Betting Market Analysis for Wells Fargo Championship

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 2 days ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 31/1 3.41% 0.29%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 49/1 2.74% 0.75%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 28/1 2.67% -0.75%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 14/1 2.59% -3.95%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 16/1 2.48% -3.51%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 31/1 2.47% -0.66%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 70/1 2.28% 0.87%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 42/1 2.18% -0.14%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 49/1 2.13% 0.14%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 39/1 1.96% -0.52%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 39/1 1.79% -0.69%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 28/1 1.79% -1.64%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 126/1 1.78% 0.99%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 39/1 1.77% -0.71%
15 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 112/1 1.66% 0.77%
16 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.01% ≈ 98/1 1.62% 0.6%
17 KOR Sungjae Im 40 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.75% ≈ 56/1 1.61% -0.15%
18 USA Max Homa 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.12% ≈ 46/1 1.56% -0.56%
19 IRL Shane Lowry 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.18% ≈ 84/1 1.5% 0.32%
20 ENG Matt Wallace 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.79% ≈ 126/1 1.36% 0.57%
21 USA Bryson DeChambeau 14 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.8% ≈ 20/1 1.36% -3.44%
22 CHI Joaquin Niemann 33 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.12% ≈ 46/1 1.35% -0.77%
23 USA Cameron Tringale 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.41% ≈ 70/1 1.2% -0.21%
24 USA Keegan Bradley 60 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.18% ≈ 84/1 1.07% -0.11%
25 MEX Carlos Ortiz 125 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 174/1 1.05% 0.48%
26 USA Lucas Glover 80 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% ≈ 112/1 1.03% 0.14%
27 USA Brendon Todd 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% ≈ 139/1 1.01% 0.29%
28 ARG Emiliano Grillo 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.07% ≈ 92/1 0.96% -0.11%
29 USA Stewart Cink 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.89% ≈ 112/1 0.95% 0.06%
30 USA Bubba Watson 70 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.01% ≈ 98/1 0.91% -0.1%
31 USA Harold Varner III 80 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.89% ≈ 112/1 0.9% 0.01%
32 USA Michael Thompson 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 278/1 0.87% 0.51%
33 COL Camilo Villegas 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% ≈ 313/1 0.85% 0.53%
34 ENG Ian Poulter 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 174/1 0.84% 0.27%
35 USA Kevin Streelman 100 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% ≈ 139/1 0.82% 0.11%
36 USA James Hahn 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 244/1 0.82% 0.41%
37 USA Russell Henley 66 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.07% ≈ 92/1 0.78% -0.29%
38 USA Andrew Putnam 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 417/1 0.78% 0.54%
39 USA Patton Kizzire 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 244/1 0.77% 0.36%
40 USA Robert Streb 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 487/1 0.75% 0.54%
41 USA Brendan Steele 100 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% ≈ 139/1 0.75% 0.03%
42 USA Denny McCarthy 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 174/1 0.73% 0.16%
43 USA Lanto Griffin 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 174/1 0.68% 0.11%
44 USA Tom Hoge 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 244/1 0.68% 0.27%
45 USA Mackenzie Hughes 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 244/1 0.67% 0.27%
46 USA Brandon Hagy 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 487/1 0.67% 0.46%
47 USA Maverick McNealy 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.65% 0.17%
48 USA Matthew NeSmith 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 174/1 0.64% 0.07%
49 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 278/1 0.64% 0.28%
50 TPE C.T. Pan 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.62% 0.33%
51 ITA Francesco Molinari 125 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 174/1 0.6% 0.03%
52 CAN Nick Taylor 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.6% 0.31%
53 AUS Jason Day 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.18% ≈ 84/1 0.6% -0.58%
54 USA Bo Hoag 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 556/1 0.59% 0.41%
55 AUS Cameron Davis 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 174/1 0.59% 0.02%
56 USA Joel Dahmen 90 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.79% ≈ 126/1 0.56% -0.23%
57 SVK Rory Sabbatini 200 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 278/1 0.56% 0.2%
58 USA JT Poston 250 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.54% 0.26%
59 SWE Henrik Norlander 300 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 417/1 0.53% 0.29%
60 USA Kyle Stanley 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 244/1 0.53% 0.12%
61 AUT Sepp Straka 175 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 244/1 0.53% 0.12%
62 USA Gary Woodland 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.51% ≈ 195/1 0.52% 0.01%
63 USA Zach Johnson 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 244/1 0.52% 0.11%
64 USA Sam Ryder 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 487/1 0.52% 0.31%
65 CAN Roger Sloan 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 487/1 0.51% 0.31%
66 USA Rickie Fowler 70 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.01% ≈ 98/1 0.51% -0.51%
67 USA Chesson Hadley 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 487/1 0.5% 0.3%
68 USA Brice Garnett 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 487/1 0.5% 0.3%
69 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.5% 0.03%
70 USA Aaron Wise 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.48% 0%
71 SCO Russell Knox 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.47% 0%
72 RSA Charl Schwartzel 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 174/1 0.47% -0.1%
73 USA Chase Seiffert 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.46% 0.18%
74 USA Peter Malnati 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 835/1 0.46% 0.34%
75 USA Adam Long 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.45% 0.17%
76 USA Wyndham Clark 250 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.45% 0.16%
77 USA Nate Lashley 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 487/1 0.44% 0.23%
78 USA Troy Merritt 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.43% 0.15%
79 USA Talor Gooch 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.51% ≈ 195/1 0.43% -0.08%
80 USA Richy Werenski 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.43% 0.14%
81 USA Phil Mickelson 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 244/1 0.41% 0%
82 USA Bronson Burgoon 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 487/1 0.4% 0.2%
83 RSA Erik van Rooyen 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 244/1 0.4% -0.01%
84 USA Vincent Whaley 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 556/1 0.39% 0.21%
85 AUS Cameron Percy 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 695/1 0.39% 0.25%
86 CAN Michael Gligic 500 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 695/1 0.38% 0.24%
87 USA Luke List 200 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 278/1 0.38% 0.03%
88 USA Vaughn Taylor 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.38% 0.1%
89 USA Harry Higgs 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.38% 0.09%
90 USA Adam Schenk 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 278/1 0.38% 0.02%
91 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 487/1 0.37% 0.17%
92 ENG Tom Lewis 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 244/1 0.37% -0.04%
93 PUR Rafael Campos 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 835/1 0.37% 0.25%
94 USA Tyler McCumber 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 487/1 0.36% 0.16%
95 USA Keith Mitchell 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 174/1 0.35% -0.22%
96 USA Patrick Rodgers 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 487/1 0.34% 0.14%
97 CAN Adam Hadwin 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 209/1 0.34% -0.14%
98 USA Pat Perez 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 244/1 0.34% -0.07%
99 USA Bo Van Pelt 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 695/1 0.34% 0.19%
100 AUS Lucas Herbert 200 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 278/1 0.33% -0.03%
101 USA Ted Potter-jr 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 695/1 0.32% 0.18%
102 USA Chez Reavie 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 487/1 0.32% 0.11%
103 USA Ryan Moore 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% ≈ 174/1 0.31% -0.26%
104 KOR Byeong Hun An 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 417/1 0.28% 0.04%
105 USA John Huh 250 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.28% -0.01%
106 USA Jimmy Walker 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 695/1 0.28% 0.13%
107 USA Brian Stuard 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 487/1 0.26% 0.05%
108 USA Joseph Bramlett 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 695/1 0.26% 0.11%
109 USA Tyler Duncan 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 556/1 0.26% 0.08%
110 USA Doc Redman 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 278/1 0.25% -0.1%
111 USA Jim Herman 1250 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% ≈ 1738/1 0.25% 0.19%
112 USA Scott Harrington 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 835/1 0.24% 0.12%
113 USA Ryan Armour 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 835/1 0.24% 0.12%
114 NZL Danny Lee 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.23% -0.05%
115 USA Scott Brown 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 695/1 0.23% 0.09%
116 USA Grayson Murray 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 835/1 0.23% 0.11%
117 USA Beau Hossler 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 695/1 0.22% 0.08%
118 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1043/1 0.22% 0.12%
119 USA Ben Martin 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 556/1 0.22% 0.04%
120 USA Scott Stallings 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.21% -0.07%
121 USA William Gordon 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 556/1 0.21% 0.03%
122 KOR K.J. Choi 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1043/1 0.2% 0.11%
123 USA Kramer Hickok 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 835/1 0.2% 0.08%
124 USA Martin Trainer 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2781/1 0.2% 0.17%
125 USA Austin Cook 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 695/1 0.2% 0.06%
126 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 835/1 0.2% 0.08%
127 IRL Seamus Power 250 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.19% -0.1%
128 USA Robby Shelton 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 835/1 0.19% 0.07%
129 USA Hank Lebioda 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 695/1 0.19% 0.04%
130 USA Mark Hubbard 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 695/1 0.18% 0.04%
131 USA Scott Piercy 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 695/1 0.18% 0.04%
132 USA Ryan Brehm 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 835/1 0.18% 0.06%
133 CAN David Hearn 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 835/1 0.18% 0.06%
134 USA Kevin Tway 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1043/1 0.16% 0.06%
135 USA Jamie Lovemark 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 695/1 0.16% 0.02%
136 USA Rob Oppenheim 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 835/1 0.16% 0.04%
137 USA Hunter Mahan 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2086/1 0.15% 0.1%
138 USA Michael Kim 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2086/1 0.14% 0.09%
139 KOR Seungyul Noh 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 835/1 0.14% 0.02%
140 CHN Zhang Xinjun 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1391/1 0.14% 0.06%
141 USA Jason Dufner 250 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 348/1 0.13% -0.16%
142 USA D.J. Trahan 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 835/1 0.13% 0.01%
143 USA J.B. Holmes 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% ≈ 487/1 0.12% -0.08%
144 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1391/1 0.12% 0.05%
145 USA Akshay Bhatia 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 556/1 0.12% -0.06%
146 USA Kelly Kraft 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1043/1 0.12% 0.02%
147 ENG Luke Donald 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% ≈ 695/1 0.11% -0.03%
148 USA Sean O'Hair 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 835/1 0.11% -0.01%
149 USA Patrick Cover 1000 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1391/1 0.11% 0.03%
150 USA Johnson Wagner 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1043/1 0.1% 0.01%
151 SWE Jonas Blixt 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1043/1 0.1% 0.01%
152 USA Cory Schneider 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3476/1 0.09% 0.06%
153 USA D.A. Points 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2781/1 0.09% 0.06%
154 USA Bill Haas 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1043/1 0.08% -0.02%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 34.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 9.8 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 54.8% 19.9%
2 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 55.2% 20.2%
3 VBet 5 @ 1/4 35.5% 20.8%
4 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 35.5% 20.9%
5 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 59.9% 23.9%
6 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 59.9% 23.9%
7 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 60.8% 24.7%
8 888Sport 8 @ 1/5 61% 24.7%
9 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 92% 29.5%
10 Betway 7 @ 1/5 62.6% 36.2%
11 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 56.4% 39.7%
12 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 54.4% 40.8%
13 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 58.1% 44.1%
14 Redzone 6 @ 1/5 59.8% 45.8%
15 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 59.8% 45.8%
16 Sport Nation 6 @ 1/5 59.8% 45.8%
17 Mansion Bet 6 @ 1/5 59.8% 45.8%