Betting Market Analysis for THE CJ CUP @ NINE BRIDGES
Key
Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).
Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.
Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.
Forecast Table
Up to date as of: 4 years ago
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| # | Player | Bookies' Odds | Implied Impl. | Normalised Norm. | Predicted Pred. | Discrepancy Discrep. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 11/1 | 3.4% | -5.24% | |
| 2 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 13/1 | 3.96% | -3.11% | |
| 3 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 16/1 | 2.99% | -2.99% | |
| 4 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 16/1 | 2.69% | -3.3% | |
| 5 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 23/1 | 3.54% | -0.56% | |
| 6 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 29/1 | 4.56% | 1.18% | |
| 7 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 29/1 | 3.26% | -0.12% | |
| 8 |
| Patrick Cantlay | 22 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) | 4.35% | 3.38% ≈ 29/1 | 2.13% | -1.25% | |
| 9 |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 25 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 3.85% | 2.99% ≈ 32/1 | 2.43% | -0.57% | |
| 10 |
| Daniel Berger | 28 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 3.45% | 2.68% ≈ 36/1 | 3.6% | 0.92% | |
| 11 |
| Brooks Koepka | 28 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) | 3.45% | 2.68% ≈ 36/1 | 1.44% | -1.24% | |
| 12 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.94% | 2.29% ≈ 43/1 | 1.41% | -0.88% | |
| 13 |
| Viktor Hovland | 35 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.78% | 2.16% ≈ 45/1 | 2.68% | 0.52% | |
| 14 |
| Matthew Fitzpatrick | 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.44% | 1.9% ≈ 52/1 | 2.94% | 1.04% | |
| 15 |
| Scottie Scheffler | 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.44% | 1.9% ≈ 52/1 | 1.79% | -0.1% | |
| 16 |
| Louis Oosthuizen | 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 2.44% | 1.9% ≈ 52/1 | 1.59% | -0.31% | |
| 17 |
| Sungjae Im | 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.44% | 1.9% ≈ 52/1 | 1.43% | -0.47% | |
| 18 |
| Harris English | 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.17% | 1.69% ≈ 58/1 | 2.24% | 0.55% | |
| 19 |
| Joaquin Niemann | 45 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 2.17% | 1.69% ≈ 58/1 | 1.26% | -0.43% | |
| 20 |
| Abraham Ancer | 50 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.53% ≈ 65/1 | 1.7% | 0.17% | |
| 21 |
| Sergio Garcia | 50 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.96% | 1.53% ≈ 65/1 | 1.06% | -0.46% | |
| 22 |
| Jason Day | 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.79% | 1.39% ≈ 71/1 | 1.31% | -0.08% | |
| 23 |
| Paul Casey | 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.64% | 1.28% ≈ 77/1 | 1.76% | 0.48% | |
| 24 |
| Gary Woodland | 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.64% | 1.28% ≈ 77/1 | 0.77% | -0.51% | |
| 25 |
| Ian Poulter | 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.16% ≈ 85/1 | 1.94% | 0.78% | |
| 26 |
| Brendon Todd | 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.16% ≈ 85/1 | 1.59% | 0.43% | |
| 27 |
| Bubba Watson | 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.49% | 1.16% ≈ 85/1 | 1.33% | 0.17% | |
| 28 |
| Rickie Fowler | 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.49% | 1.16% ≈ 85/1 | 0.82% | -0.34% | |
| 29 |
| Justin Rose | 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.41% | 1.1% ≈ 90/1 | 1.16% | 0.07% | |
| 30 |
| Billy Horschel | 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.23% | 0.96% ≈ 103/1 | 2.34% | 1.38% | |
| 31 |
| Siwoo Kim | 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.23% | 0.96% ≈ 103/1 | 1.51% | 0.55% | |
| 32 |
| Kevin Kisner | 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.1% | 0.85% ≈ 116/1 | 2.2% | 1.34% | |
| 33 |
| Alexander Noren | 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.1% | 0.85% ≈ 116/1 | 1.85% | 1% | |
| 34 |
| Jason Kokrak | 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.1% | 0.85% ≈ 116/1 | 1.27% | 0.42% | |
| 35 |
| Russell Henley | 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.1% | 0.85% ≈ 116/1 | 1.05% | 0.19% | |
| 36 |
| Shane Lowry | 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.1% | 0.85% ≈ 116/1 | 0.85% | 0% | |
| 37 |
| Cameron Smith | 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.1% | 0.85% ≈ 116/1 | 0.66% | -0.2% | |
| 38 |
| Mackenzie Hughes | 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.99% | 0.77% ≈ 129/1 | 2% | 1.23% | |
| 39 |
| Brian Harman | 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.77% ≈ 129/1 | 1.32% | 0.55% | |
| 40 |
| Matt Kuchar | 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.99% | 0.77% ≈ 129/1 | 0.58% | -0.2% | |
| 41 |
| Corey Conners | 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.9% | 0.7% ≈ 142/1 | 0.95% | 0.25% | |
| 42 |
| Kevin Na | 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.9% | 0.7% ≈ 142/1 | 0.91% | 0.21% | |
| 43 |
| Jordan Spieth | 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.9% | 0.7% ≈ 142/1 | 0.5% | -0.2% | |
| 44 |
| Marc Leishman | 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.62% ≈ 161/1 | 0.32% | -0.3% | |
| 45 |
| Adam Hadwin | 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.71% | 0.55% ≈ 180/1 | 0.68% | 0.13% | |
| 46 |
| Byeong Hun An | 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.71% | 0.55% ≈ 180/1 | 0.56% | 0.01% | |
| 47 |
| Ryan Palmer | 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.52% ≈ 193/1 | 1.32% | 0.81% | |
| 48 |
| JT Poston | 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.52% ≈ 193/1 | 0.99% | 0.48% | |
| 49 |
| Cameron Champ | 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.52% ≈ 193/1 | 0.84% | 0.33% | |
| 50 |
| Kevin Streelman | 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.62% | 0.48% ≈ 206/1 | 1.13% | 0.65% | |
| 51 |
| Brendan Steele | 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.62% | 0.48% ≈ 206/1 | 0.77% | 0.29% | |
| 52 |
| Dylan Frittelli | 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.57% | 0.44% ≈ 225/1 | 1% | 0.56% | |
| 53 |
| Adam Long | 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.44% ≈ 225/1 | 0.68% | 0.24% | |
| 54 |
| Lanto Griffin | 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.39% ≈ 257/1 | 1.22% | 0.84% | |
| 55 |
| Keegan Bradley | 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.5% | 0.39% ≈ 257/1 | 0.79% | 0.4% | |
| 56 |
| Joel Dahmen | 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.39% ≈ 257/1 | 0.67% | 0.29% | |
| 57 |
| Harry Higgs | 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.31% ≈ 322/1 | 0.49% | 0.18% | |
| 58 |
| Talor Gooch | 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.26% ≈ 386/1 | 0.62% | 0.37% | |
| 59 |
| Tom Hoge | 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.33% | 0.26% ≈ 386/1 | 0.61% | 0.35% | |
| 60 |
| Andrew Landry | 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.26% ≈ 386/1 | 0.38% | 0.12% | |
| 61 |
| Carlos Ortiz | 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.26% ≈ 386/1 | 0.37% | 0.11% | |
| 62 |
| Danny Lee | 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.33% | 0.26% ≈ 386/1 | 0.35% | 0.09% | |
| 63 |
| Tyler Duncan | 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.28% | 0.22% ≈ 450/1 | 1% | 0.77% | |
| 64 |
| Michael Thompson | 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.28% | 0.22% ≈ 450/1 | 0.71% | 0.49% | |
| 65 |
| Tom Kim | 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.28% | 0.22% ≈ 450/1 | 0.12% | -0.11% | |
| 66 |
| Richy Werenski | 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.25% | 0.19% ≈ 514/1 | 0.83% | 0.64% | |
| 67 |
| Mark Hubbard | 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.19% ≈ 514/1 | 0.72% | 0.52% | |
| 68 |
| Robby Shelton | 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.25% | 0.19% ≈ 514/1 | 0.36% | 0.17% | |
| 69 |
| Sunghoon Kang | 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.25% | 0.19% ≈ 514/1 | 0.25% | 0.06% | |
| 70 |
| Jim Herman | 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.16% ≈ 643/1 | 0.73% | 0.58% | |
| 71 |
| Kyounghoon Lee | 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.16% ≈ 643/1 | 0.26% | 0.11% | |
| 72 |
| Nick Taylor | 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.2% | 0.16% ≈ 643/1 | 0.22% | 0.07% | |
| 73 |
| Taehee Lee | 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.16% ≈ 643/1 | 0.11% | -0.05% | |
| 74 |
| Jaekyeong Lee | 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.2% | 0.16% ≈ 643/1 | 0.11% | -0.05% | |
| 75 |
| Jeongu Ham | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 76 |
| Sebastian Munoz | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 77 |
| Seonghyeon Kim | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
| 78 |
| Hanbyeol Kim | 0% | 0% ≈ 0/1 | 0% | 0% | ||
Bookie Analysis
Overround of best available: 28.4 %
Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.6 %
Key
Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 31.6% | 17.6% |
| 2 | Skybet | 7 @ 1/5 | 43.7% | 20.7% |
| 3 | William Hill | 7 @ 1/5 | 44.4% | 21.2% |
| 4 | Boyle Sports | 7 @ 1/5 | 46.7% | 23.2% |
| 5 | Betfair Sportsbook | 7 @ 1/5 | 49% | 25.1% |
| 6 | Paddy Power | 7 @ 1/5 | 49% | 25.1% |
| 7 | Betfred | 6 @ 1/5 | 38.6% | 26.4% |
| 8 | Bet Victor | 6 @ 1/5 | 41.2% | 28.9% |
| 9 | Redzone | 5 @ 1/4 | 46.8% | 31.1% |
| 10 | SportPesa | 5 @ 1/4 | 46.8% | 31.1% |
| 11 | 10Bet | 5 @ 1/4 | 46.8% | 31.1% |
| 12 | Sport Nation | 5 @ 1/4 | 46.8% | 31.1% |
| 13 | VBet | 6 @ 1/5 | 44.8% | 32.1% |
| 14 | Spreadex | 6 @ 1/5 | 49.5% | 36.5% |
| 15 | 888Sport | 6 @ 1/5 | 49.7% | 36.6% |
| 16 | Unibet | 6 @ 1/5 | 52.9% | 39.6% |
| 17 | Betway | 6 @ 1/5 | 57.7% | 44% |