Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 25.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.3 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.9 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 84.0

Total Profit: -16.1

Puerto Rico Open

20/02/2020 - 23/02/2020

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NOR Viktor Hovland 12 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 7.69% 6.07% 3% -3.07% 1
2 SWE Alexander Noren 18 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 5.26% 4.15% 1.6% -2.55% MC
3 AUS Cameron Davis 22 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.43% 1.6% -1.83% T27
4 USA Maverick McNealy 25 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.03% 2.87% -0.17% T27
5 USA Scott Brown 25 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.03% 2.27% -0.76% T67
6 ENG Tom Lewis 25 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.03% 2.06% -0.97% MC
7 USA Patrick Rodgers 25 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.03% 2.02% -1.02% T35
8 USA Matthew NeSmith 28 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.72% 2.66% -0.06% T6 (tied w/3) 11.9 +39.3
9 USA Chesson Hadley 30 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.54% 0.99% -1.56% MC
10 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.32% 1.7% -0.62% T9
11 ARG Emiliano Grillo 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.32% 1.4% -0.92% T3
12 USA Adam Schenk 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.92% 1.47% -0.45% T14
13 SWE Henrik Norlander 40 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.92% 1.25% -0.67% T44
14 USA Beau Hossler 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.92% 1.12% -0.8% T35
15 USA Ben Martin 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.55% 1.22% -0.33% T14
16 USA Grayson Murray 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.55% 0.99% -0.56% MC
17 SCO Martin Laird 50 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.55% 0.71% -0.83% T6
18 USA Peter Uihlein 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.55% 0.62% -0.92% T44
19 USA Zac Blair 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.41% 1.19% -0.22% MC
20 USA Tyler McCumber 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.41% 1.06% -0.35% T20
21 CHN Zhang Xinjun 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.29% 2.15% 0.86% T14 5.66
22 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.29% 1.52% 0.23% T14 5.66
23 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.29% 1.11% -0.19% T27
24 USA Joseph Bramlett 66 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.18% 1.23% 0.05% T9 5.15
25 USA Kyle Stanley 66 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.18% 0.77% -0.4% T3
26 USA Davis Thompson 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.11% 1.83% 0.72% MC 4.86
27 AUS Cameron Percy 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.11% 1.58% 0.47% T44 4.86
28 NZL Tim Wilkinson 70 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.11% 1.29% 0.18% T20 4.86
29 USA D.J. Trahan 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.11% 1.01% -0.1% T52 4.86
30 USA Brice Garnett 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.11% 0.98% -0.13% T20
31 CAN David Hearn 70 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.11% 0.93% -0.18% MC
32 USA Chase Seiffert 70 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.11% 0.68% -0.43% T52
33 USA Shawn Stefani 70 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.11% 0.5% -0.61% T14
34 ITA Andrea Pavan 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.97% 2.26% 1.29% MC 4.26
35 USA Sam Ryder 80 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.97% 1.14% 0.17% T3 (tied w/3) 4.26 +44.7
36 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 0.97% -0.01% T58 4.26
37 USA Brandon Hagy 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 0.8% -0.17% T64
38 ARG Fabian Gomez 80 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 0.54% -0.44% T52
39 IRL Seamus Power 90 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.87% 0.54% -0.32% T35
40 USA Richy Werenski 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 1.82% 1.04% MC 3.42
41 USA William Gordon 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.78% 1.42% 0.64% T20 3.42
42 USA Mark Anderson 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.78% 1.03% 0.25% T27 3.42
43 CAN Roger Sloan 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.78% 0.66% -0.12% T60
44 USA Robert Streb 100 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 0.65% -0.13% T27
45 GER Alex Cejka 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.78% 0.51% -0.27% T60
46 USA Bo Hoag 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.71% 2.03% 1.32% T35 3.11
47 USA Robby Shelton 110 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.71% 1.2% 0.48% T52 3.11
48 USA Hank Lebioda 110 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.71% 1.14% 0.43% MC 3.11
49 USA Austin Cook 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.71% 1.01% 0.3% T44 3.11
50 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.71% 0.71% 0% MC 3.11
51 USA Ted Potter-jr 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% 1.83% 1.2% T6 2.74
52 CHN Yuan Carl Yechun 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% 1.82% 1.2% MC 2.74
53 USA Rob Oppenheim 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% 1.6% 0.98% T9 2.74
54 USA Kramer Hickok 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% 0.65% 0.02% MC 2.74
55 USA Wes Roach 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% 0.62% -0.01% T9 2.74
56 USA Jonathan Byrd 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% 0.39% -0.23% MC
57 USA Johnson Wagner 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% 0.39% -0.23% T35
58 IND Anirban Lahiri 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% 0.36% -0.27% T44
59 USA Sam Saunders 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.63% 0.35% -0.28% MC
60 ARG Andres Romero 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.9% 0.37% MC
61 CAN Michael Gligic 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.69% 0.16% MC
62 USA Vincent Whaley 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.67% 0.15% T9
63 USA Martin Trainer 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.66% 0.14% MC
64 USA Dominic Bozzelli 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.66% 0.14% MC
65 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.62% 0.1% T20
66 USA Chris Baker 150 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.58% 0.06% MC
67 USA Ryan Brehm 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.56% 0.04% T35
68 USA Doug Ghim 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.51% -0.01% T20
69 USA Josh Teater 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.43% -0.09% 2
70 USA Bill Haas 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.34% -0.18% T27
71 ARG Julian Etulain 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.32% -0.21% T20
72 USA Roberto Castro 160 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.49% 0.39% -0.1% T14
73 USA George McNeill 175 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.45% 0.72% 0.28% T35
74 KOR Sangmoon Bae 175 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 0.48% 0.03% T35
75 USA Chad Campbell 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 1.75% 1.36% MC
76 USA Zack Sucher 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 1.27% 0.88% T27
77 ENG Benjamin Taylor 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.5% 0.11% MC
78 AUS Rhein Gibson 200 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.48% 0.08% T27
79 USA Robert Garrigus 200 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.39% 0% MC
80 SWE David Lingmerth 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.35% 0.39% 0.04% T50
81 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 1.14% 0.83% MC
82 USA Ricky Barnes 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.63% 0.31% MC
83 USA J.J. Henry 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.39% 0.08% T60
84 USA Chandler Phillips 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.33% 0.02% MC
85 USA Michael Gellerman 300 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.82% 0.55% T58
86 USA John Merrick 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.51% 0.29% MC
87 USA D.A. Points 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.33% 0.1% MC
88 USA Andrew Loupe 350 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.32% 0.09% MC
89 ARG Nelson Ledesma 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.35% 0.16% T44
90 RSA MJ Daffue 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.32% 0.12% T52
91 USA Chris Couch 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.32% 0.12% T35
92 USA Derek Ernst 500 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.47% 0.31% T52
93 USA Smylie Kaufman 500 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.45% 0.3% MC
94 IND Arjun Atwal 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.39% 0.24% T50
95 USA Justin Doeden 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.32% 0.16% MC
96 SWE Freddie Jacobson 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.31% 0.15% MC
97 AUS John Senden 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.29% 0.13% T64
98 USA Parker McLachlin 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.39% 0.26% MC
99 USA Charlie Beljan 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.3% 0.19% WD
100 AUS Robert Allenby 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.46% 0.38% MC
101 USA John Rollins 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.45% 0.37% MC
102 USA Bo Van Pelt 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.39% 0.31% T60
103 USA Alexander Beach 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.38% 0.3% MC
104 ZIM Brendon de Jonge 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% T64
105 ITA Domenico Geminiani 1000 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.24% MC
106 SWE Daniel Chopra 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.31% 0.24% 69
107 USA Ted Purdy 1000 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.22% MC
108 USA Omar Uresti 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.34% 0.27% MC
109 USA Jay McLuen 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.32% 0.26% T67
110 PUR Edward Figueroa 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.32% 0.26% MC
111 ENG Brian Davis 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.3% 0.25% MC
112 PAR Carlos Franco 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.3% 0.27% MC
113 USA Jason Bohn 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
114 USA Shane Bertsch 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
115 CAN Nick Gillespie 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
116 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
117 USA Chris Nido 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
118 USA Parker Gillam 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
119 USA Bryson Nimmer 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
120 DOM Hiram Silfa 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 25.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.3 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Skybet 5 @ 1/4 37.1% 22.2%
2 Coral 5 @ 1/4 41.3% 26%
3 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 39.6% 27.2%
4 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 46% 30.2%
5 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 68.4% 30.4%
6 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 47.1% 31.1%
7 MoPlay 5 @ 1/4 47.1% 31.1%
8 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 47.1% 31.1%
9 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 49.3% 33.1%
10 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 46.7% 33.6%
11 Sportingbet 5 @ 1/4 51.3% 34.9%
12 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 48.1% 35%
13 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 62.5% 36.1%
14 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 50.5% 37.1%
15 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 65.5% 38.6%
16 VBet 5 @ 1/4 56% 39.1%
17 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 54% 40.4%
18 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 54% 40.4%
19 Betway 6 @ 1/5 66.4% 51.5%