Betting Market Analysis for Wells Fargo Championship

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: one month ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 30/1 3.58% 0.31%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 47/1 2.88% 0.79%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 27/1 2.8% -0.78%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 14/1 2.71% -4.11%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 15/1 2.6% -3.66%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 67/1 2.39% 0.92%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 40/1 2.28% -0.14%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 47/1 2.24% 0.15%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 38/1 2.05% -0.53%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 38/1 1.87% -0.72%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 27/1 1.87% -1.7%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 120/1 1.87% 1.04%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 38/1 1.85% -0.74%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 107/1 1.73% 0.81%
15 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 94/1 1.69% 0.64%
16 KOR Sungjae Im 40 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.83% ≈ 54/1 1.68% -0.15%
17 USA Max Homa 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.21% ≈ 44/1 1.63% -0.58%
18 IRL Shane Lowry 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.23% ≈ 80/1 1.57% 0.34%
19 ENG Matt Wallace 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.83% ≈ 120/1 1.43% 0.6%
20 USA Bryson DeChambeau 14 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.01% ≈ 19/1 1.43% -3.58%
21 CHI Joaquin Niemann 33 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.21% ≈ 44/1 1.41% -0.8%
22 USA Cameron Tringale 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.47% ≈ 67/1 1.26% -0.21%
23 USA Keegan Bradley 60 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.23% ≈ 80/1 1.12% -0.11%
24 MEX Carlos Ortiz 125 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% ≈ 167/1 1.11% 0.51%
25 USA Lucas Glover 80 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% ≈ 107/1 1.08% 0.15%
26 ARG Emiliano Grillo 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% ≈ 88/1 1% -0.12%
27 USA Stewart Cink 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.93% ≈ 107/1 0.99% 0.07%
28 USA Bubba Watson 70 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.06% ≈ 94/1 0.96% -0.1%
29 USA Harold Varner III 80 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% ≈ 107/1 0.94% 0.01%
30 USA Michael Thompson 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 267/1 0.91% 0.54%
31 ENG Ian Poulter 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% ≈ 167/1 0.88% 0.28%
32 USA Kevin Streelman 100 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% ≈ 133/1 0.86% 0.11%
33 USA James Hahn 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% ≈ 233/1 0.86% 0.43%
34 USA Russell Henley 66 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% ≈ 88/1 0.82% -0.3%
35 USA Andrew Putnam 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 400/1 0.82% 0.57%
36 USA Patton Kizzire 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% ≈ 233/1 0.8% 0.38%
37 USA Robert Streb 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 466/1 0.78% 0.57%
38 USA Brendan Steele 100 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% ≈ 133/1 0.78% 0.04%
39 USA Denny McCarthy 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% ≈ 167/1 0.77% 0.17%
40 USA Lanto Griffin 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% ≈ 167/1 0.72% 0.12%
41 USA Tom Hoge 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% ≈ 233/1 0.71% 0.29%
42 USA Mackenzie Hughes 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% ≈ 233/1 0.71% 0.28%
43 USA Brandon Hagy 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 466/1 0.7% 0.49%
44 USA Maverick McNealy 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 200/1 0.68% 0.18%
45 USA Matthew NeSmith 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% ≈ 167/1 0.67% 0.08%
46 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 267/1 0.67% 0.29%
47 TPE C.T. Pan 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 333/1 0.65% 0.35%
48 ITA Francesco Molinari 125 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% ≈ 167/1 0.63% 0.04%
49 CAN Nick Taylor 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 333/1 0.63% 0.33%
50 AUS Jason Day 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.23% ≈ 80/1 0.62% -0.61%
51 USA Bo Hoag 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 533/1 0.62% 0.43%
52 AUS Cameron Davis 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% ≈ 167/1 0.62% 0.02%
53 USA Joel Dahmen 90 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.83% ≈ 120/1 0.59% -0.24%
54 SVK Rory Sabbatini 200 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 267/1 0.58% 0.21%
55 USA JT Poston 250 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 333/1 0.57% 0.27%
56 SWE Henrik Norlander 300 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 400/1 0.55% 0.3%
57 USA Kyle Stanley 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% ≈ 233/1 0.55% 0.13%
58 AUT Sepp Straka 175 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% ≈ 233/1 0.55% 0.13%
59 USA Gary Woodland 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.53% ≈ 187/1 0.55% 0.02%
60 USA Zach Johnson 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% ≈ 233/1 0.54% 0.11%
61 USA Sam Ryder 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 466/1 0.54% 0.33%
62 CAN Roger Sloan 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 466/1 0.54% 0.32%
63 USA Rickie Fowler 70 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.06% ≈ 94/1 0.53% -0.53%
64 USA Chesson Hadley 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 466/1 0.53% 0.31%
65 USA Brice Garnett 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 466/1 0.53% 0.31%
66 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 200/1 0.53% 0.03%
67 USA Aaron Wise 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 200/1 0.5% 0.01%
68 SCO Russell Knox 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 200/1 0.5% 0%
69 RSA Charl Schwartzel 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% ≈ 167/1 0.49% -0.11%
70 USA Chase Seiffert 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 333/1 0.49% 0.19%
71 USA Peter Malnati 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 799/1 0.48% 0.35%
72 USA Adam Long 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 333/1 0.48% 0.18%
73 USA Wyndham Clark 250 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 333/1 0.47% 0.17%
74 USA Nate Lashley 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 466/1 0.46% 0.24%
75 USA Troy Merritt 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 333/1 0.45% 0.15%
76 USA Talor Gooch 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.53% ≈ 187/1 0.45% -0.08%
77 USA Richy Werenski 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 333/1 0.45% 0.15%
78 USA Phil Mickelson 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% ≈ 233/1 0.43% 0%
79 USA Bronson Burgoon 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 466/1 0.42% 0.21%
80 RSA Erik van Rooyen 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% ≈ 233/1 0.41% -0.01%
81 USA Vincent Whaley 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 533/1 0.41% 0.22%
82 AUS Cameron Percy 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 666/1 0.41% 0.26%
83 CAN Michael Gligic 500 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 666/1 0.4% 0.25%
84 USA Luke List 200 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 267/1 0.4% 0.03%
85 USA Vaughn Taylor 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 333/1 0.4% 0.1%
86 USA Harry Higgs 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 333/1 0.4% 0.1%
87 USA Adam Schenk 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 267/1 0.4% 0.02%
88 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 466/1 0.39% 0.18%
89 ENG Tom Lewis 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% ≈ 233/1 0.39% -0.04%
90 PUR Rafael Campos 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 799/1 0.39% 0.27%
91 USA Tyler McCumber 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 466/1 0.38% 0.17%
92 USA Keith Mitchell 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% ≈ 167/1 0.37% -0.23%
93 USA Patrick Rodgers 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 466/1 0.36% 0.15%
94 CAN Adam Hadwin 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% ≈ 200/1 0.36% -0.14%
95 USA Pat Perez 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% ≈ 233/1 0.36% -0.07%
96 USA Bo Van Pelt 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 666/1 0.35% 0.2%
97 AUS Lucas Herbert 200 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 267/1 0.35% -0.03%
98 USA Ted Potter-jr 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 666/1 0.33% 0.18%
99 USA Chez Reavie 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 466/1 0.33% 0.12%
100 USA Ryan Moore 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% ≈ 167/1 0.32% -0.27%
101 KOR Byeong Hun An 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 400/1 0.3% 0.05%
102 USA John Huh 250 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 333/1 0.29% -0.01%
103 USA Jimmy Walker 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 666/1 0.29% 0.14%
104 USA Brian Stuard 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 466/1 0.27% 0.06%
105 USA Joseph Bramlett 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 666/1 0.27% 0.12%
106 USA Tyler Duncan 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 533/1 0.27% 0.08%
107 USA Doc Redman 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 267/1 0.27% -0.11%
108 USA Scott Harrington 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 799/1 0.26% 0.13%
109 USA Ryan Armour 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 799/1 0.25% 0.12%
110 NZL Danny Lee 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 333/1 0.24% -0.06%
111 USA Scott Brown 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 666/1 0.24% 0.09%
112 USA Grayson Murray 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 799/1 0.24% 0.11%
113 USA Beau Hossler 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 666/1 0.23% 0.09%
114 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 999/1 0.23% 0.13%
115 USA Ben Martin 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 533/1 0.23% 0.04%
116 USA Scott Stallings 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 333/1 0.22% -0.08%
117 USA William Gordon 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 533/1 0.22% 0.03%
118 KOR K.J. Choi 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 999/1 0.21% 0.11%
119 USA Kramer Hickok 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 799/1 0.21% 0.09%
120 USA Martin Trainer 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2664/1 0.21% 0.17%
121 USA Austin Cook 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 666/1 0.21% 0.06%
122 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 799/1 0.21% 0.08%
123 IRL Seamus Power 250 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 333/1 0.2% -0.1%
124 USA Robby Shelton 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 799/1 0.2% 0.07%
125 USA Hank Lebioda 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 666/1 0.19% 0.04%
126 USA Mark Hubbard 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 666/1 0.19% 0.04%
127 USA Scott Piercy 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 666/1 0.19% 0.04%
128 USA Ryan Brehm 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 799/1 0.19% 0.07%
129 CAN David Hearn 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 799/1 0.18% 0.06%
130 USA Kevin Tway 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 999/1 0.17% 0.07%
131 USA Jamie Lovemark 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 666/1 0.17% 0.02%
132 USA Rob Oppenheim 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 799/1 0.16% 0.04%
133 USA Hunter Mahan 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1998/1 0.16% 0.11%
134 USA Michael Kim 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1998/1 0.15% 0.1%
135 KOR Seungyul Noh 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 799/1 0.14% 0.02%
136 CHN Zhang Xinjun 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1332/1 0.14% 0.07%
137 USA Jason Dufner 250 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 333/1 0.14% -0.16%
138 USA D.J. Trahan 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 799/1 0.13% 0.01%
139 USA J.B. Holmes 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 466/1 0.13% -0.08%
140 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1332/1 0.13% 0.05%
141 USA Akshay Bhatia 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 533/1 0.12% -0.06%
142 USA Kelly Kraft 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 999/1 0.12% 0.02%
143 ENG Luke Donald 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 666/1 0.12% -0.03%
144 USA Sean O'Hair 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 799/1 0.11% -0.01%
145 USA Patrick Cover 1000 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1332/1 0.11% 0.04%
146 USA Johnson Wagner 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 999/1 0.11% 0.01%
147 SWE Jonas Blixt 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 999/1 0.11% 0.01%
148 USA Cory Schneider 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3329/1 0.1% 0.07%
149 USA D.A. Points 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2664/1 0.1% 0.06%
150 USA Bill Haas 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 999/1 0.08% -0.02%
151 KOR Sunghoon Kang 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
152 NZL Tim Wilkinson 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
153 USA J.J Spaun 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
154 COL Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
155 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
156 USA Keenan Huskey 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 28.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 5.6 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 54.8% 19.9%
2 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 55.2% 20.2%
3 VBet 5 @ 1/4 35.5% 20.8%
4 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 35.5% 20.9%
5 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 59.9% 23.9%
6 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 59.9% 23.9%
7 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 60.8% 24.7%
8 888Sport 8 @ 1/5 61% 24.7%
9 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 92% 29.5%
10 Betway 7 @ 1/5 62.6% 36.2%
11 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 56.4% 39.7%
12 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 54.4% 40.8%
13 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 58.1% 44.1%
14 Redzone 6 @ 1/5 59.8% 45.8%
15 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 59.8% 45.8%
16 Sport Nation 6 @ 1/5 59.8% 45.8%
17 Mansion Bet 6 @ 1/5 59.8% 45.8%