Betting Market Analysis for Mayakoba Golf Classic

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: one month ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 8/1 4.78% -5.89%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 24/1 3.8% -0.13%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 30/1 3.61% 0.37%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 22/1 3.2% -1.19%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 27/1 3.11% -0.44%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 30/1 2.89% -0.36%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 34/1 2.69% -0.18%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 54/1 2.38% 0.56%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 16/1 2.25% -3.5%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 38/1 2.21% -0.36%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 54/1 2.02% 0.19%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 81/1 1.91% 0.69%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 67/1 1.52% 0.05%
14 USA Will Zalatoris 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.2% ≈ 45/1 1.43% -0.77%
15 SWE Alexander Noren 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% ≈ 89/1 1.42% 0.3%
16 USA Charles Howell III 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% ≈ 89/1 1.4% 0.29%
17 USA Ollie Schniederjans 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 201/1 1.35% 0.86%
18 USA Keegan Bradley 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.05% ≈ 94/1 1.32% 0.27%
19 USA Tyler Duncan 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 201/1 1.29% 0.79%
20 USA Joel Dahmen 70 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.05% ≈ 94/1 1.28% 0.23%
21 USA Brian Harman 60 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.22% ≈ 81/1 1.24% 0.01%
22 USA John Huh 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% ≈ 134/1 1.23% 0.49%
23 USA Mark Hubbard 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 268/1 1.22% 0.85%
24 MEX Carlos Ortiz 45 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.62% ≈ 61/1 1.17% -0.45%
25 AUT Sepp Straka 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.74% ≈ 134/1 1.16% 0.42%
26 USA Rickie Fowler 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.41% ≈ 41/1 1.06% -1.35%
27 USA Kevin Streelman 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.05% ≈ 94/1 1.03% -0.02%
28 SWE Henrik Norlander 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 201/1 0.98% 0.48%
29 CAN Adam Hadwin 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 168/1 0.96% 0.37%
30 USA Adam Schenk 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 268/1 0.94% 0.57%
31 USA Chesson Hadley 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% ≈ 235/1 0.93% 0.51%
32 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 175 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% ≈ 235/1 0.91% 0.48%
33 USA Charley Hoffman 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 168/1 0.9% 0.31%
34 USA Austin Cook 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 168/1 0.89% 0.3%
35 USA Harry Higgs 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 201/1 0.85% 0.36%
36 USA Denny McCarthy 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% ≈ 134/1 0.83% 0.09%
37 USA Scott Piercy 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% ≈ 107/1 0.83% -0.1%
38 USA Chez Reavie 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.05% ≈ 94/1 0.82% -0.23%
39 ARG Emiliano Grillo 55 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.33% ≈ 74/1 0.82% -0.51%
40 USA Patton Kizzire 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% ≈ 89/1 0.82% -0.3%
41 USA Troy Merritt 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 268/1 0.81% 0.44%
42 USA Peter Malnati 125 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 168/1 0.78% 0.19%
43 USA Wesley Bryan 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 335/1 0.78% 0.49%
44 KOR Byeong Hun An 90 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.82% ≈ 121/1 0.78% -0.04%
45 USA Lucas Glover 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 168/1 0.77% 0.18%
46 USA Brendan Steele 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 268/1 0.76% 0.39%
47 SVK Rory Sabbatini 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% ≈ 134/1 0.75% 0.01%
48 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 268/1 0.74% 0.37%
49 USA Kyle Stanley 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 168/1 0.74% 0.14%
50 USA William Gordon 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 201/1 0.73% 0.24%
51 USA Maverick McNealy 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 168/1 0.72% 0.13%
52 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% ≈ 235/1 0.7% 0.27%
53 USA Patrick Rodgers 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 201/1 0.69% 0.2%
54 USA Brian Stuard 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.67% ≈ 148/1 0.69% 0.02%
55 USA Doug Ghim 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% ≈ 134/1 0.69% -0.05%
56 USA Gary Woodland 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% ≈ 107/1 0.67% -0.25%
57 NIR Graeme McDowell 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 201/1 0.67% 0.17%
58 USA Tom Hoge 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% ≈ 235/1 0.66% 0.24%
59 USA Pat Perez 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 168/1 0.66% 0.07%
60 USA Aaron Wise 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.67% ≈ 148/1 0.65% -0.02%
61 CHN Zhang Xinjun 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 268/1 0.63% 0.26%
62 USA Chase Seiffert 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 536/1 0.63% 0.44%
63 USA Ryan Armour 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 335/1 0.61% 0.31%
64 USA Max Homa 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 268/1 0.59% 0.22%
65 USA Nate Lashley 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 335/1 0.59% 0.29%
66 USA Sam Ryder 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 804/1 0.56% 0.44%
67 USA Robby Shelton 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 335/1 0.56% 0.26%
68 USA Bo Hoag 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 536/1 0.54% 0.35%
69 USA Chris Kirk 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.67% ≈ 148/1 0.54% -0.14%
70 AUS Marc Leishman 50 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.46% ≈ 67/1 0.53% -0.94%
71 USA Brice Garnett 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 168/1 0.52% -0.08%
72 CAN Michael Gligic 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 402/1 0.5% 0.25%
73 USA Hank Lebioda 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 402/1 0.48% 0.24%
74 COL Camilo Villegas 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 201/1 0.48% -0.01%
75 CAN Roger Sloan 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 335/1 0.46% 0.16%
76 USA Jason Dufner 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 335/1 0.45% 0.16%
77 USA Beau Hossler 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 335/1 0.45% 0.15%
78 USA Keith Mitchell 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 335/1 0.43% 0.13%
79 RSA Branden Grace 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 201/1 0.42% -0.07%
80 USA Luke List 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% ≈ 235/1 0.4% -0.02%
81 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 670/1 0.4% 0.25%
82 USA Kevin Stadler 2000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2679/1 0.4% 0.36%
83 SCO Russell Knox 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% ≈ 89/1 0.4% -0.72%
84 USA Andy Ogletree 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 268/1 0.39% 0.02%
85 USA Scott Harrington 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 670/1 0.39% 0.24%
86 AUS Aaron Baddeley 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 536/1 0.38% 0.19%
87 USA J.J Spaun 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 335/1 0.37% 0.08%
88 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 335/1 0.37% 0.07%
89 USA Joseph Bramlett 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 536/1 0.36% 0.18%
90 AUS Cameron Percy 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 402/1 0.36% 0.11%
91 USA Bronson Burgoon 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% ≈ 335/1 0.35% 0.05%
92 ARG Fabian Gomez 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 536/1 0.33% 0.14%
93 USA Brandon Hagy 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 670/1 0.32% 0.17%
94 USA Rob Oppenheim 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 402/1 0.3% 0.05%
95 USA Vaughn Taylor 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 168/1 0.29% -0.3%
96 USA Hunter Mahan 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1340/1 0.28% 0.21%
97 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 536/1 0.28% 0.09%
98 USA Kelly Kraft 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 536/1 0.28% 0.09%
99 USA Chris Baker 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 670/1 0.27% 0.12%
100 NZL Tim Wilkinson 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 670/1 0.26% 0.12%
101 USA Steve Stricker 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 402/1 0.26% 0.01%
102 USA Andrew Putnam 200 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 268/1 0.25% -0.12%
103 USA Nick Watney 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 536/1 0.23% 0.04%
104 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 670/1 0.22% 0.07%
105 USA Vincent Whaley 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 670/1 0.21% 0.06%
106 USA D.A. Points 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2009/1 0.18% 0.13%
107 ENG Luke Donald 400 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 536/1 0.18% -0.01%
108 USA D.J. Trahan 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 536/1 0.18% -0.01%
109 KOR K.J. Choi 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1005/1 0.16% 0.06%
110 USA Bo Van Pelt 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1340/1 0.15% 0.08%
111 USA Mark Anderson 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 670/1 0.15% 0%
112 MEX Roberto Diaz 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 536/1 0.14% -0.04%
113 USA Michael Kim 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2009/1 0.14% 0.09%
114 MEX Armando Favela 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2009/1 0.13% 0.08%
115 PUR Rafael Campos 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1340/1 0.13% 0.06%
116 USA Matt Every 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1005/1 0.13% 0.03%
117 USA Johnson Wagner 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 670/1 0.12% -0.03%
118 KOR Sunghoon Kang 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
119 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
120 USA Ryan Brehm 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
121 COL Juan Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
122 ENG Benjamin Taylor 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
123 USA Michael Gellerman 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
124 USA Austin Eckroat 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
125 USA Quade Cummins 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
126 MEX Aaron Terrazas 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
127 MEX Isidro Benitez 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1340/1 0% -0.07%
128 CAN Drew Nesbitt 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1340/1 0% -0.07%
129 USA Patrick Cover 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1340/1 0% -0.07%
130 AUS Rhein Gibson 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 536/1 0% -0.19%
131 USA Akshay Bhatia 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 469/1 0% -0.21%
132 USA Harold Varner III 70 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.05% ≈ 94/1 0% -1.05%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 32.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 6.2 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 48.9% 15.5%
2 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 53.7% 19.4%
3 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 54.2% 19.7%
4 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 54.2% 19.7%
5 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 58.2% 22.8%
6 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 52.4% 27.8%
7 VBet 5 @ 1/4 43.8% 28.4%
8 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 44% 28.6%
9 Betway 7 @ 1/5 54.2% 29.3%
10 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 47.9% 34.9%
11 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 51.9% 35.6%
12 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 51.9% 35.6%
13 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 51.9% 35.6%
14 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 52.2% 35.9%
15 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 50.1% 36.9%
16 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 51.8% 38.5%
17 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 51.8% 38.5%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 54.9% 41.3%