Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 7.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -6.2 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.2 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 59.6

Total Profit: -40.5

Mexico Open

28/04/2022 - 01/05/2022

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Jon Rahm 5 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 16.67% 14.75% 4.37% -10.38% 1
2 MEX Abraham Ancer 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.21% 1.82% -2.39% T42
3 USA Gary Woodland 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.21% 1.59% -2.62% T24
4 USA Tony Finau 25 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.4% 1.59% -1.82% T2
5 USA Kevin Na 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 3.05% 1.83% -1.22% T42
6 COL Sebastian Munoz 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.6% 2.17% -0.44% T29
7 USA Cameron Tringale 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.6% 1.87% -0.73% T33
8 USA Chris Kirk 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.6% 1.14% -1.46% MC
9 USA Aaron Wise 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.6% 1.05% -1.55% T6
10 USA Patrick Reed 41 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.7/1) 2.38% 2.11% 1.61% -0.49% T42
11 USA Doug Ghim 50 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.73% 1.59% -0.15% T33 7.48
12 AUS Matt Jones 55 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.58% 2.14% 0.56% T59 6.81
13 USA Charles Howell III 60 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.45% 1.22% -0.23% T33 6.25
14 USA Kevin Streelman 60 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.45% 0.99% -0.46% T67
15 USA Cameron Champ 60 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.45% 0.34% -1.11% T6
16 USA Adam Long 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.32% 1.24% -0.08% T15 5.69
17 TPE C.T. Pan 66 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.32% 1.22% -0.1% T29 5.69
18 USA Mark Hubbard 66 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.32% 1.04% -0.28% T51 5.69
19 USA Lanto Griffin 66 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.32% 1.03% -0.29% T15 5.69
20 USA Taylor Moore 66 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.32% 0.75% -0.57% MC
21 USA Davis Riley 70 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.25% 1.51% 0.26% 5 5.37 +49.7
22 ENG Aaron Rai 70 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.25% 0.95% -0.29% T24 5.37
23 SCO Russell Knox 70 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.25% 0.73% -0.52% MC
24 USA Sahith Theegala 80 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.09% 1.59% 0.5% T24 4.71
25 USA Scott Stallings 80 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.09% 1.4% 0.31% MC 4.71
26 MEX Carlos Ortiz 80 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.09% 1.2% 0.11% T51 4.71
27 USA Kevin Chappell 80 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.09% 0.78% -0.32%
28 USA Brendon Todd 89 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16/1) 1.11% 0.98% 1.25% 0.27% T64 4.24
29 IND Anirban Lahiri 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.97% 1.26% 0.29% T15 4.19
30 USA Chad Ramey 94 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.7/1) 1.05% 0.93% 0.46% -0.47% MC
31 USA Wyndham Clark 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.88% 0.82% -0.05% T67 3.78
32 USA Alex Smalley 100 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.88% 0.76% -0.11% T6 (tied w/4) 3.78 +9.9
33 USA David Lipsky 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.88% 0.66% -0.21% T6 3.78
34 CAN Nick Taylor 125 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.7% 1.42% 0.72% MC 3.03
35 USA JT Poston 125 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.7% 1.35% 0.65% MC 3.03
36 USA Greyson Sigg 125 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.7% 0.89% 0.19% T33 3.03
37 USA Austin Smotherman 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.7% 0.89% 0.19% T67 3.03
38 USA Nick Hardy 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.7% 0.26% -0.44%
39 USA Pat Perez 142 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.4/1) 0.7% 0.62% 1.13% 0.51% 66
40 CAN Adam Svensson 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.59% 1.27% 0.68% MC
41 USA Michael Thompson 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.59% 1.07% 0.48% MC
42 NZL Danny Lee 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.59% 0.93% 0.35% MC
43 USA Nate Lashley 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.59% 0.82% 0.24% T11
44 USA Tyler Duncan 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.59% 0.78% 0.19% MC
45 USA Robert Streb 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.59% 0.76% 0.18% MC
46 USA Vincent Whaley 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.59% 0.63% 0.05% MC
47 USA Patrick Rodgers 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.59% 0.5% -0.09% 10
48 ARG Emiliano Grillo 150 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.59% 0.48% -0.11% T33
49 USA Chase Seiffert 150 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.59% 0.44% -0.15% MC
50 USA Peter Uihlein 150 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.59% 0.28% -0.3% MC
51 USA Brian Stuard 189 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.5/1) 0.53% 0.47% 0.69% 0.22% T42
52 USA Andrew Putnam 199 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.5/1) 0.5% 0.44% 0.88% 0.43% MC
53 USA Adam Schenk 199 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.5/1) 0.5% 0.44% 0.39% -0.05% MC
54 USA Brandon Wu 199 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.5/1) 0.5% 0.44% 0.36% -0.08% T2
55 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 1.97% 1.53% MC
56 USA Kramer Hickok 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 1.11% 0.67% MC
57 USA Lee Hodges 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 0.73% 0.29% T51
58 USA Joseph Bramlett 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% 0.56% 0.12% MC
59 USA Andrew Novak 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.44% 0.55% 0.11% T15
60 CAN Roger Sloan 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.44% 0.46% 0.02% MC
61 USA Trey Mullinax 200 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.44% 0.3% -0.14% T24
62 USA Peter Malnati 208 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.4/1) 0.48% 0.42% 1.09% 0.67% T15
63 USA Scott Piercy 218 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.4/1) 0.46% 0.4% 0.9% 0.49% T33
64 USA John Huh 237 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.3/1) 0.42% 0.37% 1.24% 0.87% T42
65 USA Hayden Buckley 237 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.3/1) 0.42% 0.37% 0.41% 0.04% T61
66 USA Dylan Wu 246 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.2/1) 0.4% 0.36% 0.35% 0% MC
67 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.35% 0.33% -0.02% T61
68 USA James Hahn 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.35% 0.29% -0.07% MC
69 NIR Graeme McDowell 256 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.5/1) 0.39% 0.34% 1.06% 0.72% T33
70 USA Hank Lebioda 256 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.5/1) 0.39% 0.34% 0.45% 0.11% T29
71 USA Vaughn Taylor 284 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.6/1) 0.35% 0.31% 0.85% 0.54% WD
72 USA Brice Garnett 294 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.6/1) 0.34% 0.3% 0.87% 0.57% T33
73 KOR Sunghoon Kang 300 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.57% 0.28% T51
74 USA Wesley Bryan 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 0.28% -0.02% T33
75 COL Camilo Villegas 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 0.19% -0.11% MC
76 USA Kurt Kitayama 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.29% 0.68% 0.38% T2
77 ENG Callum Tarren 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.29% 0.36% 0.07% T61
78 ENG Matt Wallace 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.29% 0.17% -0.12% T67
79 USA Ryan Armour 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.27% 0.5% 0.24% MC
80 USA Justin Lower 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.27% 0.26% -0.01% T64
81 USA Bo Hoag 341 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.6/1) 0.29% 0.26% 0.17% -0.09% MC
82 USA Benjamin Griffin 351 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.7/1) 0.28% 0.25% 0.19% -0.06% MC
83 GER Stephan Jaeger 360 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.6/1) 0.28% 0.25% 0.36% 0.12% T15
84 USA Kevin Tway 370 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51.6/1) 0.27% 0.24% 0.8% 0.56% MC
85 USA Chez Reavie 389 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.5/1) 0.26% 0.23% 0.75% 0.53% T13
86 USA Ben Martin 398 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.4/1) 0.25% 0.22% 0.22% 0% MC
87 USA Brandon Hagy 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 0.83% 0.61% T42
88 USA Bill Haas 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 0.57% 0.35% T59
89 FRA Paul Barjon 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 0.4% 0.17% MC
90 USA Austin Cook 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 0.29% 0.07% MC
91 ARG Fabian Gomez 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% 0.19% -0.03% MC
92 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 408 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.4/1) 0.24% 0.22% 1.03% 0.81% T15
93 AUS Aaron Baddeley 427 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.3/1) 0.23% 0.21% 0.86% 0.66% MC
94 USA Ben Kohles 446 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.2/1) 0.22% 0.2% 0.44% 0.24% T42
95 ENG Luke Donald 474 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.9/1) 0.21% 0.19% 0.6% 0.41% MC
96 USA Seth Reeves 474 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.9/1) 0.21% 0.19% 0.38% 0.2% MC
97 USA Curtis Thompson 474 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.9/1) 0.21% 0.19% 0.37% 0.18% MC
98 USA Max McGreevy 493 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.7/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.57% 0.39% MC
99 USA Patrick Flavin 503 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 64.6/1) 0.2% 0.18% 0.19% 0.02% MC
100 USA Scott Gutschewski 522 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.4/1) 0.19% 0.17% 0.46% 0.29% MC
101 USA Scott Brown 522 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.4/1) 0.19% 0.17% 0.19% 0.02% T51
102 USA Jason Dufner 541 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 68.1/1) 0.18% 0.16% 0.28% 0.12% MC
103 USA Richy Werenski 560 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 69.9/1) 0.18% 0.16% 0.67% 0.51% MC
104 KOR Seungyul Noh 664 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.1/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.6% 0.46% MC
105 USA Robert Garrigus 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 1.47% 1.37% T42
106 MEX Roberto Diaz 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.89% 0.8% MC
107 CAN Michael Gligic 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.48% 0.38% T24
108 ENG David Skinns 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.47% 0.38% T51
109 USA Kelly Kraft 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.45% 0.36% T15
110 USA Martin Trainer 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.45% 0.35% T11
111 USA Jared Wolfe 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.45% 0.35% MC
112 USA Bo Van Pelt 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.38% 0.29% MC
113 USA Jim Knous 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.37% 0.28% MC
114 USA Jonathan Byrd 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.35% 0.25% T15
115 USA Joshua Creel 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.31% 0.21% 74
116 RSA Dawie van der Walt 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.27% 0.18% MC
117 AUS Brett Drewitt 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.27% 0.18% 73
118 CAN David Hearn 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.27% 0.18% MC
119 USA D.J. Trahan 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.27% 0.18% MC
120 USA Grayson Murray 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.22% 0.13% T13
121 AUS Greg Chalmers 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.22% 0.12% MC
122 USA Johnson Wagner 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.22% 0.12% MC
123 USA Jeffrey Kang 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.2% 0.11% MC
124 USA Bryson Nimmer 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.2% 0.1% 72
125 SWE David Lingmerth 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.19% 0.1% MC
126 USA Ryan Blaum 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.19% 0.1% T29
127 MEX Alvaro Ortiz Becerra 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.19% 0.1% T42
128 KOR Sangmoon Bae 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.19% 0.1% MC
129 USA Tommy Gainey 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.17% 0.08% T51
130 SWE Jonas Blixt 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.27% 0.18% MC
131 USA Ben Crane 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.27% 0.18% MC
132 USA Ricky Barnes 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.22% 0.13% MC
133 USA D.A. Points 1000 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.22% 0.13% T67
134 AUS Mark Hensby 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.21% 0.12% MC
135 USA Matt Every 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.19% 0.1% MC
136 MEX Armando Favela 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.19% 0.1% MC
137 MEX Isidro Benitez 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.19% 0.1% MC
138 DEN Denny A. Wijaya 1000 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.19% 0.1%
139 ENG Ben Willman 1000 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.19% 0.1% MC
140 USA Turk Pettit 1000 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.19% 0.1% T51
141 ESP Santiago Vega de Seoane 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.19% 0.13%
142 USA John C. Little-II 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.19% 0.13%
143 IND Arjun Atwal 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 USA Derek Ernst 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
145 SWE Richard S. Johnson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
146 MEX Jose Antonio Safa 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
147 MEX Jose Cristobal Islas 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
148 MEX Santiago De la Fuente 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 MEX Manuel Inman 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 7.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -6.2 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 16.3% 16.3%
2 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 51.8% 16.5%
3 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 56.3% 19.5%
4 Coral 8 @ 1/5 56.3% 19.5%
5 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 59.8% 21.9%
6 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 38.5% 22.5%
7 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 38.5% 22.5%
8 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 62.8% 24.5%
9 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 41.5% 25%
10 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 53.8% 27.1%
11 Betway 7 @ 1/5 55.9% 28.8%
12 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 68.6% 29%
13 VBet 5 @ 1/4 50.3% 32.7%
14 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 48.2% 33.3%
15 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 51.1% 35.9%
16 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 51.5% 36.3%
17 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 51.5% 36.3%
18 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 53.1% 37.8%
19 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 110.1% 39.7%
20 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 56.2% 40.5%
21 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 60.9% 42.1%