Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 25.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 12.2 %

Total Probability Staked: 24.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 284.2

Total Profit: +184.1

Barracuda Championship

05/08/2021 - 08/08/2021

Up to date as of: 2 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ARG Emiliano Grillo 18 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.1% 2.57% -1.53% T27
2 USA Maverick McNealy 18 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 5.26% 4.1% 2.18% -1.92% T18
3 RSA Branden Grace 20 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 4.76% 3.71% 3.16% -0.55% T30
4 USA Troy Merritt 28 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.69% 2.6% -0.09% T51 11.02
5 USA Gary Woodland 28 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.69% 1.92% -0.77% T7
6 USA Brandt Snedeker 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.29% 2.32% 0.02% MC 9.4
7 USA Harold Varner III 33 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.29% 2.19% -0.11% T15 9.4
8 USA Ryan Moore 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.29% 1.45% -0.84% MC
9 USA Patrick Rodgers 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.29% 1.27% -1.02% T13
10 BEL Thomas Pieters 33 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.29% 1.16% -1.13% T54
11 CAN Adam Hadwin 38 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 2.56% 2% 1.66% -0.34% MC
12 USA Chez Reavie 39 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 2.5% 1.95% 1.36% -0.59% T43
13 USA Brian Stuard 40 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.9% 1.33% -0.57% MC
14 USA Aaron Wise 40 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.9% 1.11% -0.79% MC
15 CAN Taylor Pendrith 40 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.9% 0.28% -1.62% T13
16 USA Mark Hubbard 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.69% 1.28% -0.41% T43
17 USA Ryan Armour 45 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.69% 1.14% -0.56% MC
18 USA Adam Schenk 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.69% 0.88% -0.81% 4
19 USA Joel Dahmen 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.53% 2.03% 0.5% T7 6.27
20 USA Scott Stallings 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.53% 1.26% -0.27% T18
21 USA Beau Hossler 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.53% 1.14% -0.39% MC
22 USA Pat Perez 55 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.39% 1.95% 0.56% T30 5.71
23 USA Bo Hoag 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.39% 1.12% -0.28% T59
24 USA Kyle Stanley 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.39% 1.11% -0.28% MC
25 USA Richy Werenski 60 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.28% 0.94% -0.34% T59
26 USA Brandon Hagy 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.16% 1.75% 0.59% 5 4.77 +41.7
27 USA Brice Garnett 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.16% 1.52% 0.36% T34 4.77
28 USA Matt Kuchar 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.16% 1.34% 0.17% MC 4.77
29 RSA Erik van Rooyen 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.16% 1.3% 0.14% 1 4.77 +201.5
30 CAN Nick Taylor 66 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.16% 0.98% -0.19% MC
31 ENG Tom Lewis 66 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.16% 0.92% -0.24% T54
32 USA Doc Redman 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.16% 0.83% -0.33% T49
33 CAN Roger Sloan 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.1% 0.89% -0.21% 6
34 USA Sam Ryder 70 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.1% 0.78% -0.32% T34
35 USA Michael Thompson 70 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.1% 0.75% -0.35% T20
36 USA Brendan Steele 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 1.03% 1.2% 0.17% MC 4.21
37 USA Lee Hodges 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.96% 0.88% -0.08% T11 3.95
38 USA Joseph Bramlett 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.96% 0.76% -0.2% T20
39 SCO Russell Knox 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.96% 0.72% -0.24% MC
40 GER Stephan Jaeger 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.96% 0.4% -0.56% 42
41 USA Kevin Tway 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.86% 0.59% -0.26% T30
42 AUS Cameron Percy 100 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.77% 1.16% 0.39% T64 3.17
43 USA Austin Eckroat 100 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.77% 1.13% 0.36% MC 3.17
44 USA Wyndham Clark 100 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.77% 0.99% 0.21% MC 3.17
45 USA Vincent Whaley 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.77% 0.91% 0.14% T9 3.17
46 USA Vaughn Taylor 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.77% 0.68% -0.09% WD 3.17
47 USA Greyson Sigg 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% 0.65% -0.12% T15
48 USA Sahith Theegala 100 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.77% 0.48% -0.29% T34
49 USA Scott Piercy 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.7% 0.48% -0.23% 3
50 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 1.29% 0.67% T47 2.54
51 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.62% 1.05% 0.43% MC 2.54
52 USA Chesson Hadley 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.62% 1% 0.38% T54 2.54
53 USA Andrew Putnam 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.62% 0.81% 0.19% 2 2.54 +41
54 USA Tom Hoge 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.62% 0.79% 0.17% MC 2.54
55 USA Scott Brown 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 0.62% 0% MC 2.54
56 USA Davis Thompson 125 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.62% 0.34% -0.28% T39
57 USA Davis Riley 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 0.22% -0.4% MC
58 USA Chase Seiffert 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.55% 1.19% 0.64% T66
59 COL Camilo Villegas 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.55% 0.75% 0.19% 70
60 ENG Luke Donald 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.79% 0.27% MC
61 USA Nate Lashley 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.74% 0.23% MC
62 USA Sean O'Hair 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.48% 1% 0.51% T9
63 USA Ben Martin 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.48% 0.69% 0.2% MC
64 USA Bronson Burgoon 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.48% 0.65% 0.16% MC
65 USA J.J Spaun 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.48% 0.52% 0.04% MC
66 USA John Huh 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.48% 0.38% -0.11% T23
67 USA Andrew Landry 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% 0.66% 0.21% T51
68 USA Tyler Duncan 175 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% 0.64% 0.2% T43
69 ARG Fabian Gomez 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% 0.54% 0.1% T47
70 USA Bo Van Pelt 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 1.37% 0.98% T11
71 IRL Padraig Harrington 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 1.01% 0.62% MC
72 USA Michael Gellerman 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.91% 0.52% MC
73 USA Mark Anderson 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.48% 0.09% T59
74 USA Josh Teater 200 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.44% 0.05% MC
75 CHN Zhang Xinjun 200 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.42% 0.03% MC
76 SWE David Lingmerth 200 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.35% -0.04% MC
77 RSA MJ Daffue 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 0.24% -0.15% T49
78 USA Robby Shelton 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.34% 0.37% 0.02% T23
79 KOR Sunghoon Kang 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.34% 0.36% 0.02% MC
80 CAN Michael Gligic 250 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 1.16% 0.84% T59
81 USA William Gordon 250 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 1.02% 0.71% MC
82 USA Rob Oppenheim 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.78% 0.47% MC
83 USA Scott Harrington 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.53% 0.21% T20
84 USA Austin Cook 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.41% 0.1% T15
85 USA Bill Haas 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% 0.41% 0.1% T27
86 USA Nick Watney 250 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.4% 0.09% T43
87 USA Wes Roach 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.31% 0% MC
88 USA John Pak 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.27% -0.04% T39
89 USA D.J. Trahan 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.28% 0.55% 0.27% MC
90 USA Chris Baker 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.28% 0.34% 0.06% T64
91 AUS Aaron Baddeley 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.28% 0.22% -0.07% T23
92 USA Brian Gay 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.84% 0.58% MC
93 USA Tyler McCumber 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.79% 0.53% MC
94 ARG Andres Romero 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.45% 0.19% MC
95 AUS Rhein Gibson 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.43% 0.17% T66
96 USA Jonathan Byrd 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.33% 0.07% T59
97 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.28% 0.02% T51
98 PUR Rafael Campos 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.93% 0.7% MC
99 FRA Paul Barjon 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.28% 0.05% T54
100 ENG Benjamin Taylor 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.44% 0.24% T27
101 USA Johnson Wagner 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.36% 0.17% MC
102 USA Shawn Stefani 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.27% 0.07% MC
103 ARG Nelson Ledesma 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.62% 0.46% T30
104 USA Ryan Brehm 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.48% 0.33% T23
105 AUS Greg Chalmers 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.46% 0.3% T34
106 USA Michael Kim 500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.31% 0.16% MC
107 USA Zack Sucher 500 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.29% 0.14% MC
108 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.28% 0.13% T66
109 USA Dominic Bozzelli 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.27% 0.11% MC
110 USA J.J. Henry 500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.26% 0.11% MC
111 KOR Sangmoon Bae 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.19% 0.03% 69
112 USA Ricky Barnes 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.27% 0.14% DQ
113 USA Charlie Beljan 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.22% 0.09% MC
114 USA Matt Marshall 600 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.22% 0.09% MC
115 AUS John Senden 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.27% 0.16% MC
116 USA Matt Every 800 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.19% 0.09% MC
117 USA Martin Trainer 1000 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.26% 0.19% MC
118 USA Kevin Stadler 1000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.16% MC
119 USA Alexander Beach 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.19% 0.13% MC
120 USA John Daly 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.46% 0.41% MC
121 USA D.A. Points 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.37% 0.32% MC
122 USA Parker McLachlin 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.32% 0.27% MC
123 GER Alex Cejka 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
124 USA Sam Saunders 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
125 SWE Richard S. Johnson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
126 CHI Guillermo Pereira 0% 0% 0% 0% T39
127 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
128 USA Mark Baldwin 0% 0% 0% 0% T34
129 USA Akshay Bhatia 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
130 USA Michael Feagles 0% 0% 0% 0% T54
131 USA Derek Zachman 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
132 USA John Greco 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 25.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 12.2 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 40% 24.8%
2 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 40.4% 25.1%
3 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 40.4% 25.1%
4 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 40.4% 25.1%
5 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 40.4% 25.1%
6 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 41.3% 26%
7 Betway 7 @ 1/5 56.2% 30.7%
8 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 44.4% 31.5%
9 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 45.6% 32.6%
10 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 45.9% 32.9%
11 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 46.6% 33.5%
12 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 61.6% 35.2%