Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 32.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 16.9 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.2 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 42.4

Total Profit: -57.7



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 BEL Thomas Pieters 11 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 8.33% 6.27% 0.48% -5.79% T15
2 ENG Sam Horsfield 12 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 7.69% 5.79% 3.6% -2.19% T44
3 SCO Robert MacIntyre 20 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.58% 1.07% -2.51% T59
4 CHN Li Haotong 22 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.27% 1.67% -1.61% T8
5 MAS Gavin Green 22 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.27% 1.36% -1.91% T8
6 ENG Andrew Johnston 22 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.27% 0.84% -2.44% T37
7 ENG Jordan L Smith 30 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.43% 1.57% -0.86% T27
8 NZL Ryan Fox 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.21% 2.73% 0.52% T15 9.56
9 FIN Mikko Korhonen 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.21% 1.63% -0.58% WD
10 ENG Eddie Pepperell 33 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.21% 0.27% -1.94% MC
11 ITA Renato Paratore 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.84% 1.89% 0.06% T27 7.93
12 SWE Marcus Kinhult 40 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.84% 1.47% -0.36% T15
13 AUS Jason Scrivener 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.84% 1.23% -0.6% T8
14 SWE Alexander Bjork 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.64% 2.3% 0.66% MC 7.07
15 ENG Robert Rock 45 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.64% 1.33% -0.31% T37
16 USA Sean Crocker 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.64% 1.14% -0.5% T37
17 ENG Ross Fisher 45 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.64% 0.79% -0.84% MC
18 ESP Adrian Otaegui 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.48% 2.24% 0.76% T37 6.38
19 RSA Wilco Nienaber 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.48% 1.84% 0.37% MC 6.38
20 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 50 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.48% 1.36% -0.11% MC 6.38
21 SCO Connor Syme 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.48% 1.2% -0.27% T8
22 USA Kurt Kitayama 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.48% 0.72% -0.76% T59
23 ESP Adria Arnaus 50 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.48% 0.28% -1.19% MC
24 RSA Justin Harding 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.34% 1.21% -0.13% T44
25 RSA Brandon Stone 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.23% 2.14% 0.91% T27 5.33
26 ENG Chris Paisley 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 2.77% 1.65% T27 4.85
27 FIN Sami Valimaki 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.12% 2.5% 1.37% 2 4.85 +42.4
28 DEN Jeff Winther 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 1.08% -0.04% MC 4.85
29 ENG Aaron Rai 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.12% 0.83% -0.29% T44
30 FRA Romain Langasque 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.12% 0.38% -0.75% 1
31 ENG Jack Senior 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0.94% 0.01% T63 4.02
32 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.93% 0.84% -0.09% T53 4.02
33 ZIM Scott Vincent 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.93% 0.75% -0.18% T68
34 SCO Richie Ramsay 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.93% 0.37% -0.56% T44
35 ENG Matthew Southgate 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0.37% -0.56% T73
36 POL Adrian Meronk 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.93% 0.28% -0.65% T68
37 NED Wil Besseling 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.83% 1.51% 0.69% T53 3.58
38 RSA Dean Burmester 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.83% 0.93% 0.11% T21 3.58
39 AUS Minwoo Lee 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.83% 0.93% 0.11% MC 3.58
40 USA John Catlin 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.83% 0.73% -0.1% MC 3.58
41 ENG Matthew Jordan 90 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.83% 0.57% -0.25% T3
42 ENG Marcus Armitage 100 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 1.63% 0.89% T27 3.22
43 ITA Guido Migliozzi 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 1.43% 0.68% MC 3.22
44 GER Maximilian Kieffer 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 0.6% -0.15% T44
45 ENG Ashley Chesters 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.46% -0.28% T68
46 ENG Callum Shinkwin 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 0.43% -0.32% T8
47 DEN Joachim B Hansen 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 0.24% -0.51% MC
48 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.68% 0.28% -0.4% T5
49 SWE Oscar Lengden 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 1.54% 0.95% T53 2.58
50 ENG Oliver Fisher 125 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 1.35% 0.75% T76 2.58
51 NIR Cormac Sharvin 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.56% -0.04% T63 2.58
52 SCO Calum Hill 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.35% -0.25% T8
53 GER Sebastian Heisele 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.33% -0.27% T15
54 ESP Jorge Campillo 150 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 4.09% 3.59% T8
55 SCO Grant Forrest 150 (SportPesa: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.59% 0.09% MC
56 USA Julian Suri 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.25% -0.24% MC
57 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.25% -0.25% MC
58 ENG Laurie Canter 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.47% 0.55% 0.08% T5
59 FRA Clement Sordet 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.73% 0.3% T21
60 CAN Aaron Cockerill 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.38% -0.05% T53
61 ITA Andrea Pavan 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.24% -0.19% WD
62 USA Sihwan Kim 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.24% -0.19% T63
63 ESP Nacho Elvira 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.24% -0.19% T44
64 WAL Oliver Farr 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 1.75% 1.38% MC
65 FRA Adrien Saddier 200 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 1.5% 1.13% T44
66 ENG Dale Whitnell 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 1.23% 0.86% T27
67 RSA Louis de Jager 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.59% 0.22% T15
68 ENG James Morrison 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.58% 0.21% T5
69 SWE Joel Sjoholm 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.42% 0.05% MC
70 SCO Stephen Gallacher 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.28% -0.1% MC
71 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.26% -0.12% MC
72 ITA Edoardo Molinari 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.25% -0.13% T27
73 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 225 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.86% 0.53% MC
74 SWE Niklas Lemke 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 1.21% 0.91% 72
75 ESP Alejandro Canizares 250 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.91% 0.61% MC
76 RSA Zander Lombard 250 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.56% 0.26% T53
77 ITA Francesco Laporta 250 (SportPesa: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0% MC
78 IRL Paul Dunne 250 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.25% -0.04% T73
79 ENG Richard McEvoy 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.24% -0.06% T63
80 AUS Jake McLeod 250 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.24% -0.06% T44
81 IND Shubhankar Sharma 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.23% -0.07% MC
82 SWE Philip Eriksson 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 1.28% 1.03% MC
83 NED Darius Van Driel 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.83% 0.58% T44
84 ENG Graeme Storm 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.6% 0.35% MC
85 FRA Gregory Bourdy 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.27% 0.02% MC
86 RSA JC Ritchie 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.25% 0% MC
87 IND Shiv Kapur 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.24% -0.01% MC
88 RSA Justin Walters 300 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.24% -0.01% MC
89 ENG Lee Slattery 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.23% -0.02% T68
90 NED Daan Huizing 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.23% -0.02% T21
91 WAL Rhys Enoch 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.23% -0.02% MC
92 SCO Craig Howie 325 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.31% 0.23% 2.62% 2.39% T21
93 RSA Jbe Kruger 325 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.31% 0.23% 0.24% 0.01% MC
94 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.77% 0.56% T76
95 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.66% 0.44% MC
96 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.31% 0.09% MC
97 SWE Anton Karlsson 350 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.27% 0.05% T73
98 GER Hurly Long 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.27% 0.05% MC
99 GER Bernd Ritthammer 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 1.1% 0.91% T21
100 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 400 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 1.02% 0.83% T27
101 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.35% 0.17% MC
102 FRA Damien Perrier 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.28% 0.09% T53
103 RSA Bryce Easton 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.23% 0.05% MC
104 SCO Ewen Ferguson 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.66% 0.51% MC
105 RSA Haydn Porteous 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% WD
106 IRL Gavin Moynihan 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% MC
107 ITA Lorenzo Scalise 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% T27
108 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% WD
109 ENG Matthew Baldwin 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% T59
110 AUS Zach Murray 500 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.24% 0.09% MC
111 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.24% 0.09% T37
112 SCO David Law 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.24% 0.09% T37
113 ESP Carlos Pigem 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.31% 0.18% MC
114 FRA Mathieu Fenasse 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.27% 0.14% T21
115 ENG Ben Evans 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.25% 0.13% MC
116 ENG Oliver Wilson 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.24% 0.11% WD
117 NED Lars Van Meijel 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.31% 0.21% T37
118 FRA Ugo Coussaud 750 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.27% 0.17% MC
119 SCO Liam Johnston 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% T15
120 ENG Ross McGowan 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.25% 0.15% MC
121 ENG Steven Tiley 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.25% 0.15% T63
122 DEN Thomas Bjorn 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.18% MC
123 NZL Michael Campbell 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.18% MC
124 SCO Daniel Young 1000 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.18% T59
125 IMN Tom Gandy 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.18% MC
126 ESP Emilio Cuartero Blanco 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.17% MC
127 WAL Phillip Price 1000 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.17% MC
128 WAL Mark Pilkington 1500 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.24% 0.19% WD
129 GER Marcel Siem 0% 0% 0% 0% T27
130 ENG David Dixon 0% 0% 0% 0% T3
131 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 32.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 16.9 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 40.2% 25%
2 VBet 5 @ 1/4 46.7% 30.8%
3 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 47.6% 31.6%
4 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 45% 32.1%
5 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 58.8% 33%
6 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 46.1% 33.2%
7 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 62.6% 36.2%
8 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 62.6% 36.2%
9 Betway 5 @ 1/4 54.8% 38.1%
10 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 51.6% 38.1%
11 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 52.7% 39.1%
12 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 53.1% 39.6%
13 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 60.7% 46.5%
14 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 63.5% 49%
15 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 63.5% 49%
16 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 140.9% 120%
17 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 194% 169.9%