Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 33.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 1.9 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.7 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 310.5

Total Profit: +210.4



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 SCO Robert MacIntyre 12 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.26% 3.78% -1.48% T8
2 GER Martin Kaymer 16 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.02% 1.77% -2.25% MC
3 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 18 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.6% 2.1% -1.49% T34
4 ENG Sam Horsfield 20 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.25% 1% -2.26% T21
5 ENG Danny Willett 22 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 4.35% 2.97% 1.21% -1.76% T11
6 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 25 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.63% 2.18% -0.45% T57
7 RSA Dean Burmester 25 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.63% 1.72% -0.91% T6
8 AUT Matthias Schwab 25 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.63% 1.69% -0.93% T11
9 BEL Thomas Detry 30 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.2% 1.06% -1.15% T43
10 ENG Andy Sullivan 33 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.01% 2.16% 0.15% T6 (tied w/2) 8.85 +33.6
11 RSA Justin Harding 35 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.9% 2.04% 0.14% T19 8.36
12 SCO Calum Hill 35 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.9% 1.53% -0.37% T8
13 AUS Jason Scrivener 40 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.67% 2.51% 0.85% MC 7.34
14 ESP Adria Arnaus 40 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.67% 1.42% -0.25% T43
15 FIN Sami Valimaki 40 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.67% 1.35% -0.32% T21
16 ENG Laurie Canter 40 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.67% 0.72% -0.94% T30
17 ENG Andrew Johnston 40 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.67% 0.31% -1.36% T17
18 ENG Eddie Pepperell 40 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.67% 0.25% -1.42% T11
19 WAL Jamie Donaldson 45 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.49% 1.29% -0.19% T57
20 THA Jazz Janewattananond 45 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.49% 0.44% -1.05% T11
21 USA Sean Crocker 55 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.22% 1.15% -0.07% MC 5.38
22 GER Maximilian Kieffer 60 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.12% 1.8% 0.68% MC 4.94
23 SCO Connor Syme 60 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.12% 1.43% 0.31% MC 4.94
24 ENG Marcus Armitage 60 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.12% 0.62% -0.5% MC
25 ITA Guido Migliozzi 66 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.02% 1.55% 0.53% 2 4.5 +32
26 DEN Jeff Winther 70 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.96% 1.14% 0.18% WD 4.24
27 NED Wil Besseling 70 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.96% 0.79% -0.17% MC
28 POL Adrian Meronk 80 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% 1.48% 0.64% T3 (tied w/3) 3.72 +31.6
29 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 80 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% 1.25% 0.4% MC 3.72
30 FIN Mikko Korhonen 80 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% 1.1% 0.25% T3 (tied w/3) 3.72 +31.6
31 AUS Maverick Antcliff 80 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% 0.49% -0.35% MC
32 ESP Adrian Otaegui 80 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% 0.48% -0.36% T40
33 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 80 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.84% 0.29% -0.56% MC
34 SWE Alexander Bjork 90 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.75% 0.92% 0.17% T30 3.31
35 AUS Minwoo Lee 90 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.75% 0.55% -0.2% T21
36 FRA Romain Langasque 90 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.75% 0.47% -0.28% MC
37 SCO Richie Ramsay 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.75% 0.33% -0.42% T43
38 ENG Richard Mansell 90 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.75% 0.24% -0.52% T57
39 USA Johannes Veerman 100 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.68% 0.99% 0.31% 70 2.98
40 SCO Scott Jamieson 100 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.68% 0.78% 0.1% MC 2.98
41 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 100 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.68% 0.71% 0.04% T34 2.98
42 RSA Justin Walters 100 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.68% 0.62% -0.06% MC 2.98
43 RSA Louis de Jager 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.68% 0.57% -0.1% T30 2.98
44 ENG Jordan L Smith 100 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.68% 0.48% -0.19% T17
45 ENG Matthew Jordan 100 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.68% 0.36% -0.32% MC
46 ENG Paul Waring 100 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.68% 0.35% -0.33% WD
47 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 110 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.62% 0.69% 0.07% MC 2.72
48 ENG Callum Shinkwin 110 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.62% 0.51% -0.1% MC 2.72
49 ITA Renato Paratore 110 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.62% 0.5% -0.12% T11
50 ENG Ross Fisher 110 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.62% 0.32% -0.3% T43
51 ENG Richard Bland 125 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 1.87% 1.33% 1 2.39 +181.6
52 SCO Marc Warren 125 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 1.31% 0.77% MC 2.39
53 ENG Chris Paisley 125 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 1.08% 0.54% T52 2.39
54 AUS Wade Ormsby 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.54% 1.01% 0.47% MC 2.39
55 ENG David Horsey 125 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.68% 0.13% MC 2.39
56 ENG Jack Senior 125 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.55% 0% T52 2.39
57 CAN Aaron Cockerill 125 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.49% -0.06% T40 2.39
58 GER Sebastian Heisele 125 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.54% 0.21% -0.33% MC
59 ENG Robert Rock 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.48% 0.59% 0.11% MC
60 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 2.24% 1.78% MC
61 CHN Wu Ashun 150 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 1.19% 0.74% T21
62 SCO Stephen Gallacher 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.86% 0.41% MC
63 ESP Pep Angles Ros 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.78% 0.33% MC
64 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.76% 0.31% T43
65 ENG Matthew Southgate 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.65% 0.2% T34
66 FRA Alexander Levy 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.64% 0.19% T34
67 FRA Benjamin Hebert 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.63% 0.18% MC
68 NED Darius Van Driel 150 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.58% 0.13% T57
69 AUS Scott Hend 150 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.57% 0.12% MC
70 FRA Matthieu Pavon 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.56% 0.11% T21
71 ENG Garrick Porteous 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.52% 0.07% T62
72 ESP Alejandro Canizares 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.47% 0.02% T40
73 SCO Grant Forrest 150 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.46% 0% MC
74 USA Julian Suri 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.42% -0.03% T21
75 ITA Edoardo Molinari 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.33% -0.12% T8
76 RSA Zander Lombard 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.29% -0.16% MC
77 ESP Jorge Campillo 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.26% -0.19% MC
78 MAS Gavin Green 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.45% 0.22% -0.23% T65
79 ENG Dale Whitnell 175 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.51% 0.12% T21
80 ITA Francesco Laporta 175 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.47% 0.09% MC
81 ENG Steven Brown 175 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.43% 0.04% MC
82 IRL Niall Kearney 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.29% -0.1% MC
83 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 175 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.39% 0.28% -0.11% T62
84 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 200 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 1.07% 0.73% MC
85 GER Bernd Ritthammer 200 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.47% 0.13% MC
86 ENG James Morrison 200 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.42% 0.08% T21
87 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 200 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.41% 0.07% T19
88 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.41% 0.07% T52
89 FRA Julien Guerrier 200 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.4% 0.06% T30
90 ENG Ashley Chesters 200 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.33% -0.01% T43
91 USA Sihwan Kim 200 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.28% -0.06% MC
92 CHN Li Haotong 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.34% 0.27% -0.07% MC
93 WAL Rhys Enoch 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.34% 0.26% -0.08% MC
94 GER Marcel Schneider 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.66% 0.39% MC
95 FRA Clement Sordet 250 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.51% 0.24% T34
96 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 250 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.38% 0.1% T65
97 SWE Joakim Lagergren 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.36% 0.09% MC
98 IND Shubhankar Sharma 250 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.34% 0.07% T34
99 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 250 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.27% 0.31% 0.04% T43
100 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 300 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.72% 0.49% MC
101 ESP Nacho Elvira 300 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.57% 0.35% 73
102 SCO David Drysdale 300 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.56% 0.33% MC
103 NED Lars Van Meijel 300 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.53% 0.3% MC
104 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 300 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.5% 0.27% MC
105 NIR Cormac Sharvin 300 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.39% 0.17% T43
106 ENG Chris Wood 300 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.29% 0.06% T11
107 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 300 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.24% 0.01% MC
108 ENG Ben Evans 300 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.18% -0.05% MC
109 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.19% 0.69% 0.5% MC
110 ENG Toby Tree 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.19% 0.32% 0.13% MC
111 ENG Richard McEvoy 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.69% 0.52% MC
112 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 400 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.51% 0.34% MC
113 GER Max Schmitt 400 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.38% 0.21% MC
114 ENG Oliver Fisher 400 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.33% 0.16% WD
115 WAL Oliver Farr 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.17% 0.32% 0.15% MC
116 ENG Oliver Wilson 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.17% 0.31% 0.14% 72
117 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 400 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.17% 0.26% 0.09% MC
118 POR Ricardo Santos 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.17% 0.26% 0.09% T43
119 AUS Jake McLeod 400 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.24% 0.07% MC
120 ENG Matt Ford 400 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.24% 0.07% MC
121 ENG David Coupland 400 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.21% 0.04% T3
122 WAL Bradley Dredge 400 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.21% 0.04% MC
123 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.8% 0.66% T52
124 FRA Robin Roussel 500 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.34% 0.2% MC
125 SWE Rikard Karlberg 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.34% 0.2% MC
126 ESP Alvaro Quiros 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.32% 0.19% MC
127 FRA Joel Stalter 500 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.31% 0.18% T67
128 RSA Haydn Porteous 500 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.29% 0.15% WD
129 SCO David Law 500 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.29% 0.15% MC
130 ENG Lee Slattery 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.23% 0.1% T67
131 IRL Paul Dunne 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.21% 0.08% T52
132 FRA Gregory Havret 500 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.21% 0.07% MC
133 ENG Graeme Storm 500 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.21% 0.07% MC
134 NZL Josh Geary 500 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.21% 0.07% T62
135 FRA Adrien Saddier 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.11% 0.26% 0.15% MC
136 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.11% 0.26% 0.15% MC
137 POR Pedro Figueiredo 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.32% 0.22% MC
138 FIN Janne Kaske 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.27% 0.18% MC
139 THA Suradit Yongcharoenchai 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.24% 0.15% MC
140 ENG David Dixon 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% 0.2% 0.11% MC
141 ESP Carlos Pigem 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.19% 0.1% MC
142 KOR Yikeun Chang 1000 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.71% 0.64% MC
143 ENG Ross McGowan 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.32% 0.26% MC
144 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 1000 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.26% 0.19% T21
145 ENG David Howell 1000 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.22% 0.15% MC
146 ENG Michael Bullen 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.21% 0.14% MC
147 DEN Thomas Bjorn 1000 (Paddy Power: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.19% 0.13% T67
148 ITA Andrea Pavan 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.18% 0.11% MC
149 IMN Tom Gandy 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.05% 0.24% 0.18% MC
150 ENG Steven Tiley 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.05% 0.22% 0.17% 71
151 ENG Jason Levermore 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.21% 0.18% MC
152 IRL Colm Moriarty 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.21% 0.18% MC
153 ESP Pedro Oriol 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 IND Ajeetesh Sandhu 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 33.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 1.9 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfred 10 @ 1/5 59.1% 7%
2 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 61.7% 25%
3 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 40.9% 25.6%
4 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 54.4% 29.2%
5 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 55.5% 30.1%
6 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 49.8% 33.6%
7 Betway 7 @ 1/5 61.5% 35.1%
8 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 53.2% 36.6%
9 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 53.2% 36.6%
10 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 53.2% 36.6%
11 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 53.2% 36.6%
12 VBet 5 @ 1/4 53.6% 36.9%
13 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 54.1% 37.3%
14 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 50.8% 37.4%
15 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 55.5% 41.7%
16 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 58.3% 44.3%
17 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 60.9% 46.6%