Betting Market Analysis for THE CJ CUP @ NINE BRIDGES

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 11 days ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 29/1 4.56% 1.18%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 13/1 3.96% -3.11%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 36/1 3.6% 0.92%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 23/1 3.54% -0.56%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 11/1 3.4% -5.24%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 29/1 3.26% -0.12%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 16/1 2.99% -2.99%
8 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.9% ≈ 52/1 2.94% 1.04%
9 NIR Rory McIlroy 12 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.98% ≈ 16/1 2.69% -3.3%
10 NOR Viktor Hovland 35 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.16% ≈ 45/1 2.68% 0.52%
11 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 25 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.99% ≈ 32/1 2.43% -0.57%
12 USA Billy Horschel 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.96% ≈ 103/1 2.34% 1.38%
13 USA Harris English 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.69% ≈ 58/1 2.24% 0.55%
14 USA Kevin Kisner 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.85% ≈ 116/1 2.2% 1.34%
15 USA Patrick Cantlay 22 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.38% ≈ 29/1 2.13% -1.25%
16 USA Mackenzie Hughes 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.77% ≈ 129/1 2% 1.23%
17 ENG Ian Poulter 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.16% ≈ 85/1 1.94% 0.78%
18 SWE Alexander Noren 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.85% ≈ 116/1 1.85% 1%
19 USA Scottie Scheffler 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.9% ≈ 52/1 1.79% -0.1%
20 ENG Paul Casey 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.28% ≈ 77/1 1.76% 0.48%
21 MEX Abraham Ancer 50 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.53% ≈ 65/1 1.7% 0.17%
22 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.9% ≈ 52/1 1.59% -0.31%
23 USA Brendon Todd 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.16% ≈ 85/1 1.59% 0.43%
24 KOR Siwoo Kim 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.96% ≈ 103/1 1.51% 0.55%
25 USA Brooks Koepka 28 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.68% ≈ 36/1 1.44% -1.24%
26 KOR Sungjae Im 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.9% ≈ 52/1 1.43% -0.47%
27 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.29% ≈ 43/1 1.41% -0.88%
28 USA Bubba Watson 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.16% ≈ 85/1 1.33% 0.17%
29 USA Ryan Palmer 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 193/1 1.32% 0.81%
30 USA Brian Harman 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% ≈ 129/1 1.32% 0.55%
31 AUS Jason Day 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.39% ≈ 71/1 1.31% -0.08%
32 USA Jason Kokrak 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.85% ≈ 116/1 1.27% 0.42%
33 CHI Joaquin Niemann 45 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.69% ≈ 58/1 1.26% -0.43%
34 USA Lanto Griffin 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 257/1 1.22% 0.84%
35 ENG Justin Rose 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.1% ≈ 90/1 1.16% 0.07%
36 USA Kevin Streelman 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.48% ≈ 206/1 1.13% 0.65%
37 ESP Sergio Garcia 50 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.53% ≈ 65/1 1.06% -0.46%
38 USA Russell Henley 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.85% ≈ 116/1 1.05% 0.19%
39 RSA Dylan Frittelli 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% ≈ 225/1 1% 0.56%
40 USA Tyler Duncan 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 450/1 1% 0.77%
41 USA JT Poston 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 193/1 0.99% 0.48%
42 CAN Corey Conners 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.7% ≈ 142/1 0.95% 0.25%
43 USA Kevin Na 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.7% ≈ 142/1 0.91% 0.21%
44 IRL Shane Lowry 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.85% ≈ 116/1 0.85% 0%
45 USA Cameron Champ 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 193/1 0.84% 0.33%
46 USA Richy Werenski 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 514/1 0.83% 0.64%
47 USA Rickie Fowler 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.16% ≈ 85/1 0.82% -0.34%
48 USA Keegan Bradley 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 257/1 0.79% 0.4%
49 USA Brendan Steele 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.48% ≈ 206/1 0.77% 0.29%
50 USA Gary Woodland 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.28% ≈ 77/1 0.77% -0.51%
51 USA Jim Herman 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 643/1 0.73% 0.58%
52 USA Mark Hubbard 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 514/1 0.72% 0.52%
53 USA Michael Thompson 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 450/1 0.71% 0.49%
54 USA Adam Long 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% ≈ 225/1 0.68% 0.24%
55 CAN Adam Hadwin 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.55% ≈ 180/1 0.68% 0.13%
56 USA Joel Dahmen 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 257/1 0.67% 0.29%
57 AUS Cameron Smith 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.85% ≈ 116/1 0.66% -0.2%
58 USA Talor Gooch 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 386/1 0.62% 0.37%
59 USA Tom Hoge 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 386/1 0.61% 0.35%
60 USA Matt Kuchar 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% ≈ 129/1 0.58% -0.2%
61 KOR Byeong Hun An 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.55% ≈ 180/1 0.56% 0.01%
62 USA Jordan Spieth 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.7% ≈ 142/1 0.5% -0.2%
63 USA Harry Higgs 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 322/1 0.49% 0.18%
64 USA Andrew Landry 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 386/1 0.38% 0.12%
65 MEX Carlos Ortiz 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 386/1 0.37% 0.11%
66 USA Robby Shelton 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 514/1 0.36% 0.17%
67 NZL Danny Lee 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 386/1 0.35% 0.09%
68 AUS Marc Leishman 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.62% ≈ 161/1 0.32% -0.3%
69 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 643/1 0.26% 0.11%
70 KOR Sunghoon Kang 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 514/1 0.25% 0.06%
71 CAN Nick Taylor 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 643/1 0.22% 0.07%
72 KOR Joohyung Kim 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 450/1 0.12% -0.11%
73 KOR Taehee Lee 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 643/1 0.11% -0.05%
74 KOR Jaekyeong Lee 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 643/1 0.11% -0.05%
75 KOR Jeongu Ham 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
76 COL Juan Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
77 KOR Seonghyeon Kim 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
78 KOR Hanbyeol Kim 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 28.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.6 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 31.6% 17.6%
2 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 43.7% 20.7%
3 William Hill 7 @ 1/5 44.4% 21.2%
4 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 46.7% 23.2%
5 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 49% 25.1%
6 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 49% 25.1%
7 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 38.6% 26.4%
8 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 41.2% 28.9%
9 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 46.8% 31.1%
10 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 46.8% 31.1%
11 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 46.8% 31.1%
12 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 46.8% 31.1%
13 VBet 6 @ 1/5 44.8% 32.1%
14 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 49.5% 36.5%
15 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 49.7% 36.6%
16 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 52.9% 39.6%
17 Betway 6 @ 1/5 57.7% 44%