Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 39.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 18.5 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 71.3

Total Profit: -28.8



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NIR Rory McIlroy 4 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 20% 14.01% 4.72% -9.29% T2
2 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 8 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 11.11% 7.79% 4.33% -3.46% T69
3 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 11 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 8.33% 5.84% 3.8% -2.04% T8
4 ENG Danny Willett 22 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.05% 1.26% -1.79% MC
5 RSA Erik van Rooyen 25 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.7% 2.79% 0.1% T12 11.44
6 ENG Matt Wallace 25 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.7% 2.37% -0.32% MC
7 SWE Alexander Noren 25 (Bethard: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.7% 1.53% -1.17% MC
8 SVK Rory Sabbatini 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.06% 3.81% 1.75% T63 8.75
9 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 33 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.06% 1.78% -0.28% MC 8.75
10 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 33 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.06% 1.37% -0.69% T28
11 BEL Thomas Pieters 33 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.06% 1.14% -0.92% T12
12 ESP Sergio Garcia 33 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.06% 0.81% -1.25% T23
13 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 40 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.71% 1.72% 0.01% T6 (tied w/2) 7.26 +32.7
14 ITA Andrea Pavan 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.71% 1.41% -0.3% T12
15 ENG Lee Westwood 40 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.71% 0.78% -0.93% T28
16 NED Joost Luiten 55 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.25% 0.82% -0.43% T23
17 ENG Andrew Johnston 60 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.15% 0.56% -0.59% T23
18 BEL Thomas Detry 60 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.15% 0.55% -0.6% T20
19 ENG Eddie Pepperell 66 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.05% 3.15% 2.11% T35 4.44
20 ENG Andy Sullivan 66 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.05% 1.31% 0.26% MC 4.44
21 SWE Alexander Bjork 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.05% 0.46% -0.59% T28
22 USA Troy Merritt 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 1.99% 1.13% T35 3.68
23 SCO Robert MacIntyre 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 1.71% 0.85% MC 3.68
24 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 1.59% 0.72% T12 3.68
25 AUT Matthias Schwab 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 0.98% 0.12% T8 (tied w/4) 3.68 +7.8
26 MAS Gavin Green 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 0.97% 0.1% T12 3.68
27 ENG Sam Horsfield 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 0.86% -0.01% T43 3.68
28 ESP Jorge Campillo 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.77% 1.45% 0.68% MC 3.27
29 FRA Romain Langasque 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.77% 1.06% 0.29% T48 3.27
30 SWE Marcus Kinhult 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.77% 0.77% 0% T12 3.27
31 RSA Haydn Porteous 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% 0.48% -0.21% T35 2.95
32 FRA Alexander Levy 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% 0.41% -0.29% MC
33 ESP Adria Arnaus 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.63% 1.6% 0.97% T6 (tied w/2) 2.68 +30.8
34 USA Julian Suri 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.63% 0.71% 0.07% MC 2.68
35 NZL Ryan Fox 110 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.63% 0.52% -0.11% MC 2.68
36 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 110 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.63% 0.39% -0.24% MC 2.68
37 CHN Wu Ashun 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.63% 0.34% -0.29% MC
38 ENG Aaron Rai 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.63% 0.29% -0.34% MC
39 ITA Edoardo Molinari 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 1.08% 0.53% MC 2.37
40 ESP Nacho Elvira 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 0.75% 0.2% MC 2.37
41 ENG Jordan L Smith 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.56% 0.68% 0.13% MC 2.37
42 ENG Ross Fisher 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 0.47% -0.09% T35 2.37
43 FRA Benjamin Hebert 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.5% 1.54% 1.04% MC
44 ENG Matthew Southgate 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.46% 0.72% 0.25% MC
45 FIN Mikko Korhonen 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.61% 0.14% T35
46 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.53% 0.07% MC
47 WAL Jamie Donaldson 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.52% 0.06% T35
48 FRA Victor Perez 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.49% 0.03% MC
49 FRA Victor Dubuisson 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.45% -0.01% T43
50 ENG Lee Slattery 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.35% -0.11% T35
51 RSA Richard Sterne 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.31% -0.15% T48
52 AUS Jason Scrivener 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.31% -0.16% MC
53 RSA Dean Burmester 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.44% 0.53% 0.1% MC
54 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.79% 0.39% MC
55 AUS Wade Ormsby 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.74% 0.34% T8
56 ENG Chris Paisley 175 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.46% 0.06% T48
57 DEN Joachim B Hansen 175 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.3% -0.1% T43
58 USA Sihwan Kim 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.35% 0.61% 0.27% MC
59 SCO Richie Ramsay 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.61% 0.26% T58
60 RSA Zander Lombard 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.6% 0.25% T72
61 ITA Nino Bertasio 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.56% 0.21% T20
62 SWE Joakim Lagergren 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.47% 0.12% MC
63 RSA Darren Fichardt 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.35% 0.44% 0.1% T43
64 ITA Renato Paratore 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.44% 0.09% T12
65 ENG Luke Donald 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.42% 0.08% MC
66 USA Kurt Kitayama 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.33% -0.02% MC
67 AUS Lucas Herbert 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.3% -0.05% T8
68 SCO Scott Jamieson 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.25% -0.1% T12
69 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.22% -0.13% MC
70 ENG Chris Wood 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.19% -0.16% T69
71 ITA Guido Migliozzi 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.31% 0.94% 0.63% T33
72 USA Sean Crocker 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.31% 0.46% 0.15% T28
73 ESP Adrian Otaegui 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.31% 0.44% 0.13% MC
74 IRL Padraig Harrington 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.31% 0.25% -0.06% MC
75 ENG Oliver Wilson 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.78% 0.5% T48
76 ENG Jack Singh Brar 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 0.52% 0.25% T33
77 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.5% 0.22% MC
78 AUS Scott Hend 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.48% 0.21% MC
79 IRL Paul Dunne 250 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 0.47% 0.19% MC
80 AUS Minwoo Lee 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.47% 0.19% MC
81 FRA Matthieu Pavon 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 0.46% 0.18% MC
82 ENG James Morrison 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.32% 0.04% T28
83 ENG David Horsey 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.32% 0.04% T43
84 ESP Alejandro Canizares 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.27% -0.01% MC
85 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.27% -0.01% MC
86 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.13% -0.15% T63
87 SWE Robert Karlsson 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.25% 0.58% 0.33% T63
88 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.25% 0.47% 0.22% 1
89 ENG Ashley Chesters 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.25% 0.35% 0.1% T72
90 ESP Alvaro Quiros 300 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.59% 0.36% T48
91 ENG Oliver Fisher 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.51% 0.28% MC
92 SCO Stephen Gallacher 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.47% 0.23% MC
93 CHI Hugo Leon 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.34% 0.11% MC
94 WAL Bradley Dredge 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.3% 0.07% T61
95 SWE Niklas Lemke 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.42% 0.22% MC
96 SCO Grant Forrest 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.35% 0.15% T58
97 FRA Romain Wattel 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.34% 0.14% MC
98 RSA Brandon Stone 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.28% 0.08% MC
99 ARG Andres Romero 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.27% 0.07% T2
100 FRA Clement Sordet 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.26% 0.06% 75
101 JPN Hideto Tanihara 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.19% -0.01% T20
102 ESP Miguel A Jimenez 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.18% -0.02% T23
103 SCO David Drysdale 350 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.13% -0.07% T23
104 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.47% 0.29% MC
105 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.17% 0.4% 0.23% MC
106 FIN Kalle Samooja 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.29% 0.11% T2
107 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 400 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.24% 0.07% T2
108 RSA Louis de Jager 500 (Black Type: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.56% 0.42% MC
109 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.47% 0.33% MC
110 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.47% 0.33% MC
111 RSA Trevor Immelman 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.43% 0.29% MC
112 SCO Liam Johnston 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.4% 0.26% T61
113 DEN Thomas Bjorn 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.4% 0.26% MC
114 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 500 (Black Type: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.39% 0.25% T48
115 GER Max Schmitt 500 (Black Type: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.38% 0.24% T48
116 SWE Anton Karlsson 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.34% 0.2% MC
117 FIN Kim Koivu 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.34% 0.2% MC
118 IRL Gavin Moynihan 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% MC
119 RSA Justin Walters 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.27% 0.13% MC
120 POR Ricardo Gouveia 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.23% 0.09% MC
121 ENG Ben Evans 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.2% 0.06% MC
122 SCO Marc Warren 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.17% 0.03% DQ
123 ENG Richard McEvoy 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.16% 0.02% MC
124 KOR Jeunghun Wang 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.23% 0.11% MC
125 SWE Jens Dantorp 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.22% 0.11% T48
126 ENG Steven Brown 600 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.14% 0.03% MC
127 WAL Stuart Manley 600 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.14% 0.02% 76
128 SCO David Law 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.43% 0.34% MC
129 AUS Nick Cullen 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% 0.17% 0.08% T63
130 AUS Jake McLeod 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.3% 0.23% MC
131 KOR Hyowon Park 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.26% 0.19% MC
132 ENG David Howell 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.24% 0.17% T63
133 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.24% 0.17% MC
134 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.16% 0.09% T48
135 RSA Wilco Nienaber 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.14% 0.07% T72
136 GER Bernd Ritthammer 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.26% 0.2% MC
137 AUS Sam Brazel 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.25% 0.19% T58
138 SWE Per Langfors 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.16% 0.1% MC
139 ITA Gregory Molteni 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.14% 0.08% MC
140 AUS Deyen Lawson 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.12% 0.06% T69
141 ITA Filippo Bergamaschi 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.26% 0.22% MC
142 ENG Daniel Gavins 1500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.22% 0.17% T48
143 AUS Brett Rumford 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.14% 0.1% MC
144 SUI Raphael De Sousa 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.14% 0.09% MC
145 ESP David Borda Antonana 1500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.1% 0.06% MC
146 SUI Benjamin Rusch 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.23% 0.2% MC
147 SUI Joel Girrbach 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.15% 0.11% MC
148 SUI Mathias Eggenberger 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.14% 0.11% MC
149 POR Pedro Figueiredo 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.14% 0.11% T35
150 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0.35% 0% MC
151 ITA Giovanni Manzoni 0% 0% 0.14% 0% T63
152 SUI Ronan Kleu 0% 0% 0.14% 0% MC
153 ESP Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra 0% 0% 0.14% 0% MC
154 SUI Nicola Gerhardsen 0% 0% 0.14% 0% MC
155 SUI Loris Scheupbach 0% 0% 0.14% 0% MC
156 SUI Alessandro Noseda 0% 0% 0.14% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 39.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 18.5 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 52% 27.8%
2 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 66.3% 29.5%
3 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 67.8% 30.7%
4 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 58.1% 33%
5 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 48.7% 33%
6 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 60.7% 35.1%
7 Betway 7 @ 1/5 63.4% 37.4%
8 Coral 7 @ 1/5 63.8% 37.8%
9 Sportingbet 5 @ 1/4 54.8% 38.4%
10 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 56.8% 40.2%
11 Black Type 5 @ 1/4 58.5% 41.8%
12 Bethard 5 @ 1/4 61.3% 44.2%
13 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 62.2% 45%
14 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 62.2% 45%
15 MoPlay 5 @ 1/4 62.2% 45%
16 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 62.4% 45.2%
17 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 59.1% 45.5%
18 Marathon Bet 5 @ 1/4 63.9% 46.6%
19 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 61.2% 47.5%
20 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 65% 50.7%
21 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 68.1% 53.7%