Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 6.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -0.3 %

Total Probability Staked: 11.2 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.0

Total Won: 102.7

Total Profit: +2.7



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Matt Wallace 16 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 5.88% 5.31% 1.79% -3.52% MC
2 BEL Thomas Pieters 22 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.93% 1.67% -2.26% 1
3 AUS Minwoo Lee 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.47% 2.78% -0.69% T8
4 ENG Laurie Canter 25 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.47% 2.06% -1.42% MC
5 SCO Robert MacIntyre 28 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 3.11% 1.87% -1.24% 64
6 ENG Sam Horsfield 30 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.91% 1.48% -1.43% T12
7 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.66% 1.86% -0.79% T47 28
8 ENG Andrew Johnston 35 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 2.78% 2.51% 1.77% -0.73% T47
9 RSA George Coetzee 35 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.51% 0.61% -1.9% T59
10 ENG Richard Bland 41 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 2.38% 2.15% 3.94% 1.79% T8 11.34
11 ENG Jordan L Smith 45 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.96% 1.86% -0.11% T41 20.7
12 SCO Calum Hill 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.96% 1.45% -0.52% WD
13 ESP Adria Arnaus 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.96% 1.1% -0.87% T8
14 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.77% 2.42% 0.65% T2 (tied w/3) 18.67 +102.7
15 USA John Catlin 50 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.77% 1.24% -0.53% T22
16 ITA Renato Paratore 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.61% 1.62% 0.01% MC
17 ENG Andy Sullivan 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.61% 0.89% -0.72% T54
18 USA Sean Crocker 60 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.48% 1.42% -0.06% T17
19 ENG Callum Shinkwin 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.48% 0.7% -0.78% T17
20 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 61 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.61% 1.46% 1.26% -0.2% T49
21 NED Wil Besseling 61 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.61% 1.46% 1.01% -0.45% T43
22 SCO Grant Forrest 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.35% 2.15% 0.8% T22 14.21
23 FIN Mikko Korhonen 66 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.49% 1.35% 1.67% 0.32% T54 7.11
24 WAL Jamie Donaldson 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.35% 1.56% 0.21% T51
25 ENG Matthew Jordan 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.35% 1.39% 0.04% T5
26 FRA Victor Dubuisson 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.35% 1.28% -0.06% WD
27 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 66 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.49% 1.35% 1% -0.35% MC
28 DEN Joachim B Hansen 66 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.49% 1.35% 0.91% -0.43% T17
29 FRA Romain Langasque 66 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.35% 0.68% -0.67% T26
30 FRA Antoine Rozner 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.35% 0.63% -0.72% T36
31 ENG Eddie Pepperell 75 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.32% 1.19% 0.8% -0.39% MC
32 NED Joost Luiten 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.11% 1.42% 0.31% MC
33 ENG Marcus Armitage 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.11% 1.19% 0.08% T36
34 FRA Victor Perez 80 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.23% 1.11% 0.92% -0.2% T8
35 FRA Julien Guerrier 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.11% 0.8% -0.31% MC
36 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.11% 0.35% -0.77% T41
37 ENG Jack Senior 85 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.16% 1.05% 1.02% -0.03% T32
38 ESP Jorge Campillo 85 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.16% 1.05% 0.9% -0.15% MC
39 FRA Alexander Levy 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.99% 0.98% -0.02% T36
40 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 94 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.05% 0.95% 1.25% 0.29% T36
41 ESP Adrian Otaegui 94 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.05% 0.95% 1.14% 0.18% MC
42 SWE Alexander Bjork 94 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.05% 0.95% 1.02% 0.07% T30
43 SCO Richie Ramsay 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.89% 1.28% 0.39% T43
44 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.89% 1.03% 0.14% MC
45 FIN Kalle Samooja 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.89% 0.71% -0.19% T54
46 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.89% 0.54% -0.36% T54
47 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.81% 1.07% 0.26% T17
48 THA Jazz Janewattananond 113 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.88% 0.79% 1.24% 0.45% T51
49 ESP Alvaro Quiros 113 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.88% 0.79% 1.16% 0.36% MC
50 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 113 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.88% 0.79% 0.61% -0.19% MC
51 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 123 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.81% 0.73% 0.81% 0.08% T2
52 ENG Daniel Gavins 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.72% 0.83% 0.11% MC
53 SCO Scott Jamieson 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.72% 0.77% 0.06% T54
54 RSA Justin Walters 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.72% 0.6% -0.11% T26
55 SWE Niklas Lemke 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.72% 0.52% -0.2% T43
56 ITA Nino Bertasio 130 (DraftKings: 1 @ 1/1) 0.76% 0.69% 0.73% 0.04% T5
57 FRA Matthieu Pavon 132 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.75% 0.68% 0.94% 0.26% T2
58 SCO Connor Syme 132 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.75% 0.68% 0.69% 0.01% MC
59 ITA Francesco Laporta 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.6% 1.36% 0.76% 7
60 ESP Nacho Elvira 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.6% 0.94% 0.34% T49
61 ENG Ross Fisher 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.6% 0.59% -0.01% T30
62 ITA Edoardo Molinari 170 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.58% 0.53% 1.8% 1.27% T22
63 ENG David Horsey 170 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.58% 0.53% 1.23% 0.7% T12
64 ESP Pep Angles Ros 170 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.58% 0.53% 0.66% 0.13% T26
65 IRL Padraig Harrington 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.51% 1.13% 0.62% T12
66 FIN Sami Valimaki 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.51% 0.59% 0.08% MC
67 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 208 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.48% 0.43% 1.6% 1.17% T12
68 SCO David Law 208 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.48% 0.43% 0.99% 0.56% T59
69 ENG Matthew Southgate 227 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.44% 0.4% 0.83% 0.44% WD
70 AUS Scott Hend 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.36% 0.72% 0.36% MC
71 RSA Zander Lombard 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.36% 0.45% 0.09% MC
72 ENG Robert Rock 256 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.39% 0.35% 0.7% 0.35% MC
73 MAS Gavin Green 256 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.39% 0.35% 0.4% 0.05% T17
74 ENG Jack Singh Brar 275 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.36% 0.33% 0.24% -0.09% MC
75 ENG Steven Brown 284 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.35% 0.32% 0.53% 0.21% T43
76 FRA Benjamin Hebert 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.3% 0.66% 0.36% T22
77 SCO Stephen Gallacher 313 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.32% 0.29% 0.63% 0.34% T32
78 SWE Marcus Kinhult 313 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.32% 0.29% 0.4% 0.12% MC
79 SCO Marc Warren 332 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.3% 0.27% 0.59% 0.32% 65
80 USA Julian Suri 341 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.29% 0.26% 0.41% 0.14% MC
81 GER Maximilian Kieffer 360 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.28% 0.25% 0.82% 0.57% T36
82 ENG Oliver Wilson 436 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.23% 0.21% 0.61% 0.41% T12
83 ENG Ashley Chesters 446 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.22% 0.2% 0.91% 0.71% 63
84 ENG Chris Wood 484 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.21% 0.19% 0.49% 0.31% T32
85 SCO David Drysdale 531 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.19% 0.17% 0.48% 0.31% MC
86 ENG Chris Paisley 550 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.18% 0.16% 0.47% 0.3% MC
87 ENG Oliver Fisher 636 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.66% 0.51% MC
88 ENG Ross McGowan 645 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.15% 0.14% 0.77% 0.63% WD
89 RSA James Du Preez Jnr 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.12% 0.24% 0.12% MC
90 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 778 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.13% 0.12% 0.3% 0.18% T26
91 POR Ricardo Santos 788 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.64% 0.52% T32
92 POR Vitor Lopes 911 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.24% 0.14% 61
93 SWE Peter Hanson 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.66% 0.56% 53
94 ENG David Howell 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.6% 0.5% MC
95 FRA Robin Roussel 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.46% 0.36% MC
96 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.42% 0.32% MC
97 FRA Joel Stalter 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.39% 0.29% MC
98 DEN Thomas Bjorn 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.39% 0.29% MC
99 POR Pedro Figueiredo 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.38% 0.28% MC
100 ENG Graeme Storm 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.28% 0.18% MC
101 ENG Richard McEvoy 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.22% 0.13% MC
102 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.2% 0.11% MC
103 RSA Haydn Porteous 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.31% 0.22% MC
104 POR Tomas Melo Gouveia 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.24% 0.15% 62
105 WAL Oliver Farr 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
106 POR Jose-Filipe Lima 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
107 NIR Cormac Sharvin 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
108 POR Pedro Clare Neves 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 6.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -0.3 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 8.6% 8.6%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 30.4% 14.4%
3 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 50.8% 23.5%
4 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 50.8% 23.5%
5 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 44.8% 27.1%
6 VBet 5 @ 1/4 45.7% 27.9%
7 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 47.3% 31.5%
8 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 50.1% 31.8%
9 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 50.1% 31.8%
10 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 50.1% 31.8%
11 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 48.6% 32.7%
12 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 48.8% 32.9%
13 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 65% 35.2%
14 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 51.6% 35.4%
15 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 51.6% 35.4%
16 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 51.9% 35.7%
17 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 54.1% 37.7%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 54.4% 37.9%
19 Betway 6 @ 1/5 54.7% 38.2%
20 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 54.8% 38.3%