USA Michael Thompson 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.71% 0.38% T57
62 GER Martin Kaymer 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.3% -0.03% T48
63 USA Zach Johnson 237 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.42% 0.31% 0.83% 0.51% MC
64 USA Matt Kuchar 237 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.42% 0.31% 0.69% 0.38% T16
65 NZL Danny Lee 250 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.48% 0.18% T48
66 USA Brandon Wu 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.47% 0.17% T33
67 USA Vincent Whaley 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.46% 0.16% MC
68 USA Nate Lashley 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.22% -0.08% T27
69 USA Sam Ryder 256 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.39% 0.29% 0.66% 0.37% MC
70 ENG Danny Willett 256 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.39% 0.29% 0.46% 0.17% MC
71 USA John Huh 294 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.34% 0.25% 0.85% 0.6% T66
72 USA J.J Spaun 294 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.34% 0.25% 0.81% 0.56% T27
73 USA Adam Long 294 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.34% 0.25% 0.77% 0.52% MC
74 USA Andrew Putnam 294 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.34% 0.25% 0.57% 0.32% MC
75 USA David Lipsky 294 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.34% 0.25% 0.51% 0.25% T68
76 USA Davis Riley 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.63% 0.38% 2
77 TPE Yu Chun-an(am) 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.42% 0.17% MC
78 USA Vaughn Taylor 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.36% 0.11% MC
79 GER Stephan Jaeger 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.34% 0.09% MC
80 USA Wyndham Clark 300 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.28% 0.04% MC
81 USA Kyle Stanley 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.27% 0.02% MC
82 AUS Kevin Yuan 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.11% -0.14%
83 USA Stewart Cink 303 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.33% 0.25% 0.51% 0.26% T7
84 USA JT Poston 303 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.33% 0.25% 0.36% 0.11% MC
85 USA Chad Ramey 303 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.33% 0.25% 0.33% 0.09% MC
86 NIR Graeme McDowell 332 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.3% 0.22% 0.45% 0.22% MC
87 USA Harry Higgs 341 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.29% 0.22% 0.48% 0.26% T39
88 USA Hank Lebioda 341 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.29% 0.22% 0.38% 0.16% MC
89 USA Brian Stuard 341 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.29% 0.22% 0.38% 0.16% T16
90 ENG Matt Wallace 341 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.29% 0.22% 0.35% 0.14% MC
91 SWE Henrik Stenson 341 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.29% 0.22% 0.29% 0.07% T57
92 USA Hayden Buckley 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.44% 0.23% MC
93 USA Tyler Duncan 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.31% 0.1% T25
94 USA Bronson Burgoon 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.31% 0.1% MC
95 KOR Sunghoon Kang 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.28% 0.07% MC
96 USA Austin Cook 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.26% 0.04% MC
97 USA Joseph Bramlett 360 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.28% 0.21% 0.24% 0.03% T48
98 USA Lee Hodges 379 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.26% 0.2% 0.87% 0.67% MC
99 USA Greyson Sigg 379 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.26% 0.2% 0.59% 0.4% T48
100 USA Adam Schenk 398 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.25% 0.19% 0.44% 0.25% MC
101 CAN Roger Sloan 400 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.37% 0.18% MC
102 USA Trey Mullinax 474 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.21% 0.16% 0.37% 0.21% MC
103 SWE Henrik Norlander 474 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.21% 0.16% 0.36% 0.2% MC
104 USA Andrew Novak 474 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.21% 0.16% 0.17% 0.01% MC
105 USA Brice Garnett 484 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.21% 0.15% 0.37% 0.21% T27
106 RSA Charl Schwartzel 484 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.21% 0.15% 0.34% 0.19% MC
107 USA Austin Smotherman 484 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.21% 0.15% 0.34% 0.18% T25
108 USA James Hahn 484 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.21% 0.15% 0.24% 0.09% MC
109 USA Bill Haas 493 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.2% 0.15% 0.47% 0.32% T48
110 USA Kurt Kitayama 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.85% 0.71% MC
111 USA Robert Streb 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.45% 0.3% T7
112 USA Brandon Hagy 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.18% 0.03% T21
113 USA Peter Malnati 522 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.19% 0.14% 0.54% 0.4% MC
114 USA Scott Piercy 522 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.19% 0.14% 0.34% 0.2% MC
115 USA Jimmy Walker 569 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.18% 0.13% 0.38% 0.25% MC
116 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 569 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.18% 0.13% 0.32% 0.19% T39
117 USA Jim Herman 569 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.18% 0.13% 0.29% 0.15% MC
118 ENG Luke Donald 569 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.18% 0.13% 0.2% 0.06% T16
119 USA Ryan Brehm 569 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.18% 0.13% 0.12% -0.01% T66
120 USA Max McGreevy 664 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.15% 0.11% 0.26% 0.15% T48
121 USA Andrew Landry 712 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.14% 0.1% 0.52% 0.41% MC
122 USA Chesson Hadley 712 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.14% 0.1% 0.23% 0.12% MC
123 KOR Seungyul Noh 750 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.22% 0.12% T39
124 SWE Jonas Blixt 750 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.17% 0.08% MC
125 USA Sean O'Hair 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.08% 0.52% 0.44% MC
126 USA Brian Gay 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.08% 0.35% 0.27% MC
127 USA Richy Werenski 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.08% 0.32% 0.24% T21
128 USA Kelly Kraft 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.08% 0.31% 0.23% MC
129 USA Wesley Bryan 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21% T62
130 ENG Callum Tarren 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% MC
131 USA Seth Reeves 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% MC
132 USA William McGirt 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.08% 0.19% 0.11% MC
133 USA Curtis Thompson 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.08% 0.19% 0.11% T39
134 AUS Cameron Percy 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.08% 0.14% 0.06% MC
135 USA Tommy Gainey 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.08% 0.12% 0.04% MC
136 FRA Paul Barjon 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.37% 0.29% T57
137 USA Martin Trainer 1000 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.27% 0.19% MC
138 USA Davis Love III 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.13% 0.06% MC
139 USA Luke Guthrie 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.11% 0.04% MC
140 AUS Mark Hensby 1000 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.11% 0.04% MC
141 USA Andrew McCain 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.11% 0.04% MC
142 ENG Alex Fitzpatrick 1000 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.11% 0.04% MC
143 USA Greg Koch 2000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.12% 0.08% MC
144 USA Omar Uresti 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.11% 0.08% MC
145 CHI Guillermo Pereira 0% 0% 0% 0% T27
146 USA Dylan Wu 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
147 USA Blake Kennedy 0% 0% 0% 0% 72
148 USA Jackson Suber 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 25.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 8.2 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 52.6% 16.4%
2 Betway 8 @ 1/5 57% 19.8%
3 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 61.6% 23.4%
4 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 64.1% 25.2%
5 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 64.1% 25.2%
6 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 64.9% 25.8%
7 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 43.6% 26.7%
8 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 68.8% 28.9%
9 Coral 8 @ 1/5 68.8% 28.9%
10 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 29.3% 29.3%
11 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 102.9% 34.8%
12 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 55.8% 40.1%
13 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 56.2% 40.5%
14 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 57.6% 41.8%
15 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 57.6% 41.8%
16 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 59.1% 43.1%
17 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 72.3% 52.2%