Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 35.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 17.2 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 5.9

Total Profit: -94.2

Omega European Masters

26/08/2021 - 29/08/2021

Up to date as of: 2 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.84% 1.2% -1.64% 2
2 RSA Justin Harding 28 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.54% 2.73% 0.18% T32 11.01
3 ENG Richard Bland 33 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.17% 2.92% 0.75% MC 9.39
4 SCO Calum Hill 33 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.17% 1.87% -0.3% T7
5 BEL Thomas Detry 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.17% 1.73% -0.44% T27
6 ENG Sam Horsfield 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.17% 1.72% -0.45% MC
7 BEL Thomas Pieters 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.17% 1.35% -0.82% MC
8 ITA Guido Migliozzi 35 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.05% 2.71% 0.66% T7 (tied w/6) 8.87 +5.9
9 ENG Andy Sullivan 35 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.05% 1.14% -0.9% T40
10 RSA Dean Burmester 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.8% 1.39% -0.41% T40
11 USA Johannes Veerman 40 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.8% 1.15% -0.65% MC
12 GER Martin Kaymer 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.8% 1.07% -0.73% T18
13 ITA Francesco Molinari 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.8% 0.71% -1.09% T32
14 SVK Rory Sabbatini 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.6% 1.47% -0.13% T60
15 FRA Victor Perez 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.6% 1.26% -0.35% T50
16 ENG Danny Willett 45 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.6% 1.2% -0.4% MC
17 FIN Kalle Samooja 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.6% 1.06% -0.54% MC
18 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.6% 1.06% -0.54% 1
19 FRA Antoine Rozner 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.45% 1.32% -0.12% T13
20 ENG Andrew Johnston 50 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.45% 1.24% -0.21% T60
21 SCO Richie Ramsay 50 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.45% 0.9% -0.55% MC
22 USA Sean Crocker 50 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.45% 0.68% -0.77% T4
23 ENG Marcus Armitage 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.32% 0.95% -0.37% T7
24 SWE Henrik Stenson 55 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.32% 0.61% -0.71% 3
25 WAL Jamie Donaldson 60 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.21% 1.12% -0.09% T27
26 FIN Mikko Korhonen 60 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.21% 0.74% -0.47% T40
27 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 66 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.1% 2.71% 1.61% MC 4.77
28 AUS Minwoo Lee 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 1.06% -0.04% T21
29 ENG James Morrison 66 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 1.05% -0.05% T27
30 USA John Catlin 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.1% 1.03% -0.07% T21
31 ESP Adrian Otaegui 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 0.51% -0.59% MC
32 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 70 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.04% 0.88% -0.16% T21
33 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 70 (Sport Nation: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.04% 0.39% -0.65% MC
34 SWE Alexander Bjork 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 0.97% 0.8% -0.17% T13
35 RSA Darren Fichardt 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 1.32% 0.41% T21 3.95
36 SCO Grant Forrest 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 1.31% 0.4% MC 3.95
37 NED Wil Besseling 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 1.09% 0.18% T13 3.95
38 FRA Victor Dubuisson 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0.88% -0.03% MC 3.95
39 ENG Matthew Jordan 80 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 0.63% -0.28% T4
40 ESP Adria Arnaus 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0.41% -0.5% MC
41 ITA Edoardo Molinari 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% 0.87% 0.05% MC 3.51
42 AUS Wade Ormsby 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.81% 0.83% 0.02% T56 3.51
43 THA Jazz Janewattananond 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% 0.78% -0.03% T67 3.51
44 RSA George Coetzee 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.81% 0.53% -0.28% MC
45 ENG Eddie Pepperell 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.81% 0.43% -0.38% MC
46 SCO Connor Syme 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.97% 0.24% MC 3.17
47 FRA Alexander Levy 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.77% 0.04% T32 3.17
48 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 100 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.75% 0.02% 72 3.17
49 POL Adrian Meronk 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.73% 0% T27 3.17
50 IND Shubhankar Sharma 100 (888sport: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.6% -0.13% T50
51 ENG David Horsey 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.6% -0.13% MC
52 USA Sihwan Kim 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.51% -0.22% MC
53 RSA Brandon Stone 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.46% -0.27% MC
54 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.44% -0.29% MC
55 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.36% -0.37% T67
56 SCO David Law 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.66% 1.24% 0.58% MC 2.88
57 CHI Hugo Leon 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.66% 1.14% 0.47% T62 2.88
58 ENG Ashley Chesters 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.66% 0.77% 0.11% T40 2.88
59 AUS Maverick Antcliff 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.66% 0.77% 0.11% T65 2.88
60 GER Marcel Siem 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.66% 0.7% 0.03% T7 2.88
61 ENG Jack Senior 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.88% 0.3% MC 2.54
62 RSA Justin Walters 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.81% 0.22% MC 2.54
63 ESP Nacho Elvira 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 0.77% 0.18% T13 2.54
64 ENG Matthew Southgate 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 0.77% 0.18% MC 2.54
65 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.76% 0.17% MC 2.54
66 FRA Romain Langasque 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0.53% -0.05% MC
67 ENG Dale Whitnell 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% 1.39% 0.87% MC
68 ITA Nino Bertasio 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% 0.45% -0.07% T62
69 USA Paul Peterson 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% 0.43% -0.1% T32
70 RSA Wilco Nienaber 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% 0.31% -0.21% MC
71 NED Darius Van Driel 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.93% 0.44% MC
72 WAL Oliver Farr 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.62% 0.13% MC
73 ENG Garrick Porteous 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.61% 0.12% MC
74 FIN Sami Valimaki 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.61% 0.12% MC
75 ENG Ross Fisher 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.55% 0.06% MC
76 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 150 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.5% 0.01% T32
77 ITA Renato Paratore 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.49% 0% T7
78 ENG Chris Paisley 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.48% -0.01% MC
79 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.33% -0.15% DQ
80 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.24% -0.25% T40
81 ESP Miguel A Jimenez 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.23% -0.26% T27
82 ESP Alejandro Canizares 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.46% 0.63% 0.17% MC
83 FRA Benjamin Hebert 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.46% 0.58% 0.12% T32
84 SWE Rikard Karlberg 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.46% 0.51% 0.05% T53
85 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.46% 0.24% -0.22% T18
86 SWE Marcus Kinhult 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.46% 0.21% -0.24% T47
87 ESP Jorge Campillo 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.56% 0.14% T32
88 ENG Daniel Gavins 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 1.93% 1.56% MC
89 AUS Scott Hend 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.53% 0.16% MC
90 SWE Joakim Lagergren 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.43% 0.07% MC
91 DEN Jeff Winther 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.61% 0.28% T40
92 FRA Matthieu Pavon 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.59% 0.26% MC
93 ITA Francesco Laporta 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.44% 0.12% MC
94 FRA Clement Sordet 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.42% 0.09% MC
95 WAL Bradley Dredge 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.28% -0.04% WD
96 SCO Scott Jamieson 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.19% -0.13% T47
97 GER Sebastian Heisele 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.51% 0.22% MC
98 ENG Richard McEvoy 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.43% 0.14% T47
99 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.25% -0.05% T53
100 FRA Julien Guerrier 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.24% -0.05% T56
101 CAN Aaron Cockerill 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0.63% 0.36% MC
102 SCO David Drysdale 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0.23% -0.04% MC
103 ENG Steven Brown 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0.23% -0.04% MC
104 ENG Robert Rock 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0.21% -0.06% MC
105 ENG Matthew Baldwin 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.26% 0.02% MC
106 SWE Niklas Lemke 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.18% -0.07% MC
107 USA Julian Suri 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.56% 0.35% T56
108 NED Lars Van Meijel 350 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.43% 0.22% MC
109 ENG Toby Tree 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.41% 0.2% MC
110 ENG Oliver Fisher 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.37% 0.16% MC
111 RSA Zander Lombard 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.35% 0.14% MC
112 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.35% 0.14% T18
113 SCO Stephen Gallacher 350 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.33% 0.12% MC
114 AUS Bryden MacPherson 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.32% 0.11% T40
115 SCO Marc Warren 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.26% 0.05% MC
116 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 350 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.24% 0.03% MC
117 KOR Taehee Lee 350 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.2% -0.01% MC
118 KOR Kyongjun Moon 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.2% -0.01% 73
119 ENG Oliver Wilson 400 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.37% 0.18% T21
120 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 1.15% 1% T50
121 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.41% 0.27% MC
122 NIR Cormac Sharvin 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.38% 0.23% MC
123 ENG Ross McGowan 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.35% 0.21% T4
124 POR Ricardo Santos 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.19% MC
125 FRA Damien Perrier 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% MC
126 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% MC
127 FRA Adrien Saddier 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.12% T7
128 RSA Haydn Porteous 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.12% MC
129 FRA Robin Roussel 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% T67
130 MAS Gavin Green 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.08% T32
131 ITA Andrea Pavan 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.27% 0.15% T53
132 POR Jose-Filipe Lima 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.21% 0.08% MC
133 FRA Gregory Havret 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.17% 0.05% MC
134 FRA Joel Stalter 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.37% 0.27% MC
135 ENG David Howell 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% MC
136 AUS Jake McLeod 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.21% 0.11% MC
137 SUI Ronan Kleu 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.19% 0.12% 70
138 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 1500 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.33% 0.28% MC
139 ESP Carlos Pigem 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.28% 0.23% T62
140 POR Pedro Figueiredo 1500 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.28% 0.23% MC
141 ENG Graeme Storm 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.24% 0.19% MC
142 SUI Mathias Eggenberger 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.19% 0.14% MC
143 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 2000 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.26% 0.22% MC
144 IRL Rowan Lester 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.2% 0.16% MC
145 SUI Raphael De Sousa 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.19% 0.15% 71
146 THA Suradit Yongcharoenchai 2000 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.16% 0.12% MC
147 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% T21
148 ENG Lee Slattery 0% 0% 0% 0% T13
149 USA John Ellis 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 RSA Bryce Easton 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 KOR Yikeun Chang 0% 0% 0% 0% T56
152 ITA Pietro Bovari 0% 0% 0% 0% T65
153 SUI Cedric Gugler 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 SUI Max Schliesing 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 SUI Mauro Gilardi 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 35.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 17.2 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 45% 29.1%
2 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 56.7% 31%
3 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 57.9% 32%
4 888Sport 7 @ 1/5 58.1% 32.1%
5 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 59.3% 33.2%
6 Betway 7 @ 1/5 59.7% 33.5%
7 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 60.5% 34.1%
8 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 60.5% 34.1%
9 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 52.1% 35.5%
10 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 50.3% 36.8%
11 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 54.7% 37.8%
12 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 55.6% 38.6%
13 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 52.5% 38.9%
14 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 56.3% 39.2%
15 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 56.5% 39.4%
16 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 53.1% 39.4%
17 VBet 5 @ 1/4 57.2% 40%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 62.6% 48.1%