Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 36.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 18.3 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.9 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 5.9

Total Profit: -94.2



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.81% 1.19% -1.62% 2
2 RSA Justin Harding 28 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.52% 2.71% 0.19% T32 11.01
3 ENG Richard Bland 33 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.15% 2.91% 0.76% MC 9.39
4 SCO Calum Hill 33 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.15% 1.86% -0.29% T7
5 BEL Thomas Detry 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.15% 1.72% -0.43% T27
6 ENG Sam Horsfield 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.15% 1.71% -0.44% MC
7 BEL Thomas Pieters 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.15% 1.34% -0.81% MC
8 ITA Guido Migliozzi 35 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.03% 2.69% 0.66% T7 (tied w/6) 8.87 +5.9
9 ENG Andy Sullivan 35 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.03% 1.14% -0.89% T40
10 RSA Dean Burmester 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.78% 1.38% -0.4% T40
11 USA Johannes Veerman 40 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.78% 1.15% -0.64% MC
12 GER Martin Kaymer 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.78% 1.07% -0.71% T18
13 ITA Francesco Molinari 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.78% 0.7% -1.08% T32
14 SVK Rory Sabbatini 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.59% 1.46% -0.12% T60
15 FRA Victor Perez 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.59% 1.25% -0.34% T50
16 ENG Danny Willett 45 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.59% 1.2% -0.39% MC
17 FIN Kalle Samooja 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.59% 1.06% -0.53% MC
18 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.59% 1.05% -0.53% 1
19 FRA Antoine Rozner 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.43% 1.31% -0.12% T13
20 ENG Andrew Johnston 50 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.43% 1.23% -0.2% T60
21 SCO Richie Ramsay 50 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.43% 0.89% -0.54% MC
22 USA Sean Crocker 50 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.43% 0.68% -0.76% T4
23 ENG Marcus Armitage 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.31% 0.94% -0.36% T7
24 SWE Henrik Stenson 55 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.31% 0.6% -0.7% 3
25 WAL Jamie Donaldson 60 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.2% 1.12% -0.08% T27
26 FIN Mikko Korhonen 60 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.2% 0.74% -0.46% T40
27 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 66 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.09% 2.7% 1.6% MC 4.77
28 AUS Minwoo Lee 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.09% 1.06% -0.03% T21
29 ENG James Morrison 66 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.09% 1.04% -0.05% T27
30 USA John Catlin 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.09% 1.02% -0.07% T21
31 ESP Adrian Otaegui 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.09% 0.51% -0.58% MC
32 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 70 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.03% 0.88% -0.15% T21
33 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 70 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.03% 0.39% -0.64% MC
34 SWE Alexander Bjork 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 0.96% 0.8% -0.16% T13
35 RSA Darren Fichardt 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 1.31% 0.41% T21 3.95
36 SCO Grant Forrest 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 1.3% 0.4% MC 3.95
37 NED Wil Besseling 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 1.08% 0.18% T13 3.95
38 FRA Victor Dubuisson 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.88% -0.03% MC 3.95
39 ENG Matthew Jordan 80 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.9% 0.63% -0.28% T4
40 DEN Joachim B Hansen 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.53% -0.37% MC
41 ESP Adria Arnaus 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.41% -0.49% MC
42 ITA Edoardo Molinari 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.8% 0.86% 0.06% MC 3.51
43 AUS Wade Ormsby 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.8% 0.82% 0.02% T56 3.51
44 THA Jazz Janewattananond 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.8% 0.78% -0.02% T67 3.51
45 RSA George Coetzee 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.8% 0.53% -0.28% MC
46 ENG Eddie Pepperell 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.8% 0.43% -0.37% MC
47 SCO Connor Syme 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.96% 0.24% MC 3.17
48 FRA Alexander Levy 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.77% 0.04% T32 3.17
49 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 100 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.74% 0.02% 72 3.17
50 POL Adrian Meronk 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.72% 0% T27 3.17
51 IND Shubhankar Sharma 100 (888sport: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.6% -0.13% T50
52 ENG David Horsey 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.59% -0.13% MC
53 USA Sihwan Kim 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.51% -0.21% MC
54 RSA Brandon Stone 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.46% -0.26% MC
55 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.44% -0.29% MC
56 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.36% -0.36% T67
57 SCO David Law 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.66% 1.23% 0.57% MC 2.88
58 CHI Hugo Leon 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.66% 1.13% 0.47% T62 2.88
59 ENG Ashley Chesters 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.66% 0.77% 0.11% T40 2.88
60 AUS Maverick Antcliff 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.66% 0.77% 0.11% T65 2.88
61 GER Marcel Siem 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.66% 0.69% 0.04% T7 2.88
62 ENG Jack Senior 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.88% 0.3% MC 2.54
63 RSA Justin Walters 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.8% 0.22% MC 2.54
64 ESP Nacho Elvira 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.76% 0.18% T13 2.54
65 ENG Matthew Southgate 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.76% 0.18% MC 2.54
66 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.75% 0.17% MC 2.54
67 FRA Romain Langasque 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.53% -0.05% MC
68 ENG Dale Whitnell 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% 1.38% 0.86% MC
69 ITA Nino Bertasio 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% 0.45% -0.07% T62
70 USA Paul Peterson 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% 0.42% -0.09% T32
71 RSA Wilco Nienaber 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% 0.31% -0.21% MC
72 NED Darius Van Driel 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.92% 0.44% MC
73 WAL Oliver Farr 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% 0.61% 0.13% MC
74 ENG Garrick Porteous 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.61% 0.12% MC
75 FIN Sami Valimaki 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.6% 0.12% MC
76 ENG Ross Fisher 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.55% 0.06% MC
77 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 150 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.5% 0.02% T32
78 ITA Renato Paratore 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.49% 0% T7
79 ENG Chris Paisley 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.48% 0% MC
80 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.33% -0.15% DQ
81 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.24% -0.24% T40
82 ESP Miguel A Jimenez 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.23% -0.25% T27
83 ESP Alejandro Canizares 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.45% 0.63% 0.17% MC
84 FRA Benjamin Hebert 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.45% 0.57% 0.12% T32
85 SWE Rikard Karlberg 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.45% 0.51% 0.05% T53
86 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.45% 0.24% -0.22% T18
87 SWE Marcus Kinhult 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.45% 0.21% -0.24% T47
88 ESP Jorge Campillo 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.55% 0.14% T32
89 ENG Daniel Gavins 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 1.92% 1.55% MC
90 AUS Scott Hend 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.53% 0.16% MC
91 SWE Joakim Lagergren 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.43% 0.07% MC
92 DEN Jeff Winther 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% 0.6% 0.28% T40
93 FRA Matthieu Pavon 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% 0.59% 0.26% MC
94 ITA Francesco Laporta 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% 0.44% 0.12% MC
95 FRA Clement Sordet 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% 0.42% 0.09% MC
96 WAL Bradley Dredge 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% 0.28% -0.04% WD
97 SCO Scott Jamieson 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% 0.19% -0.13% T47
98 GER Sebastian Heisele 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.51% 0.22% MC
99 ENG Richard McEvoy 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.43% 0.14% T47
100 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.25% -0.05% T53
101 FRA Julien Guerrier 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.24% -0.05% T56
102 CAN Aaron Cockerill 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.26% 0.63% 0.36% MC
103 SCO David Drysdale 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.26% 0.23% -0.04% MC
104 ENG Steven Brown 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.26% 0.23% -0.04% MC
105 ENG Robert Rock 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.26% 0.21% -0.06% MC
106 ENG Matthew Baldwin 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.26% 0.02% MC
107 SWE Niklas Lemke 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.17% -0.07% MC
108 USA Julian Suri 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.55% 0.34% T56
109 NED Lars Van Meijel 350 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.43% 0.22% MC
110 ENG Toby Tree 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.41% 0.2% MC
111 ENG Oliver Fisher 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.37% 0.16% MC
112 RSA Zander Lombard 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.35% 0.14% MC
113 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.35% 0.14% T18
114 SCO Stephen Gallacher 350 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.33% 0.12% MC
115 AUS Bryden MacPherson 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.32% 0.11% T40
116 SCO Marc Warren 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.26% 0.05% MC
117 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 350 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.24% 0.03% MC
118 KOR Taehee Lee 350 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.2% -0.01% MC
119 KOR Kyongjun Moon 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.2% -0.01% 73
120 ENG Oliver Wilson 400 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.37% 0.18% T21
121 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 1.14% 0.99% T50
122 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.41% 0.27% MC
123 NIR Cormac Sharvin 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.37% 0.23% MC
124 ENG Ross McGowan 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.35% 0.21% T4
125 POR Ricardo Santos 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% MC
126 FRA Damien Perrier 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% MC
127 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% MC
128 FRA Adrien Saddier 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.12% T7
129 RSA Haydn Porteous 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.12% MC
130 FRA Robin Roussel 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% T67
131 MAS Gavin Green 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.08% T32
132 ITA Andrea Pavan 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.27% 0.15% T53
133 POR Jose-Filipe Lima 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.2% 0.08% MC
134 FRA Gregory Havret 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.17% 0.05% MC
135 FRA Joel Stalter 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.37% 0.27% MC
136 ENG David Howell 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% MC
137 AUS Jake McLeod 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.21% 0.11% MC
138 SUI Ronan Kleu 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.19% 0.11% 70
139 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 1500 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.33% 0.28% MC
140 ESP Carlos Pigem 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.28% 0.23% T62
141 POR Pedro Figueiredo 1500 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.28% 0.23% MC
142 ENG Graeme Storm 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.24% 0.19% MC
143 SUI Mathias Eggenberger 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.19% 0.14% MC
144 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 2000 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.26% 0.22% MC
145 IRL Rowan Lester 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.2% 0.16% MC
146 SUI Raphael De Sousa 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.19% 0.15% 71
147 THA Suradit Yongcharoenchai 2000 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.16% 0.12% MC
148 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% T21
149 ENG Lee Slattery 0% 0% 0% 0% T13
150 USA John Ellis 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 RSA Bryce Easton 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 KOR Yikeun Chang 0% 0% 0% 0% T56
153 ITA Pietro Bovari 0% 0% 0% 0% T65
154 SUI Cedric Gugler 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 SUI Max Schliesing 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 SUI Mauro Gilardi 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 36.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 18.3 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 45% 29.1%
2 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 56.7% 31%
3 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 57.9% 32%
4 888Sport 7 @ 1/5 58.1% 32.1%
5 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 59.3% 33.2%
6 Betway 7 @ 1/5 59.7% 33.5%
7 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 60.5% 34.1%
8 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 60.5% 34.1%
9 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 52.1% 35.5%
10 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 50.3% 36.8%
11 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 54.7% 37.8%
12 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 55.6% 38.6%
13 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 52.5% 38.9%
14 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 56.3% 39.2%
15 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 56.5% 39.4%
16 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 53.1% 39.4%
17 VBet 5 @ 1/4 57.2% 40%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 62.6% 48.1%