Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 33.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 15.7 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 166.3

Total Profit: +66.1

Made in Denmark

23/05/2019 - 26/05/2019

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Matt Wallace 10 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 9.09% 6.82% 4.64% -2.18% T41
2 BEL Thomas Pieters 14 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5% 2.14% -2.87% T33
3 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 16 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.41% 2.16% -2.25% MC
4 ENG Jordan L Smith 18 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.95% 1.37% -2.58% MC
5 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 22 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.26% 1.74% -1.52% MC
6 RSA Erik van Rooyen 22 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.26% 1.18% -2.09% MC
7 ESP Jorge Campillo 25 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.89% 1.86% -1.02% MC
8 FRA Victor Dubuisson 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.59% 0.91% -1.67% 54
9 ENG Lee Westwood 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.21% 1.13% -1.08% T18
10 BEL Thomas Detry 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.21% 0.83% -1.37% T33
11 SWE Alexander Bjork 45 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.63% 1.03% -0.6% T25
12 FRA Benjamin Hebert 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.63% 0.94% -0.69% T51
13 ENG Paul Waring 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.47% 1.17% -0.3% T18 6.58
14 ENG Andy Sullivan 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.47% 0.96% -0.51% T33
15 USA Sean Crocker 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.34% 0.75% -0.59% MC
16 ESP Nacho Elvira 60 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.23% 0.73% -0.5% MC
17 ESP Adrian Otaegui 60 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.23% 0.68% -0.55% T16
18 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 1.44% 0.32% T4 (tied w/5) 5.01 +28.5
19 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 66 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 0.97% -0.15% MC 5.01
20 ITA Andrea Pavan 66 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 0.84% -0.28% T25 5.01
21 SCO Richie Ramsay 66 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 0.76% -0.36% T12
22 AUS Lucas Herbert 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 0.6% -0.52% MC
23 SWE Marcus Kinhult 66 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 0.59% -0.53% T55
24 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 0.51% -0.61% 1
25 FRA Romain Langasque 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 0.99% 1.07% 0.08% 3 4.42 +43.7
26 USA Kurt Kitayama 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0.86% -0.06% T66 4.15
27 GER Maximilian Kieffer 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0.86% -0.06% MC 4.15
28 AUS Scott Hend 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0.85% -0.08% MC 4.15
29 ENG David Horsey 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0.69% -0.23% T55 4.15
30 IRL Paul Dunne 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0.65% -0.28% T4 (tied w/5) 4.15 +21.2
31 NZL Ryan Fox 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0.53% -0.4% MC
32 ENG Sam Horsfield 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0.42% -0.5% MC
33 ENG Oliver Wilson 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.82% 1.33% 0.51% T4 (tied w/5) 3.69 +17.3
34 ENG Robert Rock 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.82% 0.69% -0.13% T62 3.69
35 MAS Gavin Green 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.82% 0.59% -0.23% MC 3.69
36 RSA George Coetzee 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 1.03% 0.29% MC 3.33
37 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.93% 0.18% MC 3.33
38 WAL Bradley Dredge 100 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.74% 0.79% 0.05% WD 3.33
39 AUS Jason Scrivener 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.75% 0.01% T25 3.33
40 ENG Chris Paisley 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.69% -0.05% T4 (tied w/5) 3.33 +21
41 FRA Alexander Levy 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.6% -0.14% MC 3.33
42 FRA Victor Perez 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.56% -0.18% MC 3.33
43 AUT Matthias Schwab 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.42% -0.32% T9
44 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 110 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.68% 0.51% -0.16% T66 3.03
45 SCO Robert MacIntyre 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.92% 0.33% 2 2.67 +34.7
46 ESP Adria Arnaus 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.8% 0.2% MC 2.67
47 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.76% 0.16% MC 2.67
48 RSA Haydn Porteous 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.54% -0.06% T47 2.67
49 ENG Ashley Chesters 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.48% -0.12% MC 2.67
50 ENG Aaron Rai 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.47% -0.13% T18 2.67
51 ENG Callum Shinkwin 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.53% 0.91% 0.38% MC
52 FIN Kalle Samooja 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.53% 0.7% 0.17% MC
53 THA Thongchai Jaidee 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.89% 0.4% T33
54 SCO Scott Jamieson 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.89% 0.4% T41
55 AUS Wade Ormsby 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.74% 0.25% T33
56 FRA Clement Sordet 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.69% 0.19% MC
57 ENG Matthew Southgate 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.62% 0.12% T9
58 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.61% 0.12% T62
59 CHN Wu Ashun 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.61% 0.11% MC
60 DEN Jeff Winther 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.59% 0.09% T18
61 ITA Guido Migliozzi 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.58% 0.08% T33
62 ITA Renato Paratore 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.55% 0.06% MC
63 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.54% 0.05% MC
64 AUS Dimi Papadatos 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.5% 0% MC
65 ENG Oliver Fisher 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.43% -0.07% T25
66 NIR Michael Hoey 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.69% 0.26% T41
67 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.55% 0.12% T12
68 RSA Dean Burmester 175 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.53% 0.11% MC
69 RSA Darren Fichardt 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.97% 0.59% T25
70 SWE Niklas Lemke 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.78% 0.41% T51
71 SCO Stephen Gallacher 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.69% 0.32% MC
72 ITA Nino Bertasio 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.67% 0.3% MC
73 ENG Lee Slattery 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.65% 0.28% MC
74 SWE Peter Hanson 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.58% 0.2% WD
75 ENG James Morrison 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.54% 0.16% 50
76 USA Sihwan Kim 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.53% 0.16% MC
77 RSA Justin Walters 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.42% 0.05% MC
78 ENG Jack Singh Brar 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.41% 0.04% MC
79 SCO Marc Warren 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.32% -0.06% MC
80 SWE Robert Karlsson 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.7% 0.41% MC
81 RSA Louis de Jager 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.67% 0.37% T25
82 ITA Edoardo Molinari 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.64% 0.34% T41
83 SWE Joakim Lagergren 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.3% T47
84 SCO David Drysdale 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.58% 0.28% 72
85 SCO Grant Forrest 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.55% 0.25% T25
86 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.46% 0.16% MC
87 SWE Anton Karlsson 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.43% 0.13% MC
88 DEN Lasse Jensen 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.39% 0.09% T33
89 FRA Matthieu Pavon 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.38% 0.08% MC
90 FRA Adrien Saddier 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0.43% 0.16% T41
91 KOR Jeunghun Wang 275 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.27% 0.42% 0.15% MC
92 POR Ricardo Gouveia 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.48% 0.23% MC
93 AUS Jake McLeod 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.45% 0.2% MC
94 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.45% 0.2% MC
95 ENG Matthew Nixon 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.41% 0.16% MC
96 ENG Richard McEvoy 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.41% 0.16% T33
97 ENG Steven Brown 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.4% 0.15% MC
98 KOR Jinho Choi 300 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.38% 0.14% T66
99 SWE Jens Dantorp 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.38% 0.13% MC
100 DEN Anders Hansen 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.38% 0.13% MC
101 WAL Jamie Donaldson 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.32% 0.07% T62
102 CAN Austin Connelly 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.29% 0.04% MC
103 CHI Hugo Leon 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.28% 0.03% MC
104 WAL Stuart Manley 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.26% 0.01% T41
105 ENG Jack Senior 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.21% -0.04% MC
106 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.51% 0.3% MC
107 ESP Alejandro Canizares 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.51% 0.3% T9
108 AUS Nick Cullen 350 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.5% 0.29% T66
109 SCO David Law 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.5% 0.29% T66
110 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.49% 0.28% MC
111 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.45% 0.24% MC
112 USA John Catlin 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.42% 0.2% T12
113 ENG Ben Evans 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.41% 0.22% T62
114 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.88% 0.73% WD
115 ESP Alvaro Quiros 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.74% 0.59% T18
116 RSA Zander Lombard 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.53% 0.38% MC
117 SCO Liam Johnston 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.5% 0.35% MC
118 ENG Tom Murray 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.46% 0.31% 71
119 FRA Romain Wattel 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.45% 0.3% MC
120 ITA Matteo Manassero 500 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.43% 0.28% WD
121 ENG David Howell 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.41% 0.26% MC
122 FIN Kim Koivu 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.38% 0.23% T51
123 AUS Daniel Gaunt 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.21% MC
124 SWE Christofer Blomstrand 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.16% T47
125 IRL Gavin Moynihan 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.16% T16
126 AUS Deyen Lawson 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% MC
127 AUS Adam Bland 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.43% 0.3% MC
128 GER Max Schmitt 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.42% 0.3% T4
129 GER Bernd Ritthammer 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.37% 0.25% MC
130 ENG Max Orrin 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.35% 0.23% MC
131 POR Pedro Figueiredo 750 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.35% 0.25% MC
132 SWE Per Langfors 750 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.32% 0.22% MC
133 NOR Elias Bertheussen 750 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.14% 0.04% MC
134 NOR Espen Kofstad 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.88% 0.81% T12
135 SUI Joel Girrbach 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.52% 0.44% T55
136 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.47% 0.4% T73
137 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.44% 0.37% T60
138 DEN Jeppe Huldahl 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.4% 0.33% MC
139 ESP David Borda Antonana 1000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.35% 0.28% MC
140 SWE Pelle Edberg 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.34% 0.26% T55
141 DEN Morten Orum Madsen 1000 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.31% 0.23% T60
142 DEN Nicolai Tinning 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.26% 0.19% MC
143 DEN Christian Gloet 1000 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.16% 0.08% MC
144 DEN Nicolai B Kristensen 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.14% 0.06% MC
145 ISL Gudmundur Kristjansson 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.14% 0.06% MC
146 ITA Filippo Bergamaschi 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.91% 0.85% MC
147 DEN Mathias Gladbjerg 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.14% 0.08% T55
148 ENG Daniel Gavins 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.41% 0.37% MC
149 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 1.25% 0% T18
150 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0.57% 0% T18
151 ENG Andrew Johnston 0% 0% 0.53% 0% T25
152 IND Shubhankar Sharma 0% 0% 0.5% 0% T73
153 SWE Rikard Karlberg 0% 0% 0.49% 0% MC
154 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 0% 0% 0.27% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 33.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 15.7 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...