Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 14.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 3.5 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100.1

British Masters

05/05/2022 - 08/05/2022

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 SCO Robert MacIntyre 25 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.17% 1.92% -1.26% T36
2 POL Adrian Meronk 25 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.17% 1.68% -1.49% MC
3 ENG Jordan L Smith 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.85% 1.66% -1.19% T21
4 ENG Sam Horsfield 28 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.85% 1.63% -1.21% T21
5 RSA Dean Burmester 33 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.43% 1.32% -1.1% MC
6 ENG Laurie Canter 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.43% 1.2% -1.22% MC
7 ENG Lee Westwood 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.43% 1.02% -1.41% MC
8 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.43% 0.87% -1.56% T16
9 ENG Danny Willett 33 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.43% 0.78% -1.64% T16
10 ENG Richard Bland 35 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.29% 1.46% -0.83% MC
11 ESP Adria Arnaus 39 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.5/1) 2.5% 2.06% 1.78% -0.28% T48
12 BEL Thomas Detry 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.01% 1.2% -0.81% T54
13 RSA Justin Harding 40 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.01% 0.97% -1.04% T16
14 NZL Ryan Fox 40 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.01% 0.65% -1.36% T8
15 RSA Oliver Bekker 41 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.7/1) 2.38% 1.96% 2.68% 0.72% T27 8.8
16 ESP Adrian Otaegui 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.79% 1.78% -0.01% T27 8.04
17 FIN Mikko Korhonen 50 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.62% 0.59% -1.03% T8
18 FRA Victor Perez 55 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.47% 0.84% -0.63% T21
19 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 56 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.5/1) 1.75% 1.45% 1.92% 0.47% MC 6.49
20 ITA Edoardo Molinari 60 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.35% 1.37% 0.01% T36 6.06
21 RSA Thriston Lawrence 66 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.23% 1.7% 0.47% T36 5.52
22 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 66 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.23% 0.96% -0.27% 1
23 ENG Marcus Armitage 66 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.23% 0.95% -0.29% T21
24 FRA Antoine Rozner 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.23% 0.93% -0.3% MC
25 RSA George Coetzee 70 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.16% 0.66% -0.5% T36
26 FRA Romain Langasque 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.02% 0.56% -0.46% T8
27 CHN Li Haotong 85 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.5/1) 1.16% 0.96% 2.06% 1.1% MC 4.3
28 ENG Ross Fisher 89 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16/1) 1.11% 0.92% 0.53% -0.39% MC
29 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.91% 1.41% 0.5% 67 4.07
30 USA Johannes Veerman 90 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.91% 0.93% 0.03% MC 4.07
31 AUS Jason Scrivener 90 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.91% 0.69% -0.22% T45
32 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.82% 1.97% 1.15% MC 3.66
33 FRA Matthieu Pavon 100 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.82% 1.37% 0.56% MC 3.66
34 CHN Wu Ashun 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.82% 1.27% 0.45% T27 3.66
35 AUT Lukas Nemecz 100 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.82% 1.21% 0.39% MC 3.66
36 SWE Alexander Bjork 100 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.82% 1.01% 0.19% MC 3.66
37 ENG Daniel Gavins 100 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.82% 0.67% -0.14% MC 3.66
38 USA John Catlin 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.82% 0.61% -0.21% T36 3.66
39 NED Wil Besseling 100 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.82% 0.52% -0.3% MC
40 ENG Matthew Jordan 104 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.9/1) 0.95% 0.79% 0.81% 0.02% MC 3.52
41 ESP Jorge Campillo 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.74% 0.49% -0.25% MC
42 FRA Julien Brun 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.67% 1.09% 0.43% T8 2.99
43 SCO Scott Jamieson 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.67% 1.09% 0.42% MC 2.99
44 SCO Ewen Ferguson 125 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 1.19% 0.53% MC 2.94
45 ENG Tom Lewis 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 0.72% 0.07% MC 2.94
46 GER Yannik Paul 125 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 0.71% 0.05% T16 2.94
47 SCO Craig Howie 125 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 0.68% 0.03% MC 2.94
48 FIN Kalle Samooja 125 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 0.64% -0.01% MC 2.94
49 ENG Callum Shinkwin 125 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 0.45% -0.2% T16 2.94
50 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 0.42% -0.24% T8
51 ARG Daniel Vancsik 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 0.2% -0.46%
52 ENG Richard Mansell 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.59% 0.27% -0.31% T8
53 CAN Aaron Cockerill 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% 1.41% 0.87% MC
54 SWE Marcus Kinhult 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 1.09% 0.54% T27
55 DEN Jeff Winther 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 0.68% 0.14% MC
56 THA Jazz Janewattananond 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% 0.65% 0.1% T27
57 RSA Justin Walters 150 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 0.62% 0.08% T3
58 AUS Wade Ormsby 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 0.52% -0.02% MC
59 ENG Andy Sullivan 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% 0.5% -0.04% MC
60 FIN Sami Valimaki 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% 0.49% -0.06% MC
61 ENG David Horsey 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 0.47% -0.08% MC
62 SCO Richie Ramsay 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 0.36% -0.18% T3
63 SCO David Law 150 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 0.35% -0.19% MC
64 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% 0.35% -0.2% T59
65 POR Ricardo Gouveia 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% 0.24% -0.31% MC
66 ITA Guido Migliozzi 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 0.18% -0.37% MC
67 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 151 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.4/1) 0.66% 0.54% 0.72% 0.17% MC
68 RSA JC Ritchie 151 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.4/1) 0.66% 0.54% 0.35% -0.19% T8
69 FRA Victor Dubuisson 161 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.5/1) 0.62% 0.51% 1.33% 0.82%
70 IND Shubhankar Sharma 161 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.5/1) 0.62% 0.51% 0.56% 0.05% MC
71 ITA Francesco Laporta 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.47% 0.54% 0.07% MC
72 SCO Grant Forrest 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.47% 0.47% 0.01% MC
73 SCO Connor Syme 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.47% 0.41% -0.06% T3
74 ENG Eddie Pepperell 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.47% 0.35% -0.12% T48
75 FRA Julien Guerrier 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.47% 0.32% -0.15% MC
76 NED Joost Luiten 180 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26.5/1) 0.55% 0.46% 0.29% -0.17% T36
77 GER Hurly Long 199 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.5/1) 0.5% 0.41% 0.81% 0.4% T6
78 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 199 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.5/1) 0.5% 0.41% 0.76% 0.34% MC
79 ENG Jack Senior 199 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.5/1) 0.5% 0.41% 0.51% 0.1% MC
80 ENG Oliver Wilson 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.56% 0.15% MC
81 USA Sean Crocker 200 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.54% 0.13% MC
82 RSA Brandon Stone 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.39% -0.02% T43
83 ENG James Morrison 200 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.36% -0.05% T27
84 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.29% -0.12% T43
85 ENG David Coupland 200 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.28% -0.13% T51
86 ESP Santiago Tarrio 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.2% -0.21%
87 RSA Zander Lombard 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.77% 0.44% 66
88 ENG Robert Rock 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.6% 0.27% MC
89 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.56% 0.23% T27
90 ENG Paul Waring 250 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.51% 0.19% T63
91 ESP Nacho Elvira 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.44% 0.11% MC
92 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.43% 0.1% MC
93 NOR Espen Kofstad 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.31% -0.02% T36
94 FRA Benjamin Hebert 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.31% -0.02% T45
95 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.3% -0.03% 2
96 SWE Niklas Lemke 265 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.5/1) 0.38% 0.31% 0.31% 0% MC
97 RSA Darren Fichardt 275 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.6/1) 0.36% 0.3% 0.51% 0.21% MC
98 ITA Nino Bertasio 275 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.6/1) 0.36% 0.3% 0.48% 0.18% MC
99 GER Sebastian Heisele 275 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.6/1) 0.36% 0.3% 0.44% 0.14% MC
100 ENG Ashley Chesters 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.6% 0.33% MC
101 ENG Richard McEvoy 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.6% 0.32% T63
102 GER Marcel Siem 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.45% 0.17% MC
103 WAL Jamie Donaldson 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.39% 0.11% T8
104 AUS Maverick Antcliff 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.33% 0.05% MC
105 SCO David Drysdale 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.32% 0.04% MC
106 MAS Gavin Green 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.26% 0.78% 0.52% T48
107 ENG Garrick Porteous 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% 0.35% 0.12% MC
108 USA Chase Hanna 360 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.6/1) 0.28% 0.23% 1.04% 0.81% T6
109 CHI Hugo Leon 360 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.6/1) 0.28% 0.23% 0.23% 0.01% 62
110 NED Darius Van Driel 360 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.6/1) 0.28% 0.23% 0.23% 0% T57
111 ENG Matthew Southgate 370 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51.6/1) 0.27% 0.22% 0.49% 0.27% T57
112 GER Marcel Schneider 389 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.5/1) 0.26% 0.21% 0.4% 0.19% MC
113 ESP Alejandro Canizares 398 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.4/1) 0.25% 0.21% 0.4% 0.19% WD
114 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 398 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.4/1) 0.25% 0.21% 0.37% 0.16% MC
115 ENG Steven Brown 398 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.4/1) 0.25% 0.21% 0.27% 0.07% MC
116 ENG Dale Whitnell 400 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.52% 0.31% MC
117 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.28% 0.08% MC
118 RSA Richard Sterne 427 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.3/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.21% 0.02% T54
119 FRA Frederic LaCroix 436 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.2/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.37% 0.18% T21
120 ENG Andrew Wilson 455 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 60/1) 0.22% 0.18% 0.66% 0.48% MC
121 SWE Joakim Lagergren 484 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.8/1) 0.21% 0.17% 0.42% 0.25% MC
122 ENG Jack Singh Brar 500 (QuinnBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.57% 0.4% T27
123 SCO Stephen Gallacher 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.38% 0.22% MC
124 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.29% 0.13% MC
125 POR Ricardo Santos 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.25% 0.09% MC
126 AUS Zach Murray 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.22% 0.05% MC
127 ITA Renato Paratore 560 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 69.9/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.39% 0.24% MC
128 DEN Thomas Bjorn 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.37% 0.23% T59
129 ENG Ross McGowan 664 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.1/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.35% 0.23% MC
130 ITA Andrea Pavan 683 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.8/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.4% 0.28% MC
131 ENG Chris Paisley 750 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.39% 0.28% MC
132 WAL Bradley Dredge 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.2% 0.09% MC
133 ENG Ben Schmidt 750 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.2% 0.09% T63
134 ESP Pep Angles Ros 778 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 88.8/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.56% 0.45% T59
135 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.42% 0.31% 68
136 ENG Chris Wood 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.49% 0.41% MC
137 SCO Marc Warren 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.4% 0.31% MC
138 SWE Rikard Karlberg 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.34% 0.26% MC
139 ESP Alvaro Quiros 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.34% 0.25% MC
140 IRL Paul Dunne 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.21% 0.12% MC
141 ENG Oliver Fisher 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.53% 0.45% MC
142 NED Daan Huizing 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.24% T51
143 ENG Graeme Storm 1000 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.21% MC
144 FRA Robin Roussel 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.2% T45
145 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% T54
146 NIR Cormac Sharvin 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.56% 0.51% MC
147 FRA Joel Stalter 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.32% 0.27% T51
148 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.22% 0.16% MC
149 RSA Haydn Porteous 2000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.28% 0.24% MC
150 ENG David Howell 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.32% 0.29% MC
151 SCO Greig Hutcheon 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.2% 0.16% MC
152 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% T27
153 FRA Adrien Saddier 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% T21
155 ENG Ben Stow 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 ENG Adam Keogh 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 ENG Harley Smith 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 14.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 3.5 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 34% 18.1%
2 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 37.2% 20.9%
3 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 37.2% 20.9%
4 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 60.2% 22%
5 Coral 8 @ 1/5 60.2% 22%
6 Betway 7 @ 1/5 51.3% 24.6%
7 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 64.7% 25.3%
8 QuinnBet 7 @ 1/5 52.3% 25.5%
9 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 53.1% 26.2%
10 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 46.8% 31.8%
11 VBet 7 @ 1/5 60.2% 32.1%
12 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 48.5% 33.4%
13 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 48.5% 33.4%
14 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 52.5% 37%
15 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 52.8% 37.3%
16 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 58.4% 39.7%
17 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 70.4% 40.4%
18 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 70.4% 40.4%
19 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 57.3% 41.4%