Betting Market Analysis for Mayakoba Golf Classic

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 3 years ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 8/1 4.78% -5.89%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 16/1 2.25% -3.5%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 22/1 3.2% -1.19%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 24/1 3.8% -0.13%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 27/1 3.11% -0.44%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 30/1 3.61% 0.37%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 30/1 2.89% -0.36%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 34/1 2.69% -0.18%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 38/1 2.21% -0.36%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 41/1 1.06% -1.35%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 45/1 1.43% -0.77%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 54/1 2.38% 0.56%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 54/1 2.02% 0.19%
14 MEX Carlos Ortiz 45 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.62% ≈ 61/1 1.17% -0.45%
15 USA Brendon Todd 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% ≈ 67/1 1.52% 0.05%
16 AUS Marc Leishman 50 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.46% ≈ 67/1 0.53% -0.94%
17 ARG Emiliano Grillo 55 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.33% ≈ 74/1 0.82% -0.51%
18 USA Adam Long 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.22% ≈ 81/1 1.91% 0.69%
19 USA Brian Harman 60 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.22% ≈ 81/1 1.24% 0.01%
20 SWE Alexander Noren 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% ≈ 89/1 1.42% 0.3%
21 USA Charles Howell III 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% ≈ 89/1 1.4% 0.29%
22 USA Patton Kizzire 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% ≈ 89/1 0.82% -0.3%
23 SCO Russell Knox 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% ≈ 89/1 0.4% -0.72%
24 USA Keegan Bradley 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.05% ≈ 94/1 1.32% 0.27%
25 USA Joel Dahmen 70 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.05% ≈ 94/1 1.28% 0.23%
26 USA Kevin Streelman 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.05% ≈ 94/1 1.03% -0.02%
27 USA Chez Reavie 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.05% ≈ 94/1 0.82% -0.23%
28 USA Harold Varner III 70 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.05% ≈ 94/1 0% -1.05%
29 USA Scott Piercy 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% ≈ 107/1 0.83% -0.1%
30 USA Gary Woodland 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% ≈ 107/1 0.67% -0.25%
31 KOR Byeong Hun An 90 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.82% ≈ 121/1 0.78% -0.04%
32 USA John Huh 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% ≈ 134/1 1.23% 0.49%
33 AUT Sepp Straka 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.74% ≈ 134/1 1.16% 0.42%
34 USA Denny McCarthy 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% ≈ 134/1 0.83% 0.09%
35 SVK Rory Sabbatini 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% ≈ 134/1 0.75% 0.01%
36 USA Doug Ghim 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% ≈ 134/1 0.69% -0.05%
37 USA Brian Stuard 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.67% ≈ 148/1 0.69% 0.02%
38 USA Aaron Wise 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.67% ≈ 148/1 0.65% -0.02%
39 USA Chris Kirk 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.67% ≈ 148/1 0.54% -0.14%
40 CAN Adam Hadwin 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 168/1 0.96% 0.37%
41 USA Charley Hoffman 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 168/1 0.9% 0.31%
42 USA Austin Cook 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 168/1 0.89% 0.3%
43 USA Peter Malnati 125 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 168/1 0.78% 0.19%
44 USA Lucas Glover 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 168/1 0.77% 0.18%
45 USA Kyle Stanley 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 168/1 0.74% 0.14%
46 USA Maverick McNealy 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 168/1 0.72% 0.13%
47 USA Pat Perez 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 168/1 0.66% 0.07%
48 USA Brice Garnett 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 168/1 0.52% -0.08%
49 USA Vaughn Taylor 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 168/1 0.29% -0.3%
50 USA Ollie Schniederjans 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 201/1 1.35% 0.86%
51 USA Tyler Duncan 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 201/1 1.29% 0.79%
52 SWE Henrik Norlander 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 201/1 0.98% 0.48%
53 USA Harry Higgs 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 201/1 0.85% 0.36%
54 USA William Gordon 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 201/1 0.73% 0.24%
55 USA Patrick Rodgers 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 201/1 0.69% 0.2%
56 NIR Graeme McDowell 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 201/1 0.67% 0.17%
57 COL Camilo Villegas 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 201/1 0.48% -0.01%
58 RSA Branden Grace 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 201/1 0.42% -0.07%
59 USA Chesson Hadley 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% ≈ 235/1 0.93% 0.51%
60 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 175 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% ≈ 235/1 0.91% 0.48%
61 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% ≈ 235/1 0.7% 0.27%
62 USA Tom Hoge 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% ≈ 235/1 0.66% 0.24%
63 USA Luke List 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% ≈ 235/1 0.4% -0.02%
64 USA Mark Hubbard 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 268/1 1.22% 0.85%
65 USA Adam Schenk 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 268/1 0.94% 0.57%
66 USA Troy Merritt 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 268/1 0.81% 0.44%
67 USA Brendan Steele 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 268/1 0.76% 0.39%
68 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 268/1 0.74% 0.37%
69 CHN Zhang Xinjun 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 268/1 0.63% 0.26%
70 USA Max Homa 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 268/1 0.59% 0.22%
71 USA Andy Ogletree 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 268/1 0.39% 0.02%
72 USA Andrew Putnam 200 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 268/1 0.25% -0.12%
73 USA Wesley Bryan 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 335/1 0.78% 0.49%
74 USA Ryan Armour 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 335/1 0.61% 0.31%
75 USA Nate Lashley 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 335/1 0.59% 0.29%
76 USA Robby Shelton 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 335/1 0.56% 0.26%
77 CAN Roger Sloan 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 335/1 0.46% 0.16%
78 USA Jason Dufner 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 335/1 0.45% 0.16%
79 USA Beau Hossler 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 335/1 0.45% 0.15%
80 USA Keith Mitchell 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 335/1 0.43% 0.13%
81 USA J.J Spaun 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 335/1 0.37% 0.08%
82 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 335/1 0.37% 0.07%
83 USA Bronson Burgoon 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 335/1 0.35% 0.05%
84 CAN Michael Gligic 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 402/1 0.5% 0.25%
85 USA Hank Lebioda 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 402/1 0.48% 0.24%
86 AUS Cameron Percy 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 402/1 0.36% 0.11%
87 USA Rob Oppenheim 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 402/1 0.3% 0.05%
88 USA Steve Stricker 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 402/1 0.26% 0.01%
89 USA Akshay Bhatia 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 469/1 0% -0.21%
90 USA Chase Seiffert 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 536/1 0.63% 0.44%
91 USA Bo Hoag 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 536/1 0.54% 0.35%
92 AUS Aaron Baddeley 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 536/1 0.38% 0.19%
93 USA Joseph Bramlett 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 536/1 0.36% 0.18%
94 ARG Fabian Gomez 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 536/1 0.33% 0.14%
95 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 536/1 0.28% 0.09%
96 USA Kelly Kraft 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 536/1 0.28% 0.09%
97 USA Nick Watney 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 536/1 0.23% 0.04%
98 ENG Luke Donald 400 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 536/1 0.18% -0.01%
99 USA D.J. Trahan 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 536/1 0.18% -0.01%
100 MEX Roberto Diaz 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 536/1 0.14% -0.04%
101 AUS Rhein Gibson 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 536/1 0% -0.19%
102 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 670/1 0.4% 0.25%
103 USA Scott Harrington 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 670/1 0.39% 0.24%
104 USA Brandon Hagy 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 670/1 0.32% 0.17%
105 USA Chris Baker 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 670/1 0.27% 0.12%
106 NZL Tim Wilkinson 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 670/1 0.26% 0.12%
107 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 670/1 0.22% 0.07%
108 USA Vincent Whaley 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 670/1 0.21% 0.06%
109 USA Mark Anderson 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 670/1 0.15% 0%
110 USA Johnson Wagner 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 670/1 0.12% -0.03%
111 USA Sam Ryder 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 804/1 0.56% 0.44%
112 KOR K.J. Choi 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1005/1 0.16% 0.06%
113 USA Matt Every 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1005/1 0.13% 0.03%
114 USA Hunter Mahan 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1340/1 0.28% 0.21%
115 USA Bo Van Pelt 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1340/1 0.15% 0.08%
116 PUR Rafael Campos 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1340/1 0.13% 0.06%
117 MEX Isidro Benitez 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1340/1 0% -0.07%
118 CAN Drew Nesbitt 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1340/1 0% -0.07%
119 USA Patrick Cover 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1340/1 0% -0.07%
120 USA D.A. Points 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2009/1 0.18% 0.13%
121 USA Michael Kim 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2009/1 0.14% 0.09%
122 MEX Armando Favela 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2009/1 0.13% 0.08%
123 USA Kevin Stadler 2000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2679/1 0.4% 0.36%
124 KOR Sunghoon Kang 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
125 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
126 USA Ryan Brehm 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
127 COL Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
128 ENG Benjamin Taylor 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
129 USA Michael Gellerman 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
130 USA Austin Eckroat 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
131 USA Quade Cummins 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
132 MEX Aaron Terrazas 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 32.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 6.2 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 48.9% 15.5%
2 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 53.7% 19.4%
3 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 54.2% 19.7%
4 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 54.2% 19.7%
5 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 58.2% 22.8%
6 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 52.4% 27.8%
7 VBet 5 @ 1/4 43.8% 28.4%
8 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 44% 28.6%
9 Betway 7 @ 1/5 54.2% 29.3%
10 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 47.9% 34.9%
11 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 51.9% 35.6%
12 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 51.9% 35.6%
13 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 51.9% 35.6%
14 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 52.2% 35.9%
15 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 50.1% 36.9%
16 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 51.8% 38.5%
17 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 51.8% 38.5%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 54.9% 41.3%