Betting Market Analysis for Scottish Championship
Key
Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).
Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.
Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.
Forecast Table
Up to date as of: 4 years ago
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| # | Player | Bookies' Odds | Implied Impl. | Normalised Norm. | Predicted Pred. | Discrepancy Discrep. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 16/1 | 2.73% | -3.27% | |
| 2 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 18/1 | 8.04% | 2.84% | |
| 3 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 18/1 | 3.01% | -2.2% | |
| 4 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 18/1 | 1.15% | -4.06% | |
| 5 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 21/1 | 2.37% | -2.22% | |
| 6 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 28/1 | 2.39% | -1% | |
| 7 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 28/1 | 1.22% | -2.18% | |
| 8 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 36/1 | 3% | 0.31% | |
| 9 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 39/1 | 1.07% | -1.45% | |
| 10 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 43/1 | 1.91% | -0.39% | |
| 11 |
| Justin Harding | 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.44% | 1.9% ≈ 52/1 | 2.64% | 0.73% | |
| 12 |
| Masahiro Kawamura | 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.44% | 1.9% ≈ 52/1 | 2.11% | 0.2% | |
| 13 |
| Brandon Stone | 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.44% | 1.9% ≈ 52/1 | 0.96% | -0.94% | |
| 14 |
| Richie Ramsay | 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.17% | 1.7% ≈ 58/1 | 0.74% | -0.96% | |
| 15 |
| Paul Waring | 45 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 2.17% | 1.7% ≈ 58/1 | 0.64% | -1.05% | |
| 16 |
| Scott Jamieson | 50 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.53% ≈ 64/1 | 2.09% | 0.56% | |
| 17 |
| Sean Crocker | 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.96% | 1.53% ≈ 64/1 | 1.47% | -0.06% | |
| 18 |
| Dean Burmester | 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.96% | 1.53% ≈ 64/1 | 0.9% | -0.64% | |
| 19 |
| Padraig Harrington | 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.79% | 1.39% ≈ 71/1 | 1.96% | 0.56% | |
| 20 |
| Marc Warren | 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.79% | 1.39% ≈ 71/1 | 1.34% | -0.06% | |
| 21 |
| Grant Forrest | 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.79% | 1.39% ≈ 71/1 | 1.01% | -0.38% | |
| 22 |
| Wil Besseling | 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.64% | 1.28% ≈ 77/1 | 1.66% | 0.38% | |
| 23 |
| Adrian Otaegui | 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.17% ≈ 85/1 | 1.2% | 0.03% | |
| 24 |
| Calum Hill | 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.49% | 1.17% ≈ 85/1 | 1.2% | 0.03% | |
| 25 |
| Clement Sordet | 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.49% | 1.17% ≈ 85/1 | 1.15% | -0.01% | |
| 26 |
| Callum Shinkwin | 66 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.17% ≈ 85/1 | 0.96% | -0.21% | |
| 27 |
| Kiradech Aphibarnrat | 66 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.17% ≈ 85/1 | 0.82% | -0.35% | |
| 28 |
| Jack Senior | 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.49% | 1.17% ≈ 85/1 | 0.79% | -0.38% | |
| 29 |
| Shubhankar Sharma | 66 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.17% ≈ 85/1 | 0.63% | -0.54% | |
| 30 |
| Minwoo Lee | 66 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.17% ≈ 85/1 | 0.61% | -0.56% | |
| 31 |
| Jamie Donaldson | 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.23% | 0.96% ≈ 103/1 | 1.48% | 0.51% | |
| 32 |
| Marcus Armitage | 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.23% | 0.96% ≈ 103/1 | 1.36% | 0.39% | |
| 33 |
| Scott Hend | 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.23% | 0.96% ≈ 103/1 | 1.04% | 0.08% | |
| 34 |
| Ben Stow | 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.96% ≈ 103/1 | 0.83% | -0.13% | |
| 35 |
| Wade Ormsby | 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.23% | 0.96% ≈ 103/1 | 0.8% | -0.17% | |
| 36 |
| Adrian Meronk | 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.23% | 0.96% ≈ 103/1 | 0.63% | -0.34% | |
| 37 |
| Craig Howie | 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.1% | 0.86% ≈ 116/1 | 1.85% | 1% | |
| 38 |
| Oscar Lengden | 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.1% | 0.86% ≈ 116/1 | 1.56% | 0.7% | |
| 39 |
| Sebastian Soderberg | 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.1% | 0.86% ≈ 116/1 | 0.85% | 0% | |
| 40 |
| Chris Paisley | 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.99% | 0.77% ≈ 128/1 | 1.82% | 1.05% | |
| 41 |
| Alejandro Canizares | 100 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.77% ≈ 128/1 | 0.34% | -0.43% | |
| 42 |
| Toby Tree | 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.9% | 0.7% ≈ 141/1 | 0.55% | -0.15% | |
| 43 |
| Ewen Ferguson | 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.62% ≈ 160/1 | 1.17% | 0.55% | |
| 44 |
| James Morrison | 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.62% ≈ 160/1 | 0.67% | 0.05% | |
| 45 |
| Martin Leth Simonsen | 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.62% ≈ 160/1 | 0.63% | 0.01% | |
| 46 |
| Adrien Saddier | 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.62% ≈ 160/1 | 0.56% | -0.06% | |
| 47 |
| Jake McLeod | 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.62% ≈ 160/1 | 0.34% | -0.28% | |
| 48 |
| Alexander Levy | 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.71% | 0.55% ≈ 180/1 | 0.45% | -0.1% | |
| 49 |
| Dale Whitnell | 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.52% ≈ 192/1 | 1.36% | 0.85% | |
| 50 |
| David Coupland | 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.52% ≈ 192/1 | 0.88% | 0.36% | |
| 51 |
| Aaron Cockerill | 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.52% ≈ 192/1 | 0.73% | 0.21% | |
| 52 |
| Niklas Lemke | 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.52% ≈ 192/1 | 0.6% | 0.08% | |
| 53 |
| Daan Huizing | 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.52% ≈ 192/1 | 0.59% | 0.07% | |
| 54 |
| Stephen Gallacher | 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.52% ≈ 192/1 | 0.51% | 0% | |
| 55 |
| Bryce Easton | 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.52% ≈ 192/1 | 0.43% | -0.09% | |
| 56 |
| Ashley Chesters | 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.62% | 0.49% ≈ 205/1 | 0.61% | 0.12% | |
| 57 |
| Jens Fahrbring | 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.44% ≈ 224/1 | 1.01% | 0.57% | |
| 58 |
| Justin Walters | 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.44% ≈ 224/1 | 0.93% | 0.49% | |
| 59 |
| Ben Evans | 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.44% ≈ 224/1 | 0.71% | 0.27% | |
| 60 |
| Jonathan Caldwell | 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.44% ≈ 224/1 | 0.55% | 0.1% | |
| 61 |
| Romain Wattel | 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.44% ≈ 224/1 | 0.41% | -0.03% | |
| 62 |
| Matthew Baldwin | 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.44% ≈ 224/1 | 0.41% | -0.03% | |
| 63 |
| David Law | 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.44% ≈ 224/1 | 0.36% | -0.08% | |
| 64 |
| Wu Ashun | 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.44% ≈ 224/1 | 0.34% | -0.1% | |
| 65 |
| Darius Van Driel | 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.39% ≈ 256/1 | 0.67% | 0.28% | |
| 66 |
| Cormac Sharvin | 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.5% | 0.39% ≈ 256/1 | 0.57% | 0.19% | |
| 67 |
| Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano | 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.5% | 0.39% ≈ 256/1 | 0.54% | 0.15% | |
| 68 |
| Hurly Long | 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.5% | 0.39% ≈ 256/1 | 0.34% | -0.05% | |
| 69 |
| Chris Wood | 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.39% ≈ 256/1 | 0.33% | -0.06% | |
| 70 |
| Oliver Farr | 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.4% | 0.31% ≈ 320/1 | 1.12% | 0.81% | |
| 71 |
| Marcel Schneider | 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.4% | 0.31% ≈ 320/1 | 0.92% | 0.61% | |
| 72 |
| Ricardo Santos | 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.4% | 0.31% ≈ 320/1 | 0.41% | 0.1% | |
| 73 |
| Robin Petersson | 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.4% | 0.31% ≈ 320/1 | 0.36% | 0.05% | |
| 74 |
| Lee Slattery | 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.4% | 0.31% ≈ 320/1 | 0.26% | -0.05% | |
| 75 |
| Garrick Porteous | 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.36% | 0.28% ≈ 352/1 | 0.58% | 0.29% | |
| 76 |
| Liam Johnston | 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.36% | 0.28% ≈ 352/1 | 0.5% | 0.22% | |
| 77 |
| Euan Walker | 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.36% | 0.28% ≈ 352/1 | 0.32% | 0.04% | |
| 78 |
| David Drysdale | 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.33% | 0.26% ≈ 384/1 | 0.41% | 0.15% | |
| 79 |
| Gregory Havret | 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.33% | 0.26% ≈ 384/1 | 0.34% | 0.08% | |
| 80 |
| Damien Perrier | 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.33% | 0.26% ≈ 384/1 | 0.3% | 0.04% | |
| 81 |
| David Dixon | 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.22% ≈ 448/1 | 2.39% | 2.16% | |
| 82 |
| Pedro Figueiredo | 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.28% | 0.22% ≈ 448/1 | 0.73% | 0.51% | |
| 83 |
| Joel Sjoholm | 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.28% | 0.22% ≈ 448/1 | 0.62% | 0.4% | |
| 84 |
| Mathieu Fenasse | 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.28% | 0.22% ≈ 448/1 | 0.45% | 0.23% | |
| 85 |
| Joel Stalter | 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.28% | 0.22% ≈ 448/1 | 0.4% | 0.17% | |
| 86 |
| Lars Van Meijel | 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.28% | 0.22% ≈ 448/1 | 0.28% | 0.05% | |
| 87 |
| Oliver Wilson | 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.25% | 0.19% ≈ 512/1 | 0.32% | 0.12% | |
| 88 |
| Philip Eriksson | 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.16% ≈ 641/1 | 1% | 0.84% | |
| 89 |
| Daniel Young | 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.2% | 0.16% ≈ 641/1 | 0.46% | 0.3% | |
| 90 |
| Daniel Gavins | 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.2% | 0.16% ≈ 641/1 | 0.43% | 0.28% | |
| 91 |
| Benjamin Henry Poke | 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.2% | 0.16% ≈ 641/1 | 0.42% | 0.27% | |
| 92 |
| Gavin Moynihan | 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.2% | 0.16% ≈ 641/1 | 0.42% | 0.26% | |
| 93 |
| David Howell | 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.16% ≈ 641/1 | 0.39% | 0.24% | |
| 94 |
| Ross McGowan | 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.2% | 0.16% ≈ 641/1 | 0.38% | 0.22% | |
| 95 |
| Gaganjeet Bhullar | 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.16% ≈ 641/1 | 0.36% | 0.21% | |
| 96 |
| Kristoffer Reitan | 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.2% | 0.16% ≈ 641/1 | 0.29% | 0.13% | |
| 97 |
| Lorenzo Scalise | 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.17% | 0.13% ≈ 769/1 | 0.54% | 0.41% | |
| 98 |
| Zach Murray | 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.17% | 0.13% ≈ 769/1 | 0.45% | 0.32% | |
| 99 |
| Tom Gandy | 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.17% | 0.13% ≈ 769/1 | 0.4% | 0.27% | |
| 100 |
| Niall Kearney | 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.17% | 0.13% ≈ 769/1 | 0.36% | 0.23% | |
| 101 |
| Raphael Jacquelin | 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.17% | 0.13% ≈ 769/1 | 0.34% | 0.21% | |
| 102 |
| Janne Kaske | 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.13% | 0.1% ≈ 961/1 | 0.43% | 0.33% | |
| 103 |
| Steven Tiley | 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.13% | 0.1% ≈ 961/1 | 0.42% | 0.32% | |
| 104 |
| Ross Cameron | 1000 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.08% ≈ 1281/1 | 0.32% | 0.24% | |
| 105 |
| Michael Campbell | 1000 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.1% | 0.08% ≈ 1281/1 | 0.31% | 0.23% | |
| 106 |
| S.S.P. Chawrasia | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 107 |
| Jordan Wrisdale | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 108 |
| Nicolai Hojgaard | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
Bookie Analysis
Overround of best available: 25.0 %
Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.4 %
Key
Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 29.7% | 15.7% |
| 2 | Skybet | 6 @ 1/5 | 42.2% | 29.6% |
| 3 | Boyle Sports | 8 @ 1/5 | 67.2% | 29.6% |
| 4 | Betfair Sportsbook | 7 @ 1/5 | 56.2% | 30.9% |
| 5 | Paddy Power | 7 @ 1/5 | 56.2% | 30.9% |
| 6 | Betway | 7 @ 1/5 | 58.5% | 32.8% |
| 7 | VBet | 6 @ 1/5 | 45.9% | 33% |
| 8 | Redzone | 5 @ 1/4 | 49.8% | 33.7% |
| 9 | SportPesa | 5 @ 1/4 | 49.8% | 33.7% |
| 10 | 10Bet | 5 @ 1/4 | 49.8% | 33.7% |
| 11 | William Hill | 6 @ 1/5 | 46.7% | 33.8% |
| 12 | Sport Nation | 5 @ 1/4 | 49.9% | 33.8% |
| 13 | Betfred | 6 @ 1/5 | 48.3% | 35.2% |
| 14 | GentingBet | 6 @ 1/5 | 49.4% | 36.2% |
| 15 | Bet Victor | 6 @ 1/5 | 54.8% | 41.2% |
| 16 | Spreadex | 6 @ 1/5 | 56.1% | 42.4% |
| 17 | Unibet | 6 @ 1/5 | 56.2% | 42.4% |
| 18 | 888Sport | 6 @ 1/5 | 56.2% | 42.4% |