Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 34.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 19.3 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 130.9

Total Profit: +30.8



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 SCO Robert MacIntyre 12 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 7.69% 5.66% 3.99% -1.68% T37
2 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 20 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.76% 3.51% 1.52% -1.99% 1
3 AUT Matthias Schwab 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.83% 1.7% -1.14% T8
4 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 28 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.54% 1.27% -1.27% T31
5 ENG Andy Sullivan 30 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.38% 2.87% 0.5% T40 10.62
6 SCO Calum Hill 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.17% 2.32% 0.16% T40 9.68
7 RSA Justin Harding 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.17% 1.74% -0.43% MC
8 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.17% 1.3% -0.86% MC
9 ENG Andrew Johnston 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.17% 0.99% -1.18% MC
10 BEL Thomas Detry 33 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.17% 0.85% -1.31% T59
11 ENG Eddie Pepperell 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.17% 0.68% -1.49% T37
12 DEN Joachim B Hansen 35 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.05% 0.7% -1.34% MC
13 NZL Ryan Fox 40 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.8% 1.83% 0.04% MC 8.03
14 ENG Laurie Canter 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.8% 0.97% -0.83% T8
15 AUS Jason Scrivener 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.6% 2.34% 0.74% T3 (tied w/3) 7.16 +43.9
16 ITA Guido Migliozzi 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.6% 1.66% 0.06% 2 7.16 +43.9
17 NED Joost Luiten 45 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.6% 0.85% -0.75% T15
18 ENG Aaron Rai 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.6% 0.52% -1.08% MC
19 ESP Adria Arnaus 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.44% 1.65% 0.21% T52 6.46
20 POL Adrian Meronk 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.44% 1.45% 0.01% T31
21 ENG Richard Bland 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.21% 1.63% 0.42% T3 (tied w/3) 5.4 +43.2
22 RSA Brandon Stone 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 2.68% 1.58% T40 4.92
23 FIN Mikko Korhonen 66 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.1% 1.81% 0.72% MC 4.92
24 USA Kurt Kitayama 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 1.74% 0.64% T8 4.92
25 FRA Victor Dubuisson 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 0.86% -0.24% WD
26 RSA Wilco Nienaber 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 0.47% -0.63% MC
27 SCO Connor Syme 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.04% 1.51% 0.47% MC 4.64
28 ESP Adrian Otaegui 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 0.97% 0.5% -0.47% T37
29 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 1.29% 0.39% T40 4.07
30 GER Maximilian Kieffer 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 1.13% 0.22% MC 4.07
31 USA Sean Crocker 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0.72% -0.19% MC
32 AUS Minwoo Lee 80 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 0.5% -0.41% T52
33 SCO Richie Ramsay 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 0.33% -0.58% MC
34 SWE Alexander Bjork 90 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.81% 0.8% 0% T6
35 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.81% 0.6% -0.21% T52
36 ENG Jordan L Smith 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.81% 0.56% -0.25% T3
37 FRA Romain Langasque 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.81% 0.56% -0.25% T65
38 ENG Marcus Armitage 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.81% 0.55% -0.26% T8
39 ITA Renato Paratore 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.73% 0.93% 0.2% T71 3.26
40 DEN Jeff Winther 100 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.83% 0.1% T65 3.26
41 USA Julian Suri 100 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.73% 0.6% -0.13% MC
42 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.49% -0.24% T17
43 ENG Matthew Southgate 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.73% 0.41% -0.31% MC
44 ITA Edoardo Molinari 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.37% -0.36% MC
45 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.2% -0.53% T8
46 ENG Chris Paisley 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.66% 1.14% 0.48% T52 2.97
47 AUS Maverick Antcliff 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.66% 0.88% 0.21% MC 2.97
48 CHN Wu Ashun 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.66% 0.85% 0.19% T40 2.97
49 NED Wil Besseling 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.66% 0.61% -0.06% T19
50 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 125 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.65% 0.07% T40 2.62
51 SCO Scott Jamieson 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.59% 0.01% MC
52 USA Johannes Veerman 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.59% 0.01% MC
53 ENG Richard Mansell 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.29% -0.29% MC
54 CAN Aaron Cockerill 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.2% -0.39% MC
55 FRA Matthieu Pavon 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% 1.13% 0.61% T25
56 SWE Niklas Lemke 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% 0.91% 0.39% MC
57 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% 0.72% 0.19% T19
58 ENG Ross Fisher 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% 0.49% -0.03% T8
59 AUS Wade Ormsby 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 1.14% 0.65% T19
60 ITA Nino Bertasio 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.7% 0.21% T25
61 FRA Benjamin Hebert 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.69% 0.21% MC
62 ENG James Morrison 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.69% 0.2% MC
63 AUS Scott Hend 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.62% 0.13% MC
64 ESP Alejandro Canizares 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.55% 0.07% MC
65 ENG Callum Shinkwin 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.54% 0.05% T59
66 ENG David Horsey 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.52% 0.03% T31
67 ENG Robert Rock 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.42% -0.07% MC
68 GER Sebastian Heisele 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.36% -0.13% MC
69 ENG Matthew Jordan 150 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.36% -0.13% MC
70 ENG Dale Whitnell 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.34% -0.15% T19
71 FRA Alexander Levy 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.33% -0.16% T71
72 ENG Jack Senior 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.27% -0.22% MC
73 FRA Julien Guerrier 150 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.23% -0.26% T15
74 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0.21% -0.27% T25
75 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.46% 0.5% 0.05% T19
76 USA Paul Peterson 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% 0.23% -0.19% MC
77 IRL Niall Kearney 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.94% 0.57% MC
78 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.59% 0.22% T19
79 ITA Francesco Laporta 200 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.47% 0.11% MC
80 ENG Chris Wood 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.46% 0.1% MC
81 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.46% 0.09% MC
82 ENG David Coupland 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.44% 0.07% MC
83 GER Bernd Ritthammer 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.41% 0.04% MC
84 NED Darius Van Driel 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.34% -0.02% MC
85 ESP Pep Angles Ros 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.31% -0.06% MC
86 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.23% -0.13% MC
87 MAS Gavin Green 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.23% -0.13% MC
88 GER Marcel Siem 200 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.21% -0.15% MC
89 ENG Ashley Chesters 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.16% -0.2% MC
90 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 1.62% 1.3% MC
91 USA Sihwan Kim 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.42% 0.09% MC
92 ENG Garrick Porteous 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.3% -0.02% T59
93 SCO Stephen Gallacher 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 1.29% 0.99% T25
94 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 1.01% 0.72% T59
95 ENG Steven Brown 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.48% 0.19% T40
96 SWE Joakim Lagergren 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.48% 0.19% T25
97 FRA Clement Sordet 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.41% 0.12% MC
98 IND Shubhankar Sharma 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.34% 0.05% T8
99 CHN Li Haotong 250 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.25% -0.04% MC
100 NZL Josh Geary 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.22% -0.07% T6
101 ESP Jorge Campillo 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.19% -0.11% T40
102 NIR Cormac Sharvin 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0.52% 0.25% MC
103 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0.24% -0.02% T31
104 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0.23% -0.04% T40
105 GER Marcel Schneider 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.39% 0.14% MC
106 WAL Rhys Enoch 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.31% 0.06% MC
107 IRL Paul Dunne 300 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.24% 0% WD
108 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.2% -0.05% MC
109 GER Max Schmitt 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.6% 0.39% T31
110 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.35% 0.14% T40
111 ESP Nacho Elvira 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.27% 0.06% MC
112 DEN Lasse Jensen 350 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.21% 0% MC
113 ENG Richard McEvoy 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.78% 0.59% MC
114 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 400 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.49% 0.31% MC
115 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.46% 0.28% MC
116 NED Lars Van Meijel 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.39% 0.21% MC
117 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.25% 0.07% T59
118 SWE Rikard Karlberg 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.24% 0.06% MC
119 ENG Ben Evans 400 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.21% 0.02% MC
120 ENG Toby Tree 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.2% 0.01% MC
121 USA Trevor Simsby 500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 1.59% 1.44% MC
122 KOR Yikeun Chang 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.63% 0.48% 70
123 ITA Lorenzo Scalise 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.57% 0.43% MC
124 SCO David Drysdale 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.46% 0.31% MC
125 ENG Lee Slattery 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.21% MC
126 FRA Joel Stalter 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.17% MC
127 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% T59
128 FRA Gregory Havret 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.12% MC
129 AUS Jake McLeod 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.08% MC
130 ESP Alvaro Quiros 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.08% WD
131 ENG Matt Ford 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.08% MC
132 WAL Oliver Farr 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% T68
133 DEN Morten Orum Madsen 500 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.21% 0.07% MC
134 DEN Peter Launer Baek 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.21% 0.07% T40
135 FIN Lauri Ruuska 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.21% 0.07% T25
136 DEN John Axelsen 500 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.2% 0.06% T17
137 FRA Robin Roussel 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.2% 0.05% MC
138 SCO David Law 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.16% 0.02% T52
139 FRA Adrien Saddier 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.22% 0.1% MC
140 RSA Haydn Porteous 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.2% 0.08% T40
141 FIN Janne Kaske 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.23% 0.13% MC
142 SWE Peter Hanson 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.23% 0.13% MC
143 AUS Jarryd Felton 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.21% 0.11% T52
144 SWE Jesper Sandborg 750 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.21% 0.11% MC
145 ENG Graeme Storm 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.09% 0.22% 0.13% MC
146 IMN Tom Gandy 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.54% 0.46% MC
147 RSA Mathiam KEYSER 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.28% 0.2% 73
148 DEN Thomas Bjorn 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.22% 0.15% T31
149 ESP Carlos Pigem 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.2% 0.12% MC
150 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.2% 0.12% MC
151 POR Pedro Figueiredo 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.2% 0.12% T52
152 ITA Andrea Pavan 1000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.19% 0.12% MC
153 ENG David Howell 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.18% 0.13% MC
154 AUS Dimi Papadatos 0% 0% 0% 0% T68
155 THA Suradit Yongcharoenchai 0% 0% 0% 0% T65
156 SWE Adam Guedra 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 34.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 19.3 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 45% 29.2%
2 VBet 5 @ 1/4 45.1% 29.3%
3 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 58.9% 32.9%
4 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 58.9% 32.9%
5 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 49.5% 33.2%
6 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 50.3% 33.9%
7 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 50.3% 33.9%
8 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 53.1% 36.5%
9 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 64.2% 37.4%
10 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 53% 39.3%
11 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 53.9% 40.2%
12 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 55% 41.2%
13 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 57.2% 43.2%
14 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 57.7% 43.7%
15 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 57.9% 43.8%
16 Betway 6 @ 1/5 61.3% 47%
17 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 66.5% 51.7%