Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 32.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.7 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.0 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 6.6

Total Profit: -93.5



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Dustin Johnson 7 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 12.5% 9.2% 1.24% -7.96% 2
2 USA Brooks Koepka 11 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 8.33% 6.13% 0.84% -5.3% T17
3 USA Patrick Reed 14 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.91% 4.13% -0.77% MC
4 FRA Victor Perez 22 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.2% 2.09% -1.11% T38
5 IRL Shane Lowry 22 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.2% 1.21% -1.99% T13
6 MEX Abraham Ancer 25 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.83% 2.69% -0.14% T6
7 SWE Henrik Stenson 25 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.83% 1.81% -1.02% T44
8 ESP Sergio Garcia 28 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.54% 1.93% -0.61% T6
9 ENG Tom Lewis 28 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.54% 1.3% -1.23% MC
10 SCO Robert MacIntyre 30 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.37% 2.23% -0.14% MC
11 BEL Thomas Pieters 30 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.37% 1.77% -0.61% T3
12 GER Martin Kaymer 35 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.04% 0.76% -1.28% T13
13 RSA Erik van Rooyen 40 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.79% 2.95% 1.15% MC 7.81
14 AUT Matthias Schwab 40 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.79% 2.59% 0.79% T44 7.81
15 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.79% 1.73% -0.07% MC 7.81
16 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 45 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.6% 2.23% 0.63% T56 6.96
17 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.6% 1.84% 0.24% MC 6.96
18 ENG Lee Westwood 45 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.6% 1.55% -0.05% MC 6.96
19 ESP Adria Arnaus 50 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.44% 1.35% -0.09% T27
20 BEL Thomas Detry 50 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.44% 1.15% -0.29% T6
21 ENG Ian Poulter 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.44% 0.78% -0.66% T17
22 NED Joost Luiten 55 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.31% 1.56% 0.25% T44 5.72
23 AUS Minwoo Lee 55 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.31% 0.47% -0.84% MC
24 ENG Paul Waring 60 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.21% 1.84% 0.63% MC 5.25
25 MAS Gavin Green 60 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.21% 0.66% -0.55% T3
26 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 66 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.1% 1.87% 0.77% T21 4.78
27 CHN Li Haotong 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% 0.73% -0.37% T21
28 AUS Lucas Herbert 80 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 0.97% 0.06% T27 3.95
29 ENG Matt Wallace 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0.88% -0.03% T44 3.95
30 NIR Graeme McDowell 80 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 0.84% -0.07% 1
31 FRA Romain Langasque 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0.67% -0.24% MC
32 THA Jazz Janewattananond 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0.51% -0.4% T56
33 USA Phil Mickelson 80 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.91% 0.27% -0.64% T3
34 SWE Marcus Kinhult 90 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% 1.72% 0.91% T56 3.52
35 ENG Jordan L Smith 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% 0.75% -0.06% T56 3.52
36 NZL Ryan Fox 90 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.81% 0.53% -0.28% T27
37 ENG Sam Horsfield 100 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.73% 0.93% 0.2% MC 3.17
38 ENG Andy Sullivan 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0.91% 0.18% T27 3.17
39 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.73% 0.69% -0.04% T17 3.17
40 RSA Dean Burmester 110 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.66% 0.81% 0.15% T11 2.89
41 RSA Zander Lombard 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 1.02% 0.43% MC 2.54
42 ITA Renato Paratore 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.83% 0.25% T27 2.54
43 RSA Justin Harding 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.73% 0.15% T56 2.54
44 SCO Scott Jamieson 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.73% 0.15% 69 2.54
45 ENG Ross Fisher 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.7% 0.12% T6 (tied w/5) 2.54 +6.6
46 FIN Mikko Korhonen 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 1.07% 0.58% MC
47 ITA Guido Migliozzi 150 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.91% 0.42% MC
48 SCO Connor Syme 150 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.8% 0.32% T52
49 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 150 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0.67% 0.18% T13
50 RSA Brandon Stone 164 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.61% 0.45% 0.62% 0.18% MC
51 FIN Kalle Samooja 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.99% 0.57% T56
52 FRA Benjamin Hebert 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.86% 0.44% T27
53 ENG Jack Singh Brar 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.76% 0.34% MC
54 SCO Richie Ramsay 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.55% 0.14% T21
55 ESP Nacho Elvira 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0.21% -0.21% T52
56 AUS Wade Ormsby 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.97% 0.6% MC
57 ESP Jorge Campillo 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.82% 0.45% MC
58 ITA Francesco Laporta 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.77% 0.4% T44
59 DEN Joachim B Hansen 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.71% 0.34% MC
60 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.7% 0.33% T56
61 SCO Calum Hill 200 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.65% 0.28% MC
62 AUS Scott Hend 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.53% 0.16% MC
63 CHN Wu Ashun 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.52% 0.15% T13
64 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.51% 0.14% MC
65 FRA Matthieu Pavon 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.41% 0.05% T11
66 SCO Grant Forrest 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.4% 0.04% T27
67 RSA Haydn Porteous 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.38% 0.01% T74
68 FRA Alexander Levy 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.3% -0.07% T38
69 ENG Matthew Jordan 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.18% -0.19% MC
70 SWE Joakim Lagergren 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.83% 0.5% MC
71 ITA Andrea Pavan 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 2.02% 1.73% MC
72 ENG Jack Senior 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 1.42% 1.13% T17
73 IND Shubhankar Sharma 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.67% 0.38% MC
74 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.6% 0.3% T72
75 ENG Chris Paisley 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.55% 0.25% MC
76 ENG Matthew Southgate 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.54% 0.24% MC
77 ITA Edoardo Molinari 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.51% 0.22% T56
78 SWE Alexander Bjork 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.46% 0.17% T27
79 ITA Nino Bertasio 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.46% 0.16% T70
80 ENG Aaron Rai 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.42% 0.12% T27
81 DEN Jeff Winther 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.4% 0.11% T44
82 FRA Victor Dubuisson 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.21% -0.08% T6
83 USA Sean Crocker 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0.38% 0.11% T38
84 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 1.21% 0.97% T38
85 ENG Ashley Chesters 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.79% 0.54% T56
86 GER Sebastian Heisele 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.75% 0.5% T44
87 FRA Julien Guerrier 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.74% 0.5% 76
88 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.62% 0.38% T38
89 NIR Cormac Sharvin 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.6% 0.35% MC
90 ENG Oliver Fisher 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.5% 0.26% MC
91 KOR Jeunghun Wang 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.4% 0.16% MC
92 ENG Richard Bland 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.29% 0.04% MC
93 ESP Alvaro Quiros 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.26% 0.02% MC
94 ESP Adrian Otaegui 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.16% -0.08% T38
95 FRA Antoine Rozner 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.57% 0.36% T70
96 WAL Jamie Donaldson 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.44% 0.23% MC
97 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.35% 0.14% T56
98 RSA Justin Walters 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.49% 0.31% T67
99 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.39% 0.21% T56
100 ENG Callum Shinkwin 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.31% 0.12% WD
101 SCO Stephen Gallacher 400 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.26% 0.07% T21
102 GER Maximilian Kieffer 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.19% 0.01% T72
103 ENG Robert Rock 400 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.14% -0.04% MC
104 RSA Thomas Aiken 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.13% -0.05% MC
105 ENG Steven Brown 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.49% 0.34% T21
106 POL Adrian Meronk 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.39% 0.25% T27
107 ENG James Morrison 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.38% 0.24% T44
108 ENG David Horsey 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% MC
109 AUS David Micheluzzi 500 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% MC
110 POR Ricardo Santos 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% MC
111 RSA Ernie Els 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.19% 0.05% T52
112 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 600 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.4% 0.28% T67
113 ENG Oliver Wilson 600 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.36% 0.23% MC
114 SCO David Law 600 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.28% 0.16% MC
115 SCO David Drysdale 600 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.19% 0.07% MC
116 WAL Oliver Farr 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.54% 0.45% MC
117 NED Darius Van Driel 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.33% 0.25% MC
118 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.27% 0.2% T74
119 DEN Thomas Bjorn 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.14% 0.06% MC
120 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 1500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.21% 0.17% MC
121 ENG Richard McEvoy 1500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.2% 0.15% T21
122 ENG David Howell 1500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.14% 0.09% T27
123 USA Akshay Bhatia 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.14% 0.09% MC
124 ENG Jamie Elson 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.13% 0.08% MC
125 MAR Ahmed Marjane 3000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.03% 0.02% 0.13% 0.1% MC
126 KSA Othman Al Mulla 5000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.01% 0.15% 0.13% MC
127 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
128 AUS Maverick Antcliff 0% 0% 0% 0% T52
129 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
130 USA Sebastian Crampton 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
131 KSA Saud Al Sharif 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
132 KSA Faisal Mohammed Al Salhab 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 32.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.7 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 54.7% 20%
2 Sportingbet 6 @ 1/4 51.7% 22.2%
3 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 57.6% 22.3%
4 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 48.4% 24.4%
5 Betway 7 @ 1/5 55.8% 30.6%
6 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 68.8% 30.9%
7 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 47.9% 32%
8 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 45.9% 33.1%
9 Coral 7 @ 1/5 59.6% 33.8%
10 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 51.3% 35%
11 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 49.5% 36.4%
12 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 50.9% 37.6%
13 VBet 5 @ 1/4 54.4% 37.8%
14 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 55.2% 38.5%
15 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 55.2% 38.5%
16 MoPlay 5 @ 1/4 55.2% 38.5%
17 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 55.2% 38.5%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 53.4% 39.9%
19 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 58.6% 44.7%
20 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 58.6% 44.7%