Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 29.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 15.7 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.0 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 37.4

Total Profit: -62.7



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 14 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 6.67% 5.05% 2.38% -2.67% T21
2 ENG Andy Sullivan 22 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.29% 1.35% -1.95% T13
3 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.91% 1.37% -1.54% T55
4 ENG Richard Bland 28 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.61% 2.73% 0.12% T3 (tied w/4) 11.34 +37.4
5 SWE Vincent Norrman 30 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.44% 1.72% -0.73% MC
6 ENG Jordan L Smith 30 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.44% 1.62% -0.83% T9
7 SCO Calum Hill 30 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.44% 1.4% -1.04% 1
8 USA John Catlin 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.23% 1.29% -0.94% T51
9 FRA Victor Perez 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.23% 1.24% -0.99% T13
10 FIN Mikko Korhonen 33 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.23% 1.18% -1.05% MC
11 ENG Laurie Canter 33 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.23% 0.47% -1.76% MC
12 ENG Matthew Jordan 35 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.1% 1.04% -1.06% T47
13 NZL Ryan Fox 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.85% 1.43% -0.42% T13
14 SCO Richie Ramsay 40 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.85% 1.22% -0.63% T9
15 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.85% 0.75% -1.1% T3
16 SCO David Law 45 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.65% 1.62% -0.03% MC 7.15
17 AUS Wade Ormsby 45 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.65% 1.07% -0.57% MC
18 DEN Joachim B Hansen 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.48% 1.02% -0.46% T29
19 NED Wil Besseling 50 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.48% 0.98% -0.5% T29
20 ENG James Morrison 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.48% 0.73% -0.76% T13
21 USA Sean Crocker 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.48% 0.62% -0.87% MC
22 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.48% 0.59% -0.9% MC
23 ENG Matthew Southgate 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.35% 1.12% -0.23% T44
24 ENG Callum Shinkwin 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.35% 0.92% -0.43% T3
25 FIN Sami Valimaki 60 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.24% 0.82% -0.42% T44
26 ENG Eddie Pepperell 60 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.24% 0.5% -0.74% T29
27 FIN Kalle Samooja 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.13% 1.3% 0.17% 8 4.91
28 ENG Jack Senior 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.13% 0.96% -0.17% MC 4.91
29 ENG Garrick Porteous 66 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.13% 0.96% -0.17% T60 4.91
30 AUS Maverick Antcliff 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% 0.94% -0.2% T35
31 WAL Jamie Donaldson 66 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% 0.85% -0.28% T3
32 RSA Wilco Nienaber 66 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% 0.71% -0.42% MC
33 RSA Brandon Stone 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.13% 0.68% -0.45% MC
34 RSA Justin Walters 70 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.07% 1.01% -0.05% T40 4.63
35 NZL Daniel Hillier 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 2.17% 1.23% MC 4.06
36 NED Darius Van Driel 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.93% 1.16% 0.23% T47 4.06
37 GER Marcel Siem 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 1.14% 0.2% T21 4.06
38 FRA Benjamin Hebert 80 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 1.08% 0.15% MC 4.06
39 USA Sihwan Kim 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 1.08% 0.14% T29 4.06
40 WAL Oliver Farr 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 1.08% 0.14% MC 4.06
41 ENG Ashley Chesters 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.93% 1.05% 0.12% T13 4.06
42 ENG Ross Fisher 80 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.93% 0.71% -0.23% T55
43 ENG Chris Paisley 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0.66% -0.28% MC
44 IND Shubhankar Sharma 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.93% 0.53% -0.4% T9
45 ENG Daniel Gavins 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.83% 2.02% 1.18% MC 3.62
46 ESP Alejandro Canizares 100 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 1.23% 0.48% T40 3.26
47 ENG Dale Whitnell 100 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 1.15% 0.4% T13 3.26
48 ENG David Horsey 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.78% 0.03% T13 3.26
49 ESP Jorge Campillo 100 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.63% -0.12% T21 3.26
50 FRA Alexander Levy 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 0.53% -0.22% 2
51 RSA Louis de Jager 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.5% -0.25% MC
52 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.68% 2.19% 1.51% T55 2.97
53 IRL Niall Kearney 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.68% 1.2% 0.52% T35 2.97
54 FRA Matthieu Pavon 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.68% 0.83% 0.14% MC 2.97
55 DEN Jeff Winther 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.68% 0.74% 0.05% MC 2.97
56 SWE Marcus Kinhult 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.68% 0.26% -0.42% T64
57 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 120 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.83% 0.63% 0.55% -0.08% T35 2.72
58 USA Paul Peterson 125 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.43% -0.17% T55 2.61
59 GER Maximilian Kieffer 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 1.64% 1.14% T21
60 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 1.45% 0.95% T21
61 RSA Bryce Easton 150 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 1.37% 0.87% MC
62 AUS Scott Hend 150 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.81% 0.31% MC
63 ENG Richard McEvoy 150 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.78% 0.28% MC
64 NZL Josh Geary 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.55% 0.05% MC
65 ENG Chris Wood 150 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.45% -0.05% MC
66 USA Julian Suri 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.44% -0.06% T60
67 ENG Steven Brown 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.47% 0.35% -0.12% MC
68 CAN Aaron Cockerill 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.47% 0.3% -0.17% MC
69 ENG David Coupland 175 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.72% 0.29% MC
70 ENG Robert Rock 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.49% 0.06% MC
71 WAL Bradley Dredge 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.3% -0.13% T60
72 ESP Alvaro Quiros 200 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.89% 0.51% T35
73 GER Marcel Schneider 200 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.49% 0.12% MC
74 SWE Niklas Lemke 200 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.48% 0.1% T44
75 SCO Marc Warren 200 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.33% -0.05% MC
76 SCO David Drysdale 200 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.27% -0.11% T51
77 ENG Paul Waring 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.25% -0.12% MC
78 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 250 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.72% 0.42% 66
79 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 250 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.71% 0.41% MC
80 USA Berry Henson 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.51% 0.21% T51
81 NIR Cormac Sharvin 250 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.43% 0.13% MC
82 SWE Pontus Nyholm 275 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0.26% -0.01% MC
83 KOR Yikeun Chang 300 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.78% 0.53% T29
84 ENG Matt Ford 300 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.66% 0.41% T47
85 CHN Li Haotong 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.58% 0.33% MC
86 ENG Toby Tree 300 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.58% 0.33% T60
87 ENG Matthew Baldwin 300 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.55% 0.3% MC
88 FRA Clement Sordet 300 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.41% 0.15% T21
89 SCO Stephen Gallacher 300 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.36% 0.11% T64
90 POR Ricardo Santos 300 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.33% 0.08% MC
91 WAL Rhys Enoch 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.84% 0.63% T13
92 FRA Adrien Saddier 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.63% 0.42% MC
93 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.61% 0.4% MC
94 ESP Pep Angles Ros 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.53% 0.31% MC
95 ENG Oliver Fisher 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.47% 0.26% MC
96 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.33% 0.12% MC
97 SWE Anton Karlsson 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.31% 0.1% T47
98 ENG Oliver Wilson 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.28% 0.06% T35
99 MAS Gavin Green 400 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.39% 0.2% MC
100 NED Lars Van Meijel 500 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.53% 0.38% 7
101 ENG Jordan Wrisdale 500 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.43% 0.28% MC
102 ENG Ben Evans 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.41% 0.26% T9
103 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 500 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.4% 0.25% T40
104 ESP Emilio Cuartero Blanco 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.37% 0.22% MC
105 ENG Lee Slattery 500 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.16% T40
106 ENG Laird Shepherd 500 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% 68
107 ENG Steven Tiley 500 (Paddy Power: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.21% 0.06% MC
108 ENG David Howell 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.61% 0.49% MC
109 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.44% 0.31% MC
110 IND Ajeetesh Sandhu 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.42% 0.29% MC
111 FRA Damien Perrier 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.4% 0.27% MC
112 FRA Joel Stalter 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.34% 0.21% T51
113 RSA Haydn Porteous 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.34% 0.21% MC
114 IRL Paul Dunne 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.29% 0.16% WD
115 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.28% 0.16% MC
116 IND Shiv Kapur 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.26% 0.13% MC
117 ENG Alfie Plant 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.26% 0.13% MC
118 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.25% 0.12% MC
119 POR Pedro Figueiredo 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.25% 0.12% MC
120 ENG Jonathan Thomson 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 1.35% 1.25% T55
121 ENG David Dixon 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% MC
122 ENG Ross McGowan 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 67
123 THA Suradit Yongcharoenchai 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% MC
124 AUS Jake McLeod 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.24% 0.14% MC
125 SWE Philip Eriksson 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.09% 0.48% 0.39% MC
126 AUS Deyen Lawson 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.09% 0.47% 0.37% MC
127 IMN Tom Gandy 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.09% 0.42% 0.33% MC
128 USA Tyler Koivisto 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.09% 0.37% 0.27% MC
129 FRA Gary Stal 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.09% 0.29% 0.2% MC
130 ENG Matthew Cort 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.18% MC
131 SWE Jesper Sandborg 1000 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.18% MC
132 ESP Carlos Pigem 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.17% MC
133 SCO Daniel Young 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.58% 0.52% T29
134 SCO Euan Walker 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.44% 0.37% MC
135 FIN Janne Kaske 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.32% 0.27% MC
136 ITA Aron Zemmer 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.43% 0.39% MC
137 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% T21
138 AUS Bryden MacPherson 0% 0% 0% 0% T21
139 USA Chase Hanna 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
140 ENG Rob Harris 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
141 ENG Liam Robinson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
142 ENG Thomas Thurloway 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
143 FRA Adrien Pendaries 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 ENG Jack Cope 0% 0% 0% 0% WD

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 29.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 15.7 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 40% 24.7%
2 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 41.4% 26%
3 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 41.4% 26%
4 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 41.4% 26%
5 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 39.1% 26.7%
6 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 53.7% 28.6%
7 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 44.5% 28.7%
8 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 54.9% 29.6%
9 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 46.8% 30.8%
10 Betway 7 @ 1/5 56.7% 31.1%
11 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 52.1% 35.5%
12 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 48.8% 35.5%
13 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 51.4% 37.9%
14 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 51.5% 38%
15 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 52.5% 39%
16 VBet 5 @ 1/4 56.4% 39.4%
17 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 53.4% 39.8%
18 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 69.7% 42%
19 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 61.5% 47.1%