Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 15.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -0.8 %

Total Probability Staked: 25.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 90.3

Total Profit: -9.8

3M Open

21/07/2022 - 24/07/2022

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Tony Finau 14 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.36% 4.05% -1.31% 1
2 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 14 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.36% 3.09% -2.27% WD
3 KOR Sungjae Im 20 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.83% 3.29% -0.54% T2
4 CAN Adam Hadwin 22 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.5% 1.72% -1.78% T38
5 USA Sahith Theegala 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.1% 3.05% -0.04% MC 12.68
6 USA Davis Riley 25 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.1% 2.6% -0.5% MC
7 USA Maverick McNealy 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.1% 2.46% -0.64% T49
8 AUS Cameron Davis 25 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.1% 1.12% -1.98% T16
9 USA Cameron Tringale 28 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.77% 2.4% -0.38% MC
10 USA JT Poston 30 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.6% 2.25% -0.35% T11
11 USA Adam Long 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.37% 1.03% -1.33% T16
12 USA Brendan Steele 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.24% 1.35% -0.89% MC
13 CAN Adam Svensson 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.96% 1.09% -0.87% MC
14 USA Nick Hardy 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.58% 0.87% -0.71% T58
15 SCO Martin Laird 53 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.1/1) 1.85% 1.49% 1.24% -0.25% MC 5.59
16 USA Chez Reavie 58 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.8/1) 1.69% 1.36% 2% 0.64% T49 5.59
17 AUS Jason Day 60 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.32% 1.45% 0.13% T64 5.41
18 ARG Emiliano Grillo 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.2% 1.33% 0.13% T2 (tied w/2) 4.92 +43.1
19 TPE C.T. Pan 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.2% 1.23% 0.03% T31 4.92
20 RSA Dylan Frittelli 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.2% 1.1% -0.1% MC 4.92
21 USA Lanto Griffin 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.2% 0.99% -0.22% 3.37
22 USA Wyndham Clark 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.2% 0.89% -0.31% T38
23 USA Rickie Fowler 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.2% 0.74% -0.46% T38
24 USA Cameron Champ 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.2% 0.6% -0.6% T16
25 USA Tom Hoge 70 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.13% 1.91% 0.78% T4 (tied w/3) 3.27 +24.5
26 USA Matthew NeSmith 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.13% 1.54% 0.41% T72 4.65
27 USA Troy Merritt 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.13% 1.31% 0.17% T49 4.07
28 USA Michael Thompson 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.13% 0.79% -0.34% T26
29 USA Brendon Todd 73 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.9/1) 1.35% 1.09% 0.97% -0.12% T64 4.23
30 USA John Huh 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% 0.87% -0.13% MC
31 USA Doug Ghim 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.99% 0.86% -0.14% T16
32 USA Austin Smotherman 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% 0.79% -0.21% T24
33 AUT Matthias Schwab 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% 0.74% -0.26% T72
34 USA Beau Hossler 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.8% 1.17% 0.37% MC 3.27
35 GER Stephan Jaeger 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.8% 0.74% -0.06% MC 3.27
36 CAN Michael Gligic 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% 0.69% -0.1% T16 3.27
37 USA Greyson Sigg 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.8% 0.6% -0.19% T7
38 USA Lucas Glover 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.8% 0.5% -0.3% MC
39 RSA Garrick Higgo 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% 0.48% -0.32% MC
40 USA Ryan Palmer 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.75% 0.84% 0.1% T31 3.75
41 USA Patton Kizzire 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.98% 0.34% T38 2.41
42 USA Adam Schenk 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.64% 0.83% 0.19% T54 2.19
43 USA Justin Lower 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.78% 0.14% MC 2.62
44 ENG Callum Tarren 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.69% 0.05% T7 (tied w/3) 2.62 +22.7
45 NZL Danny Lee 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.64% 0.68% 0.04% 2.62
46 USA Brice Garnett 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.62% -0.02% T31 2.62
47 USA Kramer Hickok 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.64% 0.58% -0.05% MC 2.62
48 USA Chesson Hadley 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.64% 0.53% -0.11% 10 2.62
49 USA Hank Lebioda 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.52% -0.12% T16
50 USA Hayden Buckley 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.64% 0.47% -0.17% T26
51 USA Stewart Cink 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.63% 1.15% 0.52% T24 2.6
52 CAN Nick Taylor 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.59% 0.91% 0.32% MC
53 USA Tyler Duncan 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.59% 0.74% 0.16% T45
54 USA Nate Lashley 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.59% 0.69% 0.1% MC
55 USA Andrew Putnam 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.55% 0.63% 0.09% T11
56 USA Michael Kim 150 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 2.52% 1.98%
57 USA Lee Hodges 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.53% 0.71% 0.18% T16
58 USA Kelly Kraft 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.67% 0.14% T11
59 USA James Hahn 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.53% 0.63% 0.1% T4
60 USA Ryan Moore 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.53% 0.62% 0.09% MC
61 USA Ryan Armour 150 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.58% 0.05% MC
62 USA Sam Ryder 150 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.54% 0.01% MC
63 USA Scott Piercy 150 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.5% -0.03% T4
64 USA Joseph Bramlett 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.53% 0.49% -0.04% MC
65 ENG Danny Willett 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.46% 0.87% 0.42% T7
66 USA Peter Malnati 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.46% 0.81% 0.35% T11
67 USA Andrew Novak 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.46% 0.42% -0.04% T54
68 USA Harry Higgs 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.68% 0.28% MC
69 USA Austin Cook 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.61% 0.21% MC
70 USA Brandon Matthews 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.37% 0.37% 0% MC
71 ENG Matt Wallace 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.33% 0.5% 0.17% T26
72 USA Doc Redman 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.74% 0.42% MC
73 USA Sean O'Hair 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.51% 0.19% MC
74 USA Scott Gutschewski 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.5% 0.18% T31
75 USA Chase Seiffert 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.49% 0.16% T45
76 USA Dylan Wu 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.42% 0.09% MC
77 USA Kevin Chappell 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.38% 0.06% 69
78 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.33% 0.01% T64
79 USA Vaughn Taylor 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.27% -0.05% MC
80 USA Bo Hoag 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.22% -0.1% T45
81 SWE Henrik Norlander 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.18% -0.14% MC
82 USA Jonathan Byrd 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.54% 0.27% T58
83 USA Brian Stuard 300 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.39% 0.12% MC
84 COL Camilo Villegas 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.28% 0.01% T58
85 USA Ben Kohles 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.27% 0.01% MC
86 USA Chris Stroud 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.21% -0.05% MC
87 AUS Cameron Percy 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.18% -0.08% T26
88 USA Robert Streb 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.26% 0.49% 0.22% T11
89 USA Bill Haas 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.25% 0.73% 0.48% MC
90 SWE David Lingmerth 350 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% 0.49% 0.26% T70
91 USA Jason Dufner 350 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.25% 0.02% MC
92 CAN Roger Sloan 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% 0.2% -0.03% T38
93 USA Cole Hammer 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% 0.15% -0.08% MC
94 KOR Seungyul Noh 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.49% 0.29% T38
95 FRA Paul Barjon 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.29% 0.09% T31
96 AUS Aaron Baddeley 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.23% 0.03% T49
97 USA Scott Brown 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.17% -0.03% T16
98 USA Ben Martin 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.15% -0.05% MC
99 USA Brandon Hagy 411 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.7/1) 0.24% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% MC
100 USA Grayson Murray 500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.43% 0.27% T64
101 USA Seth Reeves 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.36% 0.2% MC
102 USA Joshua Creel 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.35% 0.19% MC
103 USA Richy Werenski 500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.35% 0.19% MC
104 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.35% 0.19% MC
105 AUS Greg Chalmers 500 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.16% 0% T70
106 USA Kevin Tway 518 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.8% 0.65% MC
107 KOR Sunghoon Kang 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.28% 0.15% MC
108 CAN David Hearn 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.16% 0.02% MC
109 USA Max McGreevy 607 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.1/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.31% 0.18% MC
110 USA Bo Van Pelt 700 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.14% 0.11% 0.53% 0.42% T49
111 USA Jared Wolfe 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.27% 0.16% T54
112 USA Tommy Gainey 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.2% 0.09% MC
113 AUS Mark Hensby 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.17% 0.06%
114 USA Nick Watney 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.53% 0.45% MC
115 USA Martin Trainer 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.46% 0.38% MC
116 USA Jim Knous 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.41% 0.32% T64
117 USA Brian Gay 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.22% MC
118 USA Curtis Thompson 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.21% MC
119 USA Robert Garrigus 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.17% WD
120 USA Ryan Brehm 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% T31
121 ENG David Skinns 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% T54
122 USA Wesley Bryan 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.19% 0.11% MC
123 USA Andrew Landry 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.14% 0.06% MC
124 SWE Jonas Blixt 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.38% 0.3% T72
125 USA D.J. Trahan 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.15% MC
126 AUS Brett Drewitt 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% MC
127 RSA Dawie van der Walt 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.19% 0.11% T38
128 IND Arjun Atwal 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.1% DQ
129 USA Derek Ernst 1000 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.1% MC
130 USA Ben Crane 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.16% 0.08% MC
131 KOR K.J. Choi 1000 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.16% 0.08% MC
132 USA George McNeill 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.17% 0.11% T58
133 USA Ricky Barnes 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.16% 0.09% T45
134 USA Ted Potter-jr 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.19% 0.14% MC
135 USA Matt Every 1500 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.17% 0.11% MC
136 USA John Merrick 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.15% 0.1% MC
137 USA J.J. Henry 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.17% 0.13% T72
138 USA D.A. Points 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.16% 0.12% WD
139 USA Kevin Stadler 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.15% 0.11% MC
140 USA Jeff Sorenson 2000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.15% 0.11% MC
141 ENG Brian Davis 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.15% 0.12% MC
142 USA Jason Bohn 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
143 USA Jason Gore 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 USA Jeff Overton 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
145 USA Cody Gribble 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
146 SWE Daniel Chopra 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
147 USA Rick Lamb 0% 0% 0% 0% T58
148 AUS Daniel Gale 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 USA Chris Naegel 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 USA Parker McLachlin 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 KOR Tom Kim 0% 0% 0% 0% T26
152 USA Ted Purdy 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 USA Paul Goydos 0% 0% 0% 0% T58
154 USA Derek Lamely 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 USA John Huston 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 THA Thaya Limpipolpaibul 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 USA Chris Gotterup 0% 0% 0% 0% T31
158 USA Dylan Menante 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
159 USA Andre Metzger 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
160 CAN Mardy Fish 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 15.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -0.8 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 47% 12.1%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 30.1% 14.8%
3 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 56.7% 19.5%
4 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 58.1% 20.5%
5 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 58.1% 20.5%
6 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 59.8% 21.9%
7 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 41.3% 24.6%
8 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 41.3% 24.6%
9 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 42.1% 25.5%
10 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 42.1% 25.5%
11 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 42.5% 25.8%
12 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 65.2% 26%
13 Coral 8 @ 1/5 65.2% 26%
14 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 42.8% 26%
15 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 93% 27.9%
16 Betway 7 @ 1/5 55.1% 27.9%
17 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 47% 32.2%
18 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 50.8% 35.6%
19 VBet 5 @ 1/4 61.8% 42.8%
20 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 61.5% 45.2%