Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 31.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 6.4 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 42.8

Total Profit: -57.4

Charles Schwab Challenge

23/05/2019 - 26/05/2019

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Justin Rose 11 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 8.33% 6.36% 3.76% -2.6% T58
2 ESP Jon Rahm 12 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.87% 2.37% -3.51% MC
3 USA Rickie Fowler 14 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.09% 2.54% -2.55% MC
4 USA Jordan Spieth 14 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.09% 2.07% -3.02% T8
5 USA Xander Schauffele 16 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.49% 2.64% -1.86% MC
6 ITA Francesco Molinari 20 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.64% 2.31% -1.33% T53
7 ENG Paul Casey 25 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.94% 2.61% -0.32% WD
8 USA Bryson DeChambeau 33 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.25% 2.05% -0.2% MC
9 USA Kevin Kisner 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.25% 1.44% -0.81% MC
10 USA Tony Finau 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.25% 1.12% -1.12% 2
11 ENG Ian Poulter 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.86% 2.91% 1.05% T70 8.34
12 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.5% 1.43% -0.06% T64
13 USA Scott Piercy 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.5% 1.37% -0.13% T19
14 SVK Rory Sabbatini 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.5% 1.09% -0.41% T6
15 USA Chez Reavie 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.5% 1% -0.5% MC
16 ARG Emiliano Grillo 50 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.5% 0.79% -0.71% T19
17 USA Brandt Snedeker 55 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.36% 1.18% -0.18% T19
18 USA Billy Horschel 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% 1.43% 0.29% T19 5.1
19 USA Joel Dahmen 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% 1.11% -0.03% MC 5.1
20 USA Zach Johnson 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% 1.1% -0.04% MC
21 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.14% 0.88% -0.26% T8
22 NIR Graeme McDowell 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.08% 1.36% 0.29% 73 4.82
23 USA Kevin Na 70 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.08% 0.77% -0.3% 1
24 USA Ryan Palmer 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.08% 0.69% -0.39% T6
25 KOR Siwoo Kim 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.56% 0.62% MC 4.22
26 SCO Russell Knox 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.12% 0.18% T8 (tied w/5) 4.22 +7.2
27 USA Charley Hoffman 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 1.06% 0.12% T13 4.22
28 MEX Abraham Ancer 80 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.94% 1% 0.05% T58 4.22
29 USA Daniel Berger 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.96% 0.01% T53 4.22
30 USA Pat Perez 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.85% -0.09% WD
31 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 90 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.84% 0.99% 0.15% MC 3.76
32 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 1.14% 0.38% T31 3.39
33 CAN Corey Conners 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 1.07% 0.31% T31 3.39
34 AUS Matt Jones 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 1.03% 0.27% MC 3.39
35 KOR Sungjae Im 100 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.76% 0.99% 0.24% MC 3.39
36 USA Jim Furyk 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.93% 0.18% T13 3.39
37 NZL Danny Lee 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.76% 0.91% 0.15% T48 3.39
38 USA Jimmy Walker 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.8% 0.04% T19 3.39
39 TPE C.T. Pan 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.73% -0.03% T3 (tied w/2) 3.39 +35.6
40 USA Kevin Tway 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.76% 0.46% -0.3% T19
41 USA Kevin Streelman 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.69% 0.88% 0.19% T31 3.08
42 USA Bill Haas 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 1.05% 0.44% T48 2.72
43 USA Vaughn Taylor 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.92% 0.31% T58 2.72
44 RSA Branden Grace 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.91% 0.31% T53 2.72
45 USA Jason Dufner 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.86% 0.25% T40 2.72
46 USA Bud Cauley 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.84% 0.24% MC 2.72
47 USA Sam Burns 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.8% 0.2% T31 2.72
48 USA Brian Stuard 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.68% 0.07% T64 2.72
49 SCO Martin Laird 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.61% 0.6% -0.01% T53 2.72
50 USA JT Poston 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.54% 1.51% 0.97% MC
51 GER Martin Kaymer 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 1.6% 1.09% T40
52 USA Max Homa 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 1.22% 0.71% T27
53 USA Matt Every 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.88% 0.38% T17
54 USA Trey Mullinax 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.76% 0.26% T40
55 USA Brian Harman 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.76% 0.25% T31
56 AUS Aaron Baddeley 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.74% 0.23% T48
57 USA Ollie Schniederjans 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.62% 0.12% MC
58 IRL Seamus Power 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.56% 0.06% MC
59 USA Talor Gooch 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.56% 0.05% T29
60 USA Beau Hossler 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.45% -0.05% T40
61 USA Denny McCarthy 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.42% -0.09% MC
62 USA Shawn Stefani 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.39% -0.12% MC
63 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.39% -0.12% T64
64 USA Kramer Hickok 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.37% -0.13% MC
65 USA Austin Cook 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.31% -0.2% T19
66 CHI Joaquin Niemann 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.3% -0.21% T31
67 USA Cameron Champ 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.51% 0.22% -0.28% T58
68 USA Michael Thompson 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 1.2% 0.76% MC
69 USA Andrew Putnam 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.72% 0.28% T3
70 USA Patton Kizzire 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.71% 0.27% MC
71 USA Scott Stallings 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.75% 0.37% MC
72 USA Andrew Landry 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.73% 0.35% MC
73 SWE Jonas Blixt 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.59% 0.21% 5
74 USA Brian Gay 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.58% 0.2% T13
75 CAN Nick Taylor 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.56% 0.18% MC
76 USA Peter Uihlein 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.53% 0.15% T13
77 USA Nick Watney 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.49% 0.11% T8
78 USA Nate Lashley 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.48% 0.1% 69
79 USA Chesson Hadley 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.45% 0.07% T31
80 USA Adam Schenk 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.45% 0.07% MC
81 USA Doug Ghim 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.44% 0.06% MC
82 USA Scott Brown 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 1.08% 0.78% T48
83 USA Peter Malnati 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.67% 0.37% T40
84 MEX Carlos Ortiz 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.62% 0.32% MC
85 USA Chris Stroud 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.3% T48
86 USA Brendan Steele 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.29% MC
87 USA Ryan Armour 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.59% 0.29% MC
88 USA Adam Long 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.59% 0.28% T19
89 USA Roberto Castro 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.54% 0.24% MC
90 USA Wyndham Clark 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.53% 0.22% MC
91 IND Anirban Lahiri 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.48% 0.17% T53
92 USA Ben Crane 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.42% 0.12% T64
93 USA Mackenzie Hughes 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.39% 0.08% T8
94 USA Richy Werenski 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.36% 0.05% MC
95 USA Ryan Blaum 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.34% 0.03% MC
96 USA Bronson Burgoon 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.25% -0.05% MC
97 USA David Toms 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.17% -0.13% T31
98 USA Dominic Bozzelli 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.35% 0.1% T70
99 USA Scott Langley 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.29% 0.07% MC
100 CAN Benjamin Silverman 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.23% 0.01% T40
101 USA Boo Weekley 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.56% 0.37% MC
102 USA Hudson Swafford 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.51% 0.32% MC
103 USA Ted Potter-jr 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.34% 0.15% T58
104 USA Brice Garnett 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.31% 0.12% T40
105 USA Tom Hoge 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.28% 0.09% T40
106 USA Colt Knost 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.2% 0.01% MC
107 USA Josh Teater 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% T17
108 CAN Roger Sloan 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% T31
109 KOR Meenwhee Kim 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.25% 0.1% MC
110 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.33% 0.23% T29
111 USA J.J. Henry 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% T27
112 USA Kenny Perry 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.25% 0.15% WD
113 USA Tim Herron 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.14% 0.04% 72
114 AUS Rod Pampling 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% MC
115 USA Michael Kim 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.13% MC
116 USA Dru Love IV 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.09% 0.01% MC
117 CAN Mike Weir 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.25% 0.22% T58
118 KOR Byeong Hun An 0% 0% 1.29% 0% 68
119 USA Kelly Kraft 0% 0% 0.84% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 31.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 6.4 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...