Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.7 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 68.3

Total Profit: -31.9

British Masters supported by Sky Sports

11/10/2018 - 14/10/2018

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Justin Rose 7 12.5% 9.14% 7.18% -1.96% 8
2 ITA Francesco Molinari 8 11.11% 8.12% 4.14% -3.98% T56
3 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 10 9.09% 6.64% 3.72% -2.92% T9
4 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 25 3.85% 2.81% 1.75% -1.06% MC
5 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 25 3.85% 2.81% 1.57% -1.24% T16
6 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 30 3.23% 2.36% 2.08% -0.28% T9
7 IRL Shane Lowry 30 3.23% 2.36% 1.68% -0.68% T34
8 CHN Li Haotong 30 3.23% 2.36% 1.64% -0.71% T9
9 ENG Eddie Pepperell 30 3.23% 2.36% 1.38% -0.97% 1
10 ENG Chris Wood 33 2.94% 2.15% 0.79% -1.35% MC
11 ENG Matt Wallace 35 2.78% 2.03% 1.3% -0.73% T16
12 RSA Charl Schwartzel 40 2.44% 1.78% 1.44% -0.34% MC
13 ENG Andy Sullivan 40 2.44% 1.78% 1.05% -0.74% T9
14 ENG Lee Westwood 45 2.17% 1.59% 1.8% 0.22% MC 7
15 ENG Tom Lewis 50 1.96% 1.43% 1.74% 0.3% T5 (tied w/3) 6.32 +34.8
16 IRL Padraig Harrington 50 1.96% 1.43% 1.41% -0.02% T22 6.32
17 ITA Andrea Pavan 50 1.96% 1.43% 1.37% -0.06% T16 6.32
18 ENG Ross Fisher 50 1.96% 1.43% 1.06% -0.38% T34
19 NZL Ryan Fox 50 1.96% 1.43% 0.95% -0.48% MC
20 USA Julian Suri 60 1.64% 1.2% 0.87% -0.33% T5
21 RSA Brandon Stone 66 1.49% 1.09% 1.42% 0.33% MC 4.81
22 AUS Lucas Herbert 66 1.49% 1.09% 0.92% -0.17% T3
23 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 66 1.49% 1.09% 0.86% -0.23% T42
24 ENG Andrew Johnston 66 1.49% 1.09% 0.38% -0.71% T48
25 FRA Alexander Levy 70 1.41% 1.03% 0.87% -0.16% T42 4.54
26 BEL Thomas Detry 70 1.41% 1.03% 0.82% -0.21% MC
27 RSA Erik van Rooyen 80 1.23% 0.9% 1.08% 0.17% MC 3.98
28 GER Martin Kaymer 80 1.23% 0.9% 1% 0.1% MC 3.98
29 SWE Marcus Kinhult 80 1.23% 0.9% 0.86% -0.04% T48 3.98
30 RSA Richard Sterne 80 1.23% 0.9% 0.83% -0.07% T22 3.98
31 ENG Jordan L Smith 80 1.23% 0.9% 0.71% -0.19% T3
32 ESP Nacho Elvira 80 1.23% 0.9% 0.6% -0.3% MC
33 ENG Matthew Southgate 80 1.23% 0.9% 0.57% -0.33% T22
34 ENG Robert Rock 90 1.1% 0.8% 0.87% 0.06% T29 3.54
35 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 100 0.99% 0.72% 1.03% 0.31% T48 3.19
36 SWE Alexander Bjork 100 0.99% 0.72% 0.95% 0.23% 2 3.19 +33.5
37 FIN Mikko Korhonen 100 0.99% 0.72% 0.94% 0.21% T48 3.19
38 JPN Hideto Tanihara 100 0.99% 0.72% 0.81% 0.09% MC 3.19
39 ENG Danny Willett 100 0.99% 0.72% 0.8% 0.07% MC 3.19
40 FRA Benjamin Hebert 100 0.99% 0.72% 0.7% -0.03% MC 3.19
41 IRL Paul Dunne 100 0.99% 0.72% 0.58% -0.14% T42 3.19
42 RSA George Coetzee 100 0.99% 0.72% 0.47% -0.26% MC
43 ESP Adrian Otaegui 125 0.79% 0.58% 1.27% 0.69% MC 2.56
44 SCO Stephen Gallacher 125 0.79% 0.58% 0.98% 0.4% 70 2.56
45 AUS Jason Scrivener 125 0.79% 0.58% 0.8% 0.22% MC 2.56
46 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 125 0.79% 0.58% 0.76% 0.18% MC 2.56
47 AUT Matthias Schwab 125 0.79% 0.58% 0.68% 0.1% T22 2.56
48 ENG Aaron Rai 125 0.79% 0.58% 0.65% 0.07% T56 2.56
49 ENG Oliver Fisher 125 0.79% 0.58% 0.63% 0.05% MC 2.56
50 WAL Bradley Dredge 125 0.79% 0.58% 0.59% 0.01% MC 2.56
51 ENG Ashley Chesters 125 0.79% 0.58% 0.56% -0.02% MC 2.56
52 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 150 0.66% 0.48% 1.07% 0.59% T56
53 SCO Scott Jamieson 150 0.66% 0.48% 0.74% 0.25% T63
54 KOR Jeunghun Wang 150 0.66% 0.48% 0.69% 0.2% T29
55 FRA Matthieu Pavon 150 0.66% 0.48% 0.66% 0.18% MC
56 GER Maximilian Kieffer 150 0.66% 0.48% 0.49% 0.01% MC
57 SCO Richie Ramsay 150 0.66% 0.48% 0.47% -0.02% T56
58 ENG Lee Slattery 160 0.62% 0.45% 0.97% 0.52% T48
59 ENG Luke Donald 160 0.62% 0.45% 0.84% 0.39% MC
60 RSA Haydn Porteous 175 0.57% 0.42% 0.74% 0.32% T56
61 MAS Gavin Green 175 0.57% 0.42% 0.65% 0.23% T9
62 RSA Darren Fichardt 175 0.57% 0.42% 0.6% 0.18% T29
63 ENG David Horsey 175 0.57% 0.42% 0.6% 0.18% MC
64 ENG Sam Horsfield 175 0.57% 0.42% 0.56% 0.15% T5
65 RSA Dean Burmester 175 0.57% 0.42% 0.45% 0.03% T48
66 ENG Callum Shinkwin 175 0.57% 0.42% 0.44% 0.02% MC
67 AUS Marcus Fraser 200 0.5% 0.36% 0.86% 0.5% T48
68 SCO David Drysdale 200 0.5% 0.36% 0.56% 0.2% T63
69 THA Phachara Khongwatmai 200 0.5% 0.36% 0.54% 0.17% MC
70 ENG Paul Waring 200 0.5% 0.36% 0.52% 0.16% T56
71 FRA Julien Guerrier 200 0.5% 0.36% 0.49% 0.12% T22
72 ITA Nino Bertasio 200 0.5% 0.36% 0.46% 0.1% MC
73 ITA Renato Paratore 200 0.5% 0.36% 0.46% 0.1% MC
74 AUS Wade Ormsby 200 0.5% 0.36% 0.45% 0.09% T29
75 ENG James Morrison 200 0.5% 0.36% 0.39% 0.02% 71
76 RSA Thomas Aiken 225 0.44% 0.32% 0.64% 0.32% T68
77 SWE Peter Hanson 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.66% 0.37% MC
78 FIN Mikko Ilonen 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.64% 0.35% MC
79 SWE Joakim Lagergren 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.62% 0.33% T29
80 AUS Scott Hend 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.61% 0.31% MC
81 RSA Trevor Immelman 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.51% 0.22% T34
82 ENG Richard McEvoy 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.51% 0.22% 72
83 POR Ricardo Gouveia 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.39% 0.1% T9
84 FRA Romain Wattel 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.35% 0.06% T56
85 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.33% 0.04% MC
86 ENG Richard Bland 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.21% -0.08% MC
87 ITA Edoardo Molinari 275 0.36% 0.26% 0.53% 0.26% T16
88 USA David Lipsky 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.64% 0.39% T34
89 THA Thongchai Jaidee 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.62% 0.37% MC
90 SCO Marc Warren 300 0.33% 0.24% 0.32% 0.08% T34
91 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.84% 0.63% MC
92 CAN Austin Connelly 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.64% 0.43% T42
93 KOR Soomin Lee 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.38% 0.17% MC
94 ENG David Howell 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.38% 0.17% MC
95 FRA Clement Sordet 350 0.28% 0.21% 0.33% 0.12% T16
96 ITA Matteo Manassero 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.5% 0.32% T22
97 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.44% 0.26% MC
98 FRA Gregory Havret 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.33% 0.14% T22
99 RSA Zander Lombard 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.28% 0.1% 67
100 ESP Pedro Oriol 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.23% 0.05% MC
101 GER Marcel Siem 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.58% 0.44% T42
102 SWE Robert Karlsson 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.58% 0.43% T34
103 ESP Alvaro Quiros 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.47% 0.33% MC
104 ENG Chris Hanson 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.45% 0.31% T48
105 AUS Andrew Dodt 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.44% 0.3% T63
106 DEN Thomas Bjorn 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.42% 0.28% MC
107 FRA Gregory Bourdy 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.21% T34
108 SWE Johan Edfors 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% MC
109 DEN Lasse Jensen 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.12% MC
110 SCO Bradley Neil 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.65% 0.52% MC
111 AUS Brett Rumford 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.56% 0.44% T68
112 SWE Jens Dantorp 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.33% 0.21% MC
113 ENG Daniel Brooks 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.31% 0.19% MC
114 ENG Ryan Evans 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.29% 0.17% MC
115 AUS Sam Brazel 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.26% 0.14% MC
116 USA Chase Koepka 600 0.17% 0.12% 0.23% 0.11% MC
117 WAL Oliver Farr 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.19% 0.09% T9
118 AUS Jason Norris 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.3% 0.23% MC
119 SWE Pelle Edberg 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.26% 0.19% MC
120 ESP Carlos Pigem 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.26% 0.18% T63
121 USA Daniel Im 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.22% 0.14% MC
122 SUI Robert Coles 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.2% 0.12% MC
123 ENG Steven Brown 0% 0% 0.53% 0% T16
124 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0.49% 0% T42
125 FRA Adrien Saddier 0% 0% 0.38% 0% T34
126 SCO Paul O'Hara 0% 0% 0.11% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...