Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 36.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 3.5 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 310.5

Total Profit: +210.4



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 SCO Robert MacIntyre 12 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.17% 3.74% -1.43% T8
2 GER Martin Kaymer 16 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 5.88% 3.95% 1.75% -2.21% MC
3 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 18 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.54% 2.08% -1.46% T34
4 ENG Sam Horsfield 20 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.2% 0.99% -2.21% T21
5 ENG Danny Willett 22 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 4.35% 2.92% 1.2% -1.72% T11
6 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 25 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.58% 2.15% -0.43% T57
7 RSA Dean Burmester 25 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.58% 1.7% -0.88% T6
8 AUT Matthias Schwab 25 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.58% 1.68% -0.91% T11
9 BEL Thomas Detry 30 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.17% 1.04% -1.12% T43
10 ENG Andy Sullivan 33 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.94% 1.98% 2.13% 0.15% T6 (tied w/2) 8.85 +33.6
11 RSA Justin Harding 35 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.87% 2.01% 0.15% T19 8.36
12 SCO Calum Hill 35 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.87% 1.51% -0.35% T8
13 AUS Jason Scrivener 40 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.64% 2.49% 0.85% MC 7.34
14 ESP Adria Arnaus 40 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.64% 1.4% -0.24% T43
15 FIN Sami Valimaki 40 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.64% 1.33% -0.31% T21
16 DEN Joachim B Hansen 40 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.64% 1.12% -0.52% T57
17 ENG Laurie Canter 40 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.64% 0.72% -0.92% T30
18 ENG Andrew Johnston 40 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.64% 0.31% -1.33% T17
19 ENG Eddie Pepperell 40 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.64% 0.25% -1.39% T11
20 WAL Jamie Donaldson 45 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.46% 1.28% -0.18% T57
21 THA Jazz Janewattananond 45 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.46% 0.43% -1.03% T11
22 USA Sean Crocker 55 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.2% 1.14% -0.06% MC 5.38
23 GER Maximilian Kieffer 60 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.1% 1.78% 0.68% MC 4.94
24 SCO Connor Syme 60 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.1% 1.42% 0.31% MC 4.94
25 ENG Marcus Armitage 60 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.1% 0.62% -0.48% MC
26 ITA Guido Migliozzi 66 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1% 1.53% 0.53% 2 4.5 +32
27 DEN Jeff Winther 70 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.95% 1.13% 0.18% WD 4.24
28 NED Wil Besseling 70 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.95% 0.78% -0.17% MC
29 POL Adrian Meronk 80 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.83% 1.46% 0.63% T3 (tied w/3) 3.72 +31.6
30 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 80 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.83% 1.23% 0.4% MC 3.72
31 FIN Mikko Korhonen 80 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.83% 1.08% 0.25% T3 (tied w/3) 3.72 +31.6
32 AUS Maverick Antcliff 80 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.83% 0.49% -0.34% MC
33 ESP Adrian Otaegui 80 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.83% 0.47% -0.36% T40
34 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 80 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.83% 0.28% -0.54% MC
35 SWE Alexander Bjork 90 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.74% 0.91% 0.17% T30 3.31
36 AUS Minwoo Lee 90 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.74% 0.55% -0.19% T21
37 FRA Romain Langasque 90 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.74% 0.46% -0.27% MC
38 SCO Richie Ramsay 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.74% 0.33% -0.41% T43
39 ENG Richard Mansell 90 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.74% 0.23% -0.51% T57
40 USA Johannes Veerman 100 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.67% 0.98% 0.31% 70 2.98
41 SCO Scott Jamieson 100 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.67% 0.77% 0.1% MC 2.98
42 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 100 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.67% 0.7% 0.04% T34 2.98
43 RSA Justin Walters 100 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.67% 0.61% -0.06% MC 2.98
44 RSA Louis de Jager 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.67% 0.57% -0.1% T30 2.98
45 ENG Jordan L Smith 100 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.67% 0.48% -0.19% T17
46 ENG Matthew Jordan 100 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.67% 0.35% -0.31% MC
47 ENG Paul Waring 100 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.67% 0.35% -0.32% WD
48 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 110 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.61% 0.68% 0.08% MC 2.72
49 ENG Callum Shinkwin 110 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.61% 0.51% -0.1% MC 2.72
50 ITA Renato Paratore 110 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.61% 0.49% -0.11% T11
51 ENG Ross Fisher 110 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.61% 0.31% -0.29% T43
52 ENG Richard Bland 125 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 1.85% 1.32% 1 2.39 +181.6
53 SCO Marc Warren 125 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 1.3% 0.77% MC 2.39
54 ENG Chris Paisley 125 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 1.07% 0.53% T52 2.39
55 AUS Wade Ormsby 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.53% 1% 0.47% MC 2.39
56 ENG David Horsey 125 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 0.67% 0.14% MC 2.39
57 ENG Jack Senior 125 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 0.54% 0.01% T52 2.39
58 CAN Aaron Cockerill 125 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 0.48% -0.05% T40 2.39
59 GER Sebastian Heisele 125 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.53% 0.21% -0.32% MC
60 ENG Robert Rock 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.48% 0.58% 0.11% MC
61 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 2.21% 1.77% MC
62 CHN Wu Ashun 150 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 1.18% 0.73% T21
63 SCO Stephen Gallacher 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.85% 0.41% MC
64 ESP Pep Angles Ros 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.77% 0.33% MC
65 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.75% 0.31% T43
66 ENG Matthew Southgate 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.64% 0.2% T34
67 FRA Alexander Levy 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.63% 0.19% T34
68 FRA Benjamin Hebert 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.62% 0.18% MC
69 NED Darius Van Driel 150 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.57% 0.13% T57
70 AUS Scott Hend 150 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.56% 0.12% MC
71 FRA Matthieu Pavon 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.56% 0.11% T21
72 ENG Garrick Porteous 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.52% 0.07% T62
73 ESP Alejandro Canizares 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.46% 0.02% T40
74 SCO Grant Forrest 150 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.45% 0.01% MC
75 USA Julian Suri 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.41% -0.03% T21
76 ITA Edoardo Molinari 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.33% -0.12% T8
77 RSA Zander Lombard 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.29% -0.16% MC
78 ESP Jorge Campillo 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.26% -0.19% MC
79 MAS Gavin Green 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.22% -0.23% T65
80 ENG Dale Whitnell 175 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.38% 0.5% 0.12% T21
81 ITA Francesco Laporta 175 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.38% 0.47% 0.09% MC
82 ENG Steven Brown 175 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.38% 0.43% 0.04% MC
83 IRL Niall Kearney 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.38% 0.29% -0.09% MC
84 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 175 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.38% 0.28% -0.1% T62
85 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 200 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 1.06% 0.72% MC
86 GER Bernd Ritthammer 200 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.46% 0.13% MC
87 ENG James Morrison 200 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.41% 0.08% T21
88 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 200 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.41% 0.07% T19
89 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.4% 0.07% T52
90 FRA Julien Guerrier 200 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.39% 0.06% T30
91 ENG Ashley Chesters 200 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.33% -0.01% T43
92 USA Sihwan Kim 200 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.28% -0.06% MC
93 CHN Li Haotong 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.33% 0.27% -0.07% MC
94 WAL Rhys Enoch 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.33% 0.26% -0.07% MC
95 GER Marcel Schneider 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.65% 0.38% MC
96 FRA Clement Sordet 250 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.5% 0.24% T34
97 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 250 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.37% 0.11% T65
98 SWE Joakim Lagergren 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.36% 0.09% MC
99 IND Shubhankar Sharma 250 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.34% 0.07% T34
100 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 250 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.31% 0.04% T43
101 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 300 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.71% 0.49% MC
102 ESP Nacho Elvira 300 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.57% 0.34% 73
103 SCO David Drysdale 300 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.55% 0.33% MC
104 NED Lars Van Meijel 300 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.52% 0.3% MC
105 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 300 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.49% 0.27% MC
106 NIR Cormac Sharvin 300 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.39% 0.17% T43
107 ENG Chris Wood 300 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.28% 0.06% T11
108 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 300 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.23% 0.01% MC
109 ENG Ben Evans 300 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.22% 0.18% -0.05% MC
110 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.19% 0.69% 0.49% MC
111 ENG Toby Tree 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.19% 0.32% 0.13% MC
112 ENG Richard McEvoy 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.68% 0.51% MC
113 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 400 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.51% 0.34% MC
114 GER Max Schmitt 400 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.38% 0.21% MC
115 ENG Oliver Fisher 400 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.33% 0.16% WD
116 WAL Oliver Farr 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.17% 0.32% 0.15% MC
117 ENG Oliver Wilson 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.17% 0.31% 0.14% 72
118 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 400 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.17% 0.26% 0.09% MC
119 POR Ricardo Santos 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.17% 0.26% 0.09% T43
120 AUS Jake McLeod 400 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.23% 0.07% MC
121 ENG Matt Ford 400 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.23% 0.07% MC
122 ENG David Coupland 400 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.21% 0.04% T3
123 WAL Bradley Dredge 400 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.21% 0.04% MC
124 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.13% 0.79% 0.66% T52
125 FRA Robin Roussel 500 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.33% 0.2% MC
126 SWE Rikard Karlberg 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.13% 0.33% 0.2% MC
127 ESP Alvaro Quiros 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.32% 0.19% MC
128 FRA Joel Stalter 500 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.31% 0.18% T67
129 RSA Haydn Porteous 500 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.28% 0.15% WD
130 SCO David Law 500 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.28% 0.15% MC
131 ENG Lee Slattery 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.23% 0.1% T67
132 IRL Paul Dunne 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.21% 0.08% T52
133 FRA Gregory Havret 500 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.21% 0.07% MC
134 ENG Graeme Storm 500 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.21% 0.07% MC
135 NZL Josh Geary 500 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.13% 0.21% 0.07% T62
136 FRA Adrien Saddier 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.11% 0.26% 0.15% MC
137 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.11% 0.26% 0.15% MC
138 POR Pedro Figueiredo 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.31% 0.22% MC
139 FIN Janne Kaske 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.27% 0.18% MC
140 THA Suradit Yongcharoenchai 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.24% 0.15% MC
141 ENG David Dixon 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% 0.2% 0.11% MC
142 ESP Carlos Pigem 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.19% 0.1% MC
143 KOR Yikeun Chang 1000 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.7% 0.63% MC
144 ENG Ross McGowan 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.32% 0.25% MC
145 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 1000 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.26% 0.19% T21
146 ENG David Howell 1000 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.22% 0.15% MC
147 ENG Michael Bullen 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.21% 0.14% MC
148 DEN Thomas Bjorn 1000 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.19% 0.12% T67
149 ITA Andrea Pavan 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.18% 0.11% MC
150 IMN Tom Gandy 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.05% 0.23% 0.18% MC
151 ENG Steven Tiley 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.05% 0.22% 0.17% 71
152 ENG Jason Levermore 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.21% 0.18% MC
153 IRL Colm Moriarty 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.21% 0.18% MC
154 ESP Pedro Oriol 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 IND Ajeetesh Sandhu 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 36.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 3.5 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfred 10 @ 1/5 59.1% 7%
2 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 61.7% 25%
3 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 40.9% 25.6%
4 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 54.4% 29.2%
5 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 55.5% 30.1%
6 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 49.8% 33.6%
7 Betway 7 @ 1/5 61.5% 35.1%
8 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 53.2% 36.6%
9 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 53.2% 36.6%
10 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 53.2% 36.6%
11 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 53.2% 36.6%
12 VBet 5 @ 1/4 53.6% 36.9%
13 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 54.1% 37.3%
14 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 50.8% 37.4%
15 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 55.5% 41.7%
16 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 58.3% 44.3%
17 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 60.9% 46.6%