Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).
Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.
Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.
# | Player | Bookies' Odds | Implied Impl. | Normalised Norm. | Predicted Pred. | Discrepancy Discrep. | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 11/1 | 3.4% | -5.24% | ||
2 | Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 13/1 | 3.96% | -3.11% | ||
3 | Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 16/1 | 2.99% | -2.99% | ||
4 | Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 16/1 | 2.69% | -3.3% | ||
5 | Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 23/1 | 3.54% | -0.56% | ||
6 | Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 29/1 | 4.56% | 1.18% | ||
7 | Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 29/1 | 3.26% | -0.12% | ||
8 | Patrick Cantlay | 22 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) | 4.35% | 3.38% ≈ 29/1 | 2.13% | -1.25% | ||
9 | Hideki Matsuyama | 25 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 3.85% | 2.99% ≈ 32/1 | 2.43% | -0.57% | ||
10 | Daniel Berger | 28 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 3.45% | 2.68% ≈ 36/1 | 3.6% | 0.92% | ||
11 | Brooks Koepka | 28 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) | 3.45% | 2.68% ≈ 36/1 | 1.44% | -1.24% | ||
12 | Tommy Fleetwood | 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.94% | 2.29% ≈ 43/1 | 1.41% | -0.88% | ||
13 | Viktor Hovland | 35 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.78% | 2.16% ≈ 45/1 | 2.68% | 0.52% | ||
14 | Matthew Fitzpatrick | 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.44% | 1.9% ≈ 52/1 | 2.94% | 1.04% | ||
15 | Scottie Scheffler | 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.44% | 1.9% ≈ 52/1 | 1.79% | -0.1% | ||
16 | Louis Oosthuizen | 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 2.44% | 1.9% ≈ 52/1 | 1.59% | -0.31% | ||
17 | Sungjae Im | 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.44% | 1.9% ≈ 52/1 | 1.43% | -0.47% | ||
18 | Harris English | 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.17% | 1.69% ≈ 58/1 | 2.24% | 0.55% | ||
19 | Joaquin Niemann | 45 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 2.17% | 1.69% ≈ 58/1 | 1.26% | -0.43% | ||
20 | Abraham Ancer | 50 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.53% ≈ 65/1 | 1.7% | 0.17% | ||
21 | Sergio Garcia | 50 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.53% ≈ 65/1 | 1.06% | -0.46% | ||
22 | Jason Day | 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.79% | 1.39% ≈ 71/1 | 1.31% | -0.08% | ||
23 | Paul Casey | 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.64% | 1.28% ≈ 77/1 | 1.76% | 0.48% | ||
24 | Gary Woodland | 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.64% | 1.28% ≈ 77/1 | 0.77% | -0.51% | ||
25 | Ian Poulter | 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.16% ≈ 85/1 | 1.94% | 0.78% | ||
26 | Brendon Todd | 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.16% ≈ 85/1 | 1.59% | 0.43% | ||
27 | Bubba Watson | 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.49% | 1.16% ≈ 85/1 | 1.33% | 0.17% | ||
28 | Rickie Fowler | 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.49% | 1.16% ≈ 85/1 | 0.82% | -0.34% | ||
29 | Justin Rose | 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.41% | 1.1% ≈ 90/1 | 1.16% | 0.07% | ||
30 | Billy Horschel | 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.23% | 0.96% ≈ 103/1 | 2.34% | 1.38% | ||
31 | Siwoo Kim | 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.23% | 0.96% ≈ 103/1 | 1.51% | 0.55% | ||
32 | Kevin Kisner | 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.1% | 0.85% ≈ 116/1 | 2.2% | 1.34% | ||
33 | Alexander Noren | 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.1% | 0.85% ≈ 116/1 | 1.85% | 1% | ||
34 | Jason Kokrak | 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.1% | 0.85% ≈ 116/1 | 1.27% | 0.42% | ||
35 | Russell Henley | 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.1% | 0.85% ≈ 116/1 | 1.05% | 0.19% | ||
36 | Shane Lowry | 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.1% | 0.85% ≈ 116/1 | 0.85% | 0% | ||
37 | Cameron Smith | 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.1% | 0.85% ≈ 116/1 | 0.66% | -0.2% | ||
38 | Mackenzie Hughes | 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.99% | 0.77% ≈ 129/1 | 2% | 1.23% | ||
39 | Brian Harman | 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.77% ≈ 129/1 | 1.32% | 0.55% | ||
40 | Matt Kuchar | 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.77% ≈ 129/1 | 0.58% | -0.2% | ||
41 | Corey Conners | 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.9% | 0.7% ≈ 142/1 | 0.95% | 0.25% | ||
42 | Kevin Na | 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.9% | 0.7% ≈ 142/1 | 0.91% | 0.21% | ||
43 | Jordan Spieth | 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.9% | 0.7% ≈ 142/1 | 0.5% | -0.2% | ||
44 | Marc Leishman | 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.62% ≈ 161/1 | 0.32% | -0.3% | ||
45 | Adam Hadwin | 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.71% | 0.55% ≈ 180/1 | 0.68% | 0.13% | ||
46 | Byeong Hun An | 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.71% | 0.55% ≈ 180/1 | 0.56% | 0.01% | ||
47 | Ryan Palmer | 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.52% ≈ 193/1 | 1.32% | 0.81% | ||
48 | JT Poston | 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.52% ≈ 193/1 | 0.99% | 0.48% | ||
49 | Cameron Champ | 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.52% ≈ 193/1 | 0.84% | 0.33% | ||
50 | Kevin Streelman | 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.62% | 0.48% ≈ 206/1 | 1.13% | 0.65% | ||
51 | Brendan Steele | 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.62% | 0.48% ≈ 206/1 | 0.77% | 0.29% | ||
52 | Dylan Frittelli | 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.44% ≈ 225/1 | 1% | 0.56% | ||
53 | Adam Long | 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.44% ≈ 225/1 | 0.68% | 0.24% | ||
54 | Lanto Griffin | 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.39% ≈ 257/1 | 1.22% | 0.84% | ||
55 | Keegan Bradley | 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.5% | 0.39% ≈ 257/1 | 0.79% | 0.4% | ||
56 | Joel Dahmen | 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.39% ≈ 257/1 | 0.67% | 0.29% | ||
57 | Harry Higgs | 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.31% ≈ 322/1 | 0.49% | 0.18% | ||
58 | Talor Gooch | 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.26% ≈ 386/1 | 0.62% | 0.37% | ||
59 | Tom Hoge | 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.33% | 0.26% ≈ 386/1 | 0.61% | 0.35% | ||
60 | Andrew Landry | 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.26% ≈ 386/1 | 0.38% | 0.12% | ||
61 | Carlos Ortiz | 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.26% ≈ 386/1 | 0.37% | 0.11% | ||
62 | Danny Lee | 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.26% ≈ 386/1 | 0.35% | 0.09% | ||
63 | Tyler Duncan | 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.28% | 0.22% ≈ 450/1 | 1% | 0.77% | ||
64 | Michael Thompson | 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.28% | 0.22% ≈ 450/1 | 0.71% | 0.49% | ||
65 | Tom Kim | 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.28% | 0.22% ≈ 450/1 | 0.12% | -0.11% | ||
66 | Richy Werenski | 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.25% | 0.19% ≈ 514/1 | 0.83% | 0.64% | ||
67 | Mark Hubbard | 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.19% ≈ 514/1 | 0.72% | 0.52% | ||
68 | Robby Shelton | 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.25% | 0.19% ≈ 514/1 | 0.36% | 0.17% | ||
69 | Sunghoon Kang | 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.19% ≈ 514/1 | 0.25% | 0.06% | ||
70 | Jim Herman | 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.16% ≈ 643/1 | 0.73% | 0.58% | ||
71 | Kyounghoon Lee | 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.16% ≈ 643/1 | 0.26% | 0.11% | ||
72 | Nick Taylor | 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.2% | 0.16% ≈ 643/1 | 0.22% | 0.07% | ||
73 | Taehee Lee | 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.16% ≈ 643/1 | 0.11% | -0.05% | ||
74 | Jaekyeong Lee | 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.16% ≈ 643/1 | 0.11% | -0.05% | ||
75 | Jeongu Ham | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | |||
76 | Sebastian Munoz | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | |||
77 | Seonghyeon Kim | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | |||
78 | Hanbyeol Kim | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% |
Overround of best available: 28.4 %
Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.6 %
Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
# | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 31.6% | 17.6% |
2 | Skybet | 7 @ 1/5 | 43.7% | 20.7% |
3 | William Hill | 7 @ 1/5 | 44.4% | 21.2% |
4 | Boyle Sports | 7 @ 1/5 | 46.7% | 23.2% |
5 | Betfair Sportsbook | 7 @ 1/5 | 49% | 25.1% |
6 | Paddy Power | 7 @ 1/5 | 49% | 25.1% |
7 | Betfred | 6 @ 1/5 | 38.6% | 26.4% |
8 | Bet Victor | 6 @ 1/5 | 41.2% | 28.9% |
9 | Redzone | 5 @ 1/4 | 46.8% | 31.1% |
10 | SportPesa | 5 @ 1/4 | 46.8% | 31.1% |
11 | 10Bet | 5 @ 1/4 | 46.8% | 31.1% |
12 | Sport Nation | 5 @ 1/4 | 46.8% | 31.1% |
13 | VBet | 6 @ 1/5 | 44.8% | 32.1% |
14 | Spreadex | 6 @ 1/5 | 49.5% | 36.5% |
15 | 888Sport | 6 @ 1/5 | 49.7% | 36.6% |
16 | Unibet | 6 @ 1/5 | 52.9% | 39.6% |
17 | Betway | 6 @ 1/5 | 57.7% | 44% |