Betting Market Analysis for The RSM Classic

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.

Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 14/1 3.35% -3.36%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 25/1 3.68% -0.2%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 27/1 1.35% -2.16%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 30/1 1.14% -2.06%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 38/1 2.44% -0.1%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 38/1 2.29% -0.25%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 41/1 2.28% -0.1%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 45/1 2.17% 0%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 45/1 1.33% -0.84%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 48/1 2.17% 0.12%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 48/1 0.96% -1.09%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 55/1 1.77% -0.03%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 55/1 1.56% -0.24%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 55/1 1.49% -0.31%
15 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 55/1 1.43% -0.37%
16 USA Brian Harman 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.6% ≈ 61/1 1.3% -0.3%
17 ENG Ian Poulter 55 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.32% ≈ 75/1 2.21% 0.89%
18 USA Talor Gooch 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.21% ≈ 82/1 1.21% 0%
19 USA Doc Redman 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.21% ≈ 82/1 0.96% -0.25%
20 USA Mackenzie Hughes 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% ≈ 90/1 2.27% 1.17%
21 RSA Dylan Frittelli 66 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% ≈ 90/1 1.84% 0.74%
22 USA Charles Howell III 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% ≈ 90/1 0.85% -0.25%
23 TPE C.T. Pan 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.1% ≈ 90/1 0.63% -0.47%
24 USA Zach Johnson 70 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.04% ≈ 95/1 1.35% 0.31%
25 ENG Matt Wallace 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% ≈ 109/1 1.26% 0.35%
26 USA Brendon Todd 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% ≈ 109/1 1.16% 0.25%
27 SWE Alexander Noren 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% ≈ 109/1 1.01% 0.1%
28 ENG Lee Westwood 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% ≈ 109/1 0.79% -0.12%
29 USA Denny McCarthy 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% ≈ 109/1 0.7% -0.21%
30 USA Austin Cook 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% ≈ 109/1 0.51% -0.4%
31 AUT Sepp Straka 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% ≈ 122/1 0.75% -0.06%
32 ENG Andy Sullivan 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% ≈ 136/1 1.43% 0.7%
33 USA Joel Dahmen 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% ≈ 136/1 1.18% 0.45%
34 USA JT Poston 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% ≈ 136/1 1.12% 0.39%
35 USA Chez Reavie 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% ≈ 136/1 1.1% 0.37%
36 USA Harold Varner III 100 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.73% ≈ 136/1 0.85% 0.12%
37 USA Stewart Cink 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% ≈ 136/1 0.75% 0.02%
38 USA Maverick McNealy 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% ≈ 136/1 0.7% -0.03%
39 USA Matt Kuchar 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% ≈ 136/1 0.66% -0.07%
40 ENG Danny Willett 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% ≈ 136/1 0.56% -0.17%
41 USA Aaron Wise 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% ≈ 136/1 0.44% -0.29%
42 AUS Cameron Davis 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% ≈ 136/1 0.42% -0.31%
43 SCO Russell Knox 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% ≈ 136/1 0.39% -0.34%
44 CAN Adam Hadwin 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.66% ≈ 149/1 0.75% 0.09%
45 USA Kevin Streelman 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 170/1 1.28% 0.7%
46 RSA Charl Schwartzel 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 170/1 0.68% 0.1%
47 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 170/1 0.67% 0.08%
48 USA Peter Malnati 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 170/1 0.65% 0.06%
49 USA Matthew NeSmith 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 170/1 0.57% -0.02%
50 USA Charley Hoffman 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 170/1 0.55% -0.03%
51 USA Wyndham Clark 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 170/1 0.53% -0.06%
52 USA Keegan Bradley 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 170/1 0.48% -0.11%
53 ARG Emiliano Grillo 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 170/1 0.47% -0.12%
54 USA Brandt Snedeker 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 170/1 0.44% -0.15%
55 USA Scott Piercy 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 170/1 0.34% -0.25%
56 SWE Henrik Stenson 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% ≈ 170/1 0.17% -0.41%
57 USA William Gordon 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% ≈ 190/1 0.38% -0.14%
58 SCO Martin Laird 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 2.35% 1.86%
59 USA Adam Long 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.95% 0.46%
60 USA Scott Stallings 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.89% 0.4%
61 USA Tyler Duncan 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.85% 0.36%
62 USA James Hahn 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.7% 0.22%
63 USA Cameron Tringale 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.68% 0.19%
64 USA Patton Kizzire 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.67% 0.18%
65 AUS Matt Jones 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.66% 0.17%
66 USA Harry Higgs 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.65% 0.16%
67 USA Adam Schenk 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.62% 0.13%
68 USA Luke List 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.6% 0.12%
69 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.51% 0.03%
70 USA Patrick Rodgers 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.44% -0.05%
71 NIR Graeme McDowell 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.44% -0.05%
72 USA Doug Ghim 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.35% -0.14%
73 USA Chris Kirk 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% ≈ 204/1 0.33% -0.16%
74 USA Mark Hubbard 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% ≈ 238/1 0.74% 0.32%
75 USA Brendan Steele 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% ≈ 238/1 0.63% 0.21%
76 SVK Rory Sabbatini 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% ≈ 238/1 0.62% 0.21%
77 USA Lucas Glover 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% ≈ 238/1 0.59% 0.17%
78 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.42% ≈ 238/1 0.37% -0.05%
79 CAN Nick Taylor 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% ≈ 238/1 0.37% -0.05%
80 USA John Huh 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 271/1 0.76% 0.39%
81 USA Chesson Hadley 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 271/1 0.65% 0.28%
82 USA Richy Werenski 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 271/1 0.64% 0.27%
83 USA Ryan Armour 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 271/1 0.63% 0.26%
84 USA Troy Merritt 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 271/1 0.59% 0.22%
85 USA Tom Hoge 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 271/1 0.47% 0.11%
86 USA Brian Stuard 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 271/1 0.46% 0.1%
87 USA Tyler McCumber 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 271/1 0.42% 0.05%
88 CAN David Hearn 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 271/1 0.35% -0.02%
89 USA Brice Garnett 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 271/1 0.31% -0.06%
90 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 271/1 0.22% -0.14%
91 RSA Branden Grace 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% ≈ 271/1 0.12% -0.24%
92 USA Pat Perez 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% ≈ 305/1 0.38% 0.05%
93 USA Hudson Swafford 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 339/1 0.5% 0.21%
94 CAN Michael Gligic 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 339/1 0.48% 0.18%
95 CHN Zhang Xinjun 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 339/1 0.46% 0.17%
96 USA Robby Shelton 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 339/1 0.42% 0.13%
97 USA Hank Lebioda 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 339/1 0.41% 0.11%
98 AUS Cameron Percy 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 339/1 0.32% 0.03%
99 USA Joseph Bramlett 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 339/1 0.29% 0%
100 USA Jason Dufner 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 339/1 0.28% -0.01%
101 USA Beau Hossler 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 339/1 0.28% -0.02%
102 USA Kevin Chappell 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 339/1 0.21% -0.08%
103 USA Andrew Putnam 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 339/1 0.15% -0.14%
104 USA Kyle Stanley 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 339/1 0.15% -0.15%
105 USA Keith Mitchell 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 339/1 0.14% -0.15%
106 USA D.J. Trahan 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 339/1 0.1% -0.2%
107 ARG Fabian Gomez 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 407/1 0.48% 0.24%
108 USA Andrew Landry 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 407/1 0.41% 0.17%
109 USA Chase Seiffert 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 407/1 0.37% 0.12%
110 USA Nate Lashley 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 407/1 0.34% 0.1%
111 CAN Roger Sloan 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 407/1 0.29% 0.04%
112 USA J.J Spaun 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 407/1 0.27% 0.02%
113 USA Rob Oppenheim 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 407/1 0.25% 0%
114 USA Nick Watney 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 407/1 0.21% -0.03%
115 USA Vaughn Taylor 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 407/1 0.11% -0.14%
116 USA Davis Thompson 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% ≈ 407/1 0.1% -0.15%
117 USA Scott Brown 350 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 475/1 0.27% 0.06%
118 USA Robert Streb 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 475/1 0.21% 0%
119 AUS Aaron Baddeley 350 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 475/1 0.15% -0.06%
120 ENG Luke Donald 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 475/1 0.11% -0.1%
121 USA Mark Anderson 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 543/1 0.28% 0.1%
122 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 543/1 0.23% 0.05%
123 USA Sean O'Hair 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 543/1 0.21% 0.03%
124 USA Jim Herman 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 678/1 0.87% 0.72%
125 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 678/1 0.45% 0.3%
126 USA Brandon Hagy 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 678/1 0.24% 0.1%
127 USA Jonathan Byrd 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 678/1 0.23% 0.08%
128 COL Camilo Villegas 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 678/1 0.21% 0.06%
129 USA Scott Harrington 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 678/1 0.19% 0.05%
130 NZL Tim Wilkinson 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 678/1 0.16% 0.01%
131 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 678/1 0.16% 0.01%
132 USA Bronson Burgoon 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 678/1 0.15% 0%
133 USA Jamie Lovemark 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 678/1 0.13% -0.02%
134 USA Kevin Tway 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 678/1 0.12% -0.02%
135 USA Sam Ryder 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 814/1 0.38% 0.25%
136 USA Chris Baker 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 814/1 0.34% 0.21%
137 USA Bo Hoag 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 814/1 0.19% 0.07%
138 USA Ted Potter-jr 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 814/1 0.12% -0.01%
139 USA Michael Kim 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1356/1 0.13% 0.06%
140 USA Hunter Mahan 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1356/1 0.13% 0.06%
141 USA Bo Van Pelt 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1356/1 0.11% 0.03%
142 KOR K.J. Choi 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1356/1 0.09% 0.01%
143 USA D.A. Points 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2033/1 0.09% 0.04%
144 USA Martin Trainer 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2711/1 0.13% 0.09%
145 USA Kevin Stadler 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3389/1 0.09% 0.06%
146 USA Matt Every 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
147 KOR Sunghoon Kang 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
148 AUS Rhein Gibson 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
149 USA Josh Teater 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
150 USA Michael Hebert 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
151 USA Ryan Brehm 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
152 COL Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
153 USA Joey Garber 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
154 USA Brandon Crick 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
155 USA Vincent Whaley 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
156 USA Anthony Cordes 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 34.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 7.6 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 54.3% 19.3%
2 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 54.6% 19.5%
3 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 63.4% 26.4%
4 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 63.4% 26.4%
5 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 53.3% 28.3%
6 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 47.8% 31.7%
7 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 70.6% 32%
8 Betway 7 @ 1/5 57.8% 32%
9 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 50.9% 37.4%
10 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 58.9% 41.6%
11 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 58.9% 41.6%
12 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 58.9% 41.6%
13 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 58.9% 41.6%
14 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 59% 44.9%
15 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 59% 44.9%
16 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 61.6% 47.3%